关键信息：根据 Axios 获取的一份备忘录，共和党参议院竞选委员会正在三个共和党控制的州（阿拉斯加、爱荷华州和俄亥俄州）提出一项异常紧急的筹款请求——具体金额为 890 万美元。
The Senate GOP campaign arm is making an extraordinary late ask — $8.9 million, to be exact — for three red states: Alaska, Iowa and Ohio, according to a memo sent Thursday and obtained by Axios.
这一请求的意义：这再次表明共和党面临诸多困境。在正常情况下，他们不会为了争夺这些在 2024 年总统大选中特朗普以高票获胜的州而乞求大量资金。
Why it matters: The request is yet another sign of the headwinds facing Republicans. In a good year, they wouldn't be begging for millions to defend states President Trump carried by double digits in 2024.
备忘录中写道：“我们需要额外 890 万美元来缩小与民主党的媒体宣传差距，并在选举日之前保持现有的竞选优势。”
"We need $8.9 million in additional hard dollars to close the media gap and sustain that progress through Election Day," a memo from the National Republican Senatorial Committee states.
详细情况：备忘录为每场竞选活动制定了具体的筹款目标，并指示捐赠者将资金汇入相应的联合筹款账户或候选人的竞选账户：
"We need $8.9 million in additional hard dollars to close the media gap and sustain that progress through Election Day," a memo from the National Republican Senatorial Committee states.
阿拉斯加州：需要 120 万美元；根据 RealClearPolitics 的民调结果，民主党候选人玛丽·佩尔托拉（Mary Peltola）以 2% 的优势领先共和党参议员丹·沙利文（Dan Sullivan）。
Zoom in: The memo lays out specific fundraising goals for each race, sending donors to joint fundraising accounts and campaigns. $1.2 million in Alaska, where Democratic nominee former Rep. Mary Peltola leads Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) in the RealClearPolitics polling average by two percentage points.
爱荷华州：需要 420 万美元；民主党候选人乔什·图雷克（Josh Turek）与共和党候选人阿什利·欣森（Ashley Hinson）的民调差距不到 1%。
$4.2 million in Iowa, where Democratic nominee Josh Turek and GOP nominee Rep. Ashley Hinson are separated by less than a percentage point in the RCP polling average.
俄亥俄州：需要 350 万美元；根据 RealClearPolitics 的民调结果，前民主党参议员谢罗德·布朗（Sherrod Brown）以 4% 的优势领先共和党参议员乔恩·赫斯蒂德（Jon Husted）。
$3.5 million in Ohio, where former Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) has built a four-percentage-point lead over Sen. Jon Husted (R) in the RCP polling average. Between the lines: The memo directs donors to candidates' campaigns or joint fundraising committees, which have higher donor limits.
背后的策略：备忘录指示捐赠者将资金直接捐给候选人的竞选团队或联合筹款委员会，因为这些机构的捐赠限额更高。
The committee has been taking advantage of a Supreme Court ruling to get more advertising at lower prices by coordinating with campaigns.
该委员会利用最高法院的裁决，通过与各竞选团队合作以更低的价格购买广告。
The committee has been taking advantage of a Supreme Court ruling to get more advertising at lower prices by coordinating with campaigns.
据 Axios 查看的幻灯片显示，共和党参议院竞选委员会主席蒂姆·斯科特（Tim Scott）在周三的一次闭门会议上强调了这一策略，称此举帮助他们能够与民主党更强大的筹款能力保持同步。
NRSC Chair Tim Scott (R-S.C.) touted this strategy in a closed-door lunch on Wednesday, showing in a chart how it has allowed them to keep up with Democrats' stronger campaign fundraising, according to slides seen by Axios.
备忘录中还提到：“虽然整体环境依然严峻，但随着共和党各竞选团队的积极参与，这些州的竞争局势有所改善。”
"The environment remains tough, but these races have improved as the Republican ecosystem has engaged," says the NRSC memo.
最新动态：根据《Cook Political Report》本周的评级更新，参议院选举中的乔治亚州、堪萨斯州和南卡罗来纳州的竞争局势已向民主党倾斜。
"The environment remains tough, but these races have improved as the Republican ecosystem has engaged," says the NRSC memo. Zoom out: Cook Political Report this week moved the Senate races in Georgia, Kansas and South Carolina in their ratings toward Democrats.
关键信息：
Zoom out: Cook Political Report this week moved the Senate races in Georgia, Kansas and South Carolina in their ratings toward Democrats.
- 根据最新民意调查结果，萨巴托的预测显示堪萨斯州、密歇根州和爱荷华州的选民更倾向于支持民主党。
Sabato's Crystal Ball moved Kansas, Michigan and Iowa toward Democrats.
- 两位民意调查机构都指出，在目前由共和党控制的七个选区中，民主党具有竞争力（至少处于与共和党势均力敌的位置）。
Democrats are competitive (at least lean-Republican) in seven seats currently held by Republicans, according to both raters.
- 民主党只需再赢得四个选区，就能在下一届国会中占据多数席位。
They only need four to take the majority next Congress.
共和党的情况：
The other side: Democrats have their own late-stage headaches, with Democratic senators calling for a cash infusion for their candidate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed — warning that he's getting trounced by outside super PACs.
- 民主党自身也面临一些问题：一些民主党参议员呼吁为他们在密歇根州的候选人阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德提供资金支持，因为他们担心该候选人会遭到外部超级政治行动委员会（super PACs）的强烈攻击。
The other side: Democrats have their own late-stage headaches, with Democratic senators calling for a cash infusion for their candidate in Michigan, Abdul El-Sayed — warning that he's getting trounced by outside super PACs.
我们的观察：
What we're hearing: Republicans are quietly starting to count out North Carolina and Georgia, based on our conversations.
- 根据我们的采访，共和党人已经开始认为北卡罗来纳州和乔治亚州的选举结果对他们不利；据《Semafor》报道，有数百万美元的共和党超级政治行动委员会资金已被从北卡罗来纳州撤出。
Semafor reported millions of dollars in GOP super PAC money were pulled from North Carolina.
- 然而，共和党在New Hampshire州和密歇根州看到了希望：他们的候选人正在努力争取这些选区，试图将民主党席位转变为共和党的。
But the GOP sees a silver lining in New Hampshire and Michigan, where their candidates are making competitive bids to flip Democratic seats.
- 共和党多数党领袖约翰·图恩（John Thune，来自南达科他州）告诉候选人：无论这意味着要与图恩本人、国会，甚至在某些情况下与特朗普总统发生冲突，他们都必须在自己的选区内全力以赴地参与竞选。
Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) is telling candidates to run the race they need to in their state, even if it means breaking with him, Congress, or, in some cases, President Trump.
图恩的表态：“我非常清楚我们面临的政治阻力，因此我们必须妥善应对这些挑战，”图恩周三在接受Axios采访时说道。
The bottom line: "I'm very realistic about there are political headwinds for us, and so you have to navigate that," Thune told Axios on Wednesday.