曼谷，9月25日：泰国财政部长周五表示，该国经济有望继续保持增长势头，明年增长率将达到2.5%，并在未来三年内可能升至3%。政府正在推动对关键行业的新投资。
BANGKOK, Sept 25 : Thailand's economy is expected to retain its momentum and grow by 2.5 per cent next year and could reach 3 per cent expansion within the next three years, the finance minister said on Friday, as the government pushes for new investments into key sectors.
埃克尼蒂·尼蒂塔纳帕帕斯（Ekniti Nitithanprapas）向路透社表示，他对2027年实现2.5%的经济增长目标充满信心；这是他首次对明年的经济增长率作出预测。
Ekniti Nitithanprapas told Reuters he was confident of achieving 2.5 per cent economic expansion in 2027, in what was his first growth projection for next year.
他表示，政府的首要任务是吸引更多国内外投资，尤其是在半导体等细分领域。
Top of the government's agenda, he said, was to court more foreign and domestic investment, including in niche semiconductor segments.
“在我看来，实际经济增长率可能会高于泰国央行或其他机构的预测。”他在距离国际货币基金组织（IMF）和世界银行年度会议（均在曼谷举行）还有两周的时间时接受采访时说道，“我们需要继续推动国内投资的发展，减少对出口行业的依赖。”
"In my opinion, growth might be likely to be higher than what maybe the Bank of Thailand or other people forecasted," he said in an interview two weeks out from the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank, taking place in Bangkok.
上周，泰国央行副行长唐·纳科恩塔布（Don Nakornthab）向路透社表示，央行维持今年经济增长率为2.3%、2027年为1.8%的预测；他预计实际增长率可能达到2.7%，并认为泰国经济可能需要四到五年时间才能恢复到这一水平。
"We need to keep pushing domestic investment to grow further and reduce reliance on export sectors." Last week, assistant central bank governor Don Nakornthab told Reuters the bank was maintaining its growth forecasts of 2.3 per cent for this year and 1.8 per cent for 2027. He put potential growth at 2.7 per cent and said it could take four to five years to return to that rate.
通货膨胀与泰铢汇率波动：作为东南亚第二大经济体，泰国经济在第二季度的同比增长率为1.9%，大幅低于上一季度的2.8%。去年泰国经济增长率为2.4%，但目前面临生产率低下、需求疲软、家庭债务高企以及投资不足等问题。
INFLATION AND BAHT VOLATILITY Southeast Asia's second-largest economy expanded 1.9 per cent year-on-year in the second quarter, down sharply from 2.8 per cent growth in the previous quarter. The economy, which grew 2.4 per cent last year, has been struggling with weak productivity, subdued demand, high household debt and low investment.
埃克尼蒂表示，他对通货膨胀并不担心——预计今年和明年的通货膨胀率将控制在3%以内；虽然疲软的泰铢汇率可能对泰国经济有利，但汇率波动不应过于剧烈。今年迄今为止，泰铢兑美元已经贬值了5.6%。
Ekniti said he was not concerned about inflation, which should stay within 3 per cent this year and next, while the weaker baht might be better for the Thai economy but should not be volatile. The baht has weakened by 5.6 per cent against the US dollar so far this year.
8月份，泰国的整体通胀率升至2.53%，但仍处于央行设定的1%至3%的预期范围内。
Headline inflation accelerated to 2.53 per cent in August but within the central bank's 1 per cent to 3 per cent target range.
埃克尼蒂表示，政府的消费补贴计划已经实施了四个月，预计该计划将在2026年对GDP增长的贡献率为0.4%至0.5%。
The government's consumer subsidy scheme, which has been in operation for four months, would account for 0.4 per cent to 0.5 per cent of GDP growth in 2026, Ekniti said.
本周，该补贴计划被延长至11月，政府为此拨款了430亿泰铢（约合12.9亿美元），这笔资金属于总额为4000亿泰铢的借贷计划的一部分。
The scheme was this week extended through to November, with 43 billion baht ($1.29 billion) allocated, part of a broader 400 billion baht borrowing programme.
“我们的目标是向那些受到生活成本上升影响的人群提供补贴，因此这项计划应该是短期的。”埃克尼蒂说道，他同时也是泰国副总理。
"We target to give subsidies to help people affected by the rising cost of living. So that's why we expect it to be short-term," said Ekniti, who is also deputy prime minister.
“我们计划逐步减少补贴力度，并努力促进未来的投资。”泰国半导体产业计划到2050年实现800亿美元的半导体投资，同时创造超过23万个新的就业岗位。这一国家战略于周四正式宣布，其目标是建立一个完全本土化的芯片生态系统，并实现每年1500亿美元的营收。
"We plan to lower it down, and we're trying to push investments going forward." NICHE SEMICONDUCTORS Thailand is targeting $80 billion in semiconductor investment by 2050 and more than 230,000 new jobs under a national strategy announced on Thursday, which aims to build a fully integrated domestic chip ecosystem and generate $150 billion in annual revenue. "We are quite good in photonics. We are quite good in sensing and power units. So we aim to move in that direction," he said.
“我们在光子技术、传感技术以及电源技术方面具有很强的优势，因此我们希望朝着这个方向发展。”埃克尼蒂表示，“我们会提供各种激励措施，并与私营部门合作，以吸引更多的投资。”他还提到，政府正在与中央银行合作，努力改善中小企业的信贷环境。
"We will provide lots of incentives, work with private sector so that we can bring in more investment." Ekniti said the government was also working with the central bank to try to boost credit access to small businesses.
他补充说，今年的公共债务占GDP的比例将上升至68%至69%，但仍低于70%的上限。
The public debt-to-GDP ratio would rise to 68 per cent to 69 per cent this year, he added, but still under the 70 per cent ceiling. A positive factor for Thailand was its political stability, he said.
他认为，政治稳定是泰国的一个积极因素：“此前我们从未有过仅由两个政党组成的联合政府，这样的政治格局有助于政府持续推行可信的政策。”
"Never before have we had good coalition parties with only two parties," he said. "That could provide stability for the government to continue credible policies."