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有一项全球大流行病条约已经签署——却处于“悬而未决”的状态。症结何在?There's a global pandemic treaty that's signed -- and in 'limbo.' What's the holdup?

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大流行条约谈判陷入僵局 收听 下载 嵌入 iframe src=" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player"> 这些字母是引发全球大流行的新型冠状病毒基因序列的一部分。一项新条约旨在促进各国共享此类信息,以应对未来任何威胁地球的病毒。

Pandemic treaty negotiations are at an impasse Listen Download Embed iframe src=" width="100%" height="290" frameborder="0" scrolling="no" title="NPR embedded audio player"> These letters are part of the genetic sequence of the novel coronavirus that sparked the global pandemic. A new treaty aims to promote the sharing of such information among nations for any future virus that threatens the planet.

Smith Collection/Gado/Gado/via Getty Images 隐藏说明 切换说明 世界卫生组织于2025年5月通过了一项大流行协定,旨在让世界更好地应对下一次全球卫生危机,但各国之所以能够通过投票,只是因为它们同意将敲定最具争议细节的时间推迟。

Smith Collection/Gado/Gado/via Getty Images hide caption toggle caption The World Health Organization adopted the pandemic agreement in May 2025, aimed at making the world better prepared for the next global health crisis — but countries were only able to get the votes because they agreed to kick the can on finalizing the most contentious details. That can kicking has continued for the past year and half. Countries met last week for the eighth round of negotiations in Geneva, but there was little to show for it.

这种拖延战术在过去一年半里一直在继续。各国上周在日内瓦举行了第八轮谈判,但几乎没有什么成果。

"The pandemic agreement is really in a state of continued limbo," says Suerie Moon co-director of the global health center at the Geneva Graduate Institute. "The mood is somber, I think a lot of countries know we have to make progress, and yet the path forward is not obvious." At the center of the debate is access and equity — whether countries should be obligated to share data on new pathogens with the international community quickly, and what obligations countries have to share the vaccines, drugs or tests developed from those data.

日内瓦高级国际关系及发展学院全球卫生中心联席主任苏埃里·穆恩(Suerie Moon)表示:“大流行协定确实处于持续的悬而未决状态。气氛很凝重,我认为许多国家都知道我们必须取得进展,然而前方的道路并不明朗。”辩论的核心是获取与公平——各国是否应有义务与国际社会快速共享新病原体的数据,以及各国在共享利用这些数据开发出的疫苗、药物或检测工具方面负有什么义务。

"The pandemic agreement is really in a state of continued limbo," says Suerie Moon co-director of the global health center at the Geneva Graduate Institute. "The mood is somber, I think a lot of countries know we have to make progress, and yet the path forward is not obvious." At the center of the debate is access and equity — whether countries should be obligated to share data on new pathogens with the international community quickly, and what obligations countries have to share the vaccines, drugs or tests developed from those data.

“在新冠疫情期间,存在着极其严重的不公平现象:富裕国家几乎立即获得了疫苗,并能够为本国民众多次采购疫苗;而低收入国家则只能获得少量的疫苗,”第三世界网络(Third World Network)的法律顾问桑吉塔·沙希坎特(Sangeeta Shashikant)指出。“《新冠大流行协议》正是为缩小这种差距而制定的。”从原则上讲,各国已经同意履行这些义务,并认为这些义务对于建立一套能够更公平地应对下一次疫情的应对机制至关重要。

"There was staggering inequity during COVID-19, where rich countries had access to vaccines almost immediately, and were able to procure it multiple times over for their population," while lower-income countries got scraps, says Sangeeta Shashikant a legal adviser for the Third World Network, a nonprofit. "The pandemic agreement is an attempt to bridge that gap." In principle, countries have agreed to these obligations. And they see them as crucial to having a system in place that allows for rapid response to the next pandemic in a more equitable way.

然而,各国至今仍未就这套被称为“病原体获取与利益共享机制”(Pathogen Access and Benefit Sharing, PABS)的机制的具体内容达成一致。

But countries haven't been able to agree on what that system, known as the Pathogen Access and Benefit Sharing annex (PABS), would actually look like. At the UN General Assembly on Friday, WHO Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus urged countries to come together.

在周五的联合国大会上,世界卫生组织总干事谭德塞(Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus)敦促各国共同努力:“尽管仍存在分歧,但我相信各国能够找到共识,就像他们在达成该协议时所做的那样。因此,我只有一个请求:请尽快完成这项工作。任何进一步的拖延不仅会延误程序的进展,更会在下一次疫情来临时给所有国家带来沉重的代价。”

"Although differences remain, I am confident that countries will find common ground, just as they did with the agreement itself," he said. "So today, I leave you with just one request, just one: get [it] done, as soon as possible. Further delays are not just delays in procedure or process. They are delays that cost all countries dearly when the next pandemic arrives." Global north versus global south In broad strokes, negotiations are generally between the global north and the global south, or wealthy countries and lower-income countries, says Moon.

Moon 表示,谈判主要发生在“全球北方”(即富裕国家)与“全球南方”(即低收入国家)之间:“全球北方希望建立一个能够促进新产品快速开发的机制。该机制需要建立一个数据库,各国可以迅速在其中上传病原体相关数据,从而使世界各地的科学家能够方便地利用这些数据。”“新冠疫情充分证明了这种机制的必要性。”

"The global north is concerned about setting up a system that would allow for the continued, very rapid development of new products," she says. Such a system would involve a database where countries quickly upload new pathogen data, and scientists around the world can easily use it.

2020年1月初,中国科学家将SARS-CoV-2病毒的基因组上传到了一个公开可访问的数据库中。国际制药制造商协会(International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations)的秘书长大卫·雷迪(David Reddy)表示,正是由于这一早期数据共享机制,科学家们才能如此迅速地研发出疫苗。“疫苗的研发效果非常出色。”

COVID-19 demonstrated why that's valuable. In early January 2020, Chinese scientists uploaded the SARS-CoV-2 genome to a publicly available database. That early access was part of why scientists were able to develop a vaccine so quickly, says David Reddy director general of the International Federation of Pharmaceutical Manufacturers and Associations. "It worked incredibly well."

然而,低收入国家的看法却有所不同。穆恩(Moon)指出:“我认为他们对新冠疫情期间的经历仍记忆犹新;这些国家希望得到明确的保障:如果他们今天分享了病毒样本或数据,那么明天就能获得基于这些数据研发出的药物、疫苗或诊断工具。”这些国家希望将获取数据库数据的权利作为自己的一种谈判筹码。

Lower-income countries see it differently. "I think they have very bitter memories of what happened during COVID-19," says Moon. "Countries in the global south want ironclad guarantees that if they share a sample or a data today, tomorrow they will get the drugs or vaccines and diagnostics that are developed with them." These countries want to tie strings to accessing the database, as a kind of leverage. Who wants what Those strings could come in a variety of forms. Some countries are arguing to put all of this pathogen data in a closed database, available only to parties who and sign contracts with WHO.

这些“附加条件”可能有多种形式。一些国家主张将所有与病毒相关的数据存放在一个封闭的数据库中,仅允许与世界卫生组织(WHO)签订合同的机构访问这些数据。这类合同可能要求将研发出的产品的一部分以较低的价格提供给WHO,以便WHO能够将其分发给低收入国家。

Such contracts might require a share of any resulting products to be provided to WHO at reduced cost for distribution to lower-income countries. WHO's pandemic influenza preparedness network works something like this: Countries submit virus samples in exchange for more equitable vaccine access.

虽然富裕国家已经同意在疫情紧急情况下将生产的疫苗的20%提供给WHO,但他们并不支持将这些数据共享作为使用数据的条件。他们认为,这种做法会阻碍科学研究的进展——而恰恰在疫情最需要快速响应的时候,这种阻碍反而会带来严重的后果。例如,研究人员可能需要研究新病毒是如何侵入人体细胞的,从而找到阻止病毒传播的方法;这不仅需要分析病毒的基因数据,还需要分析人体蛋白质的相关信息。莱布尼茨研究所(Leibniz Institute)的科学政策负责人安珀·肖尔茨(Amber Sholz)指出:“对这些数据设置访问限制会带来巨大的障碍,使我们难以充分了解病毒的生物学特性。”

Wealthy countries have already agreed that 20% of vaccines produced in a pandemic emergency would go to WHO. Yet they're not in favor of these strings as a condition of being able to use data. They argue it will slow science down at precisely the time it needs to be most nimble. A researcher may want to study how a new virus enters human cells, for instance, to figure out how to stop it. That would require analyzing the virus's genetic data, but also data on human proteins, says Amber Sholz, head of science policy at the Leibniz Institute. Putting boxes around some of that data creates "a huge amount of friction that leaves us not super prepared for understanding pathogen biology," she says.

当前谈判的僵局:目前,双方在谈判中仍存在较大分歧。不过,也有一些关于如何达成妥协的提议。

Middle ground Right now, the two sides still seem far apart in negotiations. But there are some proposals for a middle ground.

其中一项提议是:不要将数据本身进行加密处理,而是对从数据中生成的产品进行加密。这一想法由非营利组织“Knowledge Ecology International”的负责人詹姆斯·洛夫(James Love)提出。根据这一方案,科学家和企业可以获取病原体数据并据此开发相关产品;但若要在某个国家销售这些产品,他们必须签署一份确保各方权益的合同。詹姆斯·洛夫表示:“我们的提议在保障各方权益和促进开放科学方面都做到了最佳平衡。”不过,并非所有人都同意这一方案。沙希坎特(Shashikant)认为,如果制造商在数据使用问题上未能达成一致,低收入国家就会失去谈判优势;她指出:“如果五年后世界卫生组织(WHO)试图与相关企业签订合同,企业完全可以拒绝合作。”

One involves attaching strings not to the data itself but to any products generated from the data. James Love, director of Knowledge Ecology International a nonprofit, has been advocating this idea. In this framework, scientists and companies would have access to pathogen data and develop a product from it. But to sell that product in a given country, they'd need to sign some kind contract that guarantees a degree of equity, he says. "Our proposal gives you the best on equity and the best on open science." Not everyone agrees. Shashikant argues if manufacturers haven't agreed to terms and conditions upon the point of accessing data, lower-income countries have lost their bargaining edge. "If you have WHO chasing a company five years later, trying to get a contract, they can just say no," she says. Negotiations are set to continue up until May of 2027, when WHO member states will come together again for the World Health Assembly.

谈判将持续到2027年5月,届时WHO成员国将再次召开世界卫生大会。

"It does seem that countries are coming to the table with good faith efforts to try to find a resolution," says Alexandra Phelan global health law expert at Johns Hopkins University. But she worries that good faith could erode over time. She views next May as a deadline for reaching a deal.

约翰霍普金斯大学的全球卫生法律专家亚历山德拉·菲兰(Alexandra Phelan)表示:“各国似乎都本着诚意参与谈判,试图找到解决方案。”但她担心这种诚意可能会随着时间的推移而减弱。她认为明年5月是达成协议的最后期限。

"It does seem that countries are coming to the table with good faith efforts to try to find a resolution," says Alexandra Phelan global health law expert at Johns Hopkins University. But she worries that good faith could erode over time. She views next May as a deadline for reaching a deal.

美国则是另一个不确定因素:自去年退出WHO后,美国便未再参与相关谈判。不过,Moon指出,美国仍与一些国家签订了双边卫生援助协议(例如以病原体数据交换卫生援助的协议);她担心这些协议可能会破坏现有的病原体数据共享机制。

The United States is another wildcard. Since leaving WHO last year, the U.S. hasn't been part of the negotiations. But it isg bilateral health aid agreements with individual countries outside of this framework — such as deals to exchange pathogen data for health aid, says Moon. She believes that could undermine the pathogen access and benefit sharing system.

“他们就像是我们正在努力建造的房屋木头里的白蚁,”穆恩(Moon)说道。她担心,如果在谈判人员达成协议之前,这些白蚁继续啃噬,房屋可能会倒塌。“如果我们想在明年5月前到达终点线,我们需要取得突破。”欲了解更多关于我们不断变化的世界中的生活故事,请 。NPR不为报道或采访提供或接受金钱。

"They're like termites in the wood of the house that we're trying to build," says Moon. If those termites keep eating away before negotiators reach a deal, she worries that the house could collapse. "We need a breakthrough if we're going to cross the finish line by next May." For stories about life in our changing world, to NPR's Global Health newsletter. NPR does not offer or accept money for coverage or interviews.

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