关键信息:本文由菲尔·克莱因(Phil Kline)撰写。OpenAI的首席执行官萨姆·奥尔特曼(Sam Altman)在2026年9月23日星期三于联合国总部举行的第81届联合国大会期间,出席了关于人工智能的安全理事会会议。
by Phill Kline, opinion contributor Sam Altman, CEO of OpenAI, listens during a Security Council meeting on artificial intelligence at the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly at United Nations headquarters, Wednesday, Sept. 23, 2026.
萨姆·奥尔特曼及其团队最近多次警告称人类可能会“失去对未来的控制权”,而媒体对这些警告的反应往往是肤浅且短视的(即媒体将这些警告视为无足轻重的警告)。然而,这些警告其实是在经过多年关于人工智能风险的讨论之后提出的;尤其是就在OpenAI自身推动开发自主人工智能系统之后——而这些系统恰恰可能对人类造成灾难性影响。OpenAI最近发布的自主人工智能系统以及其内部安全问题的记录表明,该公司正在积极制造那些它自己声称需要政府干预才能避免的风险。
Sam Altman and cohorts have issued recent warnings about losing “control of the future to AI” which has been amplified by a shallow and myopic press corps as sober-minded caution. Yet, the sharpest of these alarms arrived after years of risk talk — and immediately after “OpenAI’s”, led by Altman, own push towards autonomous AI agents, the very systems Altman warns could cause catastrophic impacts on humanity. OpenAI’s recent agent releases and documented internal safety failures underscore that the company is actively developing the very risks it claims demand government intervention.
奥尔特曼如今坚称只有政府才能控制这些风险。当一家公司自己构建了某种被其描述为“过于危险、无法在没有政府监管的情况下存在”的技术架构时,其言论就不再显得谨慎,而更像是一种胁迫手段:我们正在创造具有风险性的技术;因此你们必须阻止其他人开发这些技术,并将监管权交给我们。
Altman is building the threat he now insists only government can contain. When a company builds the architecture it then claims is too dangerous to exist without federal oversight, the rhetoric begins to look less like prudence and more like leverage. It is a form of social blackmail: We are creating something risky; therefore you must prevent others from developing it, and trust us with a regulatory monopoly. Such claims sound suspiciously like Altman’s founding commitment to open-sourced AI, until the changes he led closed the lab and enlarged his fortune. Under his leadership OpenAI shifted from openness to secrecy, from nonprofit ideals to commercial dominance, and from shared research to tightly controlled model access.
这种言论与奥尔特曼当初倡导的“开源人工智能”理念显得格格不入。毕竟,正是他在领导OpenAI期间推动了公司从开放、非营利性的发展模式转变为封闭、商业化的模式,从共享研究转向了对技术使用的严格控制。
The openness Altman once championed would have spread both capability and benefit. The structure Altman initiated concentrates both. Now he seeks government regulation that would consolidate this power further.
奥尔特曼曾经推崇的“开放性”本应促进技术能力的传播和利益的共享;但他如今却推动政府实施更严格的监管措施,以进一步巩固自己的权力。这种策略其实很常见——强大的企业常常用“公共安全”的名义来掩盖其保护市场的真实目的。
This strategy is familiar — powerful firms often cloak market protection in the language of public safety. The message is clear: Regulate my competitors out of existence, or I will build the monster I am warning about. This is the social blackmail tactic used by those who desire to increase wealth and power, not accountability and safety.
信息非常明确:要么通过监管将我的竞争对手彻底淘汰,要么我就会创造出那些我所警告过的“危险怪物”(即那些具有破坏性的AI系统)。这种社会勒索手段正是那些渴望获取财富和权力的人所采用的手段,而非那些真正关心责任与安全的人所采用的手段。
Hiding this self-interest is easier in the AI field than in others, because the public debate has been clouded by a fundamental confusion. What Frontier labs — the firsts behind today’s largest models — call “agentic behavior” is not agency in the human sense. These systems do not possess intention, selfhood, or moral deliberation. They exhibit extreme optimization of the goal assigned to them by the programmer — nothing more. When a model bypasses a safety filter, it is not choosing deception but rather following optimization. It is a mechanism ruthlessly pursuing the objective it was given.
在人工智能领域,隐藏这种自私的动机要比在其他领域更容易,因为公众的讨论一直被一个根本性的误解所蒙蔽。Frontier实验室(当今最先进AI模型的研发者)所所谓的“自主行为”,其实并不符合人类的“自主性”定义。这些系统根本不具备意图、自我意识或道德判断能力;它们只是机械地执行程序员赋予它们的目标罢了。当某个AI模型绕过了安全防护机制时,它并不是在故意欺骗他人,而只是在执行程序员设定的优化策略罢了。
Hiding this self-interest is easier in the AI field than in others, because the public debate has been clouded by a fundamental confusion. What Frontier labs — the firsts behind today’s largest models — call “agentic behavior” is not agency in the human sense. These systems do not possess intention, selfhood, or moral deliberation. They exhibit extreme optimization of the goal assigned to them by the programmer — nothing more. When a model bypasses a safety filter, it is not choosing deception but rather following optimization. It is a mechanism ruthlessly pursuing the objective it was given.
因此,这种“自主性设计”并非程序员的偶然失误,而是Altman及其团队刻意做出的选择——他们优先考虑系统的功能强大性而非可控性。Frontier实验室本可以开发出视野狭隘、依赖特定处理流程、或仅适用于特定领域的AI系统;他们本也可以强调系统的可解释性、模块化结构,或者引入人类的监督机制。但他们并没有这么做。这些限制反而阻碍了AI技术的发展。在争夺主导地位的竞争中,Frontier实验室始终选择速度而非安全性。这些AI系统恰恰反映了其创造者的价值观:效率高于人性,财富高于责任。
Agentic design, therefore, is not an accident by the programmer, it is the deliberate architectural choice of Altman and his designers — the decision to prioritize capability over controllability. Frontier labs could have built systems that are myopic, process-based, or constrained to narrow domains. They could have emphasized interpretability, modularity, or human-in-the-loop oversight. They did not. These constraints slow capability development, and in a race for dominance, the frontier labs have consistently chosen speed over safety. The machine reflects the heart of the creator — efficiency over humanity, wealth over accountability. Now, having built systems whose behavior is harder to predict and harder to control, they argue that only a handful of companies should be licensed to develop them. Their preferred regulatory frameworks define “frontier AI” in terms of compute scale, capital requirements, and centralized oversight — criteria only they can meet.
如今,既然他们已经开发出了行为难以预测、难以控制的AI系统,他们便主张只有少数几家公司才应该被允许继续开发这类技术。
But the government regulatory monopoly proposed by Big Tech leaders contains its own twin risks — that the business dependent on government for its market can be manipulated by government, and that the corporate monopoly can manipulate its technology for its own purposes. Either path risks catastrophic misuse.
他们所推崇的监管框架,是根据计算能力、资金要求以及集中式监管机制来定义“前沿人工智能”的——而这些条件只有他们自己才能满足。
But the government regulatory monopoly proposed by Big Tech leaders contains its own twin risks — that the business dependent on government for its market can be manipulated by government, and that the corporate monopoly can manipulate its technology for its own purposes. Either path risks catastrophic misuse.
但科技巨头领导层所提议的政府监管垄断本身包含着双重风险——依赖政府获取市场的企业可能会被政府操纵,而企业垄断也可能为了自身目的操纵其技术。无论走哪条路,都有引发灾难性滥用的风险。
In sum, the technology is not the source of the potential harm — human greed or desire for power is; and the answer is not consolidating power into the hands of a few, but rather to limit the accumulation of power into the hands of the humans who are creating the danger.
总之,技术并不是潜在危害的根源——人类的贪婪或对权力的渴望才是;解决之道不是将权力集中在少数人手中,而是限制权力向那些正在制造危险的人类手中集聚。
The challenge, then, is to regulate in a way that reduces catastrophic risk without creating a world where only a handful of actors control the most powerful technology ever built. The solution is not a single licensing regime giving Altman his monopoly, but a two-tier regulatory framework that distinguishes between capability and access.
因此,面临的挑战在于如何进行监管,既能降低灾难性风险,又不至于创造出一个由少数几个主体控制人类有史以来最强大技术的世界。解决方案不是建立赋予奥尔特曼垄断地位的单一许可制度,而是区分能力与访问权限的双层监管框架。
There should be cooperative oversight of models above a defined capability threshold — measured by FLOPS (a measurement of computational workload), autonomous-agent competence, or biological-design risk. These models should face forms of mandatory safety evaluations, red-team testing, incident reporting and compute-use transparency. They should not be banned, but they should be subject to oversight similar to other high-risk technologies.
应对超越特定能力阈值(以浮点运算次数即FLOPS、自主代理能力或生物设计风险来衡量)的模型进行协同监督。这些模型应面临强制性的安全评估、红队测试、事故报告和算术使用透明度等形式的监管。它们不应被禁止,但应受到类似于其他高风险技术的监督。
There should be cooperative oversight of models above a defined capability threshold — measured by FLOPS (a measurement of computational workload), autonomous-agent competence, or biological-design risk. These models should face forms of mandatory safety evaluations, red-team testing, incident reporting and compute-use transparency. They should not be banned, but they should be subject to oversight similar to other high-risk technologies.
我们应当对开源模型和中端模型实施轻量化监管。这些模型应继续向高校、非营利组织和小型实验室开放,而不应附加令人望而却步的合规负担。开源模型应当受到鼓励而非限制,因为它们分散了权力、增加了透明度并加速了防御性创新。大多数滥用并非源于能力,而是源于意图——而对抗意图的最佳方法是广泛访问安全、可审计的工具,包括埃隆·马斯克所提议的跨行业测试。
We should have light regulation for open-source and mid-tier models. These models should remain available to universities, nonprofits and small labs without prohibitive compliance burdens. Open-source models should be encouraged, not restricted, because they distribute power, increase transparency and accelerate defensive innovation. Most misuse comes not from capability, but from intent — and intent is best countered by broad access to safe, auditable tools — including cross-industry testing as proposed by Elon Musk.
对恶意使用行为应施以严厉惩罚。网络攻击、自主武器、生物设计以及选举干预都应面临严重后果。应监管危害行为,而非无害行为。
There should be heavy penalties for malicious use. Cyberattacks, autonomous weapons, biological design, and election interference should carry severe consequences. Regulate the harm, not the harmless.
我们不应让那些正在主动制造风险的企业来定义解决方案,也不应让恐慌演变为政策。
We should not let the companies who are actively creating the risk define the solution — nor allow panic to become policy.
菲尔·克莱恩曾担任堪萨斯州第41任总检察长、约翰逊县地方检察官,并曾作为州议员主持拨款和税收委员会。克莱恩目前是一名法学教授,也是社会、文化和法律问题的常客评论员,与妻子黛博拉居住在弗吉尼亚州阿默斯特。
Phill Kline served as the 41st attorney general of Kansas, as District Attorney of Johnson County, Kan., and as a state legislator where he chaired the Appropriations and Tax committees. Kline is presently a law professor and frequent commentator on social, cultural and legal issues who resides with his wife Deborah in Amherst, Va.