“我们确实需要一项新的政策来实现代际公平,但打破现有的养老金制度将会导致数百万人陷入贫困。”
‘We do need a new deal to achieve generational fairness, but breaking the lock will leave millions facing poverty.’ Photograph: Getty/iStockphoto Letters How Labour can reform Britain’s pensions triple lock Readers offer solutions to the thorny problem facing the government, in response to an article by Gaby Hinsliff Gaby Hinsliff Britain needs cash and everyone knows we should break the pensions triple lock. Where is the courage?, 22 September ) is right that public policy should not subsidise wealth without limit, but breaking the triple lock is a poor way to target affluent pensioners. Most pensioners are not affluent. Indeed, a quarter of pensioners require benefits in addition to the state pension just to survive and keep a roof over their heads.
《劳动党如何改革英国的养老金制度?》在阅读了加比·欣斯利夫(Gaby Hinsliff)的文章《英国需要资金,而我们是否应该打破养老金的“三重保障”机制?》后,读者们提出了应对这一棘手问题的方案。加比·欣斯利夫指出:“公共政策不应无限制地补贴财富,但打破养老金的‘三重保障’机制并不是针对富裕退休人员的有效办法。”事实上,四分之一的退休人员除了领取国家养老金外,还需要其他福利才能维持基本生活。
If the aim is to stop subsidising wealth, a more direct target is the generous tax treatment of private pension savings. A taxpayer contributing £100 to a pension can receive £40 or £45 in tax relief if they pay higher- or additional-rate tax, compared with £20 for the basic rate. Tax and national insurance contributions relief on private pensions costs the government a staggering £84bn a year Most of this money (almost three-quarters) goes to the wealthiest 20% taxpayers because they can afford to save the most and receive the highest rate of relief. Instead, a flat 20% rate of tax relief on private pensions would preserve the incentive for basic-rate taxpayers while reducing the additional subsidy concentrated among higher earners. It’s also fair because when pensions are drawn down, much less tax is recovered by the Treasury, making the net cost of this relief over £50bn a year.
如果目的是停止对财富的补贴,那么更直接的目标应该是调整对私人养老金储蓄的税收政策:缴纳100英镑养老金的纳税人,如果适用较高税率或附加税率,可以获得40至45英镑的税收减免;而适用基本税率的纳税人只能获得20英镑的减免。政府对私人养老金的税收减免每年耗费高达840亿英镑,其中近四分之三的税收减免都流向了最富有的20%的纳税人(因为他们有能力进行更多的储蓄,并因此获得最高的税收减免额度)。
This could raise billions more than breaking the triple lock. The triple lock’s 2.5% floor was only significant during the period when both earnings growth and inflation were close to zero. When inflation and earnings growth are above 2%, as they are now and are expected to be over the coming years, the difference between the triple lock and a conventional uprating mechanism becomes irrelevant.
相比之下,对所有私人养老金统一征收20%的税收减免既能保持对基本税率纳税人的激励作用,又能减少对高收入者的额外补贴。这样做更加公平——因为当退休人员领取养老金时,政府征收的税款会减少,从而使得这项税收减免政策的净成本每年超过500亿英镑。
The policy challenge therefore is to avoid the economically irrelevant, politically damaging and socially divisive red herring that is breaking the triple lock and instead reform the far more regressive support given to large private pension pots.
这可能会带来比打破“三重保障机制”(Triple Lock)更多的负面影响。所谓“三重保障机制”的2.5%最低涨幅标准,仅在盈利增长和通货膨胀率都接近零的时期才具有实际意义。然而,当通货膨胀率和盈利增长率超过2%(正如当前的情况以及未来几年的预期)时,“三重保障机制”与传统养老金调整机制之间的差异就变得无关紧要了。
Stephen Richardson Grange over-Sands, Cumbria Gaby Hinsliff makes the point that retirees of the future are likely to have smaller cushions to fall back on than baby boomers. But it is precisely this that justifies maintaining the triple lock as a bulwark against poverty. Young and middle‑aged workers do indeed face the prospect of an impoverished old age. As highlighted in the Pensions Commission interim report according to 2025 figures, 43% of working-age people are undersaving for retirement, with just 25% of Bangladeshis and Pakistanis of working age participating in a pension scheme.
因此,政策上的挑战在于:不应选择那些在经济上毫无意义、在政治上具有破坏性、且在社会上会引起分歧的“打破三重保障机制”的做法;而应改革那些对大型私人养老金计划所提供的、更具倒退性的支持措施。
The pensions crisis is likely to grow, given the rise in the numbers of self-employed people – the group least likely to be saving for a pension. Millions of workers in their 40s and 50s face the prospect of poverty in retirement, given the rise of precarious working and continuing age discrimination in employment.
斯蒂芬·理查森(Stephen Richardson)指出,未来的退休人员可能比婴儿潮一代拥有更少的经济保障。但正因如此,我们才更需要维持“三重保障机制”作为抵御贫困的屏障。年轻人和中年劳动者确实面临着晚年贫困的风险。根据养老金委员会的临时报告,到2025年,43%的劳动年龄人口为退休储蓄不足;而在孟加拉国和巴基斯坦,只有25%的劳动年龄人口参加了养老金计划。
We do need a new deal to achieve generational fairness, but breaking the lock will leave millions facing poverty. The alternative must be keeping the lock, but tackling the reasons that justify its existence – low incomes, insecure employment and the high cost of housing.
鉴于自雇人士数量的增加(这一群体最不可能为退休进行储蓄),养老金危机可能会进一步加剧。数以百万计的40至50岁的劳动者面临着退休后陷入贫困的威胁——因为他们的就业状况不稳定,且就业市场中仍然存在年龄歧视现象。
Chris Phillipson Emeritus professor of sociology and social gerontology, University of Manchester There is a simple tweak that would improve the affordability of the triple lock. The goal of the triple lock is to ensure that the value of the pension keeps up with both price inflation and wage inflation. But the way it has been implemented allows pensioners to do much better than this.
我们确实需要一项新的政策来实现代际公平,但打破“三重保障机制”只会让数百万人陷入贫困。更好的解决办法是继续维持这一机制,同时解决导致其存在的根本问题:低收入、不稳定的就业环境以及高昂的住房成本。
Between 2011 and 2026, prices rose by 60% and earnings rose by 66%, but pensions rose by 89% This happens because in some years prices rise more than wages, but in other years wages rise more. So the pension does better than both of them.
克里斯·菲利普森(Chris Phillipson)曼彻斯特大学社会学与社会老年学名誉教授:其实有一个简单的调整措施可以提升“养老金三重保障机制”(即养老金增长机制)的可持续性。该机制的初衷是确保养老金的价值能够跟上物价上涨和工资上涨的步伐。但目前的实施方式实际上让退休人员的养老金收益远超这一目标。
The fix is to smooth out the earnings link. Instead of looking at wages growth over the last year, we should look at growth over the past five years, for example. Pensioners would still be protected against price rises, and would maintain their current position in the wages league table. But they would no longer rise up it.
2011年至2026年间,物价上涨了60%,工资上涨了66%,而养老金却上涨了89%。这是因为某些年份物价上涨幅度大于工资涨幅,而在另一些年份工资涨幅更大,因此养老金的涨幅自然高于这两者的平均值。
Bob Vickers Twickenham, London Gaby Hinsliff claims that “Every serious party needs billions of pounds to fund their promises, and everyone knows there’s an obvious place to find the money, but nobody wants to be the first to say so. And so a deferential silence shrouds the pension triple lock.” The problem is that everybody might think they know this, but that does not mean it is right.
解决办法是平滑养老金与工资之间的增长关系:例如,不应仅参考过去一年的工资增长情况,而应参考过去五年的平均增长数据。这样一来,退休人员仍能抵御物价上涨的影响,并保持他们在工资收入排行榜上的现有地位,但他们的养老金涨幅将不再那么显著。
If we do need to find money, it is within the government’s power to create it. And if it refuses to use that power, it can look elsewhere within the pension system for funds. For example, the pension tax relief given to the highest-earning people in this country, at rates above the basic level of income tax, costs at least £15bn a year– vastly more than costs attributed to the triple lock.
鲍勃·维克斯(Bob Vickers)伦敦特威肯纳姆(Twickenham):加比·欣斯利夫(Gaby Hinsliff)指出:“每个严肃的政党都需要数十亿英镑来兑现其承诺,而且大家都知道这些资金其实可以从某个地方筹集到,但没人愿意第一个提出这个建议。因此,关于养老金三重保障机制的问题被人们刻意回避了。”问题在于:虽然大家都认为这一点显而易见,但这并不意味着这种做法就是正确的。
We have a cost of living crisis and a pension poverty crisis. So why is everyone looking at punishing some of the most vulnerable people in our society when the rich continue to have their ever-increasing wealth subsidised by the state at a cost of many billions of pounds a year?
如果我们确实需要筹集资金,政府完全有能力做到这一点。如果政府拒绝动用这一权力,也可以从养老金体系的其他环节中寻找资金来源。例如,目前针对高收入人群的养老金税收减免政策(其税率高于基本所得税税率)每年至少耗费150亿英镑——这一数额远远超过了养老金三重保障机制的支出成本。
Richard Murphy Emeritus professor of accounting practice, Sheffield University Along with my state pension, I receive two small pensions from the Ministry of Defence and the NHS. If my husband should die before me, I don’t know how I would survive financially. We have a small cottage and downsizing wouldn’t result in a significant profit.
我们正面临生活成本危机和养老金贫困危机。那么,为什么在富人继续依靠国家每年数十亿英镑的补贴来维持日益增长的财富时,大家却选择惩罚社会中最弱势的群体呢?
My “inheritance” from my parents disappeared when my mother had to go into care with Alzheimer’s; her house had to be sold to pay for her care.
——理查德·墨菲(Richard Murphy),谢菲尔德大学会计学名誉教授除了国家养老金外,我还从国防部和英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS)那里领取了两笔小额养老金。如果我的丈夫在我之前去世,我不知道自己该如何维持生计。我们只有一间小屋,即使缩小居住面积也无法带来明显的经济收益。
In a week when the billionaire tax avoider Jim Ratcliffe badmouths the country, Gaby Hinsliff makes no reference to the tax system and how the very rich can get away with paying very little.
我父母的“遗产”也在母亲因阿尔茨海默病需要接受护理时消失了;他们的房子不得不被卖掉来支付护理费用。
She also makes no reference to why the UK is doing so badly financially or why young people are struggling – my son can’t afford a house – after a decade of Tory misrule, a decade of Brexit wilderness and the legacy of Thatcherism. Removing the triple lock won’t solve the now endemic financial challenges the UK is facing.
就在那个亿万富翁吉姆·拉特克利夫(Jim Ratcliffe)诋毁英国的同一周,加比·欣斯利夫(Gaby Hinsliff)完全没有提到税收制度的问题,也没有解释为什么那些极富的人能够几乎不用缴税就能逃避纳税义务。她也没有解释为什么英国的财政状况如此糟糕,为什么年轻人会如此艰难(我的儿子甚至买不起房子)。毕竟,在保守党十年的糟糕统治、脱欧带来的混乱以及撒切尔主义的影响下,英国已经陷入了严重的经济困境。取消“三重保障机制”(the triple lock)并不能解决英国目前面临的这些根本性问题。
Ingrid Marsh Newton Abbot, Devon Gaby Hinsliff is right about the triple lock: it has done its work in raising the ratio between the state retirement pension and average earnings from 18% in 2010 to about 30% now. Two problems remain: what should replace it and how to stop an opportunist opposition from playing politics with the issue?
——英格丽德·马什·牛顿·阿博特(Ingrid Marsh Newton Abbot),德文郡加比·欣斯利夫关于“三重保障机制”的观点是正确的:这一机制确实提高了国家养老金与平均收入之间的比例(从2010年的18%提高到了现在的约30%)。不过仍有两个问题需要解决:应该用什么来取代它?又该如何防止反对党利用这个问题进行政治投机?
There is no need to decide this matter now. Far better to announce the end of the triple lock in the forthcoming budget and refer the question of a replacement to a time-limited, cross-party commission. The state pension should not become a political football or part of a short-term fiscal fix.
现在没有必要急于做出决定。更好的做法是在即将发布的预算中宣布取消“三重保障机制”,并将替代方案的问题交由一个跨党派的委员会来研究。国家养老金不应成为政治斗争的工具,也不应被用作短期财政问题的解决手段。——大卫·珀迪(David Purdy),斯特林
David Purdy Causewayhead, Stirling