保守主义运动已经走向了终结。埃德蒙·伯克(Edmund Burke)、拉塞尔·柯克(Russell Kirk)和威廉·F·巴克利(William F. Buckley Jr.)所传承的政治理念几乎已被共和党人彻底抛弃;而耶稣的宗教教义也被华盛顿的政客们歪曲成一种只服务于富人、抛弃穷人、欺压外来者、并侮辱所有不属于他们“信仰圈子”的人的“教义”。
The conservative movement is dead. The political truths passed down from Edmund Burke, Russell Kirk, and William F. Buckley Jr. have been all but discarded by Republicans, while the religious teachings of Jesus have been warped by Washington politicians into a gospel that serves the rich, abandons the poor, abuses the stranger, and insults everyone not in their cult.
以下摘自拉塞尔·柯克的经典著作《保守主义的心灵》(The Conservative Mind):作者的言论依然适用于我们如今所面临的种种危险——即便在他写下这些话的一个世纪后,这些危险依然存在。他对各种意识形态的警告、对将政客视为宗教替代品的倾向的批判、对社会快速变化的担忧,以及对道德秩序瓦解的忧虑,都同样适用于唐纳德·特朗普及其追随者、人工智能技术的发展、美国的民主社会主义者,以及“MAGA”运动对传统保守价值观的猛烈冲击。我们只能寄希望于:那些定义了特朗普时代的愤怒与激进主义,最终会被保守主义历经两个多世纪以来所秉持的价值观所取代。务实主义、妥协精神、传统规范以及宪法原则,才是保守主义者前进的唯一道路。——拉塞尔·柯克,《保守主义的心灵》
Below is an excerpt from a classic that defined postwar conservatism — Kirk’s “The Conservative Mind.” The author’s words speak to dangers confronting us now — a generation after he first wrote them. Warnings against ideologues of every stripe, the worship of politicians as a substitute for religion, the vertiginous speed of alteration our society faces, and the disintegration of moral order apply all too well to Donald Trump, his followers, artificial intelligence, the Democratic Socialists of America, and the savage attack MAGA has waged on Kirk’s “convention and compromise.” One can only hope the rage and radicalism that has defined the Trump era will be replaced by values that framed conservatism for over two centuries. Pragmatism and compromise, convention, and constitutional norms are conservatives’ only way forward. — Russell Kirk, “The Conservative Mind”
本周末:一场罕见的九月东北风暴正在沿海岸线移动,从卡罗莱纳州到康涅狄格州都发布了洪水警报;波士顿和普罗维登斯预计将迎来长达一个月的降雨。就连红袜队(Red Sox)也调整了赛程:原定于周日的比赛被改到了周五进行。以下是本周的其他活动安排:在波士顿,机器人正在逐渐“接管”城市的某些领域(至少是港口区域)。作为一项已经举办了九年的活动,“RoboBoston”展示了来自学生、大学和初创企业的最新机器人技术成果。这项活动兼具科学展览和街头派对的元素;鉴于天气预报,出行前请务必查看相关信息。
THIS WEEKEND A rare September nor’easter is working its way up the coast, with flood warnings from the Carolinas to Connecticut and up to a month’s worth of rain for Boston and Providence. Even the Red Sox are getting out of the way: Fenway moved Sunday’s game against the Cubs to a Friday doubleheader. Here’s what else is on, for now: In Boston, the robots are taking over (or at least the Seaport). RoboBoston, now in its ninth year, shows off the latest in robotics from students, universities, and startups. Think part science fair, part street party. Given the forecast, check before you go.
在纽约,第64届纽约电影节开幕了,展出了佩德罗·阿尔莫多瓦尔(Pedro Almodóvar)、洪尚秀(Hong Sang-soo)和马尼·哈吉希(Mani Haghighi)等导演的新作品,参演阵容来自全球各地。喜欢纸质书籍的朋友们可以关注今晚举行的布鲁克林书节(Brooklyn Book Festival)。
In New York, the 64th New York Film Festival opens with new work from Pedro Almodóvar, Hong Sang-soo, Mani Haghighi, and a lineup that spans the globe. Prefer your stories on paper? The Brooklyn Book Festival kicks off this evening. Just outside Philadelphia, fans of HBO’s “The Gilded Age” should make the trip to Elkins Park. Lynnewood Hall is opening its doors to the public for the first time in more than 80 years for “Fleurs de Villes,” a show of life-size floral mannequins inspired by the series. Very Mrs. Russell.
费城郊外的埃尔金斯公园(Elkins Park)也是活动热点:HBO剧集《The Gilded Age》的粉丝们千万不要错过这个机会——Lynnewood Hall时隔80多年后再次向公众开放,将举办一场以该剧为灵感创作的“Fleurs de Villes”展览,展出的都是真人大小的花卉模型。
Farther down I-95, All Things Go brings three days of women-led lineups to Merriweather Post Pavilion in Columbia, Maryland, rain or shine. Mitski headlines Friday, Hayley Williams takes Saturday, and Brandi Carlile closes it out Sunday. Pack a poncho.
沿着I-95高速公路继续向南行驶,马里兰州哥伦比亚市的Merriweather Post Pavilion将举办为期三天的女性艺术家专场演出,无论晴雨皆会举行。周五的压轴嘉宾是Mitski,周六是Hayley Williams,周日则是Brandi Carlile;记得带上雨披哦!
In the Windy City, Chicago Gourmet is the biggest food festival of the year: a hunt for the best gourmet burger, a down-home brunch, a celebration of Mexican cuisine, and plenty of tastings in between. Pace yourself. In Houston, things take an eastward turn at Tokyo X, the city’s largest Japanese festival. Tea? Sipped. Costumes? Encouraged. Ramen? Slurped, as quickly as possible.
在芝加哥,一年一度的“Chicago Gourmet”美食节正在如火如荼地进行中:游客可以品尝到最美味的高档汉堡、享用地道的家庭式早餐,同时还能体验各种墨西哥美食。活动安排紧凑,建议大家合理安排时间。
Out west, where the forecast is behaving, more than 500 artists are taking to the pavement for the Pasadena Chalk Festival: portraits, originals, and some truly jaw-dropping work. Enjoy it while it lasts.
在休斯顿,当地最大的日本文化节“Tokyo X”正在举办中;活动现场提供茶饮,鼓励观众穿着传统服饰参与,而拉面则需要尽快品尝完毕!
Finally, for our readers along the East Coast: keep an eye on the latest, stay safe, and stay dry. Now, let’s read some mail.
在西海岸,如果天气允许的话,超过500位艺术家将参与帕萨迪纳粉笔节(Pasadena Chalk Festival)——他们会在街头创作各种肖像画和原创艺术作品,这些作品绝对令人惊叹。趁活动还在举行期间好好欣赏吧!
Many Republicans suddenly are separating themselves from Trump, afraid they’ll lose the election. Where were these Republicans in the past two weeks when Trump was doing lots of terrible things to make inflation rise, gas prices go up, etc.? They should be ashamed to show their faces and say they don’t agree with the war, etc. If they had been doing their job for the past two years we wouldn’t be in the bad place we’re in now.
最后,给东海岸的读者们提个建议:请随时关注最新动态,注意安全,同时也要注意防雨。现在,让我们来看看一些读者来信:“许多共和党人突然与特朗普划清了界限,因为他们担心自己会输掉选举。在过去两周里,当特朗普不断做出破坏经济(如导致通货膨胀、油价上涨等)的恶劣行为时,这些共和党人究竟在哪里呢?他们竟然还敢公开表示反对战争等政策,真是可耻至极。如果他们在过去两年里尽到了自己的职责,我们现在就不会陷入这样的困境了。”
— Louise T., Ellicott City, MD Thank you for your question, Louise. Voters will remember the disastrous policies Republicans have implemented over the past 18 months. The GOP House and Senate have continually forfeited their constitutional rights to set tariffs and declare war. As a result of this Republican fecklessness, Trump’s policies have caused skyrocketing costs in grocery stores, at gas stations, and across the rest of the U.S. economy.
——路易丝·T.,马里兰州埃利科特城(Ellicott City)感谢您的来信,路易丝。
Interest rates continue to skyrocket because of a bond crisis rattling Wall Street. High inflation and massive federal debt keep undermining the American dollar. Because of these Republican failures, the cost of borrowing for credit cards, mortgages, cars, and business keeps going up. That means the economy will grind along with little relief for Americans.
选民们一定会记住共和党在过去18个月里推行的一系列灾难性政策。共和党控制的众议院和参议院不断放弃了自己根据宪法所拥有的制定关税和宣战的权力。
Interest rates continue to skyrocket because of a bond crisis rattling Wall Street. High inflation and massive federal debt keep undermining the American dollar. Because of these Republican failures, the cost of borrowing for credit cards, mortgages, cars, and business keeps going up. That means the economy will grind along with little relief for Americans.
由于共和党的这种不负责任行为,特朗普的政策导致了食品杂货店、加油站以及整个美国经济的成本急剧上升。
Interest rates continue to skyrocket because of a bond crisis rattling Wall Street. High inflation and massive federal debt keep undermining the American dollar. Because of these Republican failures, the cost of borrowing for credit cards, mortgages, cars, and business keeps going up. That means the economy will grind along with little relief for Americans.
由于债券危机的影响,利率持续飙升;高通胀和巨额联邦债务不断削弱美元的币值。这些共和党的失误使得信用卡借款、抵押贷款、汽车贷款以及企业融资的成本不断上升,从而严重拖累了美国经济的发展,美国民众的生活也日益艰难。
For those politicians timidly trying to distance themselves from the president, rest assured their half-measures will backfire. Take Ohio Sen. Jon Husted, who told reporters last week the Iran war had to end. When given the chance to exercise his Article 1 authority by voting for the War Powers Act, the senator backed down again.
对于那些试图与特朗普保持距离的政客们来说,可以放心:他们的敷衍了事的做法只会适得其反。
Voters will remember in November.
以俄亥俄州参议员乔恩·赫斯泰德为例——他上周曾对记者表示伊朗战争必须结束;但当真正有机会通过投票来行使宪法赋予的权力(即通过《战争权力法案》时,他却又再次退缩了。选民们会在11月的选举中记住这一切的。
Curious as to why President Trump is so candidly now admitting that nothing will happen — not the end of the war, nor the downturn in gas prices — until after the midterms. What has led to this belated realization on his part, and how is he thinking about this if you can possibly divine that?
令人好奇的是:为什么特朗普现在会如此坦率地承认,在中期选举之前,战争不会结束,油价也不会下降?是什么促使他突然有了这样的认识?他又是怎么看待这一情况的呢?——匿名人士特朗普已经意识到,伊朗的激进分子无法被收买而停止这场由他挑起的战争。伊朗方面也表明,他们不会被“文明毁灭”的威胁所吓倒。因此,两国目前仍处于一种僵持状态:既没有全面爆发战争,也没有达成真正的和平协议,只能在这种“紧张的停火”中徘徊。
— Anonymous Trump has learned the radicals in Iran cannot be bribed into stopping the war he started. The Iranians have also shown they will not be cowed by threats of civilizational ruin. So both countries remain in a holding pattern, moving between a hot war and uneasy truce. No one can divine Trump’s intent on this or any other substantive matter at present. Trump is weirdly disconnected from the war, Americans’ economic suffering, and the upcoming midterm elections. As Maggie Haberman recently observed, Donald Trump’s interests have narrowed to construction projects and retribution.
目前,没有人能够真正揣测特朗普在这件事或其他实质性问题上的真实意图。特朗普似乎与这场战争、美国民众的经济困境以及即将到来的中期选举完全脱节。正如玛吉·哈伯曼(Maggie Haberman)最近所指出的那样,唐纳德·特朗普的兴趣已经完全集中在建筑项目和报复行为上。
This is bad news for Republican majorities in the House and Senate. This war will likely go on for some time — though Iran put forward a seven-day plan this week.
这对共和党在众议院和参议院的多数席位来说是个坏消息;这场战争很可能会持续一段时间——尽管伊朗本周提出了一个为期七天的停火计划。
Even if Iran’s political leaders pursue an end to the war, radicals running the Revolutionary Guard will push back against such efforts. The radicals see a generational opportunity to humiliate yet another American president, and they have no interest in letting Trump off the hook. This is especially true after he killed Iran’s supreme leader and a dozen other top officials there.
即使伊朗的政治领导人希望结束这场战争,控制着伊朗革命卫队的激进分子也会抵制这些努力。这些激进分子认为这是一个绝佳的机会,可以再次羞辱美国总统,他们当然不会让特朗普轻易摆脱责任。尤其是考虑到特朗普已经杀害了伊朗的最高领袖以及其他十几名高级官员之后……如果伊朗现任政府倒台,多年来不断累积的经济压力将会导致其垮台。可以预见,白宫将继续对伊朗经济施加最大程度的压力。
Even if Iran’s political leaders pursue an end to the war, radicals running the Revolutionary Guard will push back against such efforts. The radicals see a generational opportunity to humiliate yet another American president, and they have no interest in letting Trump off the hook. This is especially true after he killed Iran’s supreme leader and a dozen other top officials there. If the current government of Iran falls, economic pressure that has been building for years will cause its demise. Expect the White House’s efforts to apply maximum pressure to Iran’s economy to continue well into the future.
这个问题是问给史蒂夫·拉特纳(Steve Rattner)的……史蒂夫,你在消费者支出方面看到了哪些迹象,能够表明经济可能出现衰退?比如人们减少旅行、选择购买价格较低的牛肉而非更优质的肉类、选择鸡肉而非牛肉……这些现象就是我们中低收入阶层所说的“Costco效应”(即人们为了节省开支而做出的消费选择)。我的社交圈里的人也已经开始减少开支有一段时间了。——梅·T.,密歇根州南菲尔德史蒂夫:经济状况确实很复杂。总体数据仍然呈现积极趋势,但数据之间的差异比平时更大;这种现象被称作“K形经济”(即经济表现呈现不均衡的“K”字形)。处于社会高层的人由于股市表现良好而继续消费,而处于社会底层的人则因为工资增长赶不上通货膨胀而不得不节省开支。虽然我不认为短期内会爆发全面的经济衰退,但你的担忧确实是有道理的。
This question is for Steve Rattner … Steve, what signs do you see at the consumer spending level that might indicate a “recession pullback”? Things like cutting back on travel, buying ground beef instead of better cuts, chicken instead of beef … what we lower-middle class folk call the Costco effect. My social circle has been cutting back for some time. — Mae T., Southfield, Michigan Steve: The economy is in an odd place. The overall data is still positive but the dispersion seems higher than usual — the now-famous “K-shaped” economy that has become the phrase of the day. Those at the top continue to spend, in part because of the high stock market, while those further down are having to economize because wages have not been keeping up with inflation since the war began. While I wouldn’t predict an outright recession in the near term, you are right to be concerned.