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耶路撒冷邮报

厄立特里亚的蓝色革命:挑战非洲在位最久统治者之一的运动内幕Eritrea's Blue Revolution: Inside the movement challenging one of Africa's longest-serving rulers

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在特拉维夫南部的一条小巷里,有一间小办公室,里面有一群人正在忙碌地工作。他们所从事的工作大多与一个他们多年来未曾踏足的国家有关——然而,这个国家的影响却渗透到了他们所做的每一件事中。在《耶路撒冷邮报》的采访中,大部分发言者是迈克尔(Michael),他的真实姓名是阿塔克利蒂·亚伯拉罕(Atakliti Abraham)。与他一同出席采访的还有穆卢埃·苏丹(Mulue Sultan)——他是厄立特里亚“蓝色革命阵线”(Eritrean Blue Revolution Front)以色列分支的国际协调员,以及阿瓦特·哈戈斯(Awat Hagos)——该组织在以色列的社会事务协调员。这间办公室既是该组织的政治总部,也是厄立特里亚移民们的交流中心;这些移民们坚信自己在以色列的停留终将结束。他们每天都在与社区成员交流、与以色列警方和政界人士打交道、为儿童组织各种活动,并与遍布欧洲、北美和非洲的反对派网络保持联系。在谈话中,他们既会讨论足球场和计算机培训课程,也会涉及政治犯问题、兵役制度,以及这个试图重新塑造自身形象的厄立特里亚反对派组织。整个过程中,手机不断被使用;照片被翻出来并在桌上互相传递;而对于那些仍滞留在厄立特里亚的朋友们,他们的名字总是被小心翼翼地提及。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

对大多数以色列人来说,厄立特里亚移民群体一直是通过一些熟悉的论点进入公众视野的:有些人称他们为“寻求庇护者”,有些人则认为他们是“渗透者”。这些移民主要集中在特拉维夫南部,他们的存在引发了多年的政治争议。移民问题、难民身份、犯罪行为、驱逐出境,以及以色列对逃离非洲后进入该国的难民应承担的责任,都是这些政治争论的核心议题。然而,办公室里的这些人看待这个问题的角度截然不同:他们已经在以色列建立了自己的生活,有些人甚至在这里抚养了孩子;他们都怀着感激之情谈论着这个给予他们庇护的国家。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

当被问及自己对未来的真正期望时,迈克尔几乎立刻回答道:“如果政权明天倒台,我们明天就回家。”这个回答为我们理解房间里发生的几乎所有事情提供了一个重要的切入点。他们所代表的组织如今被称为“厄立特里亚蓝色革命阵线”(Eritrean Blue Revolution Front,简称EBRF),这是一个起源于“N’Hamedu旅”的国际反对派运动。这个身穿蓝色服装的基层组织几年前就开始在海外各地组织厄立特里亚政府的反对者。在以色列,该组织的工作具有很强的地方性特征:他们定期举行会议,并与当地厄立特里亚社区保持联系。哈戈斯等人自豪地提到,他们开展的足球项目已经吸引了数百名厄立特里亚儿童参与;此外,还提供了计算机课程等其他活动,旨在为青少年提供归属感和生活目标。最近在以色列举行的EBRF大会上,共有1300人参加。然而,随着这些孩子逐渐长大,问题变得更加突出:他们中的许多人出生在以色列,或者很小的时候就来到了这里,因此希伯来语成了他们的第一语言;他们就读于以色列的学校,支持以色列的足球俱乐部,拥有以色列的朋友,对厄立特里亚的了解也主要来自父母。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

穆卢埃后来在一条语音信息中再次提到了这个话题,他说:“我们有很多孩子在以色列接受过教育;他们觉得自己属于以色列人,但实际上他们对厄立特里亚了解甚少,只知道自己有一个祖国。”对他们的父母来说,厄立特里亚只是一个他们记忆中的地方;而对他们的孩子来说,厄立特里亚则是一个位于红海彼岸的、属于他们的国家。迈克尔与厄立特里亚的关系则更为紧密:他于1997年14岁时加入军队,一直服役到2011年。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

他说,那些与他一同逃离的年轻人中,有些人即使在他成功逃脱后,仍然被困在那个糟糕的体制之中。“我来这里,是为了能够像普通人一样说话、像普通人一样写作,”他说,“在我的国家,我无法表达自己的想法,也无法公开批评独裁者。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

他前往以色列的旅程,并非为了寻找工作或更高的薪水。逃离厄立特里亚的难民首先经过苏丹,在奥马尔·巴希尔统治期间,许多人担心会被逮捕并被遣返回国。从苏丹出发后,他们遇到了走私者和人口贩子,最终通过西奈半岛抵达以色列。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

“我们来到这里,并不是为了工作,”迈克尔说,“而是为了拯救自己的生命。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

十多年后,他现在大部分时间都在帮助管理一个组织,该组织的宗旨就是让这种难民处境变得不再必要(即让人们不再需要逃离自己的国家)。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

要理解这一点,就必须回顾厄立特里亚建国之初所做出的那些非凡承诺。他们离开的那个国家……几乎没有哪个国家在独立之初就有如此充分的理由值得庆祝。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

厄立特里亚的独立斗争持续了大约三十年,始于1961年,当时人们对埃塞俄比亚的统治越来越不满,反抗活动逐渐升级。直到1991年,厄立特里亚游击队才攻入首都阿斯马拉;在那个时代,几代人几乎只知道战争。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

两年后,厄立特里亚人在联合国的监督下举行了独立公投,投票率超过了98%,其中99.8%的选民支持独立。联合国观察员认为这次公投是自由且公正的。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

4月27日,公投结果公布后,厄立特里亚正式宣布独立,成为一个主权国家。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

这场胜利的背后,站着伊萨亚斯·阿夫韦尔基——厄立特里亚人民解放阵线的核心领导人之一。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

这场运动曾与规模庞大的埃塞俄比亚军队作战,如今不得不将自己从一支革命军队转变为一个国家政府。有一段时间,人们确实有理由感到乐观:厄立特里亚从非洲历史上持续时间最长的战争中走出来,形成了强烈的民族认同感;其领导层因成功击败了埃塞俄比亚政府而享有极高的声望。该国开始制定宪法,并于1997年通过了一份新文件,该文件承诺保障公民权利、建立政治制度并限制行政权力。然而,这份宪法从未真正生效,这个年轻的国家很快又陷入了战争。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

1998年5月,厄立特里亚与埃塞俄比亚之间的边界争端升级为了一场毁灭性的冲突。双方再次在曾经成为国际边界的地区投入了大量军队(包括步兵和火炮)。战斗断断续续地持续到2000年,导致双方都有大量人流离失所。直到同年12月,两国政府才同意停火并签署了《阿尔及尔协议》。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

这场战争对厄立特里亚的政治体系产生了深远影响:该国早在上世纪90年代就实行了国民服役制度(法定服役期限为18个月),但在1998年的紧急状态下,这一制度实际上变成了无期限的强制服役。即使在战争结束后,该国依然保持着高度军事化的状态。许多厄立特里亚人原本期望独立后能够实现的政治开放也进一步受到了限制。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

2001年,执政党内部的一些高级人士(这个政党后来被称为“G-15”)公开要求进行改革、落实宪法并加强对领导层的问责。对此,当局采取了严厉的应对措施:改革派官员被拘留,私人拥有的报纸被关闭,记者们也被逮捕。2001年9月18日,厄立特里亚彻底关闭了所有独立媒体机构。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

在那次镇压行动中被捕的记者中,有几个人从此再也没有公开露面。二十五年过去了,厄立特里亚的基本政治结构依然几乎没有发生变化:自独立以来,该国从未举行过全国性选举;1997年制定的宪法至今仍未得到实施;立法机构自2010年以来就再未召开过会议;除了执政的“人民民主与正义阵线”之外,其他任何政党都被禁止活动。人权观察组织(Human Rights Watch)持续记录着厄立特里亚存在的任意拘留、强迫失踪以及对宗教、言论和结社自由的限制现象。国民服役制度仍然是厄立特里亚社会的一个重要特征——按照法律规定,这种服役应该在18个月后结束;但实际上,人权观察组织今年再次指出,厄立特里亚人仍需继续服役多年,有时甚至长达数十年,而且他们的服役期限并不明确。自2003年以来,数千名中学生被强制在萨瓦(Sawa)的军事训练营完成学业,该训练营将教育、军事训练和政治教育结合在一起。迈克尔回忆自己十几岁时加入这个制度后,时间是如何在不知不觉中流逝的;他的经历只是厄立特里亚普遍现象的一个缩影。穆卢埃(Mulue)认为,这些后果正在逐渐反过来困扰着厄立特里亚政府:“许多男女士兵在军队中服役了数十年,他们掌握了各种技能。”大量逃离该制度的厄立特里亚人最终分散到了苏丹、埃塞俄比亚、以色列、欧洲和北美等地;他们不仅带走了军事训练的经历,也带着对政府的愤怒。穆卢埃说:“如果有一天我们能够组织起来开始反抗,我们不需要太多时间来学习军事知识——因为我们已经有准备好了的人。”这无疑是厄立特里亚独立后留下的最奇怪的“遗产”之一。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

一个将大部分民众长期置于武装状态下的政府,间接催生了大量流亡者;这些流亡者中已有数千人掌握了武器使用技巧。然而,多年以来,国外的反对派组织始终存在严重的分裂:不同团体因政治立场、代际差异、种族及宗教因素而彼此对立。一些老牌反对派组织仍背负着自解放斗争以来遗留下来的矛盾与分歧;而年轻的厄立特里亚人则往往对加入这些组织缺乏兴趣。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

“N’Hamedu旅”(Brigade N’Hamedu)则属于另一代人,其政治理念也与传统反对派截然不同。该组织的成员会在反对厄立特里亚驻外大使馆及相关政府支持者的活动的示威中穿着蓝色服装出现(以示抗议)。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

这场最初发端于海外年轻群体的抗议运动迅速发展壮大,与政权支持者的冲突开始在欧洲和北欧蔓延。最终,其领导人认为,街头抗议的作用已经发挥到了极限。下一阶段的计划将要宏大得多。从抗议运动到国际阵线当《邮报》后来在以色列境外与EBRF的高层人物进行深入交谈时,从“哈梅杜旅”(Brigade N'Hamedu)向现有组织的转型便是首先被提及的话题。担任EBRF财务主管兼外交团队成员的大卫·特费里(Dawit Teferi)将其形容为一次尝试,旨在将一个能够填满街道的运动转变为一个能够施加政治权力的运动。“我们正试图从一个基层运动演变为创建政治翼,”他告诉《邮报》。“哈梅杜旅”成功吸引了注意力,并动员了此前游离于既定反对派结构之外的厄立特里亚人。在与政权有关联的节日活动外举行的示威活动引发了国际关注,但也越来越多地导致了暴力、逮捕和警方调查。特费里辩称,如果继续沿着那条路走下去,该运动面临的风险将是,让外界通过其在欧洲城市中的冲突来定义它,而不是通过其在厄立特里亚国内想要实现的目标来定义。“我们在国际上的抗议活动方面已经做出了精准的缩减,”他说,“我们将重心放在建设行动侧和外交侧上。”EBRF现在将自己描述为一个阵线,而非传统的政党。其领导人谈到一个旨在代表不同分支和参与团体的委员会、一个作为执行机构的中央委员会,以及处于核心地位的更小领导核心。他们向《邮报》提供的人数因统计对象的不同而有所差异。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

EBRF(Eritrea-based Revolutionary Front)的代表贝耶内·格雷兹格尔(Beyene Gerezgher)曾提到该组织在包括以色列在内的17至18个国家设有分支机构;而在其他资料中,该组织则被描述为通过一个更广泛的理事会与大约70个地方分支机构或代表组织进行合作。特费里(Teferi)引用了官方估计数据,称EBRF在全球拥有约10万名支持者以及至少3万名活跃成员,但这些数字目前尚无法得到独立验证。从公开信息来看,该组织的影响力已经远远超出了其最初发起示威活动的范围——EBRF已在华盛顿建立了办事处,并在美国拥有专业的代表机构。根据《外国代理人注册法》(Foreign Agents Registration Act),美国司法部的相关文件中列出了EBRF的代表人员(包括特费里和格雷兹格尔),同时也注明了该组织在亚的斯亚贝巴的地址。特费里表示,EBRF正在努力争取跨党派的支持,并已与国会议员及其办公室进行了沟通。他希望美国政策制定者能够从战略和人权两个角度来审视厄立特里亚:这个国家位于红海沿岸,与也门接壤,同时靠近世界上最重要的海上交通要道之一。然而,该项目中最敏感的部分实际上是在埃塞俄比亚实施的。“该组织的实际运作机构设在埃塞俄比亚,”特费里说,“并且埃塞俄比亚方面也有自己的指挥体系。”对厄立特里亚人来说,这样的说法在几年前简直是难以想象的——因为厄立特里亚的民族主义情绪是在反抗埃塞俄比亚统治的过程中形成的;该国直到经历了长达30年的战争后才获得独立,而独立后不到五年,两国便再次爆发了冲突。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

即使在今天,亚的斯亚贝巴重新讨论通往红海的问题仍会立即引发厄立特里亚的怀疑。厄立特里亚复兴阵线(EBRF)选择正视这一问题,而非选择忽视它。负责该组织政治与外交事务的格雷兹格尔(Gerezgher)表示,亚的斯亚贝巴方面的努力为厄立特里亚复兴阵线提供了与厄立特里亚难民接触的机会,同时也让他们能够接触到以非洲联盟、西方大使馆及国际组织为核心的更广泛的外交网络。他强调,作为反对派组织,该组织无权放弃厄立特里亚的利益或承诺其使用厄立特里亚海岸线的权利;任何涉及埃塞俄比亚使用厄立特里亚港口的协议都必须由未来具有相应法定权力的宪法政府来谈判。他对《华盛顿邮报》表示:“目前我们没有任何东西可以给予,也没有任何承诺可以做出。”同时,他也承认厄立特里亚复兴阵线在埃塞俄比亚的生存依赖于一个允许其正常运作的政治环境。“我们虽然在这里开展活动,”他说,“但确实得到了埃塞俄比亚方面的保护。”这种关系正是厄立特里亚复兴阵线试图摆脱传统厄立特里亚反对派政治模式的一种方式。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

特费里认为,对埃塞俄比亚的持续怀疑使厄立特里亚人陷入了阿夫韦尔基自己所塑造的政治框架之中。如果未来的政府能够在保护厄立特里亚主权的同时,与对方达成互利共赢的协议,那么他认为那些昔日的敌人就没有理由永远保持敌对关系。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

以色列在这个问题上同样是一个重要的“试金石”:特费里指出,厄立特里亚革命阵线(EBRF)在决定与哪些反对派组织合作时,会考察这些组织对埃塞俄比亚的态度;而“以色列”则是另一个重要的判断标准。他认为,那些一提到与以色列合作就立刻退回到旧有意识形态争论中的组织,不太可能被纳入厄立特里亚革命阵线的联盟之中。特费里强调,该革命阵线应该具有广泛的包容性,能够吸纳来自不同政治背景的人士——包括民间组织、妇女团体、学者、投资者以及厄立特里亚各个社区的成员。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

然而,这种包容性也是有限度的:特费里明确表示反对那些与他观点相悖的组织(如与穆斯林兄弟会有关联的组织或极端基督教政治运动)的参与,他认为未来的厄立特里亚国家应当保持世俗主义立场。这些限制引发了所有倡导民主的运动都必须面对的问题:如何界定对世俗政治秩序的保护范围,以及何时应该将政治对手排除在政治体系之外?

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

另一个尚未得到解答的关键问题是关于使用武力的问题。厄立特里亚革命阵线的领导人多次向媒体表示,他们更倾向于采取非暴力的方式来实现变革;他们认为,信息宣传、外交压力、民间抵抗以及在国内建立各种联系都是推动变革的有效手段。特费里说:“当我们谈论‘政权更迭’时,我们并不意味着战争或暴力。”“有很多途径可以推动厄立特里亚发生变革。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

在充满希望的氛围中,厄立特里亚几乎没有任何空间来衡量公众舆论,更不用说让反对派组织能够公开开展活动了。厄立特里亚民主阵线(EBRF)认为,大部分民众和军队都在等待机会来反抗政府——但这仅仅只是该组织的观点罢了。不过,Teferi对自己能够动员起来的力量充满信心:“我有成千上万的人愿意为祖国而战。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

在强调军事力量的同时,他们还详细讨论了如果阿夫韦尔基的统治体系真的崩溃会发生什么。对于厄立特里亚的反对派来说,这是一个非常重要的问题:因为现任总统本人也曾是一位革命领袖。阿夫韦尔基及其同龄人曾花费数十年时间与他们认为压迫性的政府作斗争,但最终并没有建立起许多厄立特里亚人期望的宪政制度。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

Gerezgher表示,厄立特里亚民主阵线设想建立一个为期两到三年的过渡政府,在此期间国家将实现稳定,并逐步走向宪政统治:“我们将设立一个为期两到三年的临时政府。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

Teferi提到了总统任期限制、立法机构以及竞争性的政治体制,并参考了1997年未得以实施的宪法内容以及其他国家的宪政安排。然而,他们面临的首要挑战远比制定宪法要紧迫得多——因为厄立特里亚国内有大量已经或刚刚被征召入伍的武装人员。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

如果中央政权突然垮台,成千上万手持武器、却资金匮乏的人可能会发现自己处于一个长期被该政权控制的体系之外。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

“我们首先要做的不是追求司法公正,”泰费里(Teferi)说。他的计划是寻求国际财政援助,用来支付士兵和征召人员的遣散费用,让他们回家并交出武器,从而开始平民生活;同时,新的机构会逐步接管政权。只有到那时,这个国家才能全面处理旧政权时期犯下的罪行。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

“复仇不是我们的目标,但法律公正才是我们的追求,”他向《华盛顿邮报》(The Washington Post)解释道。不过他也承认,在一个普通公民被迫举报家人、朋友和邻居的社会环境中,实现这一目标极其困难。“政权把每个人都变成了间谍,”他说,“我们不可能追究每个人的责任。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

因此,该运动目前的首要目标是打击那些可能威胁政权过渡进程的高级安全及情报官员;同时,他们也在逐步建立一套机制来调查严重的滥用职权行为。不过,这一切都还只是理论上的计划罢了。目前,EBRF(Eritrean Revolutionary Front)尚未控制任何厄立特里亚城市,也未能统治任何地区;阿夫韦尔基(Afwerki)自该国独立以来一直统治着阿斯马拉(Asmara),至今已执政三十多年。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

尽管如此,该运动仍在不断发展,并逐渐演变成一个具有合法性的政治力量。这个曾经以在海外抗议政府活动而闻名的流亡者组织,如今已在华盛顿聘请说客、在埃塞俄比亚开展活动、制定政治路线图,并探讨如何在尚未推翻现政府的背景下实现士兵的复员。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

事实上,推动这一转变的关键事件并非发生在阿斯马拉或亚的斯亚贝巴(Addis Ababa),而是发生在特拉维夫(Tel Aviv)的街头……

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

2023年9月2日,特拉维夫南部爆发了抗议活动:数百名反对阿夫韦尔基政府的厄立特里亚人聚集在一起,抗议与厄立特里亚大使馆有关的活动。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

政府的支持者也出现在现场,随后双方发生了长达数小时的冲突,这些冲突还与以色列警方发生了交火。街道上出现了石头、木块、金属棒以及其他自制武器。警方使用了眩晕手榴弹和催泪瓦斯;当他们认为自己的生命受到威胁时,还开动了实弹。共有超过100人受伤,其中包括约30名警察,另有数十人被逮捕。这些事件令许多以色列人感到震惊——因为他们此前对厄立特里亚社区内部的政治局势几乎毫不知情。那些穿着与反对阿夫韦尔基(Afwerki)的人相关的蓝色服装的男子与政府的支持者发生了冲突;据说这两组人原本都被认为是被遗弃在以色列的厄立特里亚人。从迈克尔以及特拉维夫办公室工作人员的角度来看,这种暴力行为其实有着悠久的历史:多年来,反对派活动人士一直反对那些由厄立特里亚大使馆赞助的节日和纪念厄立特里亚国家节日的活动。他们认为这些活动实际上是厄立特里亚政权在海外政治活动的延伸,并对那些公开支持政府却同时寻求庇护的厄立特里亚人感到不满。迈克尔说:“如果你与厄立特里亚大使一起庆祝活动,那就意味着你与该政权‘没有政治分歧’。”他们还指控亲政府的势力会恐吓反对者、施压于他们的家人,并与厄立特里亚境内的某些机构保持联系。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

人权组织已记录厄立特里亚政府针对海外侨民社区的恐吓行为,不过,以色列埃塞俄比亚联邦民主共和国(EBRF)成员个人提出的指控往往难以核实。然而,暴力并未在9月2日结束。此后数周乃至数月,以色列其他地区又爆发了厄立特里亚政府支持者与反对者之间的冲突,其中包括内塔尼亚和特拉维夫发生的致命事件。迈克尔说,在随后一系列暴力事件中,共有四名反政府社群成员和四名政府支持者丧命。他反复提到反对派社群中男性的死亡,其中一些人的遗体安葬在耶路撒冷。迈克尔说,由于死者是公认的政府反对者,其家人无法安全地将遗体送回厄立特里亚。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

阿夫沃基的支持者如果在国外去世,他辩称,不会面临这样的问题,遗体可以被运回国。这场暴力事件也在以色列国内制造了一个政治契机。其中一位深入介入的议员是“以色列是我们的家园”党的议员尤利娅·马利诺夫斯基。马利诺夫斯基与以色列的回应马利诺夫斯基并不自诩为了解厄立特里亚反对派内部派系的专家。她在特拉维夫南部的一次巡视以及后来在以色列议会委员会听证会上遇到了政府反对者,尤其是在推动涉及支持他们声称已逃离的政府的厄立特里亚人的立法时。“我没有作为反对派介入他们的内部斗争,”她告诉《邮报》,“但我可以从他们在社交媒体上的活动判断,他们相当有组织。”她对街头正在发生的事情的结论要坚定得多。“现实证明,每当有革命日或厄立特里亚独立日这样的活动时,就会发生主要由政权支持者实施的迫害,”她说,并补充说以色列平民和安全人员也被卷入了暴力事件。“从我在特拉维夫南部巡视时得到的印象来看,存在政权支持者对政权反对者的骚扰。”“迫害”是马利诺夫斯基的用词,而且措辞强烈。2023年9月的暴力事件涉及对立阵营的参与者,反政府的厄立特里亚人自己也参与了对警察和亲政权活动人士的袭击。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

她的论点是:许多有组织的恐吓行为其实都来自阿夫韦尔基的支持者。她说,在那场骚乱之后,她提出的立法构想才开始逐渐成形。在一场由联合国难民署代表出席的以色列议会内政委员会会议上,马利诺夫斯基提出了一个她认为非常基本的问题:“如果寻求庇护者的身份是基于他们在原籍国所面临的危险,那么那些公然宣称自己是该政权支持者的‘渗透者’,他们来这里究竟是为了什么?毕竟,他们在自己的国家并没有生命危险。”据马利诺夫斯基回忆,联合国代表接受了这个问题的逻辑,并向委员会表示:这些政权支持者正在损害其他寻求庇护的厄立特里亚人的声誉。这项立法最终在2025年6月通过了以色列议会的审议程序。根据该法律,内政部长在收到人口与移民局的意见,并给予相关人员回应的机会后,如果认为该人回国后会面临危险,就可以撤销其居留许可(前提是必须确信此人确实属于该国政权的支持者)。马利诺夫斯基强调,这项法律的实际范围比人们通常所理解的要广泛得多。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

该法律同样适用于那些犯有严重刑事罪行的渗透者,无论他们对其祖国政府持何种态度。目前让她感到沮丧的是法律的执行情况:“法律根本没有按照我的期望得到落实,这完全是政府的失职。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

根据马利诺夫斯基从以色列警方获得的信息,目前已有一个人被驱逐出境——此人同时被认定为政府支持者及罪犯。她还表示,另有七人目前被列为驱逐对象,但他们仍留在以色列,因为负责批准驱逐决定的相关部门尚未采取行动。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

她的观点与迈克尔在之前的采访中提到的内容不谋而合。迈克尔曾向《华盛顿邮报》展示了那些被捕后又获释的、被认定为亲政府活动人士的照片,并反复质疑以色列当局为何允许这些被反对派视为“危险人物”的人继续留在以色列境内。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

然而,马利诺夫斯基在支持“埃塞俄比亚-厄立特里亚对话论坛”(EBRF)的程度上有着明确的界限。当被问及以色列是否应该将该组织视为政治对话伙伴,并与其关于“后阿夫韦尔基时代厄立特里亚”的计划进行沟通时,她的态度非常明确:“以色列本身就有足够多的问题需要处理;我们无法承担解决全球所有问题的责任,也无法干涉其他国家的政权更迭。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

在她看来,阿斯马拉的政权更迭仍是厄立特里亚内部的事情:“我们自己就有足够多的问题需要解决。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

“我们没有权利干涉其他国家的内部事务,无论这些国家的问题有多严重。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

对于 EBRF 来说,说服以色列人认识到厄立特里亚在战略上的重要性,只是其长期计划的一部分。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

Teferi 主动讨论了农业、技术、投资和安全等领域,他认为未来的厄立特里亚政府可以从以色列那里学习,并与以色列开展密切合作。厄立特里亚的海岸线沿着红海延伸,与也门相邻,靠近通过曼德海峡(Bab el-Mandeb)的航运路线;近年来胡塞武装的袭击已经表明,该地区的动荡会直接影响到以色列的航运和贸易。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

“我们有兴趣与以色列合作,共同确保红海成为一个适合商业活动的和平区域,”Teferi 对《华盛顿邮报》表示,“我们可以成为以色列可靠的盟友。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

Gerezgher 更愿意考虑建立更加紧密的未来合作关系。在谈到厄立特里亚这样一个相对较小的国家如何维护如此漫长且具有战略意义的海岸线时,他提出了允许以色列或美国等合作伙伴在该地区设立军事设施的可能性。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

这个提议出自一位反对派人士之口,而目前双方尚未达成任何协议。不过,这一提议的意义在于它反映了 EBRF 对厄立特里亚外交政策的设想:一个与西方及地区伙伴紧密相连的厄立特里亚,而不是一个长期处于怀疑与孤立状态的厄立特里亚。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

EBRF 与以色列分支所讨论的这种合作关系也具有个人层面的意义。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

2023 年 10 月 7 日哈马斯袭击以色列时,厄立特里亚反对派社区的成员们在几天内便开始积极参与救援工作。他们为以色列提供了宝贵的帮助。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

阿布卡比尔的格林伯格法医研究所联合“战友”组织,随后在特拉维夫国际会展中心工作,并在以色列各地农场面临严重劳动力短缺之际协助农业生产。迈克尔说,某些日子里大约有150名厄立特里亚人参与其中,社区成员后来还探访了戈兰尼旅的士兵并为他们准备食物。他说,他们曾询问是否能更直接地服役,但志愿服务是他们能够立即发挥作用的地方。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

对迈克尔来说,这场战争从来不仅仅属于他周围的以色列人。“落到这里的导弹不只是冲着以色列人来的,它们也是冲着我们来的,”他解释说,厄立特里亚社区的朋友们于10月7日在内蒂沃特遇害。“这里发生的一切都关系到我们所有人,休戚与共。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

看着以色列预备役军人离开家人重新穿上军服的经历,不可避免地触动了那些对兵役的理解源自厄立特里亚的男人们。迈克尔带着一丝苦笑描述了这种反差。以色列人在战争来临时被动员,最终回归正常生活——回到工作、学业和家庭中。而在厄立特里亚,他说,人们进入军事体制,有时甚至会在其中销声匿迹多年。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

然而,与以色列最深厚的联系,最终可能属于那代从未去过厄立特里亚的孩子们。穆卢埃经常想起在他们身边长大的孩子们。“他们对自己的朋友、老师、以色列公民有着爱意,”他说。“他们有着非常好的联系,并且觉得自己就是以色列人。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

如果未来的政治变革最终允许他们的父母返回,他相信这些孩子中的许多人会选择跟随,带走希伯来语、友谊以及多年在以色列的生活经历。“他们会觉得以色列是他们的第二故乡。”

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

一个反对派运动花费数年时间在以色列建立社区,却将成功定义为该社区可以开始离开的那一刻,这其中蕴含着某种近乎悖论的东西。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.

但这些男人似乎并不为此感到困扰。以色列为他们提供了安顿下来、建立家庭的地方,让他们在等待的过程中能够安定下来。他们现在希望创建一个属于自己的“厄立特里亚”——一个让那些家庭能够毫无恐惧地回归的家园。在特拉维夫南部的一次谈话接近尾声时,迈克尔再次拿出了手机,展示了一些耶路撒冷的坟墓照片。他说,这些坟墓属于那些来自反对现政权团体的朋友;他们在厄立特里亚国内发生的暴力事件中丧生。由于阿夫韦尔基仍然掌权,他们的遗体一直留在以色列,因为无法将他们送回祖国。对迈克尔来说,这个事实本身就承载着沉重的感情色彩——这种情感几乎与导致这些悲剧的政治因素本身是分离的。这些人离开厄立特里亚,是因为他们认为在那里无法自由地生活;有些人,甚至死后也无法回到自己的祖国。迈克尔不相信他们会永远留在耶路撒冷:“我们的朋友会一直留在这里,直到我们推翻那个独裁者,”他说,“一旦他下台,我们就会把他们的遗体带回祖国,让他们安葬在自己的土地上。”那些还在世的人也在等待着同样的时刻。厄立特里亚解放阵线(EBRF)的领导人可以花数小时讨论各种组织结构、宪法改革、在华盛顿的游说活动以及红海的战略价值,但在特拉维夫,他们的所有讨论最终都归结为了一个非常简单的目标:他们只是想回家。迈克尔希望以色列的孩子们能够了解自己的祖国,也希望他们长大后能够带着对祖国的记忆继续生活下去。而在耶路撒冷的某个地方,还有些人——他们的朋友认为,这些人也在等待着返回厄立特里亚的那一天。

In a side street in south Tel Aviv, there sits a small office where a group of men is hard at work. Most of that work concerns a country none of them has seen for years, but which remains present in almost everything they do.Michael, also known as Atakliti Abraham, does much of the talking during The Jerusalem Post's visit. Alongside him are Mulue Sultan, international coordinator of the Israeli wing of the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front, and Awat Hagos, the movement's social affairs coordinator in Israel.The office is part political headquarters, part community organization, and part meeting place for Eritreans who believe their time in Israel should eventually come to an end. Their days are spent speaking with members of their community, dealing with Israeli police and politicians, organizing activities for children, and maintaining contact with a much larger opposition network stretching across Europe, North America, and Africa.They speak about football pitches and computer courses alongside political prisoners, military service, and an Eritrean opposition movement attempting to reinvent itself. Phones appear throughout the conversation, photographs are pulled up and passed across the table, and names of friends still inside Eritrea are treated with caution.For most Israelis, the Eritrean community has entered the national conversation through a familiar set of arguments. “Asylum seekers” to some, “infiltrators” to others, Eritreans are a population concentrated heavily in south Tel Aviv whose presence has produced years of political battles.Immigration, refugee status, crime, deportation, and the responsibility Israel bears toward people who crossed its border after fleeing Africa are all aspects pertaining to these political battles.The men in the office approach the issue from another direction. They have built lives in Israel, some have raised children in Israel, and all speak warmly about the country that gave them refuge. Yet when Michael is asked what he actually wants for his future, he answers almost immediately.“If the regime falls tomorrow, tomorrow we go home.”It is a useful starting point for understanding almost everything else happening in the room.The organization they represent is today called the Eritrean Blue Revolution Front (EBRF), an international opposition movement that emerged from Brigade N'Hamedu. This blue-clad grassroots movement began organizing Eritrean government opponents across the diaspora several years ago.In Israel, the work has a distinctly local character. The movement holds regular meetings and stays in touch with parts of the Eritrean community around the country.Hagos and the others speak proudly of soccer programs they say now involve hundreds of Eritrean children, as well as computer courses and other activities intended to give teenagers somewhere to go and something to belong to. A recent EBRF Congress in Israel attracted 1,300 people.The problem becomes more pronounced as those children get older. Many were born in Israel or arrived at such a young age that Hebrew became one of their first languages. They attend Israeli schools, follow Israeli football clubs, have Israeli friends, and know Eritrea largely through their parents.Mulue later returned to the subject in a voice message because, he says, he felt it was important enough to add even after the interview had ended.“We have many children who have studied in the State of Israel,” he says. “They feel Israeli. They don't really know Eritrea; they only know that they have a country.”For their parents, Eritrea is a place they remember. For some of their children, it is an inherited country waiting somewhere across the Red Sea.Michael's own relationship with Eritrea is considerably more immediate. He says he entered the military system in November 1997 at the age of 14 and remained there until 2011. Some of the young men who entered alongside him, he says, were still trapped within the system long after he had escaped.“I came here so that I could speak like a human being, so that I could write like a human being,” he notes. “In my country, I couldn't write, I couldn't speak about the dictator.”The route that eventually brought him to Israel was not one he describes as a search for work or a better salary. Eritreans fleeing north moved first through Sudan, then under Omar al-Bashir, where many feared arrest and being sent back. From there came smugglers, traffickers, and the route across Sinai.“We didn't come here to work,” Michael says. “We came to save our lives.”Over a decade later, he now spends much of his time helping run an organization whose declared ambition is to make that refuge unnecessary.To understand why, one must go back to the extraordinary promise with which modern Eritrea began.The country they left behindFew countries entered independence with as much reason to celebrate as Eritrea.The struggle that produced the modern state had lasted roughly three decades, beginning in 1961 after years of growing resistance to Ethiopian rule. By the time Eritrean guerrillas entered the capital Asmara in 1991, generations had grown up knowing little other than war.Two years later, Eritreans finally voted on independence in a referendum monitored by the United Nations. Turnout exceeded 98%, and 99.8% of those who cast ballots voted for independence. UN observers concluded that the referendum had, overall, been conducted freely and fairly.On April 27, following the referendum result, Eritrea declared itself an independent and sovereign state.At the center of the victory stood Isaias Afwerki, one of the principal leaders of the Eritrean People's Liberation Front. This movement had fought a much larger Ethiopian military and now had to transform itself from a revolutionary army into a state government.For a time, there were reasons for optimism.Eritrea had emerged from one of Africa's longest wars with a powerful sense of national identity and a leadership that enjoyed enormous prestige for defeating successive Ethiopian governments. Work began on a constitution, and in 1997 a new document was adopted that promised civil rights, political institutions, and limits on executive power.It never came into force, and the young state soon found itself at war again.Eritrea finds itself at war againIn May 1998, a border dispute between Eritrea and Ethiopia erupted into a devastating interstate conflict. Trenches and massed infantry and artillery returned to a frontier that had only recently become an international boundary.Fighting continued, with interruptions, until 2000, displacing vast numbers of people on both sides before the two governments agreed to a cessation of hostilities and later signed the Algiers Agreement in December that year.The war left a deep imprint on Eritrea's political system. National service, introduced earlier in the decade and legally limited to 18 months, became effectively indefinite after the 1998 emergency. The country remained heavily militarized even after the guns fell silent.The political opening that many Eritreans had expected after independence narrowed further.In 2001, senior figures from within the ruling movement itself – the group that became known as the G-15 – publicly demanded reform, an implementation of the constitution, and greater accountability from Afwerki. The response was comprehensive. Reformist officials were detained, privately owned newspapers were closed, and journalists were arrested.On September 18, 2001, Eritrea shut down its independent press. Several of the journalists arrested during the crackdown have never been seen publicly again.Twenty-five years later, the basic political structure remains largely unchanged. Eritrea has held no national elections since independence, the 1997 constitution remains unimplemented, the legislature has not met since 2010, and no political party other than the ruling People's Front for Democracy and Justice is permitted to operate.Human Rights Watch continues to document arbitrary detention, enforced disappearance, and restrictions on religion, expression, and association.National service remains one of the defining institutions of Eritrean life.Legally, it should end after 18 months. In practice, Human Rights Watch reported again this year that Eritreans continue to serve for years and sometimes decades, often for little pay and with no clear end-of-service date.Since 2003, thousands of secondary school pupils have been required to complete their final year at a military training camp in Sawa, which combines education with army practice and political instruction.When Michael talks about entering the system as a teenager and watching years disappear, his story fits into a much larger national experience.Mulue argues that the consequences are now returning to haunt the government.“Many people, women and men, were in the army for decades,” he says. “They have experience in all kinds of roles.”Large numbers of Eritreans who escaped the system eventually found themselves scattered across Sudan, Ethiopia, Israel, Europe and North America. Many carried their military training with them, along with anger at the state that had kept them in uniform.“If there is a place to organize and begin fighting,” Mulue said, “we don't need much time to learn military things. We already have people who are ready.”It is one of the stranger legacies of post-independence Eritrea. A government that spent decades keeping much of its population under arms has helped create a diaspora in which thousands of people already know how to use them.For many years, however, the opposition abroad remained notoriously divided. Groups split along political, generational, ethnic, and religious lines; older organizations carried baggage from arguments stretching back into the liberation struggle, while younger Eritreans often had little interest in joining them.Brigade N'Hamedu emerged from a different generation and through a different type of politics.Its activists appeared in blue at demonstrations against festivals associated with Eritrean embassies and government supporters abroad. What began as a protest movement grew quickly, especially among younger diaspora members, and confrontations with regime supporters began spreading across Europe and North America.Eventually, its leaders decided street protests had taken them as far as they could.The next stage would be much more ambitious.From protest movement to international frontWhen the Post later spoke at length with senior EBRF figures outside Israel, the transformation from Brigade N'Hamedu to the organization that exists today was the first subject raised.Dawit Teferi, EBRF's director of finance and a member of its diplomatic team, describes it as an attempt to turn a movement capable of filling streets into one capable of wielding political power.“We are attempting to evolve from a grassroots movement into creating a political wing,” he tells the Post.Brigade N'Hamedu had succeeded in attracting attention and mobilizing Eritreans who had previously remained outside established opposition structures.Demonstrations outside regime-linked festivals generated international headlines, but they also increasingly produced violence, arrests and police investigations.Teferi argues that continuing down that path risked letting the movement be defined by clashes in European cities rather than by what it wanted to achieve inside Eritrea.“We have precisely cut down on our activities internationally in terms of protest,” he said, “and we're focusing on building the operational side and the diplomatic side.”EBRF now describes itself as a front rather than a conventional political party. Its leaders speak of a council meant to represent different branches and participating groups, a central committee that functions as an executive body, and a smaller leadership nucleus at the center.The numbers they gave the Post varied according to what was being counted. At one point, EBRF representative Beyene Gerezgher spoke of 17 or 18 national chapters, including Israel; elsewhere, the movement referred to roughly 70 local chapters or representative organizations participating through a wider council.Teferi cites an official estimate of around 100,000 supporters worldwide and at least 30,000 active members, figures that cannot currently be independently verified.Publicly, the movement appears to be expanding well beyond the demonstrations from which it emerged. EBRF has developed an operation in Washington and retained professional representation in the United States. US Justice Department filings under the Foreign Agents Registration Act identify EBRF representatives, including Teferi and Gerezgher, and list the organization's address in Addis Ababa.Teferi speaks about cultivating support across party lines and says EBRF has held discussions with members of Congress and their offices.He wants American policymakers to view Eritrea through strategic as well as human-rights considerations: a country stretching along the Red Sea, facing Yemen and positioned close to one of the world's most important maritime arteries.Ethiopia, however, is where the most sensitive part of the project is taking shape.“The operational side is based in Ethiopia,” Teferi says. “And it has its own command structure as well.”For Eritreans, that sentence would have been unthinkable just a few years ago, since Eritrean nationalism was forged in resistance to Ethiopian rule and given that independence came only after a 30-year war, with the two states then returning to combat within five years of separating. Even today, Addis Ababa's renewed discussion of access to the Red Sea can raise immediate suspicions in Eritrea.EBRF has chosen to engage with the issue rather than dismiss it.Gerezgher, who works on the movement's political and diplomatic affairs, says the Addis Ababa operation gives EBRF access to Eritrean refugees, as well as the wider diplomatic world centered on the African Union, Western embassies, and international organizations.He insists the movement has no authority to sign away Eritrean interests or promise access to its coastline while it remains an opposition organization. Any agreement involving Ethiopian use of Eritrean ports, he says, would have to be negotiated by a future constitutional government with the legal authority to do so.“We don't have anything to give at this time,” he tells the Post. “We don't have anything to promise at this time.”At the same time, he acknowledges that EBRF's presence in Ethiopia depends upon a political environment that allows it to operate.“We are operating from here,” he says, “but for sure, we are protected by the Ethiopians.”The relationship is one of the ways EBRF is attempting to break with older Eritrean opposition politics. Teferi argued that endless suspicion of Ethiopia has helped trap Eritreans inside the political worldview created by Afwerki himself.If a future government can negotiate mutually beneficial arrangements while protecting Eritrean sovereignty, he sees little reason why old enemies must remain enemies forever.The Jewish state as an EBRF litmus testIsrael fits into the same line of thinking.When Teferi discusses how the EBRF decides which other opposition groups it can work with, he says their attitude toward Ethiopia provides one test.Then comes another: “Israel is the litmus test.”He argues that groups incapable of discussing cooperation with Israel without immediately retreating into older ideological arguments are unlikely to fit within EBRF's coalition.The front, he says, is intended to be broad enough to include people from very different political backgrounds. Gerezgher speaks of civic organizations, women's groups, academics, investors, political organizations, and members of Eritrea's various communities all operating within the same structure.Yet there are boundaries. Teferi says he would oppose the participation of groups he regards as Muslim Brotherhood-aligned or extreme Christian political movements, arguing that a future Eritrean state should remain secular.Those limitations raise questions that any movement promising democracy eventually has to answer: Where does protection of a secular political order end and exclusion of political opponents begin?The larger unanswered question concerns force.EBRF leaders repeatedly tell the Post that they would prefer the least violent route possible. Information campaigns, diplomatic pressure, civil resistance and the development of contacts within the country all feature heavily in their explanation of how change might occur.“When we say regime change, it doesn't mean a war or violence,” Gerezgher says. “There are a lot of mechanisms to bring change into Eritrea.”Operating from a place of hopeEritrea provides almost no space to measure public opinion, let alone a place where a clandestine opposition network can operate openly. EBRF's assessment that large parts of the population and military are waiting for an opportunity to turn against the government remains just that: the movement's assessment.Teferi nevertheless has little doubt about the workforce he believes could be mobilized.“I have thousands and thousands of people who are willing to fight for the country.”The emphasis on military capability is accompanied by a surprisingly detailed discussion about what would happen if Afwerki's system actually collapsed.This is an important question for an Eritrean opposition movement because the current president was once a revolutionary leader himself.Afwerki and many of his generation spent decades fighting a government they regarded as oppressive. However, victory did not ultimately produce the constitutional system many Eritreans had expected.Gerezgher says EBRF envisages a transitional government lasting roughly two or three years, during which the country would stabilize and move toward constitutional rule.“We will have an interim government for two or three years,” he says.Teferi speaks of presidential term limits, a legislature, and competitive politics, while drawing on aspects of the unimplemented 1997 constitution and studying constitutional arrangements elsewhere.Nevertheless, the first challenge would be far more immediate than writing a constitution.Eritrea contains a huge population of armed or recently armed conscripts. If central authority simply disappeared, thousands of men with weapons and little money could suddenly find themselves outside the system that had controlled them for decades.“The first thing we're going to do is not go after justice,” Teferi says.His idea is to seek international financial help to pay soldiers and conscripts to return home, surrender weapons, and begin civilian lives while new institutions establish control.Only then, he says, should the country begin dealing comprehensively with crimes committed under the old system.“Vengeance is not part of it, but legal justice is,” he explains to the Post. Teferi acknowledges, however, how difficult that would be in a society where ordinary citizens have been pressured to report on everybody from family to friends and neighbors.“The regime makes everybody a spy,” he says. “You can't go after everybody.”The movement therefore talks about concentrating first on senior security and intelligence figures capable of threatening a transition, while eventually establishing a mechanism to investigate serious abuses.All of that remains theoretical. EBRF controls no Eritrean city and governs no population. Afwerki has remained in Asmara for more than three decades after independence.Yet the movement is growing, and it is transforming itself into a legitimate movement.A diaspora protest movement that once made its name confronting government festivals abroad is now hiring lobbyists in Washington, organizing from Ethiopia, drafting political road maps, talking about contacts inside Eritrea, and debating how to demobilize soldiers after a government it has not yet removed.And yet one of the events that pushed the movement toward that transformation did not happen in Asmara or Addis Ababa. It happened on the streets of Tel Aviv.When Eritrea's conflict came to IsraelOn September 2, 2023, south Tel Aviv erupted.Hundreds of Eritreans opposed to Afwerki's government gathered to protest an event connected to the Eritrean embassy. Supporters of the government were also present, and what followed developed into hours of fighting between rival groups and clashes with Israeli police.Stones, pieces of wood, metal bars and other improvised weapons appeared on the streets. Police used stun grenades, tear gas and, when officers said they believed their lives were in danger, live fire.More than 100 people were wounded, including around 30 police officers, and dozens were arrested.The images shocked Israelis who had paid little attention to the politics inside the Eritrean community. Men dressed in the blue associated with opponents of Afwerki fought supporters of the government – both groups that were ostensibly thought to have been left behind.From Michael's and the men in the Tel Aviv office's perspective, the violence had a history.For years, opposition activists had protested embassy-linked festivals and events marking Eritrean national occasions. They viewed such gatherings as an extension of the regime's political activity abroad and resented Eritreans who claimed asylum while openly supporting the government.“If you celebrate together with the Eritrean ambassador,” Michael says, “that means you don't have a political problem” with the regime.They also allege that pro-government networks intimidate opponents, pressure families, and maintain links to institutions in Eritrea. Human-rights organizations have documented Eritrean government intimidation of diaspora communities abroad, although individual allegations made by EBRF members in Israel are often difficult to verify.The violence, however, did not end on September 2.Further clashes between Eritrean government supporters and opponents broke out elsewhere in Israel during the weeks and months that followed, including fatal incidents in Netanya and Tel Aviv.Michael says four members of the anti-government community and four regime supporters were ultimately killed across subsequent episodes of violence.He returns repeatedly to the deaths of men from the opposition community, some of whom were buried in Jerusalem.Michael says their families could not safely return the bodies to Eritrea because the dead were known opponents of the government. Supporters of Afwerki who died abroad, he argues, faced no such problem and could be repatriated.The violence also created a political opening inside Israel.One of the lawmakers who became closely involved was Yisrael Beytenu MK Yulia Malinovsky.Malinovsky and the Israeli responseMalinovsky does not present herself as an expert on the internal factions of the Eritrean opposition.She encountered government opponents during a tour of south Tel Aviv and later in Knesset committee hearings, particularly while advancing legislation dealing with Eritreans who support the government they claim to have fled.“I didn't get involved in their internal struggles as an opposition,” she tells the Post, “but I can judge from their activity on social media that they are quite organized.”Her conclusions about what was happening on the streets were considerably firmer.“Reality proves that every time there is an event such as Revolution Day or Eritrean Independence Day, there is a pogrom carried out mainly by regime supporters,” she says, adding that Israeli civilians and security personnel have also been caught up in the violence.“From the impression I received during my tour of south Tel Aviv, there is harassment of regime opponents by regime supporters.”“Pogrom” is Malinovsky's description, and a strong one. The September 2023 violence involved participants from opposing camps, and anti-government Eritreans were themselves involved in attacks on police and pro-regime activists. Her argument is that much of the organized intimidation stems from supporters of Afwerki.After those riots, she says, the idea behind her legislation began to take shape.During a Knesset Internal Affairs Committee discussion attended by a representative of the UN Refugee Agency, Malinovsky asked what she regards as a basic question.“If asylum-seeker status comes from the danger to asylum seekers in their country, then what do infiltrators who openly declare themselves supporters of the regime have to look for here?” she recalls. “After all, their lives are not in danger in their homeland.”According to Malinovsky, the UN representative accepted the logic of the question and told the committee that regime supporters were damaging the reputation of other Eritreans seeking protection.The legislation that followed passed its final Knesset readings in June 2025. It allows the interior minister, after receiving an opinion from the Population and Immigration Authority and giving the person concerned an opportunity to respond, to revoke the residency permit of an infiltrator identified as a supporter of their country's regime when the presumption that return would be dangerous has not been established.Malinovsky stresses that the law is broader than the shorthand often used to describe it. It also addresses infiltrators who have committed serious criminal offenses, irrespective of their position toward their home government.What frustrates her now is implementation.“The law is absolutely not being implemented as I would like, and that is because of the government's failure,” she says.According to information Malinovsky said she received from the Israel Police, one person identified as both a regime supporter and criminal offender has so far been deported.Seven others, she says, are currently candidates for removal but remain in Israel because the authority needed to approve the deportations has not been exercised.Her figure immediately echoes something Michael had raised during the earlier interview. He showed the Post photographs of men he describes as pro-government activists who had been arrested and later released, asking repeatedly why Israeli authorities allowed people whom the opposition regards as dangerous to remain.There is, however, a clear limit to how far Malinovsky is willing to follow EBRF.Asked whether Israel should begin treating the organization as a political interlocutor and engage with its plans for a post-Afwerki Eritrea, she is unequivocal.“The State of Israel has enough problems of its own,” she says. “We cannot deal with all the world's problems and intervene in regimes in other countries.”Her position is considerably narrower than the one EBRF would like Israel eventually to adopt. Israel can decide whom it protects inside its borders, how it handles violence, and whether people who openly support the government from which they claim asylum should continue to receive that protection.Regime change in Asmara, in Malinovsky's view, remains Eritrea's business.“We have enough problems of our own,” she says. “It is not our place to intervene in other regimes, however problematic they may be.”The road home to EritreaFor EBRF, convincing Israelis that Eritrea should matter strategically is part of a much longer-term project.Teferi readily talks about agriculture, technology, investment, and security, areas in which he believes a future Eritrean government could learn from Israel and cooperate closely with it. Eritrea's coastline runs along the Red Sea opposite Yemen, close to the route leading through Bab el-Mandeb, and Houthi attacks over recent years have demonstrated how directly instability there can affect Israeli shipping and trade.“We have an interest in working together with Israel on ensuring that the Red Sea becomes a peaceful place for business to trade,” Teferi tells the Post. “We can become a reliable ally.”Gerezgher is prepared to contemplate an even deeper future relationship. Discussing the difficulty a relatively small Eritrean state would face securing such a long and strategically important coastline, he raises the possibility of allowing partners such as Israel or the United States to maintain military facilities there.“We could have their own military base there in order to secure their benefits,” he says.The proposal comes from an opposition figure discussing a government that does not yet exist, and no agreement of this kind is currently on offer. But its relevance lies more in what it says about the foreign policy EBRF imagines: an Eritrea closely connected to Western and regional partners rather than defined by decades of suspicion and isolation.The relationship EBRF's Israel branch talks about is also more personal.When Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023, Michael says members of the Eritrean opposition community began volunteering within days. They helped at the L. Greenberg Institute of Forensic Medicine at Abu Kabir alongside the Brothers in Arms organization, later worked at Expo Tel Aviv, and assisted in agriculture at a time when farms across Israel were struggling with severe labor shortages.Michael says that on some days, around 150 Eritreans took part, while community members later visited Golani Brigade soldiers and prepared food for them. They asked whether they could serve more directly, he says, but volunteering was where they could be useful immediately.For Michael, the war never belonged solely to the Israelis around him.“The missiles that come here don't only come for Israelis. They come for us too,” he explains, stating that friends from the Eritrean community were murdered in Netivot on October 7.“What happens here happens to all of us, together.”The experience of watching Israeli reservists leave their families and return to uniform inevitably struck men whose own understanding of military service had been formed in Eritrea.Michael describes the contrast almost ruefully. Israelis are mobilized when war comes and eventually return to normal life – to jobs, studies, and families. In Eritrea, he says, people enter the military system and sometimes disappear into it for years.Yet the deepest connection to Israel may eventually belong to the generation that never experienced Eritrea at all.Mulue thinks often about the children who have grown up around them.“They have love for their friends, their teachers, Israeli citizens,” he says. “They have a very good connection, and they feel Israeli.”If a political change eventually allows their parents to return, he believes many of those children will follow, carrying Hebrew, friendships, and years of Israeli life with them.“They will feel that Israel is their second country.”There is something almost paradoxical in an opposition movement spending years building a community in Israel while defining success as the moment that community can begin to leave. But the men do not appear troubled by it.Israel gave them somewhere to build families while they waited. They now want to create an Eritrea to which those families could return without fear.Near the end of the conversation in south Tel Aviv, Michael picks up his phone again.This time he shows photographs of graves in Jerusalem.They belong, he says, to friends from the anti-regime community who died during the violence that has accompanied the political split among Eritreans in Israel. Their bodies remained in the country because returning them home was considered impossible while Afwerki remains in power.For Michael, that fact carries an emotional weight almost separate from the politics that produced it.The men had left Eritrea because they believed they could not live there freely. Some, he says, could not even return there after death.He does not believe they will remain in Jerusalem forever.“Our friends will remain here until we remove the dictator,” Michael says. “The moment we remove him, we will take our friends back to our country, to their own soil.”The living are waiting for the same journey.EBRF's leaders can talk for hours about operational structures, constitutional transitions, lobbying in Washington, diplomacy in Addis Ababa, and the strategic value of the Red Sea. In Tel Aviv, those ambitions eventually return to something considerably simpler.Michael wants to go home.Mulue wants children raised in Israel to be able to discover the country their parents left and still carry Israel with them when they do. And somewhere in Jerusalem are men whose friends believe they, too, are waiting for the road back to Eritrea.