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过去5年里,暴力事件导致超过50万个墨西哥家庭流离失所。Violence displaced members of more than half a million Mexican households in past 5 years

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梅根·扬内茨基 墨西哥城——根据墨西哥国家统计局最新发布的数据,在过去的五年里,暴力活动迫使墨西哥全国超过50万个家庭背井离乡。这是首批揭示许多人所形容的“隐性国内流离失所危机”深重程度的数据。

MEGAN JANETSKY MEXICO CITY — Violence has forcibly displaced people from more than half a million households across Mexico in the past five years, according to new figures released by Mexico’s national statistics agency, the first numbers that speak to the depth of what many have described as an invisible internal displacement crisis .

在此之前,墨西哥政府并未分享关于因墨西哥许多地区持续暴力而被迫逃离家园的人口的全面数据,这使得民间社会团体不得不通过拼凑信息来获取对该问题更广泛的了解。

Until now, Mexico’s government did not share comprehensive data on people who have been forced to flee their homes due to ongoing violence in many parts of Mexico, leaving civil society groups piecing together information to get a wider view of the problem.

本周由墨西哥国家统计局(INEGI,一个有时与墨西哥执政党意见相左的政府自治机构)发布的数据,为这场持续中的危机提供了首个更广泛的宏观概览。

The figures published this week by Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography, or INEGI — an autonomous government agency that has at times been at odds with Mexico’s ruling party — offer the first wider snapshot of the ongoing crisis.

从2020年10月到2025年10月,墨西哥全国有51万个家庭被迫逃往该国的其他地区。这可能涉及单身一人,也可能涉及整个家庭。这场流离失所影响了160万人,其中包括被迫逃亡的人以及留下来应对危机后果的人。

Between October 2020 and October 2025, people in 510,000 households across Mexico were forced to flee to another part of the country. That could range from a single person to an entire family. The displacement affected 1.6 million people, including those forced to flee and those left behind to cope with the consequences of the crisis.

数据表明,这个问题已经蔓延到墨西哥的每一个角落,但受贩毒集团暴力影响而流离失所率最高的州是萨卡特卡斯州、莫雷洛斯州、米却肯州、克雷塔罗州和科利马州。

The figures show the problem has reached every corner of Mexico, but the states with the highest rates of displacement from cartel violence were Zacatecas, Morelos, Michoacan, Queretaro and Colima.

其他自治机构、民间社会团体和墨西哥州政府曾发布过关于国内流离失所的数据,但其调查结果往往范围有限。

Other autonomous agencies, civil society groups and Mexican state governments have published data on internal displacement, but their findings have often been limited in scope.

追踪国内流离失所的情况通常很棘手,因为许多人在恐惧中离开家园,无意被找到或上报他们的案件,或者如果他们认定以后返回家园是安全的,希望日后能重返家园。

Tracking internal displacement can often be tricky because many people leave their homes in fear without the intention of being found or reporting their case, or hope to later return to their homes if they determine it’s safe to return home down the line.

国际危机组织墨西哥分析师大卫·莫拉(David Mora)将新公布的数据描述为一项“重大突破”,认为这将为当局和民间社会应对危机带来的长期人道主义后果铺平道路。那些被迫逃离犯罪暴力的人,在消失于墨西哥社会肌理之中后,几乎没有任何资源可以依靠,往往不得不从零开始。

David Mora, Mexico analyst for International Crisis Group, described the new data as a “major breakthrough” that will pave the way for authorities and civil society to address the long-term humanitarian consequences of the crisis. Those who are forced to flee criminal violence have almost no resources to turn to when they disappear into the fabric of Mexico and often have to start from zero.

莫拉周五表示:“多年来,民间社会和被迫流离失所者一直在就这一问题发出警报,但联邦政府一直未予重视。因此,这一数据来自独立的墨西哥国家统计与地理研究所(INEGI),堪称一项突破。他们试图为这一问题量化数字,这意义重大,而这仅仅是第一步。” INEGI的数据并未涵盖2020年之前流离失所的人口,这意味着全国范围内的流离失所者人数可能远高于此。自2006年墨西哥总统费利佩·卡尔德龙(Felipe Calderón)执政期间毒品战争爆发以来,贩毒集团的暴力活动一直在墨西哥的关键地区肆虐。该数据专门聚焦于境内流离失所者,并未统计逃往美国的人员。

“For years, civil society and victims of forced displacement have been sounding the alarm on the issue and the federal government has not paid attention,” Mora said Friday. “So this coming from the independent INEGI, it’s a breakthrough. It’s huge that they’re trying to put a number on it, which is just the first step.” The INEGI figures don’t include people displaced before 2020, meaning the number of displaced people across the country is likely much higher. Cartel violence has raged in key areas of Mexico since the beginning of the drug war around 2006 under the administration of Mexican President Felipe Calderón . The data focuses specifically on internally displaced people, and doesn’t capture people who have fled to the U.S.

墨西哥总统克劳迪娅·辛鲍姆(Claudia Sheinbaum)对此问题鲜有表态,而是将重点放在政府降低凶杀案数量以及打击犯罪团伙的努力上。她同时也面临来自特朗普政府要求其在安全领域取得进展的压力。

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum has said little about the issue, focusing instead on the government’s efforts to reduce homicide numbers and crack down on criminal groups. She is also facing pressure from the Trump administration to show progress on security.

她曾针对贩毒集团暴力爆发导致特定家庭流离失所的个案发表过评论,指出当局正在寻找让这些家庭重返家园的途径,但她基本上未将强制流离失所作为一种普遍现象加以讨论。

She has addressed specific cases of families being displaced from bursts of cartel violence, noting that authorities were working on finding a way for them to return home, but has largely not spoken about forced displacement as a widespread phenomenon.

在周三的晨间新闻发布会上,辛鲍姆对这些数据提出了质疑,并表示她已要求INEGI提供有关该数据的更多细节,包括得出这些数字所使用的调查问题和统计方法。

At her morning news briefing Wednesday, Sheinbaum questioned the figures and said she had asked INEGI to provide further details about the data, including the questions and methodology used to reach those numbers.