根据提交给国会的机密文件,以及接受《华盛顿邮报》采访的官员们的说法,美国情报机构认为沙特阿拉伯并未排除发展核武器计划的可能性。这份评估报告被纳入了提交给国会的机密文件中,这些文件是针对美沙两国扩大民用核能合作协议的审查结果。该评估引发了部分美国议员的担忧——因为特朗普政府达成的这项协议允许美国公司在沙特阿拉伯开展价值数百亿美元的核能项目。据《华盛顿邮报》报道,这项协议还存在其他问题:它可能最终允许沙特阿拉伯将铀的浓缩度提高到20%(虽然目前协议规定铀的浓缩度不得超过5%,但后续可通过进一步研究及书面协议将这一限制提高至20%)。需要指出的是,即使铀的浓缩度达到20%,也仍低于武器级标准。
US intelligence assessments said Saudi Arabia has not ruled out developing a nuclear weapons program, according to classified documents provided to Congress and reviewed by officials who spoke to The Washington Post.The assessment was included in classified documents submitted to Congress as part of a review of a US-Saudi agreement to expand civilian nuclear cooperation.The intelligence assessment raised concerns among some US lawmakers over the agreement reached by US President Donald Trump's administration, which would allow American companies to pursue tens of billions of dollars in nuclear energy projects in Saudi Arabia.The agreement has also drawn scrutiny because it could eventually allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium to 20%, according to The Washington Post. The deal initially limits enrichment to below 5%, but allows the limit to rise to 20% after an additional study and written agreement.The Washington Post did note that uranium enriched to 20% is still below weapons-grade levels.US Senators warn the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to develop a bombThe agreement is currently subject to a 90-day congressional review period, during which lawmakers can seek to block it.A group of Democratic senators led by Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon said in a letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio that the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to enrich uranium and potentially develop nuclear weapons.“The Trump administration is departing from precedent, adopting looser restrictions, and caving to Saudi demands,” the senators wrote.Merkley told The Washington Post that the United States should not rely on assurances from the Saudi government regarding its nuclear intentions. He also questioned why Riyadh would seek the ability to enrich uranium domestically if its nuclear program were intended solely for civilian purposes.The Saudi government did not respond directly to questions from The Washington Post but referred the newspaper to an earlier statement by Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said the program would be “peaceful” and developed with “the highest levels of responsibility and transparency.”The State Department also defended the agreement, telling The Washington Post that the United States “does not and will not support a Saudi nuclear weapon program.”The department said the agreement would expand nuclear energy cooperation while maintaining what it described as the strongest nonproliferation standards that could be achieved diplomatically.The intelligence community's assessment was included alongside input from the State Department, according to US officials who spoke to The Washington Post on condition of anonymity because they were discussing classified information. The State Department's assessment was described as more confident in the agreement's safeguards and Saudi assurances.The CIA declined to comment.Another concern was that the agreement did not require Saudi Arabia to adopt the International Atomic Energy Agency's Additional Protocol, which gives the agency broader access to nuclear facilities and research sites.Twenty nuclear nonproliferation experts, including former IAEA director general Hans Blix, warned in a letter to Congress this week that the inspection arrangements could make it difficult to determine whether Saudi Arabia was secretly developing nuclear weapons at undeclared facilities.Saudi Arabia will develop a nuclear weapon if Iran doesConcerns over Saudi Arabia's nuclear ambitions have also been linked to comments by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2018 that Riyadh would develop a nuclear weapon if Iran did so.The Trump administration conducted joint Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in 2025 and in 2026, but Iran's enriched uranium is believed to have survived the attacks under the rubble of the damaged facilities, according to The Washington Post.The possibility of Saudi Arabia developing nuclear weapons has raised concerns among some US lawmakers that nuclear activity in the kingdom could contribute to a broader regional arms race.The Trump administration has said the nuclear agreement is intended to strengthen US-Saudi ties and prevent Riyadh from deepening cooperation with countries including Russia and China.The agreement could also have implications for US efforts to secure Saudi normalization of relations with Israel.Trump has said normalization remains a requirement for the nuclear deal, although Saudi Arabia has not agreed to establish diplomatic relations with Israel while the Israeli government continues to oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state.
美国参议员们警告称,这项协议可能会让沙特阿拉伯具备开发核武器的能力。目前该协议正处于为期90天的国会审查期内,议员们可以在这一期间试图阻止其生效。由马萨诸塞州的埃德·马基和俄勒冈州的杰夫·默克利领导的民主党参议员小组在致国务卿马可·卢比奥的信中表示,该协议可能使沙特阿拉伯具备铀浓缩能力,进而有可能开发核武器。他们写道:“特朗普政府正在背离以往的惯例,采取更为宽松的限制措施,并屈服于沙特阿拉伯的要求。”默克利在接受《华盛顿邮报》采访时指出,美国不应仅仅依赖沙特政府的承诺来评估其核计划意图。
US intelligence assessments said Saudi Arabia has not ruled out developing a nuclear weapons program, according to classified documents provided to Congress and reviewed by officials who spoke to The Washington Post.The assessment was included in classified documents submitted to Congress as part of a review of a US-Saudi agreement to expand civilian nuclear cooperation.The intelligence assessment raised concerns among some US lawmakers over the agreement reached by US President Donald Trump's administration, which would allow American companies to pursue tens of billions of dollars in nuclear energy projects in Saudi Arabia.The agreement has also drawn scrutiny because it could eventually allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium to 20%, according to The Washington Post. The deal initially limits enrichment to below 5%, but allows the limit to rise to 20% after an additional study and written agreement.The Washington Post did note that uranium enriched to 20% is still below weapons-grade levels.US Senators warn the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to develop a bombThe agreement is currently subject to a 90-day congressional review period, during which lawmakers can seek to block it.A group of Democratic senators led by Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon said in a letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio that the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to enrich uranium and potentially develop nuclear weapons.“The Trump administration is departing from precedent, adopting looser restrictions, and caving to Saudi demands,” the senators wrote.Merkley told The Washington Post that the United States should not rely on assurances from the Saudi government regarding its nuclear intentions. He also questioned why Riyadh would seek the ability to enrich uranium domestically if its nuclear program were intended solely for civilian purposes.The Saudi government did not respond directly to questions from The Washington Post but referred the newspaper to an earlier statement by Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said the program would be “peaceful” and developed with “the highest levels of responsibility and transparency.”The State Department also defended the agreement, telling The Washington Post that the United States “does not and will not support a Saudi nuclear weapon program.”The department said the agreement would expand nuclear energy cooperation while maintaining what it described as the strongest nonproliferation standards that could be achieved diplomatically.The intelligence community's assessment was included alongside input from the State Department, according to US officials who spoke to The Washington Post on condition of anonymity because they were discussing classified information. The State Department's assessment was described as more confident in the agreement's safeguards and Saudi assurances.The CIA declined to comment.Another concern was that the agreement did not require Saudi Arabia to adopt the International Atomic Energy Agency's Additional Protocol, which gives the agency broader access to nuclear facilities and research sites.Twenty nuclear nonproliferation experts, including former IAEA director general Hans Blix, warned in a letter to Congress this week that the inspection arrangements could make it difficult to determine whether Saudi Arabia was secretly developing nuclear weapons at undeclared facilities.Saudi Arabia will develop a nuclear weapon if Iran doesConcerns over Saudi Arabia's nuclear ambitions have also been linked to comments by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2018 that Riyadh would develop a nuclear weapon if Iran did so.The Trump administration conducted joint Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in 2025 and in 2026, but Iran's enriched uranium is believed to have survived the attacks under the rubble of the damaged facilities, according to The Washington Post.The possibility of Saudi Arabia developing nuclear weapons has raised concerns among some US lawmakers that nuclear activity in the kingdom could contribute to a broader regional arms race.The Trump administration has said the nuclear agreement is intended to strengthen US-Saudi ties and prevent Riyadh from deepening cooperation with countries including Russia and China.The agreement could also have implications for US efforts to secure Saudi normalization of relations with Israel.Trump has said normalization remains a requirement for the nuclear deal, although Saudi Arabia has not agreed to establish diplomatic relations with Israel while the Israeli government continues to oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state.
他还质疑:如果沙特的核计划仅用于民用目的,那么为什么 Riyadh 会寻求在国内自行进行铀浓缩的能力呢?沙特政府没有直接回应《华盛顿邮报》的提问,而是将该问题引向了沙特能源部长阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹·本·萨勒曼此前发表的声明。在声明中,阿卜杜勒-阿齐兹表示该核计划是“和平的”,并且将以“最高程度的责任感和透明度”来推进。美国国务院也支持这项协议,向《华盛顿邮报》表示:“美国目前不支持,将来也不会支持沙特的核武器计划。”国务院称,该协议将扩大核能领域的合作,同时仍坚持通过外交手段所能达到的最严格的防扩散标准。据与美国国务院官员交谈的《华盛顿邮报》记者透露,这些官员要求匿名,因为他们正在讨论机密信息;他们的评估意见与国务院的观点是一致的。
US intelligence assessments said Saudi Arabia has not ruled out developing a nuclear weapons program, according to classified documents provided to Congress and reviewed by officials who spoke to The Washington Post.The assessment was included in classified documents submitted to Congress as part of a review of a US-Saudi agreement to expand civilian nuclear cooperation.The intelligence assessment raised concerns among some US lawmakers over the agreement reached by US President Donald Trump's administration, which would allow American companies to pursue tens of billions of dollars in nuclear energy projects in Saudi Arabia.The agreement has also drawn scrutiny because it could eventually allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium to 20%, according to The Washington Post. The deal initially limits enrichment to below 5%, but allows the limit to rise to 20% after an additional study and written agreement.The Washington Post did note that uranium enriched to 20% is still below weapons-grade levels.US Senators warn the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to develop a bombThe agreement is currently subject to a 90-day congressional review period, during which lawmakers can seek to block it.A group of Democratic senators led by Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon said in a letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio that the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to enrich uranium and potentially develop nuclear weapons.“The Trump administration is departing from precedent, adopting looser restrictions, and caving to Saudi demands,” the senators wrote.Merkley told The Washington Post that the United States should not rely on assurances from the Saudi government regarding its nuclear intentions. He also questioned why Riyadh would seek the ability to enrich uranium domestically if its nuclear program were intended solely for civilian purposes.The Saudi government did not respond directly to questions from The Washington Post but referred the newspaper to an earlier statement by Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said the program would be “peaceful” and developed with “the highest levels of responsibility and transparency.”The State Department also defended the agreement, telling The Washington Post that the United States “does not and will not support a Saudi nuclear weapon program.”The department said the agreement would expand nuclear energy cooperation while maintaining what it described as the strongest nonproliferation standards that could be achieved diplomatically.The intelligence community's assessment was included alongside input from the State Department, according to US officials who spoke to The Washington Post on condition of anonymity because they were discussing classified information. The State Department's assessment was described as more confident in the agreement's safeguards and Saudi assurances.The CIA declined to comment.Another concern was that the agreement did not require Saudi Arabia to adopt the International Atomic Energy Agency's Additional Protocol, which gives the agency broader access to nuclear facilities and research sites.Twenty nuclear nonproliferation experts, including former IAEA director general Hans Blix, warned in a letter to Congress this week that the inspection arrangements could make it difficult to determine whether Saudi Arabia was secretly developing nuclear weapons at undeclared facilities.Saudi Arabia will develop a nuclear weapon if Iran doesConcerns over Saudi Arabia's nuclear ambitions have also been linked to comments by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2018 that Riyadh would develop a nuclear weapon if Iran did so.The Trump administration conducted joint Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in 2025 and in 2026, but Iran's enriched uranium is believed to have survived the attacks under the rubble of the damaged facilities, according to The Washington Post.The possibility of Saudi Arabia developing nuclear weapons has raised concerns among some US lawmakers that nuclear activity in the kingdom could contribute to a broader regional arms race.The Trump administration has said the nuclear agreement is intended to strengthen US-Saudi ties and prevent Riyadh from deepening cooperation with countries including Russia and China.The agreement could also have implications for US efforts to secure Saudi normalization of relations with Israel.Trump has said normalization remains a requirement for the nuclear deal, although Saudi Arabia has not agreed to establish diplomatic relations with Israel while the Israeli government continues to oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state.
美国国务院的评估被描述为对该协议的安全保障及沙特阿拉伯的保证更具信心。中央情报局拒绝置评。另一项担忧在于,该协议并未要求沙特阿拉伯接受国际原子能机构的《附加议定书》,该议定书赋予该机构对核设施和研发场所更广泛的核查权限。本周,包括前国际原子能机构总干事汉斯·布利克斯在内的二十位核不扩散专家致信国会警告称,现有的核查安排可能使得难以确定沙特阿拉伯是否在未申报的设施中秘密研发核武器。若伊朗发展核武器,沙特阿拉伯也将跟进对沙特阿拉伯核野心的担忧也与王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼2018年的言论有关,当时他表示,如果伊朗发展核武器,利雅得也将这样做。据《华盛顿邮报》报道,特朗普政府于2025年和2026年对伊朗核设施实施了联合以色列的打击,但伊朗的浓缩铀被认为在受损设施的废墟下幸存了下来。沙特阿拉伯发展核武器的可能性引发了一些美国国会议员的担忧,认为该王国的核活动可能助长更广泛的地区军备竞赛。
US intelligence assessments said Saudi Arabia has not ruled out developing a nuclear weapons program, according to classified documents provided to Congress and reviewed by officials who spoke to The Washington Post.The assessment was included in classified documents submitted to Congress as part of a review of a US-Saudi agreement to expand civilian nuclear cooperation.The intelligence assessment raised concerns among some US lawmakers over the agreement reached by US President Donald Trump's administration, which would allow American companies to pursue tens of billions of dollars in nuclear energy projects in Saudi Arabia.The agreement has also drawn scrutiny because it could eventually allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium to 20%, according to The Washington Post. The deal initially limits enrichment to below 5%, but allows the limit to rise to 20% after an additional study and written agreement.The Washington Post did note that uranium enriched to 20% is still below weapons-grade levels.US Senators warn the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to develop a bombThe agreement is currently subject to a 90-day congressional review period, during which lawmakers can seek to block it.A group of Democratic senators led by Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon said in a letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio that the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to enrich uranium and potentially develop nuclear weapons.“The Trump administration is departing from precedent, adopting looser restrictions, and caving to Saudi demands,” the senators wrote.Merkley told The Washington Post that the United States should not rely on assurances from the Saudi government regarding its nuclear intentions. He also questioned why Riyadh would seek the ability to enrich uranium domestically if its nuclear program were intended solely for civilian purposes.The Saudi government did not respond directly to questions from The Washington Post but referred the newspaper to an earlier statement by Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said the program would be “peaceful” and developed with “the highest levels of responsibility and transparency.”The State Department also defended the agreement, telling The Washington Post that the United States “does not and will not support a Saudi nuclear weapon program.”The department said the agreement would expand nuclear energy cooperation while maintaining what it described as the strongest nonproliferation standards that could be achieved diplomatically.The intelligence community's assessment was included alongside input from the State Department, according to US officials who spoke to The Washington Post on condition of anonymity because they were discussing classified information. The State Department's assessment was described as more confident in the agreement's safeguards and Saudi assurances.The CIA declined to comment.Another concern was that the agreement did not require Saudi Arabia to adopt the International Atomic Energy Agency's Additional Protocol, which gives the agency broader access to nuclear facilities and research sites.Twenty nuclear nonproliferation experts, including former IAEA director general Hans Blix, warned in a letter to Congress this week that the inspection arrangements could make it difficult to determine whether Saudi Arabia was secretly developing nuclear weapons at undeclared facilities.Saudi Arabia will develop a nuclear weapon if Iran doesConcerns over Saudi Arabia's nuclear ambitions have also been linked to comments by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2018 that Riyadh would develop a nuclear weapon if Iran did so.The Trump administration conducted joint Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in 2025 and in 2026, but Iran's enriched uranium is believed to have survived the attacks under the rubble of the damaged facilities, according to The Washington Post.The possibility of Saudi Arabia developing nuclear weapons has raised concerns among some US lawmakers that nuclear activity in the kingdom could contribute to a broader regional arms race.The Trump administration has said the nuclear agreement is intended to strengthen US-Saudi ties and prevent Riyadh from deepening cooperation with countries including Russia and China.The agreement could also have implications for US efforts to secure Saudi normalization of relations with Israel.Trump has said normalization remains a requirement for the nuclear deal, although Saudi Arabia has not agreed to establish diplomatic relations with Israel while the Israeli government continues to oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state.
特朗普政府表示,该核协议旨在加强美沙关系,并防止利雅得深化与俄罗斯和中国等国的合作。该协议也可能对美国推动沙特阿拉伯与以色列关系正常化的努力产生影响。特朗普表示,关系正常化仍是核协议的一项要求,尽管在以色列政府继续反对建立巴勒斯坦国的情况下,沙特阿拉伯尚未同意与以色列建立外交关系。
US intelligence assessments said Saudi Arabia has not ruled out developing a nuclear weapons program, according to classified documents provided to Congress and reviewed by officials who spoke to The Washington Post.The assessment was included in classified documents submitted to Congress as part of a review of a US-Saudi agreement to expand civilian nuclear cooperation.The intelligence assessment raised concerns among some US lawmakers over the agreement reached by US President Donald Trump's administration, which would allow American companies to pursue tens of billions of dollars in nuclear energy projects in Saudi Arabia.The agreement has also drawn scrutiny because it could eventually allow Saudi Arabia to enrich uranium to 20%, according to The Washington Post. The deal initially limits enrichment to below 5%, but allows the limit to rise to 20% after an additional study and written agreement.The Washington Post did note that uranium enriched to 20% is still below weapons-grade levels.US Senators warn the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to develop a bombThe agreement is currently subject to a 90-day congressional review period, during which lawmakers can seek to block it.A group of Democratic senators led by Ed Markey of Massachusetts and Jeff Merkley of Oregon said in a letter to Secretary of State Marco Rubio that the agreement could give Saudi Arabia the ability to enrich uranium and potentially develop nuclear weapons.“The Trump administration is departing from precedent, adopting looser restrictions, and caving to Saudi demands,” the senators wrote.Merkley told The Washington Post that the United States should not rely on assurances from the Saudi government regarding its nuclear intentions. He also questioned why Riyadh would seek the ability to enrich uranium domestically if its nuclear program were intended solely for civilian purposes.The Saudi government did not respond directly to questions from The Washington Post but referred the newspaper to an earlier statement by Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman, who said the program would be “peaceful” and developed with “the highest levels of responsibility and transparency.”The State Department also defended the agreement, telling The Washington Post that the United States “does not and will not support a Saudi nuclear weapon program.”The department said the agreement would expand nuclear energy cooperation while maintaining what it described as the strongest nonproliferation standards that could be achieved diplomatically.The intelligence community's assessment was included alongside input from the State Department, according to US officials who spoke to The Washington Post on condition of anonymity because they were discussing classified information. The State Department's assessment was described as more confident in the agreement's safeguards and Saudi assurances.The CIA declined to comment.Another concern was that the agreement did not require Saudi Arabia to adopt the International Atomic Energy Agency's Additional Protocol, which gives the agency broader access to nuclear facilities and research sites.Twenty nuclear nonproliferation experts, including former IAEA director general Hans Blix, warned in a letter to Congress this week that the inspection arrangements could make it difficult to determine whether Saudi Arabia was secretly developing nuclear weapons at undeclared facilities.Saudi Arabia will develop a nuclear weapon if Iran doesConcerns over Saudi Arabia's nuclear ambitions have also been linked to comments by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2018 that Riyadh would develop a nuclear weapon if Iran did so.The Trump administration conducted joint Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities in 2025 and in 2026, but Iran's enriched uranium is believed to have survived the attacks under the rubble of the damaged facilities, according to The Washington Post.The possibility of Saudi Arabia developing nuclear weapons has raised concerns among some US lawmakers that nuclear activity in the kingdom could contribute to a broader regional arms race.The Trump administration has said the nuclear agreement is intended to strengthen US-Saudi ties and prevent Riyadh from deepening cooperation with countries including Russia and China.The agreement could also have implications for US efforts to secure Saudi normalization of relations with Israel.Trump has said normalization remains a requirement for the nuclear deal, although Saudi Arabia has not agreed to establish diplomatic relations with Israel while the Israeli government continues to oppose the establishment of a Palestinian state.