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动荡一周的联合国外交:六大要点Six big takeaways from a turbulent week of UN diplomacy

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联合国,9月26日——在一周密集的演讲、会议和走廊外交之后,加长轿车周五将各国领导人迅速送离联合国。

UNITED NATIONS, Sept 26 - Limousines whisked world leaders away from the United Nations on Friday after a week of speeches, meetings and hallway diplomacy.

尽管各方未能就世界上最棘手的冲突取得突破,但围绕伊朗和乌克兰战争的谈判取得了一些进展,全球大国也利用这一场合与业界领袖讨论人工智能风险。

While they reached no breakthroughs on the world's most intractable conflicts, talks on the Iran and Ukraine wars inched forward and global powers used the venue to debate AI risks with industry leaders.

以下是数十场小组会议、数百场会谈、数小时排队和聆听演讲,以及无数杯咖啡带来的主要收获:伊朗外交重启 在促成7月停火协议破裂以来美伊官员首次开展穿梭谈判方面,联合国可能发挥了最大的作用。伊朗外长阿巴斯·阿拉格齐与美国特使史蒂夫·威特科夫和贾里德·库什纳通过斡旋方进行了沟通。

Here are the big takeaways from scores of panels, hundreds of meetings, hours spent in lines and listening to speeches – and countless cups of coffee: REBOOT OF IRAN DIPLOMACY The UN was probably most useful for facilitating the first shuttle talks between American and Iranian officials since the collapse of a ceasefire in July. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi and US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner communicated through mediators.

一名伊朗高级官员告诉路透社,这些努力必须继续。此前,伊朗和美国领导人在联合国大会会场唇枪舌剑,美国威胁要“歼灭”伊朗,伊朗则指责美国抱有“霸凌心态”。这名伊朗高级官员称,德黑兰正在审议华盛顿对其提议的回应,其中包括解除美国对伊朗港口的海上封锁,以及重新开放霍尔木兹海峡。

The efforts must continue, a senior Iranian official told Reuters, even as Iranian and American leaders exchanged sharp words at the General Assembly hall, with the US threatening to "annihilate" Iran and Iran accusing the US of a "bullying mentality." The senior Iranian official said Tehran was reviewing Washington's response to its proposals, which include lifting a US naval blockade on Iranian ports and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

但协议显然短期内难以达成。美国国务卿马可·鲁比奥警告称,达成协议仍需长期付出艰苦努力。

The efforts must continue, a senior Iranian official told Reuters, even as Iranian and American leaders exchanged sharp words at the General Assembly hall, with the US threatening to "annihilate" Iran and Iran accusing the US of a "bullying mentality." The senior Iranian official said Tehran was reviewing Washington's response to its proposals, which include lifting a US naval blockade on Iranian ports and reopening the Strait of Hormuz.

乌克兰粮食与能源 鲁比奥还与俄罗斯外长谢尔盖·拉夫罗夫举行了会谈。会谈后,他表示,乌克兰和俄罗斯均有意就涉及粮食及能源相关目标的有限停火达成协议。

But no agreement appeared imminent. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio cautioned that a deal would involve hard work over time.

乌克兰及其盟友正争分夺秒,希望在冬季前就能源基础设施和黑海航运达成有限协议,同时担心俄罗斯再次打击电力和供暖设施。

UKRAINE GRAIN AND ENERGY Rubio also held talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, after which he said Ukraine and Russia had both voiced an interest in a limited ceasefire involving grain and energy-related targets.

鲁比奥周三发表讲话数小时后,拉夫罗夫就乌克兰问题在联合国安理会会议上作出回应,丝毫没有迹象表明俄罗斯准备在任何议题上参与讨论。拉夫罗夫说:“欧洲不管怎么想,都只想让战事暂停,并想利用这一空窗向基辅政权输送武器。”

Ukraine and its allies are racing to secure limited agreements on energy infrastructure and Black Sea shipping before winter, fearing renewed Russian strikes on power and heating facilities.

人工智能抢走气候议题风头:近年来,气候变化一直是联合国讨论的重点,但如今在很大程度上被有关人工智能的争论挤到了边缘。

But hours after Rubio spoke on Wednesday, Lavrov addressed the Security Council meeting on Ukraine, showing no indication Russia was prepared to engage on any subject. "Europe, whatever it thinks, just wants to get a pause, and it wants to use it to pump the Kyiv regime with weapons," Lavrov said.

在多起人工智能安全事件接连发生、顶尖研究人员警告人工智能可能毁灭人类之际,这一外交盛会也恰逢全球对人工智能的关注达到前所未有的程度。

AI STEALS CLIMATE'S SPOTLIGHT Climate change — a focus of UN discussions in recent years — was largely pushed aside by debate over artificial intelligence.

联合国召开了一次安理会会议,OpenAI首席执行官萨姆·奥尔特曼亲自到场,Anthropic首席执行官达里奥·阿莫代伊也出席。这些行业领袖呼吁各国政府携手合作,共同管理人工智能。

The festival of diplomacy coincided with an unprecedented outpouring of concern around AI after several safety breaches, and as top researchers warned it could destroy humanity. The UN convened a Security Council meeting featuring OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, who made an appearance in person, as well as Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei. The industry leaders appealed for governments to work together to manage AI.

进一步凸显人们担忧的是,就在他们发言时,澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯表示,OpenAI开发的一个人工智能智能体曾于6月入侵澳大利亚政府网站,访问了公开和非公开文件。

Underscoring the concerns, just as they spoke, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said that an AI agent developed by OpenAI infiltrated an Australian government website in June, accessing public and non-public files.

曾将人工智能风险斥为“骗局”和“病态阴谋论”的美国总统唐纳德·特朗普向联合国表示,他“拒绝任何试图构建全球主义方案来控制人工智能的做法”,称人工智能令人惊叹,同时承诺美国将谨慎行事。

US President Donald Trump, who has dismissed AI risks as a "hoax" and "sick conspiracy," told the UN he "rejects any attempt to construct a globalist scheme to control" AI, describing it as amazing while promising the US would be careful.

意外现身:在联合国最令人意外的到场者是委内瑞拉临时总统德尔西·罗德里格斯。她利用此次访问之机,与特朗普举行了自美国军队在一场惊心动魄的夜间突袭中抓走时任总统尼古拉斯·马杜罗、她因而掌权以来的首次面对面会谈。

SURPRISE ARRIVAL The biggest surprise arrival at the UN was Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodriguez, who used her trip to hold first in-person talks with Trump since coming to power after US forces grabbed then-President Nicolas Maduro in a dramatic nighttime raid.

委内瑞拉代表团与美国官员、多边贷款机构和企业会面时,重点讨论了重组其数十亿美元主权债务事宜。

The Venezuelan delegation's focus was on restructuring its billions of dollars in sovereign debt as it met US officials, multilateral lenders and companies.

特朗普利用其向这个致力于全球和平的机构发表讲话的机会,就委内瑞拉局势宣称:“战利品归胜利者所有”,并称美国上月与加拉加斯签署的石油协议“或许是有史以来规模最大的协议”。就在罗德里格斯与特朗普于纽约会晤之际,委内瑞拉反对派领导人玛丽亚·科里娜·马查多三次尝试返回祖国,均未成功。

Trump used his speech to the body dedicated to global peace to declare that in Venezuela: "to the victor belong the spoils," and called an oil deal the US signed with Caracas last month "perhaps the biggest deal ever made." As Rodriguez and Trump met in New York, Venezuelan opposition leader Maria Corina Machado made three unsuccessful bids to return to her country.

最令人意外的是苏丹军队领导人阿卜杜勒·法塔赫·布尔汉缺席。美国拒绝向其发放签证。苏丹及其他方面消息称,此举与一项由美国支持、但遭喀土穆反对的停火提案有关。

SURPRISE ABSENCE The biggest surprise absence was the Sudanese army chief Abdel Fattah al-Burhan. The US withheld his visa in a move that Sudanese and other sources said was linked to a US-backed ceasefire proposal that Khartoum has resisted.

据路透社最早报道,这一争端令华盛顿与苏丹军方之间的紧张关系面临进一步加剧之际,内战正处于关键阶段。联合国称这场内战是全球规模最大的人道主义危机。

The dispute, first reported by Reuters, threatened to deepen tensions between Washington and Sudan's army at a critical moment in the civil war, which the UN calls the world's largest humanitarian crisis.

自政变以来,布尔汉一直代表苏丹出席联合国大会。另一名引人注目的缺席者是巴勒斯坦总统马哈茂德·阿巴斯。他通过视频向与会代表发表讲话,谴责美国限制巴勒斯坦驻联合国代表团进入联合国的做法。

Burhan had represented Sudan at the General Assembly since the coup. Another notable absentee was Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas, who addressed delegates by video and condemned US curbs on the Palestinian mission's access to the UN.

未来不确定 国际危机组织分析师理查德·高恩表示,资金拮据的联合国或许已不再处于“自由落体”状态,但仍困于一场“无期限的危机”之中。该组织正艰难应对预算缩水、影响力下降以及不断加剧的地缘政治冲突。

UNCERTAIN FUTURE The cash-strapped United Nations may no longer be in "freefall," but it remains stuck in an "open-ended crisis," International Crisis Group analyst Richard Gowan said. The organization is grappling with shrinking budgets, waning influence and mounting geopolitical conflicts.

乌克兰和伊朗的战争仍在持续。与此同时,特朗普谴责这个拥有193个成员国的机构臃肿且带有全球主义色彩,大幅削减美国对该机构的拨款,并退出了数十个联合国机构。

Wars in Ukraine and Iran rage on, while Trump has denounced the 193-member body as bloated and globalist, slashed US funding and withdrawn from dozens of UN agencies.

联合国秘书长安东尼奥·古特雷斯在最后一次联合国大会讲话后获得了与会者起立鼓掌。一小群政治人物和前联合国官员在公开及私下场合展开游说,争取接替他。他的第二个五年任期将于12月31日结束,留给世界主要力量商定继任人选的时间已不多。

As UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres received a standing ovation after his final General Assembly speech, a small group of politicians and former UN officials lobbied publicly and behind closed doors to succeed him. His second five-year term ends on December 31, leaving little time for the world's major powers to agree on a replacement.

这场竞争遵循一套涉及“试测性民调”的神秘多阶段程序,目前没有明确的领先者,但哥斯达黎加前副总统雷贝卡·格林斯潘和圭亚那常驻联合国大使卡罗琳·罗德里格斯·伯克特暂居前列。

The race, conducted according to an arcane multi-step process involving "straw polls," has no clear frontrunner, but former Costa Rican Vice President Rebeca Grynspan and Guyana's UN Ambassador Carolyn Rodrigues Birkett are leading the pack.

无论谁最终接下这份世界上最难的工作,都将接手一个饱受危机冲击、士气低落且政治影响力日益衰退的组织。与此同时,这个人还将在纽约迎接各国领导人,参加明年的峰会。

Whoever gets the world's most difficult job will inherit an organization buffeted by crises, low morale and declining political relevancy. That person, too, will welcome the leaders to New York for next year's summit.