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供应过剩、实验室培育替代品:钻石价格跌至历史低点背后的原因Supply glut, lab-grown alternatives: What's behind the fall of diamond prices to record lows

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近年来,钻石的光彩大不如前。过去五年间,天然钻石价值缩水过半。钻石交易平台拉帕波特集团的数据显示,目前1克拉钻石的平均售价为3898美元,较2021年8007美元的平均价格下跌51%。追踪所谓投资级钻石价格的“钻石标准指数”在8月初触及2490点,创下历史新低。本周该指数徘徊在2500点略上方。

Diamonds have lost much of their shine in recent years. Natural diamonds have lost more than half of their value over the past five years. On average, a 1-carat stone now goes for $3,898, or 51% less than its average price of $8,007 in 2021, data from diamond trading platform Rapaport Group shows. The Diamond Standard Index, which tracks prices of so-called investment-grade diamonds, hit 2,490 in early August — its lowest level ever. This week, it was hovering just north of 2,500.

多重因素共同打压钻石市场,其中包括过去几年开采钻石大量涌入市场导致供过于求。尽管清理过剩库存的努力正在进行,但另一趋势正在加剧这一问题:实验室培育钻石的兴起。

Several drivers are conspiring against diamonds, including a glut of mined stones that has hit the market over the past few years. And while attempts to clear out that oversupply are underway, another trend is compounding the issue: a rise in lab-grown diamonds.

“关于天然钻石的悲观情绪弥漫,”钻石标准公司首席执行官科马克·金尼对CNBC表示。“疫情期间过度生产导致2023年和2024年积压了大量过剩库存,随后实验室培育钻石的冲击导致销售下滑。”实验室培育钻石在化学和物理特性上与天然钻石相同,通过对碳种子施加高温高压或在真空室中利用含碳气体生长而成。尽管它们是在地面上培育的,但外观和手感与深埋地下形成的天然钻石一模一样。

"There's a lot of doom and gloom about natural diamonds," Diamond Standard CEO Cormac Kinney told CNBC. "There was a very large overhang of excess inventory back in 2023 and 2024 after excess production during Covid, and then [there's been] the falling sales due to the lab-grown [diamonds]." Lab-grown diamonds are gems with the same chemical and physical properties as natural diamonds that are produced by applying heat and pressure to carbon seeds or from carbon-containing gas in a vacuum chamber. Although they are grown above ground, they look and feel identical to stones that are formed deep within the Earth.

两者的关键区别在于价格。CNBC搜索发现,在Brilliant Earth的在线市场上,一颗近乎无色、净度极微级、切工极好的实验室培育钻石售价仅450美元。相比之下,同规格的天然钻石价格在2800至3200美元之间。价格差异主要源于天然钻石开采极其消耗资源,该过程需要大量燃料和劳动力。

The key difference between the two is price. A nearly colorless lab diamond with very, very slightly included clarity that has an excellent cut can go for $450 on Brilliant Earth's online marketplace, a CNBC search found. By comparison, a natural stone with the same specs falls in the range of $2,800 to $3,200. The price differential is due largely to how resource-intensive mining natural diamonds can be, as the process requires lots of fuel and labor.

根据 Brilliant Earth 的数据,在每个克拉重量档位上,实验室培育钻石的价格均低于天然钻石。一颗人造钻石的价格最多可比其开采出的同类产品低 90%,尽管具体的价差取决于钻石的大小、切工和颜色。

Lab-grown alternatives are priced lower than natural diamonds at every carat weight, according to Brilliant Earth. A man-made stone can be priced as much as 90% lower than its mined equivalent, although the exact difference in price depends on the size, cut and color of a stone.

这导致资金紧张的消费者纷纷转向更实惠的人造钻石,用于订婚和时尚珠宝,从而给天然钻石价格带来了压力。根据 The Knot 发布的《2026 年真实婚礼研究》,2025 年镶嵌实验室培育钻石主石的订婚戒指占所有订婚戒指销量的 61%,较 2020 年增长了 239%。根据 Fortune Business Insights 的数据,实验室培育钻石市场预计将增长至 2034 年近 920 亿美元,较 2025 年的 294.6 亿美元增长逾 200%。你不应该指望钻石具有金融投资属性。

This has led cash-strapped consumers to flock to more affordable human-made diamonds in engagement and fashion jewelry, adding pressure on natural stone prices. Engagement rings with lab-grown center stones made up 61% of all engagement ring sales in 2025, up 239% since 2020, according to The Knot 2026 Real Weddings Study And the lab-grown diamond market is projected to grow to nearly $92 billion by 2034, marking a more than 200% increase from the $29.46 billion it was worth in 2025, according to Fortune Business Insights You shouldn't be buying a diamond thinking that there's a financial investment [aspect] to it.

—— Casale Jewelers 店主 Cory Schifter Casale Jewelers 店主 Cory Schifter 告诉 CNBC:“实验室培育钻石‘为人们创造了机会,让他们按自己的意愿消费并获得想要的产品,而不必因为只有 1 克拉却想让它看起来像 3 克拉,就不得不在主石周围镶嵌一圈副石(光环镶嵌)。’‘他们能把原本要花在 5 克拉天然钻石上的额外钱款,用在婚礼上,或者买房,亦或做任何他们想做的事。’” 向实验室培育替代品的转变恐将进一步压低天然钻石价格。

Cory Schifter owner of Casale Jewelers Lab-grown diamonds are "opening up opportunity for people to spend what they want and get what they want, as opposed to having to create halos around their center stone because they have a 1-carat and want make it look like a 3[-carat]," Cory Schifter, owner of New York and New Jersey-based Casale Jewelers, told CNBC. "They're able to take the extra money that they didn't spend on the 5-carat natural and put it towards their wedding and maybe buy a house or whatever they want to do." The shift toward lab-grown alternatives threatens to push natural diamond prices even lower. But, the natural diamond industry has taken notice, and it's starting to take measures to lift lackluster stone prices.

但天然钻石行业已有所察觉,并开始采取措施提振疲软的钻石价格。

De Beers Group, an Anglo American subsidiary that focuses on the mining, sorting and grading of diamonds, said in July that it would halt production at its flagship Venetia mine in South Africa for more than two years — a move that will limit supply and potentially push up prices. Meanwhile, at least two diamond mines have announced permanent shutdowns in 2026.

戴比尔斯集团是英美资源集团的子公司,专注于钻石的开采、分拣和分级。该公司在7月表示,将暂停其位于南非的旗舰矿山——威尼西亚矿的生产两年多,这一举措将限制供应并可能推高价格。与此同时,至少有两座钻石矿宣布将于2026年永久关闭。

De Beers Group, an Anglo American subsidiary that focuses on the mining, sorting and grading of diamonds, said in July that it would halt production at its flagship Venetia mine in South Africa for more than two years — a move that will limit supply and potentially push up prices. Meanwhile, at least two diamond mines have announced permanent shutdowns in 2026.

金尼告诉CNBC:“由于两座矿山申请破产,以及戴比尔斯本身宣布关闭其最大矿山之一,供应端也出现了重大中断。因此,我们现在在批发市场上看到某些品质钻石的价格上涨,我认为这是复苏的开始。”押注实验室培育钻石热潮行业巨头的举措能否遏制天然钻石市场的颓势尚不清楚,但有一点是明确的:实验室培育钻石将长期存在。投资者也有方式参与这一趋势。

"There's also been a significant disruption in supply because two of the mines have filed for bankruptcy, and De Beers itself has announced the closure of one of its largest mines," Kinney told CNBC. "So what we're seeing now in the wholesale market is price appreciation for certain qualities [of diamonds], and it's, I think, the beginning of a recovery." Playing the lab diamond boom It's not entirely clear whether moves by industry giants can stem the bleeding in the natural diamond market, but one thing is clear: Lab-grown diamonds are here to stay.

雷蒙德·詹姆斯分析师瑞克·帕特尔对施华洛世奇珠宝给予“跑赢大盘”评级,他认为该公司提供了接触实验室培育钻石热潮的机会。

And there is a way for investors to play the trend. Raymond James analyst Rick Patel has an outperform rating on Signet Jewelers which he says offers exposure to the boom in lab-grown diamonds.

帕特尔表示:“实验室培育钻石实际上为施华洛世奇珠宝带来了不错的表现,特别是在时尚类产品方面。镶嵌实验室培育钻石的产品,其平均单价零售额约为不含实验室钻石的其他时尚产品的三倍。这意味着,他们卖出的实验室培育钻石时尚珠宝越多,越有助于提升其AUR(平均单价零售额),进而带动同店销售增长。”

"Lab-grown diamonds have actually done well for Signet, particularly on the fashion side" Patel said. "The products with the lab diamond generate about three times the [average unit retail] of other fashion products that do not have a lab diamond. So what that means is the more lab-grown diamond fashion jewelry they sell, the more it helps their AUR, which helps their same-store sales." Signet did not respond to questions on its margins for lab-grown and natural diamonds. However, data from global investment firm Gordon Brothers shows that lab-grown diamonds generally generate gross margins between 60% and 65%, or higher than the 40% to 45% gross margins on naturals.

施华洛世奇珠宝未回应关于其实验室培育钻石和天然钻石利润率的提问。然而,全球投资公司戈登兄弟的数据显示,实验室培育钻石通常能产生60%至65%或更高的毛利率,高于天然钻石40%至45%的毛利率。

"Lab-grown diamonds have actually done well for Signet, particularly on the fashion side" Patel said. "The products with the lab diamond generate about three times the [average unit retail] of other fashion products that do not have a lab diamond. So what that means is the more lab-grown diamond fashion jewelry they sell, the more it helps their AUR, which helps their same-store sales." Signet did not respond to questions on its margins for lab-grown and natural diamonds. However, data from global investment firm Gordon Brothers shows that lab-grown diamonds generally generate gross margins between 60% and 65%, or higher than the 40% to 45% gross margins on naturals.

Patel指出,Signet旗下的Kay Jewelers和Zales等品牌正越来越多地在网球手链等简约款式中加入实验室培育钻石,旨在让每笔销售赚取更多利润。他补充道,这一举措可能会提振这家珠宝品牌所有者的股价。

Patel noted that Signet brands such as Kay Jewelers and Zales are increasingly adding lab-grown diamonds to simple pieces like tennis bracelets, with the idea of making more money on each sale. It's a move that could boost shares of the jewelry brands owner, he added.

Patel表示:“假设你有一条没有任何宝石的镀金网球手链。如果你在里面镶嵌一些实验室培育钻石,你就能卖出高得多的价格,而消费者会觉得它的价值大增。”除了Signet,Brilliant Earth也是押注实验室培育钻石趋势的另一种方式。拥有自家实验室钻石产品线的Pandora同样提供了分享宝石热潮红利的机会。

"Let's say you have a gold-plated tennis bracelet without any kind of stones," Patel said. "If you infuse some lab-grown diamonds in there, you're able to charge much higher prices there, and consumers see a lot more value in it." Aside from Signet, Brilliant Earth is another way to play the lab-grown diamond trend. And Pandora, which has its own lab diamond line, also offers exposure to the boom in the gemstones.

Signet在2026年已上涨21%。9月9日,受Signet因婚庆和时尚产品需求强劲而上调年度利润预期提振,该股迎来近四年来最佳交易日,飙升约24%。Brilliant Earth今年以来下跌20%,尽管过去三个月上涨了27%。

Signet has rallied 21% in 2026. The stock had its best trading day in nearly four years on Sept. 9, surging about 24%, after Signet raised its annual profit forecast on strong demand for its bridal and fashion wares. Brilliant Earth is down 20% year to date, although it has gained 27% over the past three months. Pandora, which trades on the Copenhagen stock exchange, is up nearly 19% since the beginning of the year. Although the stock isn't listed on a U.S. exchange, U.S. investors can trade it over the counter.

在哥本哈根证券交易所上市的Pandora今年以来上涨近19%。尽管该股未在美交易所上市,但美国投资者可通过场外交易(OTC)进行买卖。

Analysts and diamond industry insiders recommend those stocks rather than investing in actual natural or lab-grown stones.

分析师和钻石行业内部人士建议投资这些股票,而非投资实际的天然或实验室培育钻石。

Diamonds are generally difficult to invest in due to the fact that there is no standardized spot market for them. That's because no two diamonds are alike, making it difficult to assess values on a comparable basis.

钻石通常难以投资,因为缺乏标准化的现货市场。这是因为没有两颗钻石是完全相同的,难以在可比基础上评估价值。

The diamond market also struggles from liquidity issues. A diamond may sit on the secondary market for more than a year, depending on its quality, according to a 2026 February report from gemstone marketplace CaratX. And when stones do sell, they often go for less than half of their original retail price, per several jewelers' websites.

钻石市场还面临流动性问题。根据宝石交易平台CaratX 2026年2月的一份报告,一颗钻石可能在二级市场滞留一年多,具体取决于其品质。根据多家珠宝商网站的数据,一旦成交,价格往往不足原零售价的一半。

The diamond market also struggles from liquidity issues. A diamond may sit on the secondary market for more than a year, depending on its quality, according to a 2026 February report from gemstone marketplace CaratX. And when stones do sell, they often go for less than half of their original retail price, per several jewelers' websites.

买钻石时不应抱有其具备金融投资[属性]的想法," Casale Jewelers老板Schifter对CNBC表示。"不如把钱投向白银,甚至标普500指数。"

"You shouldn't be buying a diamond thinking that there's a financial investment [aspect] to it," Casale Jewelers owner Schifter told CNBC. "Go invest your money in silver or even the S&P 500." Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.