今天,我与Cloudflare的首席执行官马修·普林斯(Matthew Prince)进行对话。本期节目是“商业未来”两集系列的一部分。
Today, I’m talking with Matthew Prince, who is CEO of Cloudflare. This episode is part of a two-part series on the future of business.
马修上次做客本节目大约是在两年半前,当时我们认为那是互联网的一个疯狂转折点——而现在事实证明,由于人工智能的介入,情况变得更加疯狂,而马修和Cloudflare正处于这一变革的核心。
Matthew last joined us on the show about two and a half years ago, at what we thought then was a wild pivot point for the internet — and now it turns out things are even wilder because of AI, and Matthew and Cloudflare are right at the center of it.
Cloudflare在六月发现,机器人流量占互联网总流量的比例超过一半。随着越来越多的AI公司抓取越来越多的网络内容,以及越来越多的AI代理尝试在网络上替人们执行任务,这一数字还在不断攀升。Cloudflare位于网站与所有这些代理之间,赋予网站所有者一定程度的控制权:所有者可以阻止所有这些AI工具,允许它们访问,或者,正如你将听到的,只允许那些可能为访问权限付费的工具。
Cloudflare found in June that bots made up more than half of internet traffic. That number just keeps going up as more and more AI companies scrape more and more of the web, and now as more and more AI agents try and do things for people on the web. Cloudflare sits between websites and all those agents, and allows website owners some level of control: Owners can block all those AI tools, allow them, or, as you’ll hear, only allow those that might pay money for access. rs, don’t forget you get exclusive access to ad-free wherever you get your podcasts. Head here. Not ar? You can sign up here.
rs,别忘了,你可以在任何获取播客的地方获得无广告的独家访问权限。点击这里。还不是会员?你可以点击这里注册。
So Matthew and I talked about how to control all these bots, what kind of mess they’re making of the web, and what kinds of information might be valuable in the future as some of the payment schemes come into focus. You’ll hear me ask pretty directly if some of the outcomes he’s describing are actually — Matthew is a thoughtful guy, and his answer is something I’m still thinking about well after we had this conversation.
因此,马修和我讨论了如何控制所有这些机器人,它们正在把网络搞成什么样子,以及随着一些支付方案逐渐清晰,未来哪些信息可能具有价值。你会听到我相当直接地询问,他所描述的一些结果是否真的——马修是个深思熟虑的人,而他的回答是,在我们这次对话结束很久之后,我仍在反复思考的内容。
AI is also upending everything inside of Cloudflare. Earlier this year, the company laid off more than a thousand people — 20 percent of the company — and then Matthew wrote an op-ed about that decision that ran in the under the headline, “How I choose which Cloudflare employees to replace with AI.” That’s pure bait in every single dimension: AI, big controversial decisions, and org charts, all in one.
人工智能也在颠覆Cloudflare内部的一切。今年早些时候,该公司裁员超过一千人——占公司员工总数的20%——随后马修撰写了一篇关于这一决定的专栏文章,以“我如何选择用AI替代哪些Cloudflare员工”为标题发表。这在每一个维度上都是纯粹的诱饵:AI、重大争议性决策以及组织架构,全都包含在内。
And one last thing, before we get going: You can to on YouTube, where we put out new episodes every Monday and Thursday. Okay: Matthew Prince, CEO of Cloudflare. Here we go. Matthew Prince, you’re the cofounder and CEO of Cloudflare. Welcome back to . Thanks for having me.
最后,在我们开始之前还有一件事:你可以在YouTube上订阅我们,我们每周一和周四都会发布新节目。
I’m really excited to talk to you again. It’s been about two years since you were on the show. I was just looking back over that episode and I said something to you like, “it’s a momentous time for the internet.” And I was not even close. It’s now an even momentous time for the internet.
好了:马修·普林斯,Cloudflare首席执行官。我们开始吧。
I’m really excited to talk to you again. It’s been about two years since you were on the show. I was just looking back over that episode and I said something to you like, “it’s a momentous time for the internet.” And I was not even close. It’s now an even momentous time for the internet.
马修·普林斯(Matthew Prince),你是Cloudflare的联合创始人兼首席执行官。欢迎再次来到节目。谢谢邀请。
You are at the forefront of rebooting how companies work with AI. That is the most bait of all time. I want to talk about bots and the internet and publishers and Google and all the things that you are in the middle of. But let’s start at the very beginning.
我非常高兴能再次与你交谈。距离你上次参加节目已经过去大约两年了。我刚才回顾了那一期节目,当时我对你说过类似“这是互联网的关键时刻”这样的话。但我当时还是低估了。现在,互联网正处于一个更加关键的时刻。
Cloudflare is a complicated, important company. The last time you were on the show, you said, “Cloudflare is a service that makes the internet faster and protects it from bad guys.” Is that still how you would describe what Cloudflare does?
你正处于重塑企业如何利用人工智能这一变革的最前沿。这听起来非常有吸引力。我想聊聊机器人、互联网、出版商、谷歌,以及所有你正身处其中的议题。但我们还是从最基础的开始吧。
That’s usually what I say when I’m trying to answer a question at a cocktail party and I don’t want to talk to the person any more. What I say if I’m interested in talking to the person more is that Cloudflare is trying to rebuild the internet the way it should have been built from the beginning if we knew how important it was going to be.
Cloudflare是一家复杂且重要的公司。你上次参加节目时曾说:“Cloudflare是一项让互联网更快并保护它免受坏人侵害的服务。”你现在还会这样描述Cloudflare的工作吗?
We run a giant network. We’re in over 350 cities worldwide, literally thousands of data centers. We have equipment running in all those places, and then we do a handful of things. If you’re trying to put an application or content online, we make sure that it’s safe. If you’re a person or an employee online, we make sure that wherever you go online is safe. We help give people the ability to write applications that can scale to an entire internet audience and run on the infrastructure that we have. That’s the fastest-growing part of our business.
通常当我在鸡尾酒会上试图回答问题,且不想再和对方多聊时,我会这么说。如果我有兴趣和对方深入交流,我会说,Cloudflare正试图按照互联网最初就该有的样子去重建它——如果我们当时就知道它会变得如此重要的话。
We run a giant network. We’re in over 350 cities worldwide, literally thousands of data centers. We have equipment running in all those places, and then we do a handful of things. If you’re trying to put an application or content online, we make sure that it’s safe. If you’re a person or an employee online, we make sure that wherever you go online is safe. We help give people the ability to write applications that can scale to an entire internet audience and run on the infrastructure that we have. That’s the fastest-growing part of our business.
我们运营着一个庞大的网络。我们在全球350多个城市拥有数千个数据中心。我们在所有这些地方都部署了设备,并在此基础上开展几项核心业务。如果你想将应用程序或内容发布到网上,我们确保它是安全的。如果你是一名上网的用户或员工,我们确保你访问的任何网络空间都是安全的。我们帮助人们开发能够覆盖整个互联网受众的应用程序,并让它们运行在我们现有的基础设施上。这是我们业务中增长最快的部分。
We’ve recently started to think about how the business model of the internet is changing dramatically and we’re trying to help shape what that future business model of the internet looks like and make it as healthy as possible. Can I connect the dots between the business model of the internet, how the internet should have worked, and Cloudflare trying to build the internet as it should have been? That is different than, “Cloudflare protects from bad guys.” I will note that’s what you said to me last time, which now makes me feel like you don’t want to talk to me at the cocktail party, but that’s fine. That’s a shift. It’s just a notable shift.
我们最近开始思考互联网商业模式正在发生的剧烈变化,并试图帮助塑造未来互联网商业模式的样子,使其尽可能健康。
The business model of the internet has dramatically changed because of AI, because of bot traffic, because of AI scrapers, the whole thing. Describe what you think the business model of the internet is right now and what it should be.
我能否将互联网商业模式、互联网本应如何运作,以及Cloudflare试图构建一个本应如此之互联网这三者联系起来?
The business model of the internet has dramatically changed because of AI, because of bot traffic, because of AI scrapers, the whole thing. Describe what you think the business model of the internet is right now and what it should be.
这与“Cloudflare保护用户免受坏人侵害”是不同的。我注意到,你上次对我说的就是这句话,这让我觉得你不想在鸡尾酒会上和我交谈,但这没关系。这是一种转变,只是一个值得注意的转变。
For at least the last at least 30 years, the business model of the internet has been advertising. It’s not the entire business model of the internet, but it’s really driven all of the growth of the web and built what we all enjoy today, which really is a miracle.
由于人工智能、机器人流量、AI爬虫等因素,互联网的商业模式发生了巨大变化。请描述一下你认为当前互联网的商业模式是什么,以及它应该是什么。
The company that is responsible for that more than any other is Google, which for the last 28 years has really defined that. We all think about it for search, but they really built out all of the ecosystem around advertising online. They bought DoubleClick, they built things like Google Analytics that let you actually see who was coming to your property. It really is the hero of what I call the first generation of the internet and the first generation of the web.
至少在过去的30年里,互联网的商业模式一直是广告。它并非互联网商业模式的全部,但它确实推动了网络的所有增长,并构建了我们今天所享受的一切,这真是一个奇迹。
The company that is responsible for that more than any other is Google, which for the last 28 years has really defined that. We all think about it for search, but they really built out all of the ecosystem around advertising online. They bought DoubleClick, they built things like Google Analytics that let you actually see who was coming to your property. It really is the hero of what I call the first generation of the internet and the first generation of the web.
在这方面,谷歌比其他任何公司都更负有责任,它在过去28年里真正定义了这一点。我们通常将其与搜索联系在一起,但他们实际上构建了围绕在线广告的整个生态系统。他们收购了DoubleClick,并构建了如Google Analytics之类的工具,让你能够实际看到谁访问了你的网站。它确实是我所称的第一代互联网和第一代万维网的英雄。
What’s changing though, very quickly, is who is actually using the web, or what is using the web. Last November I was at Web Summit, the big European tech event, and I was asked, “When do you think that non-human traffic — agents and all of those things — are going to pass human traffic online?” We have a lot of data because we see a huge percentage of the internet, so we pulled all of that data and looked at it and said that in the second half of 2027, automated traffic would become larger than human traffic. It felt like a big deal that we could see that for the first time in the internet’s history.
不过,变化发生得非常快——具体来说,就是谁在真正使用互联网,以及互联网上被使用的是什么资源。去年11月,我参加了欧洲最大的科技盛会“Web Summit”,当时有人问我:“你认为非人类生成的流量(比如各种自动化系统产生的流量)什么时候会超过人类的流量?”由于我们掌握了大量互联网数据,我们分析后发现:到2027年下半年,自动化产生的流量将会超过人类产生的流量。这在互联网历史上还是第一次出现这样的现象,因此我们认为这是个非常重要的趋势。
I was asked again at South by Southwest in March of this year, 2026, and we pulled the data again and it had moved up, where it was going to then be the first half of 2027. We’re like, “Wow, this is growing. This AI thing is a big deal and people are using it like crazy and it’s driving a huge amount of traffic.” I was stunned when just a few months later in May, the team came to me and said, “You won’t believe it, but automated traffic has now passed human traffic online.” And that’s just expanding like crazy. If you extrapolate that out, with the giant caveat that I’ve gone wrong so far in every prediction that I’ve made on this, five years from now, we think that automated traffic will be 1,000 times human traffic online. Not because human traffic is going to decline, we think it’ll stay around the same, but because we’re just seeing such an explosion in all of the rest of the traffic.
今年3月(2026年),在“South by Southwest”会议上,我又被问到了同样的问题;我们再次分析了数据,发现这个时间点已经提前到了2027年上半年。我们当时惊讶地发现:人工智能技术的发展确实非常迅速,人们正在大量使用这些自动化系统,它们正在驱动着互联网流量的增长。然而仅仅几个月后的5月,团队却告诉我:“你简直不敢相信,自动化产生的流量已经超过了人类的流量!”而且这种趋势还在继续加速发展。如果我们继续预测的话(尽管我之前关于互联网发展的所有预测都曾出错),五年后,自动化产生的流量将会是人类流量的1000倍。这并不是因为人类流量会减少,而是因为其他类型的流量(尤其是自动化产生的流量)增长得太快了。
The challenge of that is, if you have 1,000 times more traffic, someone’s got to pay for the infrastructure to power that. That’s going to require bandwidth, that’s going to require servers, that’s going to require a lot of things in order to make that happen. And, the traditional model of how to pay for that, which was advertising, doesn’t work for bots. Bots don’t click on ads. They don’t respond to pretty swirls of paint and what we traditionally think of as a brand. We’ve got to come up with something else that’s going to power that incredible insatiable demand that’s going to be put on the internet going forward. I’m spending a lot of my time trying to think about what that’s going to look like.
问题在于:如果流量增加了1000倍,那么就必须有人来为支撑这种流量增长所需的基础设施买单。这需要大量的带宽、服务器以及其他各种资源。
When you describe that as a business model, that implies that there’s going to be customers and revenue and profits. And I don’t know if any of that’s true. There’s certainly a lot of revenue.
而且,为互联网服务付费的传统模式——也就是广告——对机器人(AI代理)并不奏效。机器人不会点击广告,也不会对绚丽的视觉效果或我们传统意义上的品牌形象做出反应。我们必须想出其他办法,来支撑未来互联网将面临的巨大且无止境的需求。我花了大量时间思考未来的商业模式会是什么样子。
Well, maybe for the CloudFlares and the Googles of the world, but for the —Or for the Anthropics of the world! Anthropic added $10 billion of revenue in a single month. There is enormous demand for these AI services. And if you’re an AI company, what you really need are three things.
当你把这描述为一种商业模式时,就意味着会有客户、收入和利润。但我不知道这些是否真的成立。当然,收入是有的,而且很多。
You need great talent and researchers. And right now, that’s scarce. Right now we have a scarcity of people who really understand how to build these systems, but that’s going to change. Every single university in the world is standing back up their AI department. We’re training people like crazy. Labor markets are pretty efficient. We’re going to have more and more people coming into the space.
嗯,也许对Cloudflare和谷歌这样的公司是这样,但对——或者对Anthropic这样的公司也是如此!Anthropic在单个月内增加了100亿美元的收入。这些AI服务的需求极其庞大。如果你是一家AI公司,你真正需要的是三样东西。
The second thing that you need is chips. You need the silicon to run these things. Today, Nvidia is the best in the world at that, but you’ve got a whole bunch of others, whether that’s AMD or Qualcomm or all the hyperscalers, that are building their own chips in order to power these things. While we have a massive shortage in the availability of silicon and the ability to actually power it up and turn it on, that’s going to change as well.
你需要顶尖的人才和研究人员。目前,这类人才非常稀缺。现在,真正懂得如何构建这些系统的人手不足,但这种情况将会改变。全球每一所大学都在重新建立或加强其AI部门。我们正在疯狂地培养人才。劳动力市场是相当有效的,未来会有越来越多的人进入这个领域。
The third thing that you’ve always needed is the data to feed into all of these different models. And that’s been the one thing that I think is going to go the other direction. Historically we’ve just made the internet completely open and given bots access to all of the stuff that’s being created.
第二样你需要的是芯片。你需要硅片来运行这些系统。目前,英伟达(Nvidia)在这方面是全球最好的,但还有AMD、高通以及所有超大规模云服务商等众多公司,都在自研芯片以驱动这些技术。尽管目前硅片供应存在巨大短缺,且实际部署和启动的能力有限,但这种情况同样会发生变化。
I think that’s starting to change. We’re seeing a shift where more and more of the people who are creating content, really creating information, are saying, “Maybe we’ll give that away for free to humans, but if a bot is coming for it, then bots have to pay for it because they don’t have that traditional give-to-get. We can’t put an ad in front of them and have that be something that allows me to help pay for the content creation that’s there.” What we’re seeing actually goes back to some of the original protocols of the internet. The 403 protocol, which was written in the very first version of Netscape, was actually payment required, and you actually have to pay for the content that you’re receiving. Oh, excuse me, I said 403, it’s actually 402.
你一直以来所需要的第三样东西,是输入所有这些不同模型的数据。我认为这正是将走向反方向的一件事。从历史上看,我们只是让互联网完全开放,并允许机器人访问所有正在被创造的内容。
I think that’s starting to change. We’re seeing a shift where more and more of the people who are creating content, really creating information, are saying, “Maybe we’ll give that away for free to humans, but if a bot is coming for it, then bots have to pay for it because they don’t have that traditional give-to-get. We can’t put an ad in front of them and have that be something that allows me to help pay for the content creation that’s there.” What we’re seeing actually goes back to some of the original protocols of the internet. The 403 protocol, which was written in the very first version of Netscape, was actually payment required, and you actually have to pay for the content that you’re receiving. Oh, excuse me, I said 403, it’s actually 402.
我认为这种情况正在开始改变。我们看到一种转变,越来越多的内容创作者,即真正创造信息的人,开始说:“也许我们会免费提供给人类,但如果机器人要获取它,那么机器人就必须付费,因为它们没有那种传统的‘给予与获取’模式。我们无法在它们面前投放广告,并以此来帮助支付内容创作的成本。”我们实际上所看到的,正回归到互联网的一些原始协议。在网景(Netscape)最初版本中编写的403协议,实际上是要求付费的,你必须为你接收的内容付费。哦,抱歉,我说错了,是402协议。
We are working with other leading companies like Coinbase and Stripe in order to say, “How do we make sure that we can allow people who are creating content, people who are doing things online, anyone who’s putting a website up, to say that in exchange for that thousands and thousands and thousands of times more traffic that’s going to come to you, you’re not going to maybe get the advertising revenue that comes from it, but maybe you can get a fraction of a penny every time somebody actually accesses that information.” Where does that fraction of a penny come from? It comes from the fee that people are going to be paying for their AI agents and other systems that are out there, similar to how a Spotify or an Apple Music works today.
我们正在与Coinbase和Stripe等其他领先公司合作,旨在探讨:“我们如何确保能够让内容创作者、在线工作者以及任何建立网站的人,在面对成千上万倍的流量涌入时,虽然可能无法获得由此产生的广告收入,但或许可以在每次有人访问该信息时,获得一分钱的一小部分。”这一小部分钱从哪里来?它来自人们为他们的AI代理和其他现有系统所支付的费用,类似于今天Spotify或Apple Music的运作方式。
I like that we’re less than 10 minutes in and we’re already at the 1996 dream of micropayments on the web. We’re going to stick with that for one more turn here. When I said business model, what I was really pushing at was the idea of incentives. So maybe there is some business model for information. You’re going to publish some new information and bots will come and find it and yep, the 402 protocol will come back to life and we’re going to do, I don’t know, crypto micropayments using Stripe powered by Cloudflare. That’s a version of the future that many people have talked about for a long time.
我喜欢这一点,我们才聊了不到10分钟,就已经回到了1996年关于网络小额支付的梦想。我们接下来再深入探讨一下这个话题。
When I said business model, what I was really pushing at was the idea of incentives. So maybe there is some business model for information. You’re going to publish some new information and bots will come and find it and yep, the 402 protocol will come back to life and we’re going to do, I don’t know, crypto micropayments using Stripe powered by Cloudflare. That’s a version of the future that many people have talked about for a long time.
当我提到商业模式时,我真正想强调的是激励机制。也许信息领域确实存在某种商业模式。你将发布一些新信息,机器人会来发现它,没错,402协议将重新焕发生机,我们将进行,我不知道,由Cloudflare驱动的Stripe支持的加密货币微支付。这是许多人长期以来讨论过的未来版本。
The incentives to stand all that up on the web is the thing that I’m worried about, when I say there’s a business model and customers and revenue. If I stand up a website, and I think most of my customers are going to be bots and not people, I might not do that. I might just start a TikTok channel instead, and then monetize my TikTok audience in whatever way I might want to monetize a TikTok audience. That seems like a really big inflection point right now at this second.
让我担忧的是,在网络上建立所有这些激励机制的问题,当我提到商业模式、客户和收入时。如果我建立一个网站,并且我认为我的大多数客户将是机器人而不是人类,我可能不会这样做。我可能会开始一个TikTok频道,然后以我可能想要变现TikTok受众的任何方式来变现我的TikTok受众。这似乎是目前的一个重大转折点。
You mentioned Google, and I’ve asked you about this many times. The incentives to put new information on the web just seem to be in permanent decline. It just doesn’t seem like a good idea any more. On the flip side, the web as an application program, it’s like the absolute apex. Every new app that comes out is a web app, or if it’s a desktop app, it’s just Electron. There’s something happening with the web as an application platform that is incredible, and something happening to the web as an information platform that is devastating. And you’re trying to connect those dots, right? You’re trying to say we can change the incentives over here.
你提到了谷歌,我多次就此问题询问过你。将新信息发布到网络上的激励似乎一直在持续下降。这似乎不再是个好主意。另一方面,网络作为应用程序平台,它处于绝对顶峰。每个新推出的应用都是网络应用,或者如果是桌面应用,它只是Electron。网络作为应用平台正在发生一些不可思议的事情,而网络作为信息平台正在发生一些毁灭性的事情。你正在试图将这些点连接起来,对吧?你试图说我们可以改变这边的激励机制。
What’s a version of the future — maybe it’s microtransactions, maybe it’s not — where the incentives to make the web an information platform are as good as YouTube? You’ve illustrated a tough to reconcile dichotomy that’s happening right now. If you look at things like the publicly accessible data on Wikipedia contributions, it’s down significantly, because people are like, “What’s the incentive to put information on Wikipedia?” Something that, again, people are doing for a lot of different reasons.
未来的一个版本是什么样的——也许是微交易,也许不是——使得将网络作为信息平台的激励与YouTube一样好?
Back in the day, if you were contributing things to Wikipedia, you knew people were at least reading Wikipedia. Now, the interface through which people consume that information isn’t Wikipedia itself. It’s just reading the answer through whatever answer engine you’re using, whether that’s OpenAI, ChatGPT, or Anthropic Claude, or Grok on X or whatever it is. And that means that the people who are the editors of Wikipedia are saying, “Maybe it doesn’t make as much sense for me to do that.” The flip side of that is, the web as a whole actually had been declining since about 2012. The web grew like crazy in the late ’90s and through the 2000s. Starting around 2012, you really saw it plateauing and actually decreasing, up until about 2025, where something flipped. Starting in about October of 2025, the various vibe-coding platforms made it easy for anyone to create a website, and so more and more people were creating those applications. And as you said, even your desktop application, your mobile application, increasingly is just a wrapper around what is fundamentally a web application.
你形象地揭示了眼下一种难以调和的矛盾。如果查看维基百科上公开可查的编辑数据,就会发现编辑量大幅下降,因为人们会想:“我为什么要往维基百科上添加信息?”而且,再一次强调,人们参与这件事背后的动机各不相同。
Back in the day, if you were contributing things to Wikipedia, you knew people were at least reading Wikipedia. Now, the interface through which people consume that information isn’t Wikipedia itself. It’s just reading the answer through whatever answer engine you’re using, whether that’s OpenAI, ChatGPT, or Anthropic Claude, or Grok on X or whatever it is. And that means that the people who are the editors of Wikipedia are saying, “Maybe it doesn’t make as much sense for me to do that.” The flip side of that is, the web as a whole actually had been declining since about 2012. The web grew like crazy in the late ’90s and through the 2000s. Starting around 2012, you really saw it plateauing and actually decreasing, up until about 2025, where something flipped. Starting in about October of 2025, the various vibe-coding platforms made it easy for anyone to create a website, and so more and more people were creating those applications. And as you said, even your desktop application, your mobile application, increasingly is just a wrapper around what is fundamentally a web application.
过去,如果有人向维基百科贡献内容,至少知道会有人阅读维基百科。如今,人们获取这些信息所用的界面已经不是维基百科本身,而是通过所使用的各种答案引擎直接读取答案,无论是 OpenAI、ChatGPT、Anthropic Claude,还是 X 上的 Grok 或其他工具。这意味着,维基百科的编辑们也在想:“也许我这么做就没那么有意义了。”另一方面,整个互联网其实从大约2012年起就在衰退。互联网在20世纪90年代末和整个21世纪初疯狂增长,但从大约2012年开始,它明显趋于平稳,甚至开始萎缩,直到大约2025年,局面才发生逆转。从大约2025年10月开始,各种“氛围编程”平台让任何人都能轻松创建网站,因此越来越多的人开始开发这类应用。正如你所说,就连桌面应用和移动应用也越来越只是一个网页应用的封装。
Back in the day, if you were contributing things to Wikipedia, you knew people were at least reading Wikipedia. Now, the interface through which people consume that information isn’t Wikipedia itself. It’s just reading the answer through whatever answer engine you’re using, whether that’s OpenAI, ChatGPT, or Anthropic Claude, or Grok on X or whatever it is. And that means that the people who are the editors of Wikipedia are saying, “Maybe it doesn’t make as much sense for me to do that.” The flip side of that is, the web as a whole actually had been declining since about 2012. The web grew like crazy in the late ’90s and through the 2000s. Starting around 2012, you really saw it plateauing and actually decreasing, up until about 2025, where something flipped. Starting in about October of 2025, the various vibe-coding platforms made it easy for anyone to create a website, and so more and more people were creating those applications. And as you said, even your desktop application, your mobile application, increasingly is just a wrapper around what is fundamentally a web application. The growth of the web itself — with really high-quality stuff and a lot more people contributing to it — is faster today than it has been at any time since the early 2000s. That’s the tension between those various things. What’s unique about Cloudflare is that because we sit in front of more than 20 percent of the web, we have the ability to overcome some of the incentives problems. We can very quickly turn something on and say, “Okay, you have to pay a fraction of a penny in order to get access to this information.” And that can kickstart the beginning of what we need.
互联网本身正在增长——不仅有大量真正高质量的内容,也有更多人参与贡献——其增长速度如今比21世纪初以来的任何时候都要快。这正是上述各种现象之间的矛盾所在。
What’s unique about Cloudflare is that because we sit in front of more than 20 percent of the web, we have the ability to overcome some of the incentives problems. We can very quickly turn something on and say, “Okay, you have to pay a fraction of a penny in order to get access to this information.” And that can kickstart the beginning of what we need.
Cloudflare 的独特之处在于,由于我们位于超过 20% 的互联网流量之前,因此有能力克服某些激励问题。我们可以非常迅速地启用一种机制,比如:“好吧,你必须支付不到一美分的费用,才能获取这些信息。”而这能够启动我们所需要的机制。
If you don’t have something like that, we face a massive tragedy of the commons problem. Let’s say today I ask my favorite AI agent where I should go to lunch.If I were doing research, I might go look at a couple of different menus as an individual. My AI agent today goes and scans every single menu in the local area in order to figure out what’s going on. Only one of those places is going to actually get my lunch dollars. If that just expands infinitely, if there’s no cost to doing that, at some point my agent’s just going to look at literally every resource that’s available everywhere on the internet, and then come back and say, “You know, you should go to Wendy’s.” That’s an enormous waste. We’ve got to have something saying that there’s a cost every time you load a webpage. There’s bandwidth, there are servers, there are things that are behind that, and someone has to pay for that. If it’s not going to be advertising and it’s not going to be direct commerce, then there has to be something that actually puts some constraints there. We are in a good place to say, yeah, it can be a tiny amount of money, a thousandth of a penny or something like that. But that’s enough that we can actually start to say, okay, that will help pay for the infrastructure.
如果没有这样的机制,我们将面临严重的公地悲剧问题。假设今天我问自己最喜欢的 AI 代理应该去哪里吃午饭。如果是我自己做研究,作为个人,我可能会查看几家不同餐厅的菜单。而如今,我的 AI 代理会扫描当地每一家餐厅的每一份菜单,以弄清楚具体情况。但最终只有其中一家餐厅能得到我的午餐消费。如果这种情况无限扩大,如果这样做没有任何成本,那么总有一天,我的代理会查看互联网上各个地方所有可用的资源,然后回来告诉我:“你知道吗,你应该去 Wendy’s(温迪汉堡)。”这会造成巨大的浪费。我们必须建立一种机制,让每次加载网页都产生一定的费用。这需要带宽,需要服务器,背后还有其他各种资源,而这些都需要有人付费。如果既不能通过广告来支付,也不是直接的商业交易,那么就必须有某种机制真正对此施加限制。我们完全可以在费用极低的情况下实现这一点,比如每次收取千分之一美分之类的费用。但这已经足以帮助我们开始为基础设施付费。
If you don’t have something like that, we face a massive tragedy of the commons problem. Let’s say today I ask my favorite AI agent where I should go to lunch.If I were doing research, I might go look at a couple of different menus as an individual. My AI agent today goes and scans every single menu in the local area in order to figure out what’s going on. Only one of those places is going to actually get my lunch dollars. If that just expands infinitely, if there’s no cost to doing that, at some point my agent’s just going to look at literally every resource that’s available everywhere on the internet, and then come back and say, “You know, you should go to Wendy’s.” That’s an enormous waste. We’ve got to have something saying that there’s a cost every time you load a webpage. There’s bandwidth, there are servers, there are things that are behind that, and someone has to pay for that. If it’s not going to be advertising and it’s not going to be direct commerce, then there has to be something that actually puts some constraints there. We are in a good place to say, yeah, it can be a tiny amount of money, a thousandth of a penny or something like that. But that’s enough that we can actually start to say, okay, that will help pay for the infrastructure. If you have incredibly valuable content, if you’re a news publisher or you’re an academic, then maybe there’s a premium on top of that that you charge and say, “Hey, I’m not going to give you this content unless you pay even more for it, but I believe that it’s valuable and we can create a market for it.” In order for that to happen, you’ve got to have a player like us that’s in the market that can kickstart that. But once you kickstart it, we’ve seen from the side of the buyers, the big AI companies, that they’re all willing to do this. We’ve seen from the side of the sellers, the big content creators, that they’re all really excited about this. What’s really been lacking is the technology that links those things together, and that’s what we’re spending a lot of time building.
如果你有极其宝贵的内容,如果你是新闻出版商或学术界人士,那么或许你还可以在此基础上额外收费,并宣称:“嘿,除非你支付更多,否则我不会把这些内容给你,但我认为它很有价值,我们可以为它创造一个市场。”要让这种模式成为现实,市场中必须有一个像我们这样的参与者来启动它。但一旦启动,我们从买方——大型人工智能公司——那边看到,它们都愿意这么做;也从卖方——大型内容创作者——那边看到,他们对此都非常兴奋。真正一直缺乏的是将这些环节连接起来的技术,而这正是我们投入大量时间正在构建的东西。
It feels like the theoretical underpinning of this conversation is the very notion of scarcity itself. I’m an old copyright lawyer, and copyright law for years and years and years had a built-in mechanism to be important, which was that one copy of a CD was one copy of a CD. And if you wanted another one, it was pretty hard to make another copy of a CD. Even when it got easy, you still needed another physical CD-R, and that imposed some cost on how many copies you could make, and then it was hard to distribute them.
我觉得,这场对话的理论基础其实就是稀缺性本身。我是一名资深版权律师,多年来,版权法一直内置有一种保障自身重要性的机制:一张光盘就只对应一份内容。如果你想再要一份,要复制一张光盘相当困难。即便后来复制变得容易了,你仍然需要另一张实体光盘,而这就限制了你所能复制的数量,同时也使分发变得困难。
All of that went away with the internet. We moved everything to digital files and the burden of making another copy fell to zero. And I think a bunch of consumers expected everything would be free. There’s that famous quote, “Information wants to be free.” There’s a second half of that quote everyone forgets, which is, “Information also wants to be expensive because it’s hard to generate.” And the internet just turned that upside down.
互联网让这一切都消失了。我们把所有内容都变成了数字文件,复制另一份内容的成本降为零。我认为,许多消费者期待所有东西都能免费。那句名言是:“信息渴望免费。”这句话还有一半是所有人都遗忘的:“信息也渴望昂贵,因为生成信息很困难。”而互联网恰好把这套逻辑彻底颠倒了。
The gating mechanism of physical media, which provided some scarcity, and thus some economic value that you could measure, went away and we decided information should be zero and maybe supported by advertising. There was actually a tension that became valuable, because that was scarce in its way. You’re talking about imposing scarcity with your technology.
实体媒体的把控机制曾制造出一定的稀缺性,从而带来某种可以衡量的经济价值。后来,这种机制消失了,我们决定让信息免费,或许再由广告提供支持。这里其实存在一种张力,而这种张力本身也很有价值,因为它同样以一种特殊的方式构成稀缺。你们讨论的,正是利用技术人为制造稀缺性。
We always talk about markets needing supply and demand. That’s not exactly right. You need demand for sure, and you want infinite demand ideally, or as much demand as you can get. Infinite would probably be bad, because then it would be hard to discover price, but you want demand.
我们总是说,市场需要供给和需求。但这种说法并不完全准确。需求当然不可或缺,而且理想情况下,你希望需求无限大,或者尽可能大。需求无限大可能反而是坏事,因为那样就很难发现价格,但你确实需要需求。
And then, you actually want constrained supply. There’s no market for air where either of us are sitting right now, because there’s plenty of air. But if we go scuba diving, then all of a sudden there’s a market for air, because air is constrained underwater, and so you have to buy it in order to be able to do it.
接着,你真正想要的是受到约束的供给。空气没有市场,因为我们此刻都坐在这片空气里,空气供应充足。但如果我们去潜水,空气就突然有了市场,因为水下的空气受到限制,你必须购买空气,才能完成潜水。
Music is the example that I look to when I think about what this could look like in the future. I flew up to Stockholm to meet with Daniel Ek, who started Spotify, and it was just a fascinating conversation. If you think about the history of music, once upon a time, the majority of music sales were from CDs or albums or whatever it was. And then, along came the internet and along with it, Napster and Grokster and Kazaa, and all of the things that essentially commodified music and made it available for free for everyone. Even if you’re an incredibly law-abiding human, the majority of people were just downloading music because they wanted access to music.
在思考未来会是什么样时,我会以音乐为例。我飞到斯德哥尔摩,与 Spotify 创始人丹尼尔·埃克见面,那次对话非常有意思。如果回顾音乐发展史,早期的大部分音乐销售来自 CD、专辑之类的实体产品。后来,互联网出现了,随之而来的还有 Napster、Grokster、Kazaa,以及各种让音乐商品化、让所有人都能免费获得音乐的服务。即使你是一个极其遵纪守法的人,大多数人下载音乐也只是因为他们想获得音乐。
If you go back 23 years, the music industry in total was valued at about $8 billion, which is a lot of money, but it’s not a lot of money for the entire music industry. That’s The Beatles and The Rolling Stones and everything else. But people were like, “We can’t make any money off of this.” And then, Steve Jobs steps on stage, and announces iTunes and that it’s going to be 99 cents a song, but they include cover art and they’re going to make sure it’s high-quality and all these things.
如果把时间倒回23年前,整个音乐产业的价值约为80亿美元。这对很多人来说已经是一笔巨款,但对整个音乐产业而言却算不上多。披头士、滚石乐队以及其他所有艺人和作品加起来,也不过如此。人们当时会说:“我们不可能靠这个赚到钱。”后来,史蒂夫·乔布斯登台宣布推出iTunes,歌曲售价定为每首99美分,同时配备专辑 ,并确保音质 Etc.但它主要唤起了一种这样的情绪:“音乐就应该由你来付费。”后来胜出的并不是这种商业模式,但它插下了一面旗帜,表明信息其实值得付费,而且具有真正的价值。iTunes最终催生了如今世界各地的Spotify等服务。更令人难以置信的是,仅去年一年,Spotify就向音乐创作者生态注入了约120亿美元。我们可以讨论这些钱是否流向了真正需要的人,以及分配是否公平。
But mostly it appealed to this emotion of, “you should be paying for music.” Now, that’s not the business model that won, but it was a flag in the ground that said that this information is actually worth paying for, and it’s really valuable. And it was the iTunes that then eventually begat the Spotifys of the world. And the incredible thing is, just last year, Spotify sent something like $12 billion back into the music creator ecosystem. We can debate whether the right people are getting it and whether it’s fairly allocated. This is my favorite thing to argue about because I think whatever happens to the music industry happens to everybody else five years later. So I spend a lot of time thinking about it. And the turn there, which I think is fascinating and is either good or bad, is that the amount paid or the music files themselves became very small. You can get a million streams on Spotify and you’re not making any money, but the amount generated by touring, commercial sponsorships, sync licensing, and advertising all skyrocketed.
这是我最喜欢争论的事情之一,因为我认为,音乐行业发生的一切,五年后都会发生在其他所有人身上。所以我花了很多时间思考这个问题。
That’s just simply not true.
其中的转折让我觉得既 fascinating 又意味深长,而它可能是好事,也可能是坏事:付费金额,或者说音乐文件本身,变得非常小。你的一首歌在Spotify上获得100万次播放,却赚不到什么钱;但巡演、商业赞助、同步授权和广告带来的收入却都出现了暴涨。事实根本不是这样。
Why is private equity buying all of the music catalogs for hundreds of millions of dollars? The answer is because actually making money off the streaming of the music is extremely lucrative. Spotify alone is sending $12 billion back to the music industry, back to the actual rights holders behind these various things. There’s way more money coming from Spotify into this than there is from touring or any of the other things that are there. Those are other ways to make money, but it’s the streaming that is really driving all of the real growth.
为什么私募股权公司愿意花费数亿美元收购所有音乐版权目录?答案在于,事实上,通过音乐流媒体赚钱极其有利可图。仅Spotify一家,就每年向音乐产业回流120亿美元,流回这些作品背后真正的权利持有人手中。
I just want to draw a distinction here. You’re not here to argue with me about music, which is my favorite thing to do, so I apologize for just doing it. But private equity is going to make that money, not the musicians. They’re paying some of the catalog holders for some of the things, but that money flooding in —If The Beatles or The Rolling Stones or whoever’s the latest ones to sell their music catalogs had held onto the music catalogs, then the musicians would’ve made that. They are making the determination. And when they sell the rights, they get the check.
Spotify通过这种方式获得的资金,远多于巡演或其他任何收入来源。那些也是赚钱途径,但真正推动所有实质性增长的是流媒体。
I just want to draw a distinction here. You’re not here to argue with me about music, which is my favorite thing to do, so I apologize for just doing it. But private equity is going to make that money, not the musicians. They’re paying some of the catalog holders for some of the things, but that money flooding in —If The Beatles or The Rolling Stones or whoever’s the latest ones to sell their music catalogs had held onto the music catalogs, then the musicians would’ve made that. They are making the determination. And when they sell the rights, they get the check.
我只想在这里作一个区分。你来这里不是为了在音乐问题上和我争论,而那恰好是我最喜欢做的事,所以对此我先表示歉意。但赚走这笔钱的是私募股权机构,而不是音乐人。它们正在出资收购一些曲库持有者的部分资产,但滚滚涌入的这笔钱——如果披头士乐队、滚石乐队或其他最近出售音乐曲库的艺人当初把曲库留在手中,那么音乐人本来就能赚到这些钱。如今,决定权掌握在它们手中。它们出售权利时,支票也由它们拿到。
They do get the check, but the comparison I’m making here —If you win the lottery, is it better for you to take the annuity of payments over the course of the next 50 years or to take the lump sum up front? That’s the trade-off that they’re making, but there’s more money going into music creation at this point in time than there ever has been in human history. Technology is not inherently a destroyer of value of information. In this case, it has been a massive enabler of value and allowed people to find audiences, and yes, sell more tickets to their concerts as well.
它们确实会拿到这笔钱,但我在这里想作的比较是:如果你中了彩票,是选择在接下来的50年里分期领取款项更好,还是一次性拿走全部奖金?这就是它们面对的取舍。不过,目前流入音乐创作的资金,比人类历史上任何时候都多。技术并非天然会摧毁信息的价值。在这种情况下,技术极大地促成了价值,让人们能够找到自己的受众,当然,也让他们能够卖出更多演唱会门票。
That’s actually the model that we need to think about. How do we take what Spotify has done, which is to say we pool together the resources of a bunch of people that are paying for access to the entire catalog of music, and then give that back to musicians based on some sort of algorithm that hopefully rewards real value creation.
这实际上正是我们需要思考的模式。我们该如何利用Spotify所做的事情,也就是把一群为访问全部音乐曲库而付费的人所汇集的资源整合起来,再通过某种算法将其回馈给音乐人,并希望这种算法能够奖励真正创造的价值。
What if you had the same thing where with a portion of what is being paid for for the various AI companies, you had to pay for the researchers that built the AI systems and you had to pay for the chips, but also to pay for the content, which is actually the real knowledge that is training these things? That’s exactly the type of model that you need to actually unlock what could be a real golden age of information creation.
假如,在支付给各家人工智能公司的款项中,必须划出一部分用于支付构建这些人工智能系统的研究人员和芯片费用,同时还必须为内容付费,而这些内容恰恰是训练这些系统的真正知识呢?这正是你所需要的模式,唯有如此,才能真正开启一个可能属于信息创造的黄金时代。
The comparison I’m making is not whether a bunch of aging rock stars are going to sell their catalogs and cash out because they’re old. That’s fine. They can do that. It’s more that the shift you’re describing, into gaining access, into wide open access on Spotify to every song ever made, and then we’re going to move some pennies around and some people get rich, and we’ll create some winners and losers, fundamentally change the entire business model of music.
我所作的比较并不是说,一批年事已高的摇滚明星会因为年纪大了而出售自己的全部曲库、套现离场。这样没问题,他们可以这么做。问题更在于,你所描述的转变:从获取访问权,转向在Spotify上向所有人全面开放所有歌曲,然后我们只需重新分配一些零头,让一些人发财,制造一些赢家和输家,从根本上改变整个音乐行业的商业模式。
The conversation with Dan was fascinating, but one of the things he said was he said, “Okay, listen, if you go onto Spotify and you search for Taylor Swift, ‘Shake It Off,’” they return a result and they’re pretty sure that they have given you what you are looking for.” On the other hand, if you go to Spotify and you search for, “I want a song to a disco beat about how much fun it is to dance with my cat,” there aren’t a lot of songs like that out there. They know that whatever they return is a pretty bad result. But the interesting thing is what happens next. They then take those searches for things that they don’t have good results for, and they publish that back to music creators.
我和丹的谈话很精彩,但他说过一件事:“好吧,听着,如果你进入Spotify,搜索泰勒·斯威夫特的《Shake It Off》,平台就会返回结果,而且他们相当确定自己已经给了你想要的东西。”另一方面,如果你进入Spotify,搜索“我想要一首迪斯科节拍的歌,讲述和我的猫一起跳舞有多开心”,这样的歌曲并不多。他们知道,无论返回什么结果,都不会太好。但有趣的是,接下来会发生什么。他们会把那些没有良好检索结果的搜索需求收集起来,再向音乐创作者公布。
There’s something that’s pretty amazing about that. They’re saying, “Here’s an emotion that someone is searching for, which we don’t have a good answer for, which we’re then going to go and publish back to music creators.
这件事有几点令人惊叹。他们是在说:“这里有一种某人正在寻找的情绪体验,而我们没有令人满意的答案;接下来,我们会把它反馈给音乐创作者。
This is one of those moments where everyone’s going to be like, “I’m in the wrong profession.” There’s a guy in Denmark, who makes 40 million euros a year writing songs for unfulfilled Spotify queries, and he’s not alone. He’s the most successful, but there’s a whole bunch of people that are making literally millions of euros or millions of dollars a year doing this thing, writing songs for what people are searching for that isn’t out there.
这是一个让所有人都会感叹“我是不是入错行了”的时刻。丹麦有个人专门为 Spotify 上无人满足的搜索需求写歌,年收入高达4000万欧元,而他并不是个例。他是最成功的,但还有一大批人正靠这件事赚取数百万欧元或数百万美元——为人们正在搜索、却尚未问世的歌曲创作作品。
Now extrapolate that to the next level. For the first time in human history, we’ve built a mathematical model of human knowledge. That’s what the LLMs are. We know where they know things, but we also know where they’re missing things. I picture it like a giant block of Swiss cheese, and there’s a lot of cheese, but there’s a lot of holes in the cheese.
再把这个趋势向外推演一步。人类历史上,我们第一次构建出了人类知识的数学模型。大语言模型(LLM)正是这样的模型。我们知道它们在哪些方面掌握知识,也知道它们在哪些方面存在空白。我把它想象成一大块瑞士奶酪:奶酪很多,但上面的空洞也很多。
The really interesting thing is, when you talk to the leaders at the big AI companies and you say, “What do you want to pay for?” They don’t want yet another story about what’s happening at 1500 Pennsylvania Avenue , which is what the current media environment is feeding us like crazy. What they want is to fill in the holes in the cheese. They want new knowledge that no one ever knew about before.
真正有意思的是,当你和那些大型 AI 公司的负责人交谈,问他们:“你们愿意为什么样的东西付钱?”他们不想再听一个关于宾夕法尼亚大道1600号发生了什么的报道——当前的媒体环境正疯狂地向我们输送这类内容。他们想做的,是填补奶酪上的空洞。他们需要的是前所未有的新知识。
I have an example where this is actually working: My wife and I own a small local newspaper in our hometown of Park City, Utah. I think we will make more money off AI licensing deals this year than we do off digital advertising. Local media is exactly the sort of thing that is much more valuable in the media world that we’re going into, but was completely decimated in the media world that we are coming out of, where what mattered was volume and scale and dividing things. Whereas local media is all about, let’s tell you about the cool new restaurant that just opened down the street.
我有一个真正奏效的例子:我和妻子在我们位于犹他州帕克城的家乡经营着一份小型地方报纸。我认为,今年我们通过 AI 内容授权合作赚到的钱 will 会超过数字广告收入。在我们正在进入的媒体世界里,地方媒体的价值要高得多;但在我们正在告别的媒体世界里,地方媒体却几乎被彻底摧毁,因为那个世界看重的是内容数量、规模和受众划分。相比之下,地方媒体关注的正是:“来告诉你们,街角刚开了一家很酷的新餐厅。”
If you’re an AI company, and you want to be able to be the best travel planner that’s out there, you want to have artificial general intelligence, you need to know what the hot new restaurant is in Park City, Utah. And if you don’t have access to the , our newspaper, you don’t know that.
如果你是一家AI公司,想要成为市面上最优秀的旅行规划者,想要实现通用人工智能,你就必须知道犹他州帕克市最新热门的餐厅是什么。如果你无法访问我们的报纸,你就无从得知。
We’re not going to protect all media. In the same way that with the move to Spotify, there are a whole bunch of losers in the musician space, but there are going to be new winners, like that person in Denmark who’s creating things off unfulfilled Spotify queries.
我们不会保护所有媒体。就像转向Spotify一样,音乐领域有一大批输家,但也会出现新的赢家,比如丹麦那位利用Spotify未满足的搜索查询来创作内容的人。
The winners in this new space might actually be the kind of things that people really want to come back to media: more local news, more unique things, more Reddits of the world, more of what the internet used to be when I was first on it in the ’90s. I think that’s actually what most internet users are craving. And I think if we get the incentives right, we actually have a way of incentivizing more of that unique original content as opposed to what we have today, which is a media ecosystem that is largely just rage-baiting people into clicking on things so that they can serve them an ad.
在这个新领域中的赢家,可能恰恰是人们真正希望回归媒体的原因:更多的本地新闻、更多独特的内容、更多类似Reddit的社区,更多互联网在90年代我初次接触时的那种模样。我认为这才是大多数互联网用户真正渴望的。而且我认为,如果我们能正确设置激励机制,我们确实有办法激励更多独特的原创内容,而不是像今天这样,一个主要靠激怒用户点击以投放广告的媒体生态系统。
One of the things you would need to build in order to make that work is a way to stop the AI crawlers, to stop the model companies from showing up. Just today, there’s yet another lawsuit. The music companies are going to sue Anthropic. The White House came out in support of OpenAI in its case against today, saying that training should be fair use.
为了让这一切成为现实,你需要构建的一项功能就是阻止AI爬虫,阻止模型公司介入。就在今天,又有一起新的诉讼。音乐公司即将起诉Anthropic。白宫今天发表声明支持OpenAI在其针对(某方)的案件中的立场,称训练应属于合理使用。
I think I need to disclose that in some series of corporate mergers, ‘s parent company is now suing Google in some way. I have literally nothing to do with it. It’s just all that. It’s all the swirl, right? And that is a legal swirl.
我认为我需要披露一点:在一系列企业并购之后,(某方)的母公司正在以某种方式起诉谷歌。我与此事毫无关系。这只是整个漩涡的一部分,对吧?这是一个法律漩涡。
We’re going to use the law to say, “This is illegal and we’ll punish you if you do the bad thing.” That’s just up for grabs. Those are 50/50 and maybe existential problems.
我们将利用法律来说:“这是非法的,如果你做了坏事,我们将惩罚你。”这完全是悬而未决的。这些问题是五五开的,甚至可能是关乎存亡的难题。
Maybe not. The law right now in the US is different than everywhere else, and so you’ve got this patchwork around it. But the best case on this is part of the Anthropic case, where the judge basically said that training is fair use against all the books. And by the way, you shouldn’t have stolen the books. That was bad. But if you hadn’t stolen the books, if you had actually bought the books, then it would be okay.
也许并非如此。目前美国的法律与其他地方不同,因此形成了这种拼凑的局面。但这方面最好的判例是Anthropic案件的一部分,法官基本认定训练行为针对所有书籍均属于合理使用。顺便说一句,你们本不该窃取这些书籍,那是不对的。但如果你们没有窃取书籍,而是真正购买了它们,那就没问题了。
That was a valuable enough result for Anthropic that they settled the rest of the case for $2 billion, which is a lot of money, even for Anthropic.
这一结果对Anthropic而言足够有价值,以至于他们以20亿美元和解了案件的其余部分,即使对Anthropic来说,这也是一笔巨款。
So when you’re building technology, you’re keeping that in the back of your mind, right? The market is coming to some sort of understanding of what’s valuable and what’s not, and you need to stop them from showing up —Different regulations are going to be passed in different places around the world. Again, as an also recovering intellectual property attorney, I very quickly go to like, “Oh, let’s just use intellectual property.” But that’s such a kluge versus the much easier thing, which is, let’s just use technology.
所以在构建技术时,你会把这记在心上,对吧?市场正逐渐形成对什么有价值、什么没价值的某种共识,你需要阻止它们出现——世界各地将出台不同的法规。再说了,作为一个同样“正在戒除”知识产权律师瘾的人,我很快就会想到“哦,咱们就用知识产权法吧”。但那是个笨拙的权宜之计,相比之下,直接用技术手段要容易得多。
I remember sitting with a bunch of media execs and they’re like, “Oh, how are we going to stop these nerds in Palo Alto from scraping our stuff?” And I was like, “I go to war every day with North Korean and Iranian and Chinese hackers.” They’re really good at it and they hide. Whereas the nerds in Palo Alto have a Delaware-based C-corporation. It’s pretty easy to identify them versus the others. And it’s really difficult for them, at scale, to hide from us.
我记得曾和一群媒体高管坐在一起,他们问:“哦,我们怎么阻止帕洛阿尔托的这些极客抓取我们的东西?”我说道:“我每天都在跟朝鲜、伊朗和中国的黑客交锋。”他们干得很溜,还藏得深。而帕洛阿尔托的那些极客注册的是特拉华州的C型公司。相比其他人,他们的身份很容易识别。而且对他们来说,大规模地想从我们眼皮底下躲过去,难度极大。
What we’re seeing is actually much more of them being willing to say, “Listen, we will specifically identify when we are coming to a site that it is us, that you can rely on us, and we’ll tell you exactly what we’re doing, so that you can have the right to control how that information is being taken.”
我们看到的其实是,他们更愿意说:“听着,当我们访问某个网站时,我们会明确表明是我们,你们可以信赖我们,我们会准确告诉你们我们在做什么,这样你们就有权控制这些信息是如何被获取的。”
I think that was an interesting question, like, two years ago. But even the Googles of the world, who have been at times challenging through this — Google is sort of like a Marvel character, like the hero of yesterday becomes the villain of tomorrow. The challenge has been that they’re like, “We struck all these deals to get access to all the internet and now we can use it for whatever we want.” re like, “Eh, in the past you were sending people traffic. Now you’re training on things and sending them no traffic. That’s a different give-to-get.” And what I’ve been really actually impressed by with the Google team is that they are much more willing to engage here. They understand the value of the ecosystem. There are people at Google who really do believe in making sure that there is a healthy, sustainable ecosystem going forward.
我觉得这是个两年前才会有的有趣问题。但即便是谷歌这种有时在这问题上颇具挑战性的巨头——谷歌有点像漫威角色,昨天的英雄可能变成明天的反派。难点在于,他们态度是:“我们达成了所有这些协议获取整个互联网的访问权,现在我们想怎么用就怎么用。”而网站方则是:“呃,以前你们给网站引流。现在你们拿东西去训练模型却不回馈流量。这‘给与取’的交易变了。”而我真正印象深刻的是,谷歌团队现在更愿意在此问题上接触沟通。他们理解生态系统的价值。谷歌内部有人真心相信,要确保未来有一个健康、可持续的生态系统。
I think that was an interesting question, like, two years ago. But even the Googles of the world, who have been at times challenging through this — Google is sort of like a Marvel character, like the hero of yesterday becomes the villain of tomorrow. The challenge has been that they’re like, “We struck all these deals to get access to all the internet and now we can use it for whatever we want.” re like, “Eh, in the past you were sending people traffic. Now you’re training on things and sending them no traffic. That’s a different give-to-get.” And what I’ve been really actually impressed by with the Google team is that they are much more willing to engage here. They understand the value of the ecosystem. There are people at Google who really do believe in making sure that there is a healthy, sustainable ecosystem going forward. Some of the things that they’ve already committed to around transparency of their crawler, and some of the things that I expect that they will do over the next little bit, I think that’s a good sign and it’s going to make it so that if even Google is doing it and is willing to say, “I’ll announce what I’m doing, and in many cases I’ll even be willing to pay for content,” that actually makes it even easier to convince all of the other AI companies to do the same.
他们已经在爬虫透明度方面做出了一些承诺,还有一些我预期他们接下来会采取的行动,我认为这是个好兆头。这意味着,如果连谷歌都这么做,并愿意说:“我会公开我的行为,在许多情况下我甚至愿意为内容付费”,那实际上会让说服其他所有 AI 公司照做变得更容易。
Do you think you need to turn the screws all the way and actually block the Google crawlers to get them to pay?
你认为是否需要彻底施压,真的去屏蔽谷歌爬虫,才能迫使他们付费?
As of September 15th, we’re going to set the defaults across all of our free customers for it to be that Google is going to be blocked for AI training, but if they won’t differentiate between AI training and search engine training, we’re just going to block them across the board.
截至 9 月 15 日,我们将把所有免费客户的默认设置调整为:屏蔽 Google 进行 AI 训练;但如果 Google 不区分 AI 训练和搜索引擎训练,我们就将全面屏蔽它。
If you’re a site owner, you’re like, “I don’t want that to be for me,” we’ll make it easy for you to turn it off. It’s just about what we set the defaults to.
如果您是网站所有者,认为“这不适合我”,我们会让您轻松关闭该设置。这只是关乎我们设定什么默认值。
But I’m really encouraged that the good forces at Google are realizing that this has to be a healthy ecosystem, and that they have to play by somewhat the same rules for this new AI market that everyone else is playing by, and that they can’t leverage the monopoly that they had in search yesterday to create a monopoly in AI tomorrow.
但我非常欣慰地看到,Google 内部的建设性力量已意识到:这必须是一个健康的生态系统,他们必须遵守与其他参与者大致相同的规则来参与这个新的 AI 市场,而不能利用他们昨天在搜索领域的垄断地位,来制造明天在 AI 领域的垄断。
But I’m really encouraged that the good forces at Google are realizing that this has to be a healthy ecosystem, and that they have to play by somewhat the same rules for this new AI market that everyone else is playing by, and that they can’t leverage the monopoly that they had in search yesterday to create a monopoly in AI tomorrow.
我和 Sundar(Pichai,Google CEO)多次讨论过这个问题。我不认为他喜欢我一直称之为“Google Zero”的人,但这无所谓。Sundar 非常深思熟虑,也很和善。每次和他交谈,我都感觉他想说:“你们什么也没做。所有出版商都在抱怨。你们对我的流量火龙头上瘾了,却毫无筹码。你们没有建立自己的受众群体,什么也没做。看看我要竞争的其他平台。TikTok 出现了,YouTube 必须与之竞争。ChatGPT 出现了,搜索团队必须与之竞争,而你们什么也没做。”这感觉像是“采取行动”了。我们将屏蔽 Google 搜索流量,屏蔽其爬虫。我认为 People Inc. 的 CEO 正在谈论彻底屏蔽 Google。
I’ve talked to Sundar [Pichai, Google CEO] about this many times. I don’t think he loves the fact that I am the person who keeps calling it Google Zero, but so be it. Sundar is very thoughtful. He’s very kind. Every time I talk to him, I get the sense that what he wants to say is, “Well, you didn’t do anything about it. All you publishers are complaining. You got super addicted to my fire hose of traffic, and you have no leverage. You built no audience of your own. You didn’t do anything. Look at all of these other platforms that I have to compete with. TikTok showed up and YouTube had to compete with them. ChatGPT showed up and the search team had to compete with them, and you did nothing.” This feels like the something. We’re going to block the Google search traffic. We’re going to block the crawler. I think the CEO of People Inc. is talking about literally blocking Google. Steve [Huffman, CEO] at Reddit has really become more aggressive in this line. Google doesn’t work if it can’t search these things. And it’s actually more existential for them.
Reddit CEO Steve Huffman 在这条战线上变得更加强硬。如果无法搜索这些内容,Google 就无法运作。对他们来说,这实际上更关乎生存。
The very nature of how Google’s search ranking works is it builds a tree. That’s what page rank was. It sort of says, “Okay, here’s a super reputable thing and then let’s see how it’s connected to everything else that’s online.” The problem is, with Cloudflare being 20-plus percent of the internet, if that just disappears, that’s in a giant hole in the middle of the tree. It doesn’t just break it for this, it breaks it for everything. That’s what we realized, that on behalf of and in conjunction with a lot of our customers, we could say, “Listen, this isn’t fair anymore. You are creating costs, you are taking content, you are getting value from that content, either in terms of the subscriptions that you’re selling to your AI tools, or to the ads that you’re running against that. And that’s just not a fair give-to-get anymore.” The deal has to change.
谷歌搜索排名的运作本质就是构建一棵树。这正是 PageRank 的核心逻辑。它大致在说:“好,这是一个超级权威的来源,然后让我们看看它是如何与网上其他所有内容相连的。”问题在于,Cloudflare 承载了互联网 20% 以上的流量,如果它突然消失,这棵树的中间就会出现一个巨大的洞。这不仅仅会破坏这一部分,而是会破坏一切。我们意识到,代表并联合我们的许多客户,我们可以发声:“听着,这不公平了。你们制造了成本,拿走了内容,却从中获取价值——无论是通过向 AI 工具销售订阅,还是在内容上投放广告。这种付出与回报的关系已经严重失衡了。规则必须改变。”
The very nature of how Google’s search ranking works is it builds a tree. That’s what page rank was. It sort of says, “Okay, here’s a super reputable thing and then let’s see how it’s connected to everything else that’s online.” The problem is, with Cloudflare being 20-plus percent of the internet, if that just disappears, that’s in a giant hole in the middle of the tree. It doesn’t just break it for this, it breaks it for everything. That’s what we realized, that on behalf of and in conjunction with a lot of our customers, we could say, “Listen, this isn’t fair anymore. You are creating costs, you are taking content, you are getting value from that content, either in terms of the subscriptions that you’re selling to your AI tools, or to the ads that you’re running against that. And that’s just not a fair give-to-get anymore.” The deal has to change. I’m really proud of the fact that we’ve played a role in helping the publishing industry go from what was two years ago when I had dinner with Neil [Vogel] from People. He’s like, “Woe is me. What are we ever going to do?” I’m like, “I think we can fix this.”
我非常自豪我们在帮助出版业方面发挥了作用,让行业从两年前的状态走出来。那时我和 People 的 Neil Vogel 共进晚餐,他感叹道:“我命苦啊,我们到底该怎么办?”我说:“我觉得我们能解决这个问题。”
Now, last time I saw him, we gave each other high-fives and said, “I think we’re making progress.” And the deals that large publishers are doing are significantly better.
上次见到他时,我们击掌相庆,说:“我觉得我们正在取得进展。”而大型出版商达成的协议现在好多了。
Now the question is, how do we bring that to the rest of the internet? Because if we don’t, we have this massive tragedy of the commons problem, where it’s just going to be, take, take, take, impose cost, impose cost, impose costs, and there are no incentives for actually creating things, for contributing to the Wikipedias of the world, for putting up a new website, for writing about what the new local restaurant is, for creating local news and local media, for being an academic.
现在的问题是,如何将这种进展推广到互联网的其余部分?因为如果不这样做,我们将面临一场大规模的“公地悲剧”,局面将变成无休止的“索取、索取、索取,施加成本、施加成本、施加成本”,而不再有任何激励去真正创造东西、为维基百科做贡献、建立新网站、撰写新开餐厅的评论、创办本地新闻和媒体、从事学术研究。
If there’s not some way that you can do those things and still make enough to eat, then people aren’t going to do it. And that harms us all. Again, I’ve been very critical of Google over the years. I will say that their tune appears to be changing over the last few months. I believe that, at their core, they really do understand that this is an ecosystem, and that they play an important role in that ecosystem, and that they need to give back to that ecosystem and play by rules that allow the ecosystem to flourish.
如果没有某种方式能让你做这些事,同时还能赚够糊口的钱,人们就不会去做。这会损害我们所有人的利益。再说一遍,这些年我一直对谷歌持批评态度。但我要说,过去几个月他们的态度似乎在发生变化。我相信,从根本上讲,他们确实明白这是一个生态系统,他们在其中扮演着重要角色,他们需要回馈这个生态系统,并遵守让生态系统繁荣发展的规则。你说谷歌即将做出一些改变。这些改变具体是什么?
You said Google’s going to make some changes soon. What changes would those be? I think the thing that they’ve already committed to is just a lot more transparency on what their crawler is doing. So what we had pushed them to do is split their crawler apart and say, “We’re going to crawl for AI separate from crawling for the web.”
我认为他们已经承诺的一点是,大幅提高其爬虫行为的透明度。我们曾推动他们将爬虫拆分,明确表示:“我们将把为AI抓取的爬虫和为网页抓取的爬虫分开。”
They, for a lot of technical reasons, pushed back and said, “That actually is incredibly inefficient. We now have to crawl twice. It’s going to put twice as much load on everything that’s out there. What if instead, we just said when our crawler comes to a page, we’ll announce what it’s doing, and then give you the ability that if you don’t like it doing something to say, ‘no, no, that’s not allowed, but this is,’ and put that together.” They have signaled that, largely in response to what was a ruling out of the United Kingdom, that they were going to put those procedures in place to allow publishers to make that choice, and that they wouldn’t just do it in the United Kingdom, but they’d actually do it on a broader basis. I think we come out of this on the other side with a stronger web, and frankly, with even a better Google, which would be great.
出于许多技术原因,他们反驳道:“这实际上效率极低。我们现在必须抓取两次。这会给外面的所有东西带来双倍的负担。如果我们只是在爬虫访问页面时宣布它在做什么,然后赋予你权利,如果你不喜欢它做某事,可以说‘不,那个不允许,但这个可以’,并将其整合在一起,那会怎样?”他们已发出信号,主要是针对英国的一项裁决,表示将建立这些程序,允许发布者做出这种选择,而且他们不会只在英国这么做,而是会在更广泛的范围内实施。我认为,我们将从这件事中走出一个更强大的网络生态,坦白说,甚至会有一个更好的谷歌,那将是极好的。
They, for a lot of technical reasons, pushed back and said, “That actually is incredibly inefficient. We now have to crawl twice. It’s going to put twice as much load on everything that’s out there. What if instead, we just said when our crawler comes to a page, we’ll announce what it’s doing, and then give you the ability that if you don’t like it doing something to say, ‘no, no, that’s not allowed, but this is,’ and put that together.” They have signaled that, largely in response to what was a ruling out of the United Kingdom, that they were going to put those procedures in place to allow publishers to make that choice, and that they wouldn’t just do it in the United Kingdom, but they’d actually do it on a broader basis. I think we come out of this on the other side with a stronger web, and frankly, with even a better Google, which would be great. Again, I could argue with you about the music industry all day and all night. I think you know that, but it is true that changing access and copyright law and all that stuff around music industry changed the business. The incentives to put on shows and do residencies and all that changed because of the distribution changing. That I think we can generally grant.
再说一遍,我可以和你争论一整天一整夜关于音乐产业的事。我想你也知道,但改变准入制度、版权法以及音乐产业周边的那些东西,确实改变了商业模式。举办演出、驻场表演等的激励机制因分发渠道的改变而改变。这一点我想我们大体上可以认同。
You’re describing an information market where the incentives will shift again, where it might be more economically lucrative to make information for the bots than for people. And that might shape the very nature of the information. You run a local paper, maybe your people are publishing restaurant reviews that are best ingested by an LLM and spit out.
你描述的是一个信息市场,其中的激励机制将再次转移,为机器人生产信息可能比为人类生产信息更具经济利益。这可能会塑造信息的本质。你经营一家地方报纸,也许你的记者发布餐厅评论,主要是为了让大语言模型(LLM)摄取并吐出。或者不再评论一家酒店,而是评论每一个酒店房间?
Or instead of reviewing a hotel, review every hotel room, right?
对于《纽约时报》上每一篇报道中出现的每一个字,记者可能在别处写下了大约一百个字。那些都是其他元数据,传统上受限于实体报纸的版面篇幅,或人类实际愿意花费的关注度。想象一下,如果你能对大语言模型说:“听着,我们要出售——”,当然,保护消息来源等方面有很多事项需要处理妥当,但如果处理得当,就会有一个极其丰富的额外信息目录。对于杂志或报纸上刊登的每一张照片,背后可能还有50到60张拍摄同一事物的照片。这些对外面的AI系统来说都很有价值。如今有大量内容简直是被扔在地上的。这些内容可能价值连城。
For every word that appears in a story in , that reporter has written down probably a hundred words somewhere else. That’s all that other metadata, which traditionally has been constrained by how many column inches you had in the physical paper, or how much attention a human would actually spend on that. Imagine if you could say to the LLMs, “Hey, listen, we’re gonna sell — “ and again, there are all kinds of things around protecting sources you have to get right, but if you get it right, there’s an enormous rich catalog of additional information. For every picture you see in a magazine or a newspaper, there are probably 50 or 60 that were taken of that same thing. And that’s all valuable to these AI systems that are out there. There’s just a bunch of content that’s literally being thrown on the floor today. That can be incredibly valuable.
这是我的领地。我对这期节目很有信心。今天我参加了一个关于我们大稿件的包装会议,我们就几周后要刊发的一篇报道的首图进行了相当充分的辩论。随后出现了分歧,最终我们选定了一张,或者说确定了一个方向,这是一个编辑决定,旨在引发读者的共鸣。我们本可以发布所有其他的照片,它们都非常、非常出色。但我们决定只让一张成为赢家,其余的则不会刊出。
This is my universe. I feel confident about this one. I was in a packaging meeting today for one of our big stories, and we had a pretty fulsome debate about the lead image in a story we’re going to run in a few weeks. Then we disagreed, and eventually we picked one, or we picked a direction, and that was an editorial choice that was designed to elicit some reaction in humans. We could publish all the rest of the photos. They’re all really, really good. We decided one would be the winner and the rest wouldn’t.
但如果我把所有照片都发布出去,交给大语言模型(LLM),它就会改变我们制作的东西,因为它的传播渠道必然会改变,其预设受众也会改变。也许最大的陈词滥调就是:传播渠道必然会改变你制作的东西。归根结底,也许我的未来就是在 YouTube 上露脸推销 AG1(一种营养补充剂),而这也是所有播客的未来。总有一种传播的力量会改变你创作的东西。
But if I publish all the photos and I give them to an LLM, it will change the thing that we made, because its distribution will necessarily change, and its intended audience will change. Maybe the biggest trope of all is that your distribution inevitably changes the thing you make, and at the end of the day, maybe my future is just making YouTube face slinging AG1 and that is the future of all podcasting. There’s just some force of distribution that changes the thing that you make. Is the outcome you’re describing good, where we’re just making an infinite flood of information GEO-optimized for some human to consume, digested by a chatbot in the middle?
你描述的这种结局好吗?我们只是制造出一股无限的信息洪流,针对某个供人类消费的目标进行 GEO 优化(生成式引擎优化),中间再由聊天机器人消化消化?
First of all, is the current model good? I’ve talked with lots of people at your parent corporation. I think you guys do a good job. There’s a lot of media that today just tries to create content as inexpensively as possible, and then A/B tests headlines in order to either stimulate a dopamine or cortisol response to that.
首先,现有的模式好吗?我跟你们母公司的很多人聊过。我觉得你们做得不错。如今有很多媒体只是试图以尽可能低的成本生产内容,然后对标题进行 A/B 测试,以刺激受众的多巴胺或皮质醇分泌。要是媒体真有那么科学就好了。
If only the media was that scientific.
但其中很多确实如此。我曾与 的一些人、 的一些人坐下来交谈,他们会说:“是啊,这就是游戏规则,这就是我们玩的游戏。”我不确定这是否是到处都适用的游戏规则,但你可以追踪 、追踪 、追踪 ,只需看看过去 20 年来标题变得多么煽动性、近乎小报化。这些每一个都是了不起的媒体机构,但要想在这个领域获胜,就变成了“如何激起真正深层的——”。嗯,你描述的情况是,它们在迎合自己的分发渠道,而这主要是社交媒体。这是算法驱动的,社交媒体算法就是分发渠道,并且正在塑造内容。
But a lot of it is. I’ve sat with some of the folks from , some of the folks from , where they were like, “Yeah, that’s the game and that’s the game that we play.” I don’t know that that’s a game you play everywhere, but you can track , you can track , you can track the and just watch how much more inflammatory and almost tabloid-ish the headlines have gotten over the last 20 years. Every one of those is an amazing media organization, but in order to win in this space, it’s been, “how do I provoke really a deep —” Well, what you’re describing is they’re playing to their distribution, which is largely social media. It’s algorithmic, social media algorithms, and that is the distribution, and it’s shaping the content.
所以我正在询问你所描述的新分发渠道——我常说的一句话会让谷歌的所有人对我大喊大叫:“当今世界一切错误都是谷歌的错。”这对谷歌不公平。谷歌总体上一直是一家伟大的公司,但谷歌催生了 Facebook,Facebook 催生了 TikTok,让我们陷入了这个注意力经济的泥潭,我们拼命想获取尽可能多的关注。而做到这一点的最佳方式,再次是刺激深层的哺乳动物本能反应。这就是我们今天所处的媒体环境。我认为它彻底崩坏了,我认为这就是导致世界分裂的原因。这导致了极具破坏性的民粹主义在全球兴起,而非真正的理性辩论。
So I’m asking you about the new distribution that you’re describing —The sentence that I say that gets everyone at Google to yell at me is, “everything wrong with the world today is Google’s fault.” That is not fair to Google. Google has by and large been a great company, but Google begets Facebook, which begets TikTok, which has us in this attention economy hole, where we’re trying to get as much attention as possible. And the best way to do that is to actually stimulate, again, a deep mammalian response. That’s the media landscape that we live in today. And I think it’s deeply broken and I think it’s what’s divided the world. It’s what’s led to the rise of very destructive populism around the world, rather than real intellectual debate.
那我们能转向何方?这里有很多可能出错的地方,但如果你与 OpenAI 的 Sam [Altman]、Anthropic 的 Dario [Amodei] 交谈,或者与谷歌 的团队、以及 DeepMind 等构建 AI 系统的其他团队交谈,他们真正想要什么?他们想要新的真知。他们想要尚无人知晓的事物。他们想要关于无人报道的有趣事物的故事。他们想要真正推动人类知识进步的东西。
So what could we move to? There’s a lot that can go wrong here, but if you talk to Sam [Altman] at OpenAI, or Dario [Amodei] at Anthropic, or you talk to the teams at Google, that are building the AI systems at DeepMind and others, what do they really want? They want new true knowledge. They want the thing that nobody knows about yet. They want the story about the interesting thing that no one else is covering. They want that thing which is actually advancing human knowledge forward. That’s what I want to read too. I don’t actually want to read yet another take of what happened in the Trump White House today. There’s plenty of that. And they don’t want it either. The best evidence of this is actually how some of these distribution deals have been done.
这也是我想读的内容。我其实并不想再读一遍关于特朗普白宫今天发生了什么的分析。这类内容多得是。读者也不想看。最有力的证据就是这些分发协议的达成方式。
amazing media organization, and Reddit, also an amazing media organization, have about the same amount of tokens. has been publishing for a lot longer. Reddit is a lot higher volume. They do deals. Who gets more money for their tokens? The answer is Reddit, by at least seven, or by some measures, 14 —Just be clear for the audience, you’re using tokens as a measure of amount of new content.
令人惊叹的媒体组织,Reddit 也是令人惊叹的媒体组织,两者的 token 数量大致相当。出版时间要长得多。Reddit 的内容量大得多。它们都达成了交易。谁能为他们的 token 拿到更多钱?答案是 Reddit,至少多七倍,按某些衡量标准甚至是 14 倍——为了让听众清楚,你是用 token 来衡量新内容的数量。
Of content, yeah. Content that’s in there. It’s not just new content, but it’s the legacy content as well. The question is, why? This is deeply unfair to , but if you don’t have , then you can just license and ask AI to rewrite it as if it’s a New York liberal and you get .
对,是内容。里面包含的内容。不仅仅是新内容,还有遗留内容。问题是,为什么?
Deeply unfair, except that all of these major media publications have made their business of telling the exact same story to their individual tribes. Whereas if you don’t have Reddit, there’s no substitute for it. Reddit is this unique thing that’s out there. I think a media of the future that looks more like truly unique storytelling around, again, local communities, unique stories that no one else has told. Real knowledge creation is what is valuable and is proven valuable by the market that exists today.
这对 来说非常不公平,但如果你没有 ,你就可以直接授权 ,让 AI 按照 纽约自由派 的口吻重写,你就得到了 。
Deeply unfair, except that all of these major media publications have made their business of telling the exact same story to their individual tribes. Whereas if you don’t have Reddit, there’s no substitute for it. Reddit is this unique thing that’s out there. I think a media of the future that looks more like truly unique storytelling around, again, local communities, unique stories that no one else has told. Real knowledge creation is what is valuable and is proven valuable by the market that exists today.
极其不公平,只不过所有这些主流媒体出版物的生意,都是向各自的部落讲述完全相同的故事。而如果没有 Reddit,就没有替代品。Reddit 是一个独一无二的存在。我认为,未来的媒体如果更像 那样,围绕着真正独特的叙事,再次强调,是本地社区,是别人没讲过的独特故事。真正的知识创造才是有价值的,且被当今存在的市场证明了其价值。
But the other side of that market — just to be reductive here, just so I understand the model — the market, the buyer in this market is a bunch of model companies. It’s not people. But then ultimately, it’s the customers of those model companies, which is all of us. What’s been amazing is it doesn’t appear like any of these model companies, on their own, is going to run away. People are like, “Oh, well, what if OpenAI gets AGI?”
但这个市场的另一面——为了说清楚模型,我就简化一下——这个市场的买家,是一群模型公司。不是人。
But then ultimately, it’s the customers of those model companies, which is all of us. What’s been amazing is it doesn’t appear like any of these model companies, on their own, is going to run away. People are like, “Oh, well, what if OpenAI gets AGI?”
但归根结底,这些模型公司的客户就是我们所有人。令人惊讶的是,似乎没有哪家模型公司能凭一己之力遥遥领先。人们会问:“万一OpenAI实现了AGI(通用人工智能)怎么办?”
I’m like, “Two days later, Anthropic will have AGI, and then Grok will have it a couple of days after that and Google will have a couple of days after that. And then AGI won’t be enough. It’ll be AGI Plus or AGI Plus Plus or whatever.”
我会说:“两天后,Anthropic就会有AGI,再过几天Grok也会有,紧接着Google也会有。到那时AGI还不够,还得是AGI Plus,或者AGI Plus Plus,诸如此类。”
What is going to be interesting is, what’s going to turn these things from commodities into actually sticky products that people sell? The answer is going to be who has access to the most true knowledge that gets you the right answers. It seems like all of the incentives from the end consumers say, “I want to get as much back to the creators of real knowledge as I possibly can.”
有趣的是,什么能让这些东西从大宗商品变成真正具有用户粘性的产品?答案将取决于谁能获取最多的真实知识,从而给出正确的答案。看来终端消费者的所有激励机制都在说:“我希望能尽可能多地回馈给真正知识的创造者。”
I think we can solve the financial piece. The piece that I’m actually much more worried about — and again, you should have Daniel Ek on your show, because he’s fascinating to talk about these things. But he’s like, “Listen, you’ve been thinking a lot about how to get content creators paid.” He said, “If you think about musicians, there are two reasons that people become musicians: to get rich and to get famous. And if you, at the end of the day, had to cause musicians to rank which one is more important, fame probably beats rich.” By the way, it’s a stupid strategy. Being rich and anonymous is the best. But that’s true. I think that a lot of people really do want recognition. This is part of why Wikipedia is seeing a drop in the number of contributors and information that’s contributed, because people don’t get recognized as much because you’re not going to the original sources.
我认为我们能解决财务分配问题。我真正担心的另一块拼图是——你真的应该请Daniel Ek上节目,因为他谈这些事非常有见地。但他说:“听着,你一直在思考如何让内容创作者获得报酬。”他说,“如果你想想音乐人,人们成为音乐人无非两个原因:发财和成名。如果到了最后,你非得让音乐人给这两个原因排序,成名大概率会胜过发财。”顺便说一句,这是个蠢策略。有钱又低调才是最好的。但这是事实。我认为很多人确实渴望获得认可。这也是维基百科贡献者数量和贡献信息量下降的部分原因,因为人们得不到足够的认可,因为你不再访问原始来源。
I think we can solve the financial piece. The piece that I’m actually much more worried about — and again, you should have Daniel Ek on your show, because he’s fascinating to talk about these things. But he’s like, “Listen, you’ve been thinking a lot about how to get content creators paid.” He said, “If you think about musicians, there are two reasons that people become musicians: to get rich and to get famous. And if you, at the end of the day, had to cause musicians to rank which one is more important, fame probably beats rich.” By the way, it’s a stupid strategy. Being rich and anonymous is the best. But that’s true. I think that a lot of people really do want recognition. This is part of why Wikipedia is seeing a drop in the number of contributors and information that’s contributed, because people don’t get recognized as much because you’re not going to the original sources.
我认为我们会解决财务问题,但下一个问题是,我们究竟该如何认可创作者?我一直向大型 AI 实验室提议,我们应该设立某种奖项——不知道是诺贝尔奖还是奥斯卡金像奖——通过数学方法衡量谁在某个特定领域的哺乳动物生物学研究中贡献最大,衡量过去一年的贡献,然后举办盛大的颁奖典礼,向他们颁发奖项,庆祝他们,并谈论他们在推动该领域发展方面有多么卓越。
I think we’ll solve the financial problem, but the next problem is, how do we actually recognize the creators? What I’ve been pitching to the big AI labs is we should create, I don’t know if it’s the Nobel Prize or the Academy Awards, but some recognition where we use math to measure who contributed the most to, I don’t know, mammalian biological research in some specific field, and measure it in the last year, and then have a big ceremony and give them an award and celebrate them, and talk about how wonderful they were at advancing this.
我认为关键在于如何对待那些真正在外面创造知识的人,即使传播这些知识的媒介可能脱离了原始研究,可能是外面的 AI 机器人或聊天机器人,我们仍然必须说:“但你们在做非常重要的工作,我们将因这项重要工作而认可你们。”
I think figuring out how we take the people who are actually out there creating the knowledge, and even though the medium through which that knowledge is going to get disseminated might be removed from the original research, it might be the AI bot or the chatbot that’s out there, we still have to say, “But you’re doing really important work, and we’re going to recognize you for that important work.” The last time you were on, we spent a lot of time talking about content moderation, and Cloudflare using its power on the internet to essentially make it harder for sites like Stormfront, the neo-Nazi website, to exist. And you were in torment about it. You had a lot of power, you were going to use it. You published some op-eds about it. We talked about it for a while, and eventually you came to decide you didn’t want to be in business with these folks, and the consequences are the consequences, but there should be some frameworks to regulate your power.
上次你来的时候,我们花了很多时间讨论内容审核,以及 Cloudflare 利用其在互联网上的权力,实质上让像 Stormfront 这样的新纳粹网站更难生存。你为此非常纠结。你拥有巨大权力,准备行使它。你为此发表了一些评论文章。我们讨论了一段时间,最终你决定不想与这些人做生意,后果自负,但应该有一些框架来规范你的权力。
I think figuring out how we take the people who are actually out there creating the knowledge, and even though the medium through which that knowledge is going to get disseminated might be removed from the original research, it might be the AI bot or the chatbot that’s out there, we still have to say, “But you’re doing really important work, and we’re going to recognize you for that important work.” The last time you were on, we spent a lot of time talking about content moderation, and Cloudflare using its power on the internet to essentially make it harder for sites like Stormfront, the neo-Nazi website, to exist. And you were in torment about it. You had a lot of power, you were going to use it. You published some op-eds about it. We talked about it for a while, and eventually you came to decide you didn’t want to be in business with these folks, and the consequences are the consequences, but there should be some frameworks to regulate your power.
很多事情都变了,但我们一直在长谈 Cloudflare 利用其权力阻止 AI 爬虫并创造经济机会。在很多方面,这是同一种权力,对吧?这是互联网一个相当主导层级的权力,可以阻止事情发生。你改变主意了吗?只是经济理由让你对此感觉更舒服,还是有其他原因?
Many things have changed, but we’ve kind of had a long conversation about Cloudflare using its power to block AI scrapers and create economic opportunity. It’s the same power in many ways, right? It’s a power of a layer of the internet that is pretty dominant to stop things from happening. Have you changed your mind? Is it just the economic rationale that’s made that more comfortable for you, or is there something else happening?
在 Cloudflare 内部,这很有意思。当我们看到这些利用我们平台做坏事的人时,会有非常人性化的反应。通常是我的联合创始人 Michelle [Zatlyn] 会说:“听着,我明白那些艰难、棘手的道德问题,但这本质上就是坏事。我们应该采取行动。” 我们基本上会回应说:“这很难。” 我们不想成为决定什么是好、什么是坏的人。而且实际上,外面真正本质上就是坏的东西并不多。但如果我们能改变激励机制,让创造这些东西的动机减少,那不是很好吗?
It’s been interesting inside of Cloudflare. When we see these bad things that are using us, there’s a very human reaction. And it’s often my cofounder, Michelle [Zatlyn], who’s like, “Listen, I realize all the hard, thorny moral questions, but this is just per se bad. We should do something about it.” We have largely come out to say, “It’s tough.” We don’t want to be the ones that are deciding what’s good and bad. And there actually aren’t that many things that are just per se bad that are out there. But wouldn’t it be great if we could change the incentives, so that there’s less incentive to create these various things?
我发现,关于未来互联网商业模式会是什么这个问题,很有意思…… 试图处理这一个或那个坏网站,基本上就像拔蒲公英,拔了还会冒出来更多。你并没有解决根本问题。
And what I’ve found interesting around the question of what the business model of the future of the internet is going to be is… Trying to deal with a bad site here or there is basically just cutting down dandelions, more are going to spot up. You’re not solving the root problem.
我认为,如果我们能让下一代互联网商业模式的激励机制,不再围绕“如何制造愤怒和情绪” —— 成为新纳粹分子是让人极度愤怒、从而点击你的内容、进而购买营养补充剂或其他东西的最有效方式之一。所有这些背后都有非常奇怪的商业模式。
I think if we can get the incentives around the next business model of the internet to be less about “how do we create rage and emotion” — being a neo-Nazi is one of the most effective ways to just really piss people off, and they tend to click on your things, and then buy nutritional supplements or whatever. All these things have very weird business models that are behind them.
但如果我们能回到一种奖励不是“制造愤怒”,而是“创造信息和知识”的模式,也许这才是真正触及根本。也许我过于乐观了,但我认为,阻止我们在网上看到的许多可怕事情的方法,是解决那个真正破碎的商业模式 —— 它导致了我们今天拥有的在线社区,并摆脱以“注意力经济”为主导的模式,转向更多以“信息知识经济”为主导的模式。
But if we can get back to something where we’re actually rewarding not rage creation, but information creation and knowledge creation, maybe that’s actually getting at the fundamental roots that are there. And maybe I’m too much of an optimist, but I think the way that you stop a lot of horrible things we see online, is by solving the business model that is really broken, which has led to the online communities that we have today, and by getting away from what has been a very much an attention-based economy to one that is much more of an information knowledge-based economy.
因此,当我们思考未来互联网的样子时,这就是我们在为之奋斗的目标。
But if we can get back to something where we’re actually rewarding not rage creation, but information creation and knowledge creation, maybe that’s actually getting at the fundamental roots that are there. And maybe I’m too much of an optimist, but I think the way that you stop a lot of horrible things we see online, is by solving the business model that is really broken, which has led to the online communities that we have today, and by getting away from what has been a very much an attention-based economy to one that is much more of an information knowledge-based economy.
所以权力是一样的,对吧?Cloudflare 在互联网上拥有巨大权力。它是平台层,影响力很大。你们有能力制止事情发生。在新纳粹网站的案例中,你们拒绝行使权力,对吧?不,不。我们把他们从我们的系统中踢出去了。
And so, as we are thinking about what the future of the internet looks like, that’s what we’re playing for. So it’s the same power, right? Cloudflare has a lot of power on the internet. It’s a platform layer, it has a lot of influence. You’re able to stop things. In the case of the neo-Nazi websites, you declined to use your power, right?
对。你们说不能让 Cloudflare 保护他们免受 DDoS 攻击,然后他们可能就会被 DDoS 攻击打得彻底瘫痪,诸如此类。
No, no. We kicked them off our systems. Right. You said you can’t have Cloudflare protect you from DDoS attacks, and then maybe they’re just going to DDoS into oblivion or whatever.
是啊,他们至今还都活着,所以从某种程度上讲,这表明我们的能力是有限的。
Yeah, they’re all still around, so at some level it shows that it’s limited.
但在这种情况下,你们要行使权力了。你们要说我们将利用 Cloudflare 制止事情发生,从而创造一个市场。
But in this case, you’re going to use your power. You’re going to say we will use Cloudflare to stop things from happening and that will create a market.
我想问题在于权力。注册 Cloudflare 只需五分钟。我们提供免费版服务。离开只需 30 秒。所以如果我们做任何不符合客户利益的事,就会失去客户。因此,我们非常注重服务客户。
I guess the question is power. So it takes five minutes to sign up for Cloudflare. We have a free version of service. It takes 30 seconds to leave. So if we’re ever doing something that’s not in our customers’ interest, we’ll lose our customers. And so, we are very much at the service of our customers.
我记得第一次有媒体公司打电话给我,说:“我们面临新威胁,你们必须制止它。”我当时问:“什么威胁?”他们说:“是 AI 公司。”
I remember the first time that a media company called me and said, “We have this new threat, you have to stop it.” And I was like, “What is the threat?” They’re like, “It’s the AI companies.”
我翻了个白眼,心想:“这是我听过最蠢的事。为什么媒体公司全是盲目排斥新技术的卢德分子?”但随后我们调取了数据,发现确实,再次出现了对互联网运作方式构成生存威胁的情况。我确实确信,这是值得我们投入时间和资源去对抗的事情。
I rolled my eyes. I was like, “That’s the dumbest thing I’ve ever heard. Why are all media companies such Luddites?” But then we pulled the data, and we saw that really, again, that there was an existential threat to how the internet was working. I certainly became convinced that this was something that was worth us spending our time and our resources fighting.
我们处于一个非常优越的地位,因为我们为那么多公司提供了巨大价值,以至于它们信任我们。但如果我们搞砸了,它们一秒钟就会离开我们。这是权力,还是仅仅是做互联网的好管家?
We have a really privileged position, because we have provided so much value to so many companies that are out there that they trust us. But if we ever screw that up, they’ll leave us in a second. Is that power, or is that just being a good steward to the internet?
现在是 2026 年。互联网上言论的性质已经改变。如果今天让你重新做一次 Kiwi Farms、Daily Stormer 的决定,你会以同样的方式做决定吗?
It’s 2026. The valence of speech on the internet has changed. If you had to make the Kiwi Farms, Daily Stormer, decisions again today, would you make them the same way?
每一件事都是一个时间节点,我认为在这些事情之下都有得有失。在某种程度上,当我们做出关于“每日风暴者”的决定时,没人知道 Cloudflare 是什么,我们看到网上正在发生的一系列监管举措,真的可能威胁到互联网运作的基础方式,即对 DNS 和 TLS 等关键协议进行监管。我们对此感到担忧。那么,问题在于,你如何阐明这一点?
Each of those things is a moment in time, and I think there are puts and takes under all those things. At some level, at the time, when we made the decision around the Daily Stormer, no one knew what Cloudflare was, and we were seeing a bunch of regulation that was happening online that really could have been a real threat to the underlying way the internet worked, regulating key protocols like DNS and TLS. And we were nervous about that. And so, the question was, how did you make that point?
因此,将“每日风暴者”踢出平台,然后撰文、谈论、上新闻、再写一篇社论,其真正的理由之一,是因为这有助于我们随后界定正确的政策方向。
And so, one of the real rationales of kicking Daily Stormer off, and then writing about it, talking about it, going on the news about it, writing another editorial about it, was because it helped us then frame the right policy decision that was out there.
上次我们谈到了罗尔斯,这次我谈谈康德。在那件事上,我们非常得罪了康德。我们把这个网站当作一种手段,以达到一个非其本身的目的。
We talked about Rawls last time. I’ll talk about Kant this time. We very much offended Kant in that. We were using this site as a means to an end that was not into itself.
但如果你要利用某事物作为手段来达到目的、以证明一个观点,新纳粹分子是非常适合用来证明这一点的。我认为我们成功阐明了观点,改变了政策讨论,探讨了其中的挑战,并且我们做到了。
But if you’re going to use something as a means to an end, to make a point, neo-Nazis are pretty fun to use for that point. I think we were able to make the point. We were able to change the policy discussion. We were able to talk about what the challenges were, and we could do it.
今天,如果出现完全相同的事实,那就不会是完全相同的事实了,因为现在 Cloudflare 显然知名得多。我们已经进行过那些政策对话。感觉每五年就会冒出一件这样的事,所以我们可能很快就要面对下一件了。但每件事背后的情况都会非常、非常不同。
Today, if the exact same set of facts came up, it just wouldn’t be the exact same set of facts, because today obviously Cloudflare is much more known. We’ve had those policy conversations. It feels like every five years another one of these things pops up, so we’re probably due for one sometime soon. But the situation behind each of them is going to be very, very different.
我通常会先做问题,但我们直接聊开了。所以我想先快速问第一个问题,然后我想花很多时间聊聊结构。上次你来节目时,我问你是如何做决策的,我们围绕价值观和使命进行了长谈,以及你是如何弄清自己的价值观和使命,并最终回归到这一点上的。两年过去了。你还坚持那样吗?你所有的决策还是那样做的?完全是。是的。
I usually do the questions first, but we just got into it. So I want to ask the first one first really quickly, and then I want to spend a lot of time on structure. The last time you were on the show, I asked you how you made decisions, and we had a long conversation about values and mission and how you kind of came to figure out what your values and mission were and you came back to that. It’s been two years. Are you still there? Is that how you make all your decisions? Totally. Yeah.
那么,你最近做出的重大决定:5月,你裁掉了1100人,你称这约占公司总数的20%。Cloudflare现在有多少员工?大约在4500到5000人之间。所以相比两年前,你们在增长。是的。
So, the big decision you recently made: In May, you laid off 1,100 people, which you said was about 20 percent of the company. How many employees is Cloudflare today? Somewhere between 4,500 and 5,000. So you’re growing compared to two years ago. Yeah.
你非常公开地将裁员归因于公司内部对AI的使用。我知道这是真的,因为你亲自在《纽约时报》发表了一篇评论文章。标题是《我如何选择哪些员工由AI取代》。我没选标题,因为现在的媒体运作方式就是他们定标题,但正文是我写的。这篇评论文章的内容支持那个标题。
You very openly attributed the layoffs to AI usage inside the company. And I know that’s true because you literally published an op-ed in the . The title was, “How I Choose Which Employees to Replace with AI.” I didn’t get to choose the title, because again, the way media works today is they create the titles, but yes, but I wrote the rest of it. The op-ed supports said title. I don’t know that that’s how you tell that something is true, that somebody wrote a editorial, but that’s the editorial editor.
我不知道写了一篇社论就能证明某事是真理,但那是社论编辑定的。
That was the headline. And the opening is, two weeks ago you laid off more than 20 percent of your workforce. You wrote that, and then you said you didn’t do it because Cloudflare is struggling. You did it because in the future, Cloudflare needs to change. And then I’m just going to run through your rubric and I just want to ask you about that rubric, specifically.
那是标题。开头写道:两周前,你裁掉了超过20%的员工。那是你写的,然后你说裁员不是因为Cloudflare陷入困境。你这么做是因为未来Cloudflare需要改变。然后我就念一下你的评判标准,我想具体问问那个标准。
That was the headline. And the opening is, two weeks ago you laid off more than 20 percent of your workforce. You wrote that, and then you said you didn’t do it because Cloudflare is struggling. You did it because in the future, Cloudflare needs to change. And then I’m just going to run through your rubric and I just want to ask you about that rubric, specifically.
你说你把人分成了建设者、销售者和衡量者,基本上要裁掉所有做衡量工作的人,所有审计职能的人。
You said you broke people into builders, sellers, and measurers, and you’re basically going to cut all the people who did measurement, all the audit functions.
并非全部,但确实有很多。我们裁掉的大多数人就属于这一类。这归根结底是某种老派的基础商业研究,即任何公司都有三大职能。首先是负责构建产品的人,也就是工程师、产品经理,以及那些真正创造新产品的人。其次是负责销售的人,即那些在外奔波、真正促成交易并销售产品的人。第三类则是大多数组织中占比很大的一部分,即负责衡量和评估各项指标的人。人工智能将以截然不同的方式影响这三类职能。
Not all, but a lot. The majority of the people that we laid off came from that category. This all comes back to some old-school basic business research, which is that there are three functions with any firm. There are people that build things, so the engineers, the product managers, the folks that actually create new products. Then people that sell things, the people that are out there actually doing the deals and selling those things. And then the third category is what a lot of every organization is, which is the people that actually measure things. Each of those is going to be impacted by AI in very different ways.
最近我的节目请到了许多软件公司的首席执行官,我们讨论了人工智能如何颠覆每一家软件公司。我通常会问及产品经理、设计师和工程师,也就是那些构建者。所有这些角色都被彻底打乱了,他们似乎都在做彼此的工作。
I’ve had a lot of software CEOs on the show recently, and we’ve talked about how AI is scrambling every software company. And I usually ask about product managers, designers, and engineers, the builders. All of those roles are totally scrambled. They’re all kind of doing one another’s jobs.
确实如此。我认为这其中确实存在一种日益明显的“万金油”趋势,因为有了这些工具,产品经理可以完成很多工程师的工作,工程师也能承担很多产品经理的职责。在这个领域胜出的人,往往是那些“左右开弓”的人,他们能够胜任多种不同的工作。
That’s true. I do think that there’s an increasingly jack-of-all-trades aspect to this, where because you can have these tools, someone who’s a product manager can do a lot of what engineers do, an engineer can do a lot of what product managers do. The people that are winning in that space are the people that are ambidextrous. They can do multiple different things out there.
但我感到困惑的是,一些人工智能至上主义者宣称“我们所有人都会失业”。如果我能雇佣一名构建者,而他们的生产力现在提升了10倍——事实确实如此,看到我们团队的构建者如今的效率提升幅度,简直令人难以置信——我反而会尽可能多地雇佣他们,因为我还有很多事情要做。
But where I get lost is with some of the AI maximalists who are like, “We’re all going to lose our jobs.” If I can hire a builder, and they are now 10 times as productive — which they are, it is wild to watch how much more productive the builders on our team are today — I’m going to hire as many of them as I can, because I’ve got lots of stuff to do.
这并没有降低招聘工程师、产品经理以及其他员工的积极性;实际上,这种做法反而增加了招聘的积极性——因为我在这些员工身上投入的薪资所带来的回报现在提高了大约10倍。当然,我会尽可能多地招聘员工,而这正是我们正在做的事情。
That hasn’t decreased the incentive for hiring engineers and product managers and everyone else. It’s actually increased the incentive, because the return that I get for the salary dollars that I spend on one of these people is now essentially 10 times as much. Of course I’m going to hire as many as I possibly can, which is exactly what we’re doing.
那么,请详细解释一下这个决策过程吧。有一天你突然想到:“我应该这么做……”我记得你引用的是彼得·德鲁克的观点。
So, just walk me through this decision. You woke up one day and said, “I’ve got a…” It’s Peter Drucker, I think is who you quoted.
没错,“构建者(Builder)/销售者(Seller)/测量者(Measurer)”这个分类框架确实源自德鲁克的理论。对于那些对管理理论不太熟悉的人来说,这属于传统的管理理念。
Yeah, the builder / seller / measurer framework comes out of Drucker. For the heads out there, this is old-school management philosophy. How’d you make this decision? You were like, “I’ve got to do this. I’m going to sort these people into these categories, and we’re going to start making cuts.” Did you see any evidence in the data? Walk me through it.
你是怎么做出这个决定的呢?你是这样想的:“我必须这么做;我需要把这些员工分成不同的类别,然后开始进行裁员。”你在数据中看到了什么证据来支持这个决定吗?请详细讲讲。
One thing that we saw was that the world was dividing into two camps. One camp tended to be two different demographics within the organization. It was either people who were very, very senior, or people who were very, very junior. And those folks were adopting AI like crazy. The junior folks, because they were just native to it. The senior folks, because they had the confidence to bet their career, that these paradigm shifts would be a way for them to learn new things and take on new challenges, and they were confident enough in their jobs that they could do that.
我们注意到一个现象:整个组织内部出现了明显的两个阵营。一个阵营由经验非常丰富(或非常年轻)的员工组成;这些员工都在积极地采用人工智能技术。年轻员工是因为他们天生就熟悉这些技术,而资深员工则相信这些技术变革能让他们学习新知识、迎接新挑战,他们对自己的能力有足够的信心去应对这些变化。
One thing that we saw was that the world was dividing into two camps. One camp tended to be two different demographics within the organization. It was either people who were very, very senior, or people who were very, very junior. And those folks were adopting AI like crazy. The junior folks, because they were just native to it. The senior folks, because they had the confidence to bet their career, that these paradigm shifts would be a way for them to learn new things and take on new challenges, and they were confident enough in their jobs that they could do that.
另一个阵营则是那些处于职业生涯中期的员工——他们既不是资历最深的员工,也不是刚入职的新手。他们接受过培训,被教导认为在企业中取得成功需要遵循一定的规则。然而,当他们看到周围的同事开始使用这些新工具来完成任务时,他们感到非常困惑。
The other camp was the folks who were earlier in their careers. They might not have been the most senior folks, but they weren’t just the brand-new folks who had come in. So they’d come through and been trained and been taught that the way you succeed at a business was by playing by a certain set of rules. And then, they watched around them as their colleagues were all of a sudden using these new tools that were out there to be able to deliver these things.
我用过一个不太恰当的比喻。如果你想象我们的工作是把螺丝拧进木头里,我们雇佣了最擅长使用手动螺丝刀的人。然后突然之间,我们发明了电动螺丝刀,或者说它出现了,我们能够买到它。虽然不是所有工作都适用,但对于大多数工作来说,使用电动螺丝刀效果更好,而且你能用它完成更多的工作。
There’s a wildly imperfect analogy that I use. If you imagine our job was to screw screws into wood, we hired the best people at using manual screwdrivers. And then all of a sudden we invented an electric screwdriver, or it came along, we were able to buy it. And for not every job, but for most jobs, using the electric screwdriver is just better and you can get a lot more done with it.
我们在2025年中期开始做的第一件事就是说:“嘿,伙计们,情况就是这样。我理解如果你们属于第二类阵营,所有的激励机制都会让你们去抵制电动螺丝刀,但让我们为你们提供培训资源。让我们给你们信心,让你们知道自己依然有工作可做,并且能够完成这些任务,但我们要确保每个岗位上的每个人都在学习如何使用这些工具。”这是你在第一阶段必须采取的一个非常重要的步骤。
The first thing that we started to do back in the middle of 2025 was say, “Hey guys, this is what’s going on. I understand all the incentives, if you’re in that second camp, are to fight against the electric screwdriver, but let’s give you the resources to train you. Let’s give you the confidence that you’re going to have a job and you’re going to do these things, but let’s make sure that everybody across every role is learning how they can do that.” That’s just a really important step that you have to do in the first part.
然而,我们后来了解到,当我们让所有人——不仅仅是工程师,还包括财务、法务以及其他部门的人——开始使用这些工具时,我们发现人工智能大放异彩的一个领域是衡量事物。我们对人工智能优势讨论不足的一个方面是,人工智能虽然存在偏见,但这些偏见与组织中其他人的偏见是不相关的。人类有着极其严重的偏见,而一个共同工作的团队,其偏见往往高度趋同。即使你从事内部审计工作,本应扮演那个监督所有人的“坏人”角色,但你依然会在同一个食堂吃午饭,与同样的人交谈,参加同样的全体会议,最终你们会形成相同的偏见,而人工智能则不然。它拥有一套完全不同的逻辑。
What we then learned, though, is that as we got everyone, not just the engineers, but people on finance and legal and everything else, to start using these tools, we found that one place where AI just shined was in measuring things. One of the places where we don’t talk about the advantage of AI enough is that AI has bias, but the biases are uncorrelated to the rest of the organization. Humans have biases like crazy, but a group working together has biases that are massively correlated together. Even if you’re working on internal audit and you’re supposed to be the bad guy who’s looking over everyone’s shoulder, you still go to lunch in the same cafeteria, you talk to the same people, you participate in the same all-hands, you end up developing the same biases, whereas AI doesn’t. It has a very different set of things.
我们发现,可以用这些工具把很多事情做得高效得多。我们团队里有一位叫希瑟的女士。希瑟负责投资者关系工作。由于我们是一家上市公司,每次公布业绩之前,她所在的约20人团队都会花费大约两周时间拼命工作,汇总全部信息。他们基本上先进行各项测量,然后生成文件;到了发布业绩时,我们会把这些文件发给所有投资者。希瑟说:“我觉得我们可以利用工具把这件事做得更好。”原本需要两周的工作,我们把它缩短到了三分钟。投资者们则说:“哇,这些文件好多了。错误更少,失误也更少,而且我们的工具还在审计所有这些不同的方面。”因此,对于那20名员工,我们开始为他们寻找其他岗位,但其中很多人喜欢做的正是这类工作。他们完全可以在某家初创公司或其他地方像希瑟一样把这类工作做好,只是我们不再需要其中一些职能了。而这些职能往往主要涉及测量工作。
We found that we could use these tools to do things significantly more efficiently. There’s a woman on our team named Heather. Heather was on our investor relations team. Every time we would close the books before we’d have earnings, because we’re a public company, her team of about 20 people would spend about two weeks working like crazy to generate all of the information. They basically took the measurements and then generated documents that we would then distribute during earnings to all of our investors. And Heather was like, “I think we can use tools to do this better.” We took what used to take two weeks and we reduced it down to three minutes and our investors are like, “Wow, these documents are much better. There are fewer errors. There are less mistakes, and our tools are auditing all of those different things.” So, for those 20 people, we looked for other places for them, but a lot of them, what they liked doing was that sort of work. And they would be great at doing that sort of work as the Heather at some startup or somewhere else, but we just didn’t need some of the functions that were there. And it tended to be all of those functions that were largely measurement.
还有内部审计之类的工作,我们实际上可以把效率大幅提高。还有中层管理这类工作。
We found that we could use these tools to do things significantly more efficiently. There’s a woman on our team named Heather. Heather was on our investor relations team. Every time we would close the books before we’d have earnings, because we’re a public company, her team of about 20 people would spend about two weeks working like crazy to generate all of the information. They basically took the measurements and then generated documents that we would then distribute during earnings to all of our investors. And Heather was like, “I think we can use tools to do this better.” We took what used to take two weeks and we reduced it down to three minutes and our investors are like, “Wow, these documents are much better. There are fewer errors. There are less mistakes, and our tools are auditing all of those different things.” So, for those 20 people, we looked for other places for them, but a lot of them, what they liked doing was that sort of work. And they would be great at doing that sort of work as the Heather at some startup or somewhere else, but we just didn’t need some of the functions that were there. And it tended to be all of those functions that were largely measurement.
我们还可以借助这些工具说:“嘿,让我们把组织架构扁平化吧。”这样一来,整个组织的运转速度会快得多,也更加灵活。但在这一过程中,有一大批中层管理者不再适合继续留任。我想,当时我们坐在那里想:“天啊,我们知道必须取消这些岗位,所以问题在于,是现在就做,还是以后再做?”现在行动的问题在于,我们会感到自己完全暴露在外,孤立无援。我收到了数量惊人的死亡威胁,甚至不是来自我们的员工,而是来自一些反人工智能的陌生人,这确实非常可怕。
There were things like internal audit, which we were able to just get actually much more efficient at doing. There are also things like middle management. Traditionally the Harvard Business School number is that on average every manager should have six direct reports. We found with tooling, we could actually be much more efficient with managers. When we enabled managers to have more tools to better participate in surface issues early and see how their team was doing, we could get up to 12, on average, direct reports and everyone was actually happier. That matters because as you increase the number of direct reports, what you actually do is decrease the amount of hierarchy in any organization. That’s the way of measuring how flat versus how hierarchical an organization is.
但与此同时,我们又会想:“现在宣布进行这些调整,然后不仅提供优厚的遣散费和其他一切应得待遇,还真正着手为这些人安排新工作,是否更人道?还是只顾自保,等到全行业其他公司也得出同样的结论?”顺便说一句,这一天已经来了。优步刚刚也宣布裁员,理由如出一辙。你会看到,整个行业——不只是科技界,而是所有领域——都会开始意识到这一点。我认为我们行动得早,但问题是,当我们四月这么做时,他们重新找到工作会更容易,还是等到明年四月所有人都这么做时更容易?意识到这一点后,我们想:如果我们是真正的领导者,就应该由我们来挡箭。我们应该保护自己的团队。即使对于那些听到我们说“听着,我们已经没有适合你的岗位了”的人,我们也应该帮助他们在其他地方找到好岗位,因为他们都是非常优秀的人。这才是真正的领导力。
Again, we could use these tools to say, “Hey, let’s flatten the organization,” which has made the organization much faster and more nimble. But in the process, there are a whole bunch of middle managers that just weren’t the right folks. I think we sat there and we were like, “Gosh, we know we’ve got to get rid of these jobs, so the question is, do we do it now or do we do it later?” The problem with doing it now is we feel very exposed, we feel very alone. The number of death threats that I got, not even from our employees, but from just random people who are anti-AI, was really pretty scary.
我和很多同事聊起这件事时,他们只会坐在那里说:“是啊,我知道我们必须这么做,但天哪,我看到你的股价跌得那么厉害,还收到这么多可怕的死亡威胁之类的东西,我实在不想自己也经历那些。”我觉得这就是怂。如果你是真正的领导者,就站出来,把事情真正做起来。
But at the same time, we’re like, “Is it kinder to say we’re going to make these changes now, and then do the work to not only give great severance and everything else, but actually go place these people? Because they’re great people, and we’ve been very successful at doing that across the board. Or is it better to cover our own ass and wait until everybody else in the industry is coming to the same conclusion?” By the way, that’s coming. Uber just did a layoff, that same rationale. You’re going to see across the industry, not just in tech, but everyone, start to get to this realization. I think we were early, but was it going to be easier to get a job back in April when we did this, or next April when everyone is doing it? Once we realized that, we were like: If we’re real leaders, we should be the ones taking the arrows. We should be protecting our team. We should be working to make sure that even the people that we said, “listen, we don’t have a role for you any more,” we can help them find great roles at other places because they’re great people. That is what real leadership is.
经济领域将有很多事情发生变化,但这不意味着岗位会消失。我们会尽可能多地招聘建设者和销售人员。团队里也仍会有一些负责衡量评估的人。有些工作必须有人去打造工具、完成相关事务,但今后整个团队的样子会大不相同。一旦你以组织的身份意识到这一点,越早这么做,对自己的团队就越有利。
But at the same time, we’re like, “Is it kinder to say we’re going to make these changes now, and then do the work to not only give great severance and everything else, but actually go place these people? Because they’re great people, and we’ve been very successful at doing that across the board. Or is it better to cover our own ass and wait until everybody else in the industry is coming to the same conclusion?” By the way, that’s coming. Uber just did a layoff, that same rationale. You’re going to see across the industry, not just in tech, but everyone, start to get to this realization. I think we were early, but was it going to be easier to get a job back in April when we did this, or next April when everyone is doing it? Once we realized that, we were like: If we’re real leaders, we should be the ones taking the arrows. We should be protecting our team. We should be working to make sure that even the people that we said, “listen, we don’t have a role for you any more,” we can help them find great roles at other places because they’re great people. That is what real leadership is.
另一个陈腐观念是,组织结构大致可以反映企业文化。我总是说,如果你告诉我公司的组织结构,我就能判断出你们大约80%的问题。剩下的20%通常才是真正产生奇迹的地方。你的组织结构发生了怎样的变化?这种变化又如何影响了你的文化?
When I talk to a lot of my peers, they’re sitting around saying, “Yeah, I know we need to do this, but gosh, I saw your stock went way down, and you got all these really scary death threats and other things, and I don’t want to have to go through that.” I think that’s chickenshit. If you’re a real leader, get out there and actually do the work.
首先,我们大幅扁平化了组织架构。大量中层管理岗位被取消,而且并不仅仅是因为我们裁撤了人员。还有一大批管理者主动表示:“我不想再当管理者了,我想重新做个人贡献者。”看到这么多非常资深的管理者辞去高管职位,加入Anthropic去做个人贡献者,实在令人震惊。因为这样一来,他们能够发挥更大的影响力。
There are a lot of things about the economy that are going to change. It doesn’t mean jobs are over. We’re going to hire as many builders and as many sellers as we possibly can. And there are still some measurers on our team. Some people have to build the tools and do those things, but it’s going to look very different going forward. Once you realize that as an organization, the sooner that you can do that is the kindest way that you can be to your own team.
管理者与个人贡献者之间的界限会变得非常模糊。这也是我们花大量时间思考的问题之一。将两者设为两条独立的发展轨道是否仍有意义?也许最终会合为一体,因为即使是个人贡献者,如今也在管理一支代其工作的智能体队伍。
Another trope is that structure is a rough proxy for culture. I’m always saying, if you tell me the structure of your company, I can tell you about 80 percent of your problems. The 20 percent is usually where the actual magic is. How has your structure changed and how has that changed your culture?
我们做得最重要的一件事,是大幅扁平化了组织架构。另一项举措则是通过我们称为 Cloudflare OS 的系统实现集中管理。如今我们已经将其开源,因为已有足够多的客户表示:“这太棒了,我们也想使用。”因此,一大批客户正在采用它,并将其改造成各自的 XYZ 公司 OS。
The first thing is we’ve flattened the organization a lot. There’s a lot of middle management that went away, and not just because we laid people off. There’s a whole bunch of managers that are raising their hand and saying, “I don’t want to be a manager any more. I want to go back to being an individual contributor.” It’s wild to see all these really senior managers that are leaving big jobs to go to Anthropic to be an individual contributor. And that’s because there’s so much more leverage that you can have.
这是一套工具,它本质上承载了 Cloudflare 内部固有的知识,包括那些必须满足的条件,以及为我们的决策提供依据的信息;它还让团队中的任何人都能使用种类繁多的外部工具,同时持续调取并更新有关“必须满足哪些条件”的信息。这样一来,当人们想查找 Salesforce、Workday 或 Cloudflare 其他记录系统中的信息时,就能将其汇入一个统一一致的界面。这显著提高了我们团队的生产效率,也大幅改善了跨部门协作。
What is a manager versus what’s an individual contributor is going to get really fuzzy. And that’s one of the things that we’re spending a lot of time thinking about. Does it even make sense to have those as two separate tracks? Maybe that all merges together into one thing, because even individual contributors now are managing a fleet of agents that are working on their behalf. The biggest thing is that we’ve flattened the organization quite a bit. And then the other thing is that we’ve centralized through something we call Cloudflare OS, which we’ve now open-sourced because enough of our customers were like, “That’s really cool. We want to use that too.” And so, we’ve got a whole bunch of customers that are taking it and turning it into XYZ company OS.
这里有一点,或许只是软件公司本就如此运作,事实也确实如此。这是一种我能够理解的世界观,因为软件公司或科技公司就是这样运作的:公司里发生的一切都会在数字系统中留下记录,因而所有事情都可以被衡量。你的文章中有这样一句话:“作为首席执行官,我从未拥有过更好的工具,可以如此精确地衡量业务表现,包括识别我们正在冉冉升起的新星。”这意味着,你所说的新星在产出可供人工智能衡量的数据,然后人工智能就能告诉你,这些人是冉冉升起的新星。
It’s a set of tools that, essentially takes the knowledge that’s inherent to Cloudflare, the things that have to be true, the things that inform our decisions, and then allows anyone on our team to have access to a wide range of the different tools that are out there, but it’s continuously pulling and updating the information about what has to be true. And having it so that when you want to figure out what information is pulling out of Salesforce or Workday or any of the systems of record that we have at Cloudflare, being able to pull that into one consistent interface has allowed our teams to be significantly more productive and much better at cross-collaboration.
并非每家公司都按这种方式运作,并非每个人的工作都是把发生的一切都报告给 Slack,或报告给 Cloudflare OS。他们是在外面的世界里做着各种事情。
There’s something here which maybe is just the nature of a software company, and that’s the way it is. It’s a worldview that I understand, because of how a software company or a tech company works, where everything that is happening in your company happens in a digital system and then that thing can be measured. You’ve got a line in your piece, “As CEO, I’ve never had better tools to measure exactly how the business is performing, including identifying our rising stars.” This implies that your rising stars are producing data that can be measured by an AI, and then the AI can tell you these people are rising stars.
你该怎样把这两方面联系起来?因为这似乎正是挑战所在:硅谷或许是这样看待世界的,而其他所有企业或许是另一种方式看待自己。
There’s something here which maybe is just the nature of a software company, and that’s the way it is. It’s a worldview that I understand, because of how a software company or a tech company works, where everything that is happening in your company happens in a digital system and then that thing can be measured. You’ve got a line in your piece, “As CEO, I’ve never had better tools to measure exactly how the business is performing, including identifying our rising stars.” This implies that your rising stars are producing data that can be measured by an AI, and then the AI can tell you these people are rising stars.
我想,我们每个人或多或少都曾在这样的岗位上工作过,心里会想:“天哪,我这么辛勤地付出,却始终没有得到认可。”有时又会想:“我好像有点被过度认可了,也许我并不——”我这辈子从来没有觉得自己被认可过头。要是能再多一些,那就太好了。
There’s something here which maybe is just the nature of a software company, and that’s the way it is. It’s a worldview that I understand, because of how a software company or a tech company works, where everything that is happening in your company happens in a digital system and then that thing can be measured. You’ve got a line in your piece, “As CEO, I’ve never had better tools to measure exactly how the business is performing, including identifying our rising stars.” This implies that your rising stars are producing data that can be measured by an AI, and then the AI can tell you these people are rising stars.
你做得很棒。现在,你能不能让你的聊天机器人也告诉我,我做得很棒?因为那可真的太好了。
There’s something about that that is fascinating to me. Not every company works that way where everyone’s job is to tell Slack everything that’s going on or tell Cloudflare OS everything that’s going on. They’re out in the world doing stuff.
过去确实有一些非常优秀的人曾在 Cloudflare 工作,而我们却未能发现他们,原因可能有无数种。也许他们是组织中的一员,但我们没有给予他们足够的认可;也许他们没有遇到一位优秀的管理者。这些工具的一项优点是,你可以换一种方式提出这样的问题:“作为一个组织,我们看重什么?”然后把视野放宽,去看看那些真正表现极其出色的人。
How do you connect those dots? Because that seems to be the challenge of how Silicon Valley might see the world and how every other business might see itself. I think we’ve all at various times worked in jobs where we’re like, “Gosh, I’m just not being recognized for the hard work that I’m doing.” Or other times where you’re like, “I’m kind of over-recognized and maybe I don’t —” I’ve never felt over-recognized in my life. If I could get some more, that’d be great.
但这些信息必须是系统能够读取的,对吧?也就是说,人工智能会查看每一次代码提交,然后判断某人的贡献很大,或者某人在 Slack 上对自己的智能助手最友善。你必须以某种方式观察他们,才能把这些数据提取出来。是的。但每个组织内部都有各种各样的信号。
You’re doing a great job. Now, can you get your chatbot to tell me I’m doing a good job? Because that’d be really good.
我一直卡在这个问题上,而且快没时间了,抱歉打断一下。不过,请举一个借助人工智能发现冉冉升起的新星的信号示例。
It is absolutely the case that there have been great people who’ve worked at Cloudflare that we just missed in the past. And for a million different reasons. Maybe they’re part of the organization that we just didn’t recognize enough, maybe they didn’t have a great manager. One of the things that’s great about these tools is you can find different ways to say, “What do we as an organization value?” And then look more broadly across the people who are really performing incredibly well.
我们知道哪些人是高绩效者。我们根据高绩效者的表现来训练模型,并摄入了大量相关数据。显然,代码提交等各种数据都在其中,但这些数据可以通过各种方式人为操纵。因此,你真正需要做的是关注“这个人做了这件事”,然后沿着整个组织链条追踪,看它最终是否带来了更高收入、更低成本或更好的团队协作。
But that has to be legible to the system, right? So it’s like the AI is going to watch every code commit and say that person’s doing a lot or that person is the nicest to their agents in Slack. You have to watch them in some way to get that data back out. Yeah. But there’s all kinds of signal inside of every organization.
由于我们是一家高度数字化的公司,因此能够提取这些信息。但我认为,每家公司都有各种形式的信号。比如,如果你是一家超市,就会有摄像头记录各种情况。你会看到有人发现地上有洒落的物品并将其清理干净。管理者可能从未看到这一幕,但摄像头看到了。如果人工智能能说:“嘿,那个人没有等别人吩咐,就主动把地上的洒落物清理干净了”,那我们当然应该奖励这样的行为。
I’m just stuck on this and I’m running out time, so I’m sorry to interrupt. But give me an example of signal that helped you through AI identify rising stars. We knew people who were high performers. We trained models based on what their high performers were. We ingested a ton of things across that. Obviously code commits and all kinds of things, but those are gameable in various ways. And so, you really want to look at “this person did this thing” and then trace it all the way through the organization and see whether it resulted in either higher revenue or lower cost or better collaboration across the team.
不过,这类事情有很多种非常糟糕的走向。我们非常重视隐私,这不是为了抓住别人的小辫子。但我惊讶地发现,它在识别这类人才方面表现出色得多。它能够发现:“哇,团队里有些人工龄可能很浅,但表现却远远超过了其他人。”这样一来,作为领导者,我就可以去找这些人,说:“嘿,你做得很棒,继续保持。顺便说一下,这是我的手机号,以后如果你需要任何帮助,都可以给我打电话。”然后,我们就这样看着他们中的一部分人成长为公司的下一批领导者。
Because we are a very digital company, we’re able to pull that. But I think every company has signal in various ways. If you’re a supermarket, you’ve got cameras that are seeing things, you’re going to see the person who sees the spill on the floor and cleans it up. A manager may never see that, but the camera did. And if the AI can say, “Hey, that person just cleaned up a spill without having to be asked,” of course we should be rewarding that stuff.
这要回到这些系统真正具有的一个价值:人工智能确实存在偏见,但它与组织中其他所有偏见都不相关。它提供了一个独立的外部视角,帮助你更好地管理组织,从而作出更明智的决策。无论涉及内部审计职能,还是识别优秀人才,这些工具都能以各种方式帮助你取得非常了不起的成果。
Now there’s plenty of horrible ways that this stuff can go wrong. We’re very privacy-respecting. It’s not a gotcha thing. But it was remarkable how much better I found it at being able to say, “Wow, there are some people across the team who might be very junior, but are just way outperforming.” And then what I can do as a leader is go to those people and say, “Hey, you’re doing a great job. Keep doing it. By the way, here’s my cell phone number, call me if you ever need anything.” And we’re just watching a bunch of those folks turn into the next leaders at the company.
就我们而言,我们没有从外面购买某种现成工具。我们只是说:“好吧,把我们所有关于谁表现优秀、哪些产品卖得好等方面的经验都汇集起来,用这些数据训练模型,然后在整个系统中运行,看看会得出什么结果。”没错,其中确实有一些错误。有些人的评价是:“这个人是一颗耀眼的明星。”但当你真正深入了解时,却会发现:“不,他们并不是。”不过,很多时候,它确实识别出了一些非常出色的人,而能够及时认可他们是一件很棒的事。
It goes back to one of the real values that these systems have, which is that AI has bias, but it’s uncorrelated to all the rest of the bias in the organization. That provides an independent outside lens that helps you then better run your organization in order to make smarter decisions. Whether that’s around internal audit functions or identifying great talent, these tools are various ways that you can do pretty amazing things.
你认为,采用自动化或量化的方式来管理员工,会让你的员工群体失去人性、变得去人格化吗?你可以看到,让机器人来管理确实很容易受到猛烈批评。
In our case, we didn’t go out and buy some widget. We just said, “Okay, let’s take all the things we’ve learned about who’s performing well or what products do well or whatever it is, train models on that, and then run it across the system and see what it shows up.” And yeah, there were some mistakes. There were some people where it said, “this person’s a huge star.” And then you actually look down and you’re like, “no, they’re not.” But for a lot of times there were people who really were incredible stars and it was great to be able to recognize them.
如果每一次晋升决定都由某个完全无法问责的人工智能系统作出,那似乎并不合理。但另一方面,如果人工智能系统能够更准确地说:“嘿,马修,作为CEO,这里有一名初级客服人员,他们一直为客户作出非常精彩的解答。你以前可能从未见过这个人,但你应该给他们打个电话。”我认为,这样做其实非常人性化。这意味着,你的贡献能够被看见。
Do you think being managed in an automated or quantified way will dehumanize or depersonalize your workforce? You can see how management by robot does get pretty blown up.
糟糕的组织会以许多方式滥用这些技术来做坏事,但这归根结底取决于领导层。不要做一个糟糕的组织。要围绕把事情做对来组织一切。表彰你的员工,让他们获得丰厚回报。这正是你想要的结果。
If every promotion decision is made by some totally unaccountable AI system, that seems wrong. But on the other hand, if an AI system is better able to say, “Hey, Matthew, CEO, here’s this junior customer support person who’s just been giving amazing answers to customers. You may not have ever seen them before, but you should give them a call.” I think that’s actually incredibly humanizing. That means that you can be seen for the contribution that you’re doing.
我觉得我们已经成为了一个更好的组织,更善于识别哪里有人才,也更善于通过这些各种各样的工具去奖励这些人才并对他们进行投资。
There are lots of ways that bad organizations will use these technologies to do bad things, but that comes back to the leadership. Don’t be a bad organization. Be organized around trying to do the right thing. Celebrate your employees, make them rich. That’s exactly what you want.
让我把这些联系起来。在最开始,我问你是如何做决策的,你说你从使命和价值观出发。在上次谈话中,有一件事让我印象深刻,那就是你意识到这一点,是在你开始领导 Cloudflare 时才逐渐显现出来的。我想你当时开玩笑说,你的使命只是为了让你妈妈印象深刻。后来,这变成了一个关于安全以及你正在做的所有其他事情的更宏大的使命。
There are lots of ways that bad organizations will use these technologies to do bad things, but that comes back to the leadership. Don’t be a bad organization. Be organized around trying to do the right thing. Celebrate your employees, make them rich. That’s exactly what you want. I feel like we’ve become a better organization, better at recognizing where talent is, better at then being able to reward that talent and invest behind that because of these various tools.
随着你将管理职能自动化,你与领导力之间的关系发生了怎样的变化?因为这其中蕴含着重大的意义。
Let me connect that all the way. At the beginning, I asked how you make decisions, and you said you start with mission and values. And a thing that really struck me at our last conversation was that you came to that realization, that was emergent as you began leading Cloudflare. I think you had a joke that was like your mission was to just impress your mom. And then that became this much bigger mission about security and all these other things that you’re doing.
我认为说我们已经实现了管理职能的自动化是不准确的。我认为我们所做的是——我们正在收集关于每个人在做什么的大量数据,我们正在完美地衡量它,然后我们正在呼叫客户——我不认为我们衡量得非常完美。我认为我们只是在衡量它。我们正在为管理者提供更多的工具,以帮助他们识别那些表现出色的人,并帮助那些遇到困难的人获得他们所需的资源。我们正在呈现数据,使管理者能够成为更好的管理者。我不认为我们在取代管理者。我认为我们是在让管理者更胜任他们的工作。
How has your relationship to leadership changed as you’ve automated the management function? Because there’s something big in there. I think it is incorrect to say that we’ve automated the management function. I think that what we have done —We’re collecting a bunch of data on what everyone is doing, we’re measuring it perfectly, and then we’re calling the customers —I don’t think we’re measuring it perfectly. I think we’re measuring it. We’re giving managers more tools to help both recognize the people who are overperforming and to help the people who are struggling get the resources that they need. We’re surfacing data that allows managers to be better managers. I don’t think we’re replacing managers. I think we’re making managers better at their jobs.
这实现了管理的规模化,对吧?说实话,你提到你现在有 12 个直接下属,这很有趣。上次你说——顺便说一下,我们还没到那个程度。你们还没到那个程度?我们正在朝那个方向努力。
I think it is incorrect to say that we’ve automated the management function. I think that what we have done —We’re collecting a bunch of data on what everyone is doing, we’re measuring it perfectly, and then we’re calling the customers —I don’t think we’re measuring it perfectly. I think we’re measuring it. We’re giving managers more tools to help both recognize the people who are overperforming and to help the people who are struggling get the resources that they need. We’re surfacing data that allows managers to be better managers. I don’t think we’re replacing managers. I think we’re making managers better at their jobs.
两年前你说你的数字大约是 8 个,你称之为很高。所以你正从 8 个增加到 12 个。马克·扎克伯格的观点是:“我们应该有 50 个。”我一直说这个节目还有很长的生命力,因为它是一个关于组织架构的节目。我们正处于历史上最奇怪的组织架构的风口浪尖。你到了吗?你有 50 个下属了吗?
And that scales management, right? Actually, it’s funny you mentioned that you’re up to 12 direct reports. The last time, you said —By the way, we’re not there yet. You’re not there yet? We’re headed there. Two years ago you said your number was about eight, which you called high. So you’re going from eight to 12. Mark Zuckerberg is at like, “We should have 50.” And I keep saying has a long life ahead of it because it’s a show about org charts. We’re on the cusp of the weirdest org charts in history. Are you there? Are you at 50?
哦,不,不,不。我确实认为人类是群居动物,我们希望能够认识其他人。邓巴数确实存在,指的是一个人能够在头脑中维持的直接人际关系数量,据说这个数字大约是120,但人们在工作之外也应该有朋友。因此,你不能把这些关系全都用在工作同事身上。
Oh no, no, no. I really do think that humans are social creatures and we want to be able to know people. And the Dunbar number is real, which is the number of direct social relationships you can keep in your head, which is supposed to be something like 120, but people should have friends outside of work. So you can’t just occupy those all with work colleagues.
如果我之前说的是8,那只是一厢情愿。我们当时可能更接近6,但正在逐步增加。现在可能更接近8左右,不过正朝着12迈进。你必须把话说得非常、非常具体,因为你也得防止人们在这件事上钻空子,比如他们会说:“我要组建一支庞大的团队”,可我们根本不需要这么大的团队。
If I said eight before, that was wishful thinking. We were probably closer to six, but we are making our way up. We’re probably closer to eight-ish now, but we’re headed more towards 12. You have to be very, very specific because you also don’t want people playing games with that, where they’re like, “I’m going to build out a big team of people” where we don’t need a big team.
我认为这个数字可以作为愿景和方向,但不能把它奉为圭臬。你不能只是说:“哦,每个人都必须至少有12个直接联系人。”你得判断这个标准在哪些情况下合理、在哪些情况下不合理。随着实际情况不断变化,你还需要建立一个凝聚共识的基础,而这正是使命发挥作用的地方。
I think that can be aspirational and directional, but I don’t think you can be religious. I don’t think you can just say, “Oh, everyone has to have at least 12.” You’ve got to figure out where that makes sense and where it doesn’t make sense. As that evolves, you have to also have some foundation that aligns people, and that’s where mission comes in.
而这一点绝对是真的。我们最初的使命,是抓住这个有趣的市场机会,希望能赚些钱,也让父母刮目相看,让他们不再念叨我们为什么不去银行之类的地方工作。
And it’s absolutely true. Our mission in the beginning was to take advantage of this interesting market opportunity, hopefully make some money, and impress our parents so that they’d get off our backs about why we didn’t go work at a bank or whatever.
直到我们开始为客户提供服务,并亲眼见证了互联网的重要性,以及它在现实中是多么缺乏捍卫者时,我们才意识到,我们的使命其实是帮助构建一个更好的互联网。如果你与 Cloudflare 的任何员工交谈,无论是在哪个国家、哪个办公室,无论身处组织中的哪个层级,令我感到惊叹的是,他们一次又一次地表示:“我在这里工作的原因,是因为我相信这项使命是我们所能做的最重要的事情之一。”
It was only as we started to serve our customers, and we saw just how important the internet was, and how it really lacked defenders, that we realized that our mission was really to help build a better internet. If you talk to anyone at Cloudflare, anywhere through the organization, any country that we’re in, any office that we’re in, I think that what I find amazing is, time and time and time again, they come back to saying, “The reason I work here is because I believe that the mission is one of the most important things we can do.”
经常有人问我:“你为什么还在 Cloudflare 工作?”我会回答:“因为我无法想象现在还有什么比帮助构建一个更好的互联网更重要的事情,也无法想象还有什么工作比这更令人兴奋。”好吧,Matthew,这是一个很好的结束点。我们很快会再邀请你回来,因为我觉得互联网的变化速度比我上次预想的还要快。非常感谢你参加我们的节目。
There are a lot of days that people are like, “Why do you still work at Cloudflare?” And I’m like, “Because I can’t imagine anything more important right now than helping build a better internet, and I can’t imagine anything that’s more exciting to be working on.” Well, Matthew, that’s a great place to leave it. We’re going to have to have you back very soon because I feel like the internet’s going to change even faster than I did last time. Thank you so much for being on .