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选举预测人士目前并未发现民主党担心的民调“虚假兴奋”Election forecasters don’t see polling ‘sugar-high’ Democrats fear — for now

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民调机构和独立选举预测人士越来越确信,民主党并未在民调中经历人为制造的“虚假兴奋”,而多项指标目前都指向该党将迎来有利的中期选举环境。

Pollsters and independent handicappers are increasingly convinced that Democrats aren’t experiencing an artificial “sugar-high” in polling but that multiple metrics are right now pointing to a good midterm environment for the party. The nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report became the latest independent forecaster this week in predicting that Republicans looked poised to lose the…

本周,无党派选举预测机构《库克政治报告》成为最新一家预测共和党可能失去……的独立机构。

Pollsters and independent handicappers are increasingly convinced that Democrats aren’t experiencing an artificial “sugar-high” in polling but that multiple metrics are right now pointing to a good midterm environment for the party. The nonpartisan election handicapper Cook Political Report became the latest independent forecaster this week in predicting that Republicans looked poised to lose the…