帕兰蒂尔（Palantir）这家军事科技公司的联合创始人乔·隆斯代尔（Joe Lonsdale）上周晚些时候在一场由主办的活动中分享了他对美国人工智能辅助战争的一些看法——其中一番言论显得尤为令人不安。他承认，美国2月在伊朗米纳布袭击一所女子学校的事件是一场悲剧——但他辩称：“站在外部视角评判事情非常容易。”“可能有人做出了99个非常正确的选择，却因一个错误的选择导致了可怕的后果，”隆斯代尔周五在一场面向投资者的演讲中告诉路透社全球防务编辑乔·布罗克（Joe Brock）。他还辩称，伊朗可能故意诱使美军在特朗普政府对伊朗战争的第一天，利用人工智能辅助瞄准，向一所小学发射了两枚“战斧”巡航导弹。该袭击造成150多人死亡，其中大多数是儿童。五角大楼官员后来向表示，过度依赖帕兰蒂尔技术导致了这起校舍袭击事件。
Joe Lonsdale, a cofounder of weapons-tech company Palantir, shared some of his thoughts on America’s AI-assisted warfare at a -hosted event late last week—and one statement stands out as being particularly alarming. The US strike on a girls’ school in Minab, Iran, in February was tragic, he acknowledged—but, he argued, “It’s very easy to judge things from the outside.” “It could be the case that somebody made 99 really good choices and then one bad choice and it led to a horrible thing,” Lonsdale told Reuters Global Defense Editor Joe Brock on Friday, in a talk aimed at investors. He also argued that Iran might have deliberately lured the US military into the AI-assisted targeting of two Tomahawk missiles at an elementary school on the first day of the the Trump administration’s war in Iran. The attack killed more than 150 people, most of whom were children. Pentagon officials later told that overreliance on Palantir technology contributed to the school strike.
隆斯代尔的叙事截然不同。他说：“伊朗领导人‘可能故意伪装了一些设施，使其看起来像目标，就像巴勒斯坦人和其他人所做的那样。’”“他们通过让我们袭击目标来博取全球同情，”隆斯代尔继续说道。“因此，对我来说，究竟发生了什么事实并不清晰。显然，那些孩子遭遇的一切都是可怕的。”上周，联合国一个委员会的报告表明，美国对该学校的袭击可能被定性为战争罪。
Lonsdale’s narrative was different. Iran’s leaders “might have purposely disguised some of these things to make them look like targets, the same way the Palestinians and others do,” Lonsdale said. “They’re getting global sympathy by getting us to hit things,” Lonsdale went on. “And so, it’s very unclear to me the facts of exactly what happened. Obviously, it’s terrible what happened to those children.” Last week, a UN committee report suggested that the US attack on the school could be classified as a war crime.
一度，隆斯代尔被问及如果“出了问题”，科技公司应如何被追责。“也许应该有一些法律来约束在此运营的公司，以及规定它们被允许做什么，”隆斯代尔说道。
At one point, Lonsdale was asked how technology companies should be held accountable “if things go wrong.” “Maybe there should be some laws about companies that operate here and, like, what you’re allowed to do with them,” Lonsdale said.
但彼得·蒂尔的亿万富翁同事有明显的经济理由，不愿更大力度地推动监管或追究国防和科技公司的责任。据报道，作为风险投资公司8VC的管理合伙人，他在高科技国防公司投资了60亿美元。他也越来越多地参与行业问题的游说活动。他创办的保守派智库西塞罗研究所及其游说分支西塞罗行动——因成为特朗普政府推动将流浪定罪的主要推手而为人所知——也与数十万美元的国防游说支出有关联。
But the billionaire colleague of Peter Thiel has some obvious financial reasons not to push harder to regulate or hold accountable defense and technology companies. As managing partner of the venture capital firm 8VC, he has $6 billion invested in high-tech defense companies, reported. He’s also increasingly involved in lobbying on industry issues. His conservative think tank, the Cicero Institute, and its lobbying arm Cicero Action—best-known for being a major force behind the Trump administration’s push to criminalize homelessness—are also connected to hundreds of thousands of dollars in defense-lobby spending.
据报道，这些游说活动涉及隆斯代尔8VC投资组合中的公司——并可能带来丰厚回报。“帕兰蒂尔在特朗普政府下联邦收入激增，”有人在8月表示，其中包括一份高达100亿美元的陆军合同。由蒂尔资助、隆斯代尔也投资的安德鲁尔公司“同样呈上升势头，包括3月授予的一份上限为200亿美元的陆军协议。”撇开游说和战争牟利不谈，隆斯代尔在2025年的博客中写道，在军火生意中做一个“完全道德”的人显然是可能的。
That lobbying, as reported, touches on companies in Lonsdale’s 8VC portfolio—and could be paying big dividends. “Palantir is seeing a surge in federal revenue under the Trump administration,” said in August, including an Army contract worth up to $10 billion. Anduril, a Thiel-funded company also backed by Lonsdale, “is similarly on the rise, including an Army deal awarded in March with a ceiling of $20 billion.” Lobbying and war-profiteering aside, Lonsdale wrote on his blog in 2025 that it is apparently possible to be a “perfectly moral” person in the weapons business.
他写道，社会深受“制造武器的人默认是邪恶的”这一假设之害。但他辩称：“如果没有有才华的人愿意从事国防这种‘肮脏’的工作，我们现在会说德语。或者俄语。或者中文。我们会经历更多‘9·11’事件。你懂的。”
Society, he wrote, suffers from a “default assumption of evil by people who make weapons.” But, he argued, “If we didn’t have talented people willing to do the “dirty” work of defense, we’d be speaking German. Or Russian. Or Chinese. We’d have experienced many more 9/11’s. You get the idea.”