分析师表示,尽管美国联邦储备系统本月首次加息,导致货币政策方面的不确定性加剧,亚太地区的房地产市场仍具有吸引力;预计多个资产类别和行业将吸引投资者的兴趣。
Property markets in the Asia-Pacific region are likely to remain attractive despite heightened uncertainty over monetary policy after the US Federal Reserve delivered its first interest rate increase in more than three years this month, analysts say, with several asset classes and sectors expected to draw investor interest.
“截至目前,该地区的交易量(尤其是跨境交易量)增长了约30%。” Savills亚太资本市场住宅部门的高级总监Emily Fell说道。
Property markets in the Asia-Pacific region are likely to remain attractive despite heightened uncertainty over monetary policy after the US Federal Reserve delivered its first interest rate increase in more than three years this month, analysts say, with several asset classes and sectors expected to draw investor interest.
“我认为,与其说市场出现了整体萎缩,不如说投资者调整了投资策略,将投资重点转向了其他领域。” 根据金融数据提供商MSCI的数据,中国大陆是该地区最活跃的房地产市场:2026年第二季度,中国的房地产投资额同比增长了154%,达到130亿美元;日本位居第二,投资额为97亿美元;澳大利亚紧随其后,投资额为80亿美元。
“We’ve seen volumes, specifically cross-border volumes in the region, increase by around 30 per cent to date,” said Emily Fell, senior director for living sectors in Asia-Pacific capital markets at Savills. “I think, as opposed to seeing a pullback generally, it’s more a change in strategy and a pivot in sector [focus].” Mainland China was the region’s most active real estate market, with investment surging 154 per cent year on year to US$13 billion in the second quarter of 2026, according to financial data provider MSCI. Japan ranked second with US$9.7 billion worth of deals, followed by Australia with US$8 billion.
香港排名第五,投资额为25亿美元,但其增长幅度最大(达到了172%)。
“I think, as opposed to seeing a pullback generally, it’s more a change in strategy and a pivot in sector [focus].” Mainland China was the region’s most active real estate market, with investment surging 154 per cent year on year to US$13 billion in the second quarter of 2026, according to financial data provider MSCI. Japan ranked second with US$9.7 billion worth of deals, followed by Australia with US$8 billion.
根据MSCI的数据,同期亚太地区的商业地产交易额增长了20%,达到461亿美元。
Hong Kong ranked fifth with US$2.5 billion, but recorded the strongest growth at 172 per cent.
从资产类别来看,办公地产吸引了最多的投资(157亿美元),其次是零售地产(119亿美元)和工业地产(97亿美元)。
Across the region, commercial real estate transactions rose 20 per cent to US$46.1 billion in the same period, according to MSCI. By asset class, office properties attracted the most investment at US$15.7 billion, followed by retail at US$11.9 billion and industrial at US$9.7 billion.
Savills的Emily Fell指出,韩国是一个值得关注的市场:随着人口老龄化,未来十年韩国的房地产市场将拥有强劲的增长基础。她特别提到了悉尼的“共居”(co-living)模式以及韩国的养老地产(senior living assets),认为这些领域在货币政策不确定性持续存在的背景下具有最大的增长潜力。
The market to focus on would be South Korea, where the ageing population will, over the next decade, provide very strong fundamentals for that sector’s growthEmily Fell, Savills Fell identified Sydney’s co-living segment and South Korea’s senior living assets as among the markets with the strongest growth potential amid continued uncertainty over monetary policy.
“悉尼的‘共居’模式主要涉及将酒店或办公楼改造为共居空间。” Emily Fell解释道。
“The Sydney co-living segment is focusing on the refurbishment of hotels or offices into co-living spaces,” she said.
“悉尼中央商务区极具吸引力,因为它拥有非常清晰的规划路径、优惠的税收待遇和广阔的需求群体,且在结构上仍处于供不应求状态。这是一个我们看到大量资本兴趣的领域。”与此同时,韩国人口快速老龄化正在为投资者创造机遇。
“Sydney’s central business district is particularly attractive because it has very clear planning pathways, favourable tax treatment and a wide demand pool, and remains structurally undersupplied. That’s a sector where we’re seeing a huge amount of capital interest.” At the same time, South Korea’s rapidly ageing population is creating opportunities for investors.
一笔凸显投资者对该领域信心的交易发生在3月,当时由现代海上火灾保险支持的现代海姆资产管理公司签署合同,收购首尔的木洞艺术中心。
One deal highlighting investor confidence in the sector came in March, when Hyundai Haim Asset Management, backed by Hyundai Marine and Fire Insurance, signed a contract to acquire the Mokdong Artist Center in Seoul.
根据第一太平戴维斯的数据,该地块将被重新开发为一个拥有400间房间的养老生活综合体,项目价值5000亿韩元(约3.68亿美元)。
The site would be redeveloped into a 400-room senior living complex in a project worth 500 billion won (US$368 million), according to Savills.
第一太平戴维斯亚太区资本市场主管Neil Brookes表示,香港的货币政策在很大程度上与美国同步,预计将继续吸引来自新加坡、马来西亚及其他地区寻求物业捡漏机会的投资者资金。
Hong Kong – where monetary policy moves largely in lockstep with the US – was likely to continue attracting capital from investors in Singapore, Malaysia and elsewhere seeking property bargains, said Neil Brookes, head of Asia-Pacific capital markets at Savills.
“这里的买家不一定是在追求收益率,所以他们进场时并非着眼于债务成本,比如4.5%”,Brookes说。“但我们看到的是较峰值价格打四折到五折的折扣。”他补充道,看上半年的最后30宗大宗交易,大多数涉及不良资产,包括接管销售。
“Buyers here are not necessarily chasing yield, so they’re not coming in looking at the cost of debt at, say, 4.5 per cent,” Brookes said. “But what we have seen are discounts of 40 to 50 per cent to peak pricing.” Looking at the last 30 major deals in the first half of the year, most involved distressed assets, including receivership sales, he added.
“所以,我认为很多集团进场是因为他们看到之前的定价上有非常好的折扣可寻,”Brookes说。
“So, I think a lot of groups are coming in because they see that there are really good discounts on previous pricing available,” Brookes said.
根据第一太平戴维斯的数据,截至上周初,东南亚投资者已成为今年香港商业地产最大的非本地买家,以新加坡资本为首。
As of early last week, Southeast Asian investors had emerged as the largest non-local buyers of Hong Kong commercial property this year, led by Singapore-based capital, according to Savills.
第一太平戴维斯表示,在303.6亿港元的商业地产交易中,东南亚投资者贡献了33.7亿港元,占总价值的11%以上。
As of early last week, Southeast Asian investors had emerged as the largest non-local buyers of Hong Kong commercial property this year, led by Singapore-based capital, according to Savills.
在亚洲市场,投资者的投资决策主要受到国内生产总值(GDP)增长以及重要的结构性人口趋势的影响;这些因素并不会受到美联储利率变动的影响。JLL资本市场部门负责国际及战略投资的全球负责人蒂姆·格雷厄姆(Tim Graham)表示:“除了传统的防御性投资策略外,亚洲房地产市场的整体基本面依然强劲,足以缓解任何因货币政策进一步收紧而可能带来的负面影响。”
Out of the HK$30.36 billion worth of commercial property deals, Southeast Asian investors contributed HK$3.37 billion, or more than 11 per cent of the total value, Savills said. When it comes to Asia, investors are driven by GDP growth and significant structural demographic trends which are not impacted by Fed ratesTim Graham, JLL Capital Markets Beyond defensive investment strategies, the overall fundamentals of Asian property markets remained strong and could cushion any impact from further monetary tightening, said Tim Graham, global lead of international and strategic capital at JLL Capital Markets.
“进入第四季度和2027年,市场的基本面依然十分稳健,”格雷厄姆说道。
“The fundamentals of the market look strong heading into the fourth quarter and 2027,” Graham said.
“关于整体房地产市场的走势,我认为在亚洲市场,投资者的投资决策主要受GDP增长以及重要的结构性人口趋势的驱动,而这些因素并不会受到美联储利率的影响,尤其是租赁市场。”格雷厄姆指出,那些具有坚实基础、且开发项目较少的办公地产市场,不仅租金增长前景广阔,也依然对跨境资本具有吸引力。
“On overall real estate sentiment, I maintain the view that when it comes to Asia, investors are driven by GDP [gross domestic product] growth and significant structural demographic trends which are not impacted by Fed rates, namely the rental market.” Graham said office markets with strong underlying fundamentals and limited development pipelines offered strong rental growth prospects and remained attractive to cross-border capital.
“我们还观察到,投资者在该地区的居住类房地产(如专门为学生设计的住宿设施)上的投资力度正在增加;这类设施的需求是由结构性因素而非周期性因素所推动的。”
“We are also seeing increased allocations to living sectors across the region, including purpose-built student accommodation, where demand is supported by structural drivers rather than cyclical factors,” he said.
“在这些领域,投资者可以在宏观经济环境较为不确定的时期获得稳定的租金收入和资产回报。”——谢丽尔·阿西瓦尔(Cheryl Arcibal)
“These sectors offer investors resilient occupancy and income through periods of greater macroeconomic uncertainty.” By Cheryl Arcibal