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彭博社

泰国总理阿努廷在最新民调中支持率下降,压力日益增大Thai PM Anutin’s Support Drops in Latest Poll as Pressures Rise

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作者:素蒂尼·尤维乍塔纳据一项民意调查,随着政府面临油价上涨以及法院裁决可能威胁其执政地位,泰国总理阿努廷·查恩维拉库及其布姆猜泰党的支持率大幅下滑。

By Suttinee Yuvejwattana Public support for Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul and his Bhumjaithai Party has plunged, according to an opinion poll, as his government confronts rising oil prices and a court ruling that may threaten its hold on power.

泰国国家发展行政研究院9月18日至23日对2500名成年人进行的全国电话调查显示,仅13.8%的受访者支持阿努廷担任总理,而6月这一比例为21.7%。

Only 13.8% of people polled backed Anutin as prime minister in September, compared with 21.7% in June, according to a Sept. 18–23 nationwide phone survey of 2,500 adults by the National Institute of Development Administration.

周公布的调查结果显示,布姆猜泰党的支持率同期从17%降至12.1%,跌至第三位,落后于反对党人民党和执政联盟伙伴为泰党。

Bhumjaithai’s rating declined to 12.1% from 17% over the same period, pushing it into third place behind the opposition People’s Party and coalition partner Pheu Thai, the survey, released on Sunday, showed.

随着全球能源成本上涨挤压泰国家庭和企业,布姆猜泰党的支持率随之下滑。中东冲突将油价推高至每桶100美元以上后,政府推出了生活成本援助措施并延长了实施期限;油价上涨还可能加剧通胀并拖累经济增长。

The decline in support comes as higher global energy costs squeeze Thai households and businesses. The government has extended cost-of-living assistance introduced after the Middle East conflict pushed oil prices above $100 a barrel, threatening faster inflation and weaker economic growth.

周一,阿努廷政府将面临迄今最大的政治考验。泰国宪法法院预计将就针对2月大选合法性的挑战作出裁决,正是这场选举使布姆猜泰党上台。该案的核心指控是,选票上印有的代码可能破坏投票保密性。如果法院判定此次选举无效,泰国可能需要重新举行选举。

Anutin’s government faces its biggest political test yet on Monday, when the Constitutional Court is due to rule on a challenge to the validity of the February election that brought Bhumjaithai to power. The case centers on allegations that codes printed on ballot papers could have compromised voting secrecy.

最新民调是在曼谷遭遇严重洪灾之前进行的,而这又给政府增添了新的挑战。约48小时内降雨近300毫米(11.8英寸)后,首都将全部50个行政区宣布为灾难区,主要道路被淹,商业和交通运输受到干扰。

If the court invalidates the election, Thailand could be required to hold a new vote. The latest poll was held before severe flooding hit Bangkok, adding another challenge for the government. The capital declared all 50 districts disaster zones after nearly 300 millimeters (11.8 inches) of rain fell over about 48 hours, swamping major roads and disrupting businesses and transportation.

在此次调查中,反对党领袖纳塔蓬·伦帕雅武仍是受访者中最受欢迎的具名总理人选,但其支持率从6月的26.1%降至24.7%。无法确定合适候选人的受访者比例则从10.2%几乎翻倍至19.8%。

Opposition leader Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut remained the most popular named choice for prime minister in the poll, although his support slipped to 24.7% from 26.1% in June. The share of respondents who couldn’t identify a suitable candidate nearly doubled to 19.8% from 10.2%.

为泰党的约达南·翁沙瓦总体排名第四,支持率为11.3%,与上次调查的11.6%相比变化不大;前总理阿比西特·韦贾齐瓦的支持率则从11.8%降至9.60%。

Pheu Thai’s Yodchanan Wongsawat placed fourth overall with 11.3%, little changed from 11.6% in the previous survey, while former prime minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s support fell to 9.60% from 11.8%.

人民党在政党支持率方面继续保持显著领先,略微升至35.4%,高于上次的34.8%。为泰党支持率从16.8%升至18.

The People’s Party retained a commanding lead in party preferences, edging up to 35.4% from 34.8%. Pheu Thai rose to 18.4% from 16.8%, while the Democrat Party declined to 9.8% from 12.7%.