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德国正在为美国气候数据建造一座数字诺亚方舟Germany Is Building a Digital Noah’s Ark for US Climate Data

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耶鲁大学E360气候项目:在德国汉堡市中心的一座现代化五层建筑内,技术人员正在准备安装几组新的“机架”——这些机架由灰色金属制成,用于放置计算硬件。这些新设备将补充德国气候计算中心(DKRZ)现有的存储设施;DKRZ是全球最大的气候模拟数据存储机构之一,其现有存储容量为254拍字节(1拍字节等于约2亿张高分辨率图像的存储空间)。

Yale E360 Climate Desk In a modern five-story building in the center of Hamburg, Germany, technicians are preparing to install several new “racks”—gray metal casings that hold computing hardware—alongside the scores that already line the narrow, dimly lit corridors of the German Climate Computing Center (DKRZ), one of the world’s largest repositories for climate simulation data. The new equipment will add about 5 petabytes of storage capacity to the 254 petabytes of data already stored here. One petabyte is equivalent to the storage space needed for roughly 200 million high-resolution images.

通常情况下,DKRZ的主要职责是为德国的气候科学研究提供计算资源和存储空间。但这次安装的新机架将用于一个特殊且高度敏感的任务:它们将存储来自大西洋彼岸的气候模拟数据的备份副本。这一举措的目的是确保美国科学家为2029年联合国下一次气候评估所做的工作不会受到特朗普政府的影响或破坏。特朗普政府削减了气候研究的资金,隐藏了科学报告,从数十个政府网站上删除了有关人类活动导致气候变暖的相关信息,并试图阻止卫星收集关键的气候数据。

Under normal circumstances, the DKRZ’s mission is to provide computing power and storage to the German climate science community. But these new racks will serve a different and highly sensitive purpose: They will store backup versions of climate simulations from the other side of the Atlantic. The operation aims to ensure that essential work performed by US scientists for the next major U.N. climate assessment, due in 2029, cannot be meddled with or compromised by the administration of President Trump, which has slashed funding for climate research, buried scientific reports, removed references to human-caused warming from dozens of government websites, and sought to prevent satellites from collecting key climate data.

直到最近,美国科学界需要自行追踪或恢复丢失的数据集,这种想法还被认为是不可想象的。

Under normal circumstances, the DKRZ’s mission is to provide computing power and storage to the German climate science community. But these new racks will serve a different and highly sensitive purpose: They will store backup versions of climate simulations from the other side of the Atlantic. The operation aims to ensure that essential work performed by US scientists for the next major U.N. climate assessment, due in 2029, cannot be meddled with or compromised by the administration of President Trump, which has slashed funding for climate research, buried scientific reports, removed references to human-caused warming from dozens of government websites, and sought to prevent satellites from collecting key climate data.

德国科学机构的领导人公开表示,这些举措是他们创建数据备份的主要动机。作为该国主要的科研资助机构,德国研究基金会(German Research Foundation)认为,特朗普政府可能会阻止欧洲获取存储在美国的数据和研究成果。该基金会的项目经理卡特琳·温克勒(Kathrin Winkler)指出:“数据被删除的可能性也存在;此外,这些数据还可能被篡改,从而影响研究结果的客观性。”在欧洲,人们对美国科学政策的信任已经降至最低点,对失去科学数据的担忧也与日俱增。美国政府于今年1月退出了联合国政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)和《联合国气候变化框架公约》的成员资格,尽管美国的研究人员仍在为全球气候科学研究做出贡献。为了支持这些研究人员,德国研究基金会于2025年底设立了一个预算为3500万美元的项目,旨在为来自公共和开放来源的美国数据创建安全的存储副本。

Until recently, the idea that the US science community would have to track or rescue lost datasets was unthinkable. Leaders of German science organizations publicly cite these actions as their primary motivation for creating backups. The German Research Foundation, the country’s main science funding body, believes that the Trump administration could block European access to data and research findings stored in the US. “The deletion of data has also become a possibility,” says the foundation’s program manager, Kathrin Winkler, “and there is a risk that [data] could be manipulated to skew findings in a desired direction.” Trust in US science policy has fallen to a low point in Europe, and fears of losing scientific data are mounting. The US government quit both the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change in January, though US researchers are still contributing to global climate science. To support them, the German Research Foundation in late 2025 set up a program with a budget of $35 million, to provide a safe haven for permanently storing copies of US data from public and open sources.

数据收集是所有实证科学的基础。气候、环境和生物多样性研究都依赖于大量的历史和实时数据集。其中一些数据集(例如在夏威夷莫纳罗亚天文台(Mauna Loa Observatory)长期收集的大气二氧化碳浓度数据)已经持续了数十年,对于监测环境变化至关重要。2025年,特朗普政府曾试图削减该天文台的经费并关闭该观测站,但后来国会驳回了这一提议。虽然详细的数据集对研究至关重要,但在其他地方为这些数据创建备份并非标准做法。大多数科学数据集目前都存储在产生它们的大学或研究机构的硬盘或磁带中。其中一个简单的原因是:直到最近,世界似乎还足够安全,科学家们认为没有必要进行异地备份。

Data collections form the foundation of all empirical science. Climate, environmental, and biodiversity research relies on countless historical and contemporary datasets. Some of these collections, such as the iconic time series of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations made at Hawaii’s Mauna Loa Observatory, have been ongoing for decades and are critical for tracking environmental change. (In 2025, the Trump administration tried to defund and close the observatory, but later Congress rejected its proposed cuts.) While detailed datasets are essential for research, it is not standard procedure to back them up in alternate locations. Most scientific datasets are physically stored on hard drives or magnetic tapes at the universities or institutions where they are generated. One simple reason for this is that, until recently, the world seemed safe enough that scientists saw no need for offsite backups.

2025年初,埃隆·马斯克旗下的狗狗币(DOGE)平台彻底删除了美国国家航空航天局(NASA)的社会经济数据与应用中心(Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center)数十年来精心构建的300个数据集。

Data collections form the foundation of all empirical science. Climate, environmental, and biodiversity research relies on countless historical and contemporary datasets. Some of these collections, such as the iconic time series of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations made at Hawaii’s Mauna Loa Observatory, have been ongoing for decades and are critical for tracking environmental change. (In 2025, the Trump administration tried to defund and close the observatory, but later Congress rejected its proposed cuts.) While detailed datasets are essential for research, it is not standard procedure to back them up in alternate locations. Most scientific datasets are physically stored on hard drives or magnetic tapes at the universities or institutions where they are generated. One simple reason for this is that, until recently, the world seemed safe enough that scientists saw no need for offsite backups.

另一个原因是:传输和存储如此大量的数据非常复杂。通过互联网传输拍字节级的数据需要数月时间,而租用更快的光纤电缆的成本极高。通常,传输大量数据的最经济有效方式是将数据存储在硬盘或价格低廉的磁带上,然后通过“地下数据传输网络”(即通过汽车、飞机或船只等物理方式将数据运送到目的地)。

In early 2025, Elon Musk’s DOGE completely removed 300 datasets carefully built over decades by NASA’s Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center.

尽管如此,这一过程仍然既昂贵又繁琐,因此大多数数据集都只被存储在一个地方。然而,在政治动荡、网络攻击和武装冲突日益频繁的当今世界,这种存储方式越来越被认为存在风险。“如果数据仅存储在一个地点,那么在极端天气或基础设施故障等事件中,数据丢失的风险会大大增加,”位于英国的“耦合模型对比项目”(Coupled Model Intercomparison Project)国际项目办公室主任埃莉诺·奥罗克(Eleanor O’Rourke)表示。该组织负责协调政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的气候模型评估工作。如今,IPCC的气候模拟数据已被视为极其关键,因此所有相关数据都必须存储在海外仓库中。

Another reason is that transferring and storing such large amounts of information is complicated. Sending petabytes of data through the internet takes months, and renting faster fiber optic cables can be extremely costly. Often, the most cost-effective way to transfer large volumes of data is to put them on hard drives or far cheaper magnetic tapes and send them through the “sneakernet,” which means they are physically transported by car, plane, or ship. Still, the process is expensive and arduous, so most datasets have been kept in just one place. But in a world where political upheaval, cyberattacks, and armed conflicts are becoming more frequent, this practice is increasingly considered to be precarious. “If data is stored at only one site, there is a much greater risk of loss from events such as extreme weather or infrastructure failure,” says Eleanor O’Rourke, the UK-based director of the International Project Office of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, which coordinates global climate models for the IPCC’s assessments. Climate simulations for the IPCC are now considered so critical that overseas repositories are thought necessary for all contributions.

直到最近,人们还无法想象美国科学界竟然需要去追踪或抢救那些丢失的数据集。毕竟,由美国政府机构生成或资助的环境数据都是 taxpayers(纳税人)出资购买的,因此这些数据通常属于公共领域,应该可供所有人自由使用。然而,这些数据集实际上以物理形式保存在特定的地点,需要专门的专家来维护;这就使得它们容易受到人为干扰、自然灾害、技术故障(如短路或电池爆炸)以及疏于管理的影响。数据专家詹妮弗·吉布森(Jennifer Gibson)和凯特琳·塞尼(Kaitlin Thaney)最近警告说:“那些确保研究数据能够被持续访问和使用的数据库、数字资产管理服务以及数据保存系统,往往被人们忽视——直到它们真正消失为止。”

Until recently, the idea that the US science community would have to track or rescue lost datasets was unthinkable. After all, environmental data generated or funded by US government agencies was paid for by taxpayers and generally remains in the public domain. Yet these datasets exist in physical forms at specific locations and require dedicated experts to maintain them, which makes them vulnerable to human interference, as well as natural disasters, technical problems like short circuits or battery explosions, and neglect. “The data repositories, digital asset management services, and preservation systems that ensure research data remains open and accessible are often overlooked—until they disappear,” data experts Jennifer Gibson and Kaitlin Thaney warned recently.

一个典型的政治干预案例是:美国宇航局(NASA)的社会经济数据与应用中心(Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center, SEDAC)多年来精心收集的300个联邦资助的数据集最近受到了威胁。SEDAC的前负责人亚历克斯·德·谢尔比宁(Alex de Sherbinin)表示,该中心的成立初衷是“作为地球科学研究领域与社会科学之间的桥梁”,将遥感数据与关于人口、贫困和基础设施的信息结合起来。

One example of political interference is the recent threat to 300 federally funded datasets carefully built up over decades by NASA’s Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center. Alex de Sherbinin, the former SEDAC manager, said the center was founded to “serve as a bridge between the Earth and social-science research communities,” integrating remote sensing data with information on human population, poverty, and infrastructure.

2025年4月初,德·谢尔比宁震惊地发现,这些数据集被埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)领导的政府效率部门彻底删除了。多亏了各机构的共同努力,他们及时从仍在运行的服务器上提取了这些数据,并将其转移到了新的存储平台——哈佛大学的Dataverse数据库中。德·谢尔比宁指出:“鉴于现任政府反科学的倾向,认为美国政府机构会长期保存科学数据的想法,充其量也只是个不切实际的假设罢了。”

In early April 2025, de Sherbinin was shocked to discover that SEDAC’s datasets had been completely removed by Elon Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency team. It took immense efforts by various institutions, quickly scraping datasets from active servers while they were still operational, to secure the information and transfer it to a new host: the Harvard Dataverse Repository. Assumptions that US government agencies will store scientific data long-term “are proving tenuous at best, given the anti-science predisposition of the current administration,” de Sherbinin says.

目前,美国国内有许多类似的项目正在尝试将数据集迁移或复制到其他地方;但美国远非唯一一个数据安全受到威胁的国家,政治干预也并非唯一的风险因素。

Numerous similar projects aim to relocate or duplicate datasets within the United States. But the US is far from the only country where data is vulnerable, and political interference is not the only risk.

近年来,全球多家研究机构成为了黑客攻击的目标,其中包括克罗地亚的一个跨学科科研中心以及德国的一家工业工程研究所。在这些攻击中,黑客会阻止用户访问相关文件,并要求受害者支付费用才能恢复文件内容。虽然网络犯罪的受害者通常不会公开具体被攻击的文件内容,但可以肯定的是,这类攻击会对科学数据的安全造成严重威胁。

Several research institutions around the world, including a multidisciplinary scientific research center in Croatia and an institute for industrial engineering in Germany, have in recent years been the target of elaborate hacking operations, in which intruders block access to files and demand money to restore them. Victims of cybercrimes rarely disclose publicly which files were targeted, but it’s clear that such attacks can affect scientific data collections.

此外,战争也对科学研究造成了巨大破坏。俄罗斯对乌克兰的攻击不仅导致了大量平民伤亡和痛苦,还严重损害了该国的科研体系。慕尼黑马克斯·普朗克创新与竞争研究所的乌克兰研究员阿纳斯塔西娅·卢岑科表示:“俄罗斯的轰炸直接针对了多所大学和研究机构,有些机构甚至被彻底摧毁。”她指出:“俄罗斯人非常清楚,攻击科研机构会带来多么持久的危害。”

And then there’s war. Russia’s attacks on Ukraine have not only caused mass civilian death and suffering but also immense damage to the country’s science. “Universities and research institutes have been targeted by Russian bombardments, and in some cases they were completely destroyed,” says Anastasiia Lutsenko, a Ukrainian researcher at the Max Planck Institute for Innovation and Competition in Munich, whose work focuses on how her country’s science system is responding to the war. The Russians, she says, “know how much lasting harm they can inflict by attacking science.”

特朗普总统在某种程度上为科学界带来了帮助——他明确强调了“不应将所有数据集中存储在一个地方”的重要性。卢岑科认为,将数据和安全样本转移到其他地方是一个非常重要的举措。早在2022年俄罗斯入侵之前,德国、波兰和乌克兰就已经合作,将1808年至1880年间在乌克兰八个气象站收集的气象观测数据数字化,并将其存储在德国吉森大学的服务器上,从而避免了这些数据在战争中丢失的风险。在俄罗斯入侵初期,当导弹袭击了存放乌克兰生物多样性信息数据的服务器后,类似的迁移行动也被迅速实施,以确保这些数据的安全。

President Trump “has, to a certain extent, done science a favor by making it clear how important it is to not just hoard data in one place.” Lutsenko cites the transfer of data and samples to secure locations as an important step. Even before Russia’s 2022 invasion, a German-Polish-Ukrainian collaboration helped digitize records of early meteorological observations—conducted between 1808 and 1880 at eight Ukrainian meteorological stations—and transferred them to a server at the University of Giessen, Germany. This eliminated the risk of losing valuable historical data in the war. A similar transfer took place after missiles struck near the servers holding Ukraine’s contribution to the Global Biodiversity Information Facility’s records in Kharkiv at the start of Russia’s invasion.

总之,无论是黑客攻击还是战争,都对科学研究构成了严重威胁。因此,保护科学数据的安全、促进数据共享与交流显得尤为重要。

President Trump “has, to a certain extent, done science a favor by making it clear how important it is to not just hoard data in one place.” Lutsenko cites the transfer of data and samples to secure locations as an important step. Even before Russia’s 2022 invasion, a German-Polish-Ukrainian collaboration helped digitize records of early meteorological observations—conducted between 1808 and 1880 at eight Ukrainian meteorological stations—and transferred them to a server at the University of Giessen, Germany. This eliminated the risk of losing valuable historical data in the war. A similar transfer took place after missiles struck near the servers holding Ukraine’s contribution to the Global Biodiversity Information Facility’s records in Kharkiv at the start of Russia’s invasion.

增强韧性——即在面对冲击时仍能保持正常运作并完全恢复的能力——是今年3月在柏林举行的美国地球物理联合会(AGU)会议的焦点。会上,近100位专家(主要来自美国和欧洲)讨论了如何应对特朗普政府对科学的攻击。

President Trump “has, to a certain extent, done science a favor by making it clear how important it is to not just hoard data in one place.” Lutsenko cites the transfer of data and samples to secure locations as an important step. Even before Russia’s 2022 invasion, a German-Polish-Ukrainian collaboration helped digitize records of early meteorological observations—conducted between 1808 and 1880 at eight Ukrainian meteorological stations—and transferred them to a server at the University of Giessen, Germany. This eliminated the risk of losing valuable historical data in the war. A similar transfer took place after missiles struck near the servers holding Ukraine’s contribution to the Global Biodiversity Information Facility’s records in Kharkiv at the start of Russia’s invasion.

美国地球物理联合会代表了全球6万多名地球与空间科学家,已成为保护科学界及科学家免受特朗普政府政治性攻击的领头力量。2025年,当美国政府拒绝派遣美国专家参加政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)的会议时,该联合会成立了“美国学术界IPCC联盟”,并提名了近300名美国科学家参与IPCC的下一次评估工作。同年夏天,联合会还启动了“数据韧性项目”(Data Resilience Project),旨在重新审视科学数据的组织与管理方式。

The need for increased resilience—the ability to remain functional despite shocks and fully recover from them—was the focus of the American Geophysical Union (AGU) gathering held in Berlin this March. There, nearly 100 experts, primarily from the US and Europe, discussed how to respond to the Trump administration’s attacks on science. The AGU represents more than 60,000 Earth and space scientists worldwide, and it has emerged as a leader in efforts to protect science and scientists from the Trump administration’s politically motivated attacks. When the administration refused to send US experts to IPCC meetings in 2025, the AGU formed the US Academic Alliance for the IPCC and nominated nearly 300 U.S. scientists to be authors of the IPCC’s next assessment. And in the summer of 2025, it launched its Data Resilience Project, a global initiative to rethink how science is organized.

美国地球物理联合会的新任主席本·扎伊奇克(Ben Zaitchik)认为,科学正处于一个转折点。他在柏林会议上表示:“我们一直在努力确保数据的可用性和可访问性,但现在显然需要从根本上重新思考数据的管理与维护机制,以实现科学的长期可持续发展。”会议期间,大家一致认为:创建数据集的备份并将其存储在安全、偏远的地点是当务之急;同时,还需要建立一个全球性的数据协作网络,以降低当前及未来的风险。一位联合会发言人指出,这样的努力不仅对科学家至关重要,也对工程师、公共安全官员、卫生专家、政策制定者以及全球范围内的各个行业和社区都具有重要意义,因为这些领域都依赖科学数据。作为柏林会议的结果,一个由德国多家国家级研究机构组成的联盟应运而生,为来自美国及其他国家的科学家提供公共领域数据的安全存储服务。

AGU president-elect Ben Zaitchik believes that science is at an inflection point. “We have engaged in triage efforts to ensure data remains usable and accessible,” he said at the Berlin meeting. “But we clearly now have arrived at a moment where we must fundamentally reimagine data organization and maintenance for long-term viability and growth.” Creating backups of datasets and storing them in secure, distant locations was identified as a priority measure during the meeting, as was coordinating a global data community aimed at mitigating current and future risks. Such an effort was vital not only for scientists, an AGU spokesperson noted, “but also for engineers, public safety officials, health experts, policymakers, and a wide array of industries and communities globally,” which depend on scientific data. As a result of the Berlin meeting, a broad coalition of German national research centers was formed to offer safe storage for public domain information to scientists from the US and other countries.

除了 DKRZ 的努力之外,其他机构也在各个领域采取了相应的行动。例如,位于法兰克福的森肯伯格自然历史博物馆(Senckenberg Natural History Museum)正在收集来自乌克兰的野生动物追踪相机数据以及来自战乱中的也门的生物多样性数据。该博物馆的一位发言人表示:“我们希望确保即使在危机情况下,这些生物多样性数据仍然能够被使用。”

In addition to the DKRZ efforts, other initiatives have emerged across various fields. For example, the Senckenberg Natural History Museum, in Frankfurt, saves data from wildlife trail cameras in Ukraine and biodiversity data from war-ridden Yemen. “We want to ensure that biodiversity data remains usable even under crisis conditions,” a Senckenberg spokesperson says.

对于这类数据的传输而言,不仅需要保存数据本身,还需要保存用于读取和分析这些数据的专业软件。不来梅大学(University of Bremen)的地球系统数据科学教授弗兰克·奥利弗·格洛克纳(Frank Oliver Glöckner)表示:“我们正在制定数据交换的协议和流程,将数据副本分发到全球各地,并确保这些数据能够被无限期地进行分析。”他还提到,由阿尔弗雷德·韦格纳极地与海洋研究所(Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research)和该大学共同运营的长期数据存储平台“Pangaea”正在准备整合来自美国一家即将关闭的气候研究中心的数据。

For such transfers, it is critical to store not only the data itself but also any specialized software required to read and analyze it. “We’re developing protocols and procedures for exchanging data, distributing multiple copies globally, and ensuring that the data remains analyzable indefinitely,” says Frank Oliver Glöckner, a professor of earth systems data science at the University of Bremen and the head of Pangaea, a long-term data repository run by the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research and the university, both of which are preparing to integrate data from a US climate research center slated for closure.

格洛克纳认为,特朗普总统在某种程度上为科学界做出了贡献——他明确指出了“不应将数据囤积在某个地方,而应真正与全球科学界共享数据”的重要性。DKRZ 的卡多夫(Kadow)表示:“如果未来全球所有气候数据都能通过数字化渠道进行传输,那将是最理想的。这样一来,在面临威胁时,我们只需简单地切换数据存储方式,就能将数据安全地转移到其他地方。”他补充说,这也将惠及德国的研究人员;因为德国的极右翼政党 AfD 最近首次在州级选举中获胜,该政党否认气候变化的真实性。他说:“我们无法预测德国未来可能发生的政治变化,因此也无法完全避免类似美国那样的风险或发展。”

Glöckner said he believes that President Trump “has, to a certain extent, done science a favor by making it clear how important it is to not just hoard data in one place but to truly share it with the global scientific community.” “It would be ideal if, in the future, all climate data worldwide were connected via digital pipelines,” says Kadow, of the DKRZ. “That way, in the event of a threat, we could simply flip a switch to secure it elsewhere.” In the future, he says, this could also benefit researchers in Germany, where the AfD, an extreme far-right party that denies climate science, recently won a state election for the first time. “We don’t know what political shifts may occur in Germany,” he says. “We aren’t completely protected from risks or developments like those in the U.S. either.”