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油价上涨,股指期货下跌,伊朗提议遭拒:市场综述Oil Up, Stock Futures Slip as Iran Offer Rejected: Markets Wrap

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马修·伯吉斯报道:在唐纳德·特朗普总统拒绝伊朗重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的最新提议,同时表示谈判可能于本周恢复后,油价上涨,美国股指期货小幅下滑。

By Matthew Burgess Oil advanced and US equity futures slipped after President Donald Trump rejected Iran’s latest proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while saying negotiations may resume this week.

在亚洲早盘交易中,标普500指数期货下跌约0.2%,而该指数在周五上涨了0.5%。基准布伦特原油价格上涨1.5%,美元兑大多数主要货币小幅走高。

Futures for the S&P 500 Index declined around 0.2% in early Asian trading after the underlying gauge rose 0.5% on Friday. Benchmark Brent crude climbed 1.5%, while the dollar edged higher against most major currencies.

伊朗坚持其提议,称将在七天内重新开放至关重要的霍尔木兹海峡,并表示不会软化其条件。据Axios报道,特朗普表示,尽管他拒绝了德黑兰的最新报价,但他预计谈判将于本周恢复。他还表示,他正在“非常认真地”考虑禁止柴油出口。

Iran stuck to its proposal to reopen the crucial Strait of Hormuz within seven days, saying it won’t soften its conditions. Trump said he expects negotiations to resume this week despite rejecting Tehran’s latest offer, Axios reported. He also said he’s thinking “very seriously” about a ban on diesel exports.

油价仍是市场的关键驱动因素,因为高昂的能源成本加剧了通胀压力,并强化了市场对进一步加息的预期。全球债券指数平均收益率自2007年以来首次突破4%,引发市场担忧,即较高的借贷成本最终可能会拖累企业盈利。

Oil remains a key driver for markets as elevated energy costs add to inflation pressures and bolster expectations for further interest-rate increases. The average yield on a gauge of global bonds has climbed above 4% for the first time since 2007, raising concerns that higher borrowing costs may eventually weigh on company earnings.

AT Global Markets首席市场分析师尼克·特威代尔在致客户的报告中写道:“周末的地缘政治发展可能会使全球市场的波动性保持在较高水平。”

“Geopolitical developments over the weekend are likely to keep volatility elevated across global markets,” Nick Twidale, chief market analyst at AT Global Markets, wrote in a note to clients.

本周波动性可能持续,美联储偏好的通胀指标和美国就业报告将决定市场对今年至少再加息一次的预期。

Volatility may persist this week, with the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge and US jobs reports set to shape expectations for at least one more rate increase this year.

多位美联储官员指出,经济韧性增长和强劲的劳动力市场是需要进一步收紧货币政策的原因。克利夫兰联储主席贝丝·哈马克表示,这些因素以及对政府债务的担忧,正在推动长期国债收益率上升。交易员已完全计入年底前至少再加息25个基点的预期。

Several Fed officials have pointed to resilient economic growth and a strong labor market as reasons further tightening may be needed. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said those factors, along with concerns about government debt, are helping drive long-term Treasury yields higher. Traders are fully pricing at least one more 25 basis-point hike before year-end.

财政部长斯科特·贝森特(Scott Bessent)发表了更为温和的言论,称政策制定者应对利率保持“开放态度”,因为人工智能带来的生产力提升和放松监管可能有助于抑制通胀。

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent struck a more dovish tone, saying policymakers should keep an “open mind” on rates as productivity gains from artificial intelligence and deregulation may help contain inflation.

另一方面,特朗普计划于周日与人工智能公司Anthropic的首席执行官达里奥·阿莫代(Dario Amodei)共进晚餐,届时他打算讨论这位科技领袖近期关于放缓新人工智能模型开发的呼吁。

Elsewhere, Trump was set to have dinner with Anthropic PBC Chief Executive Officer Dario Amodei on Sunday, where he planned to discuss the tech chief’s recent calls for slowing the development of new AI models.

“我们会谈谈这件事,”特朗普在芝加哥附近一场高尔夫球赛的间隙对记者表示,“我的立场是,‘让我们行动起来,让我们赢得胜利。’”市场的一些主要波动如下:本文由彭博自动化系统辅助生成。

“We’re going to talk about it,” Trump told a reporter on the sidelines of a golf tournament near Chicago. “I’m for, ‘Let’s go and let’s win.’” Some of the main moves in markets: This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.