巴西即将迎来10月4日的总统选举，而联邦最高法院正深陷自民主制度恢复以来最严重的机构危机之中。现任总统卢拉与竞选者弗拉维奥·博索纳罗在所有已公布的民调中，差距均在误差范围内，处于胶着状态。
Brazil enters its October 4 presidential election with the Supreme Federal Court mired in its worst institutional crisis since the return to democracy. Incumbent Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro are tied within the margin of error in every published poll. Brazil heads into its October 4 presidential election with the Supreme Federal Court mired in its most serious institutional crisis since the return to democracy. The crisis has become entangled with the campaign itself, as the leading right-wing candidate faces a formal investigation tied to the same case. Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro are running neck and neck, with every published poll showing the two candidates tied within the margin of error. The tightness of the race has heightened scrutiny of the judiciary's credibility just days before voters go to the polls.
巴西正步入10月4日的总统选举，而联邦最高法院正深陷自民主制度恢复以来最严重的机构危机。这场危机与竞选活动本身交织在一起，因为领先的右翼候选人正面临与同一案件相关的正式调查。
The overlap between the court's troubles and the investigation into Bolsonaro's campaign has fueled debate over whether Brazil's institutions can deliver a result both sides accept. Analysts say the outcome could hinge on turnout and how voters weigh the judicial controversy against economic concerns. Read next Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro head into tied Brazil presidential vote Brazil heads to the polls on October 4 with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro running nearly even in the polls, with 158.7 million votersed. A runoff between the top two finishers would follow on October 25 if no candidate wins a majority.
现任总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦与竞选者弗拉维奥·博索纳罗势均力敌，所有已公布的民调均显示两位候选人的支持率在误差范围内持平。选情的胶着使得在选民前往投票站前数日，司法机构的公信力受到了更严格的审视。
Lula calls on Trump to stay out of Brazil's elections: 'Don't meddle' Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, in an Al Jazeera interview, called on US President Donald Trump to stay out of Brazil's elections. Lula said Trump's recent statements in favour of former President Jair Bolsonaro disrespected Brazilian sovereignty. The remarks escalated diplomatic tensions between the two capitals ahead of Brazil's autumn 2026 vote. Asian stocks retreat after fresh US strikes on Iran, PCE in focus Asian equity markets opened broadly lower on Thursday as investors absorbed news of fresh US air strikes inside Iran and the resulting overnight alert in Kuwait. Regional oil prices climbed while risk appetite eroded. Futures pointed to a cautious open for US trading hours.
法院的困境与针对博索纳罗竞选活动的调查之间的重叠，引发了关于巴西机构能否让双方都接受选举结果的辩论。分析人士指出，选举结果可能取决于投票率，以及选民如何权衡司法争议与经济问题。
Foreign investors pull $3 billion from Brazil's B3 exchange in August Foreign investors withdrew $3 billion from Brazil's B3 stock exchange in August, signaling a pullback in risk appetite for Brazilian assets. The outflow comes amid broader volatility tied to global interest-rate uncertainty and the escalating conflict involving Iran. Brazil's Intelligence Agency Warns of 'Critical' US Pressure Before Vote Brazil's intelligence agency, ABIN, has told the government and the top electoral court that pressure from Washington around the October 4 presidential vote has reached a critical level. The warning comes as incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva faces a tight race against Flávio Bolsonaro. Officials say the assessment will factor into election-security planning in the campaign's final weeks.