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Kganyago:2027年南非CPI显著放缓Kganyago Sees Significant Slowdown in South African CPI in 2027

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作者:Alister Bull南非储备银行行长Lesetja Kganyago表示,该行预计通胀将大幅降温,并在明年年底前回归3%的目标水平。

By Alister Bull The South African Reserve Bank expects inflation will cool sharply and return to its 3% target by the end of next year, Governor Lesetja Kganyago said.

自3月以来,由于乌克兰和中东战争导致的供应限制使能源价格居高不下,通胀率一直高于该目标水平。

Inflation has been above that level since March as supply constraints due to wars in the Ukraine and the Middle East have kept energy prices elevated.

周一,Kganyago在演讲中强调了冲击全球经济的连锁反应,并表示紧缩的货币政策将有助于抑制通胀。

In a speech on Monday that highlighted the cascading shocks buffeting the global economy, Kganyago said tighter monetary policy would help cool inflation.

他在约翰内斯堡的Mistra论坛上表示:“我们预计明年通胀将显著放缓,我们已提高政策利率,以确保回归3%的目标。我们目前预计将在明年年底左右实现这一目标。” 据其演讲稿显示,南非储备银行上周按预期将利率上调25个基点至7.25%。

“We expect inflation to slow significantly next year, and we have increased our policy rate to make sure we get back to 3%,” he told the Mistra Forum in Johannesburg, according to his speech text. “We currently expect to get there around the end of next year.” The SARB raised rates by 25 basis points to 7.25% last week in a well-anticipated move.

Kganyago指出:“距离我们上次实现通胀目标已经过去了大约六个月。我对未能达标感到不满——但六个月的情况远好于67个月,后者是美国通胀距离上次达到目标的时间间隔。”

“It has been about six months since we last hit our inflation target,” Kganyago said. “I am not happy that we are missing — but six months is a lot better than 67 months, which is the interval since US inflation was last at target.”