一种在俄罗斯使用中出现的不寻常肩射防空导弹可能源自中国或伊朗,这引发了外界对武器如何通过莫斯科、北京和德黑兰之间日益互联的军事供应网络流动的疑问。
An unusual shoulder-fired air defense missile seen in Russian use may be of Chinese or Iranian origin, raising questions about the movement of foreign weapons through the increasingly interconnected military supply networks linking Moscow, Beijing, and Tehran.
便携式防空系统(MANPADS)出现在俄罗斯电视画面中,画面显示一支机动防空小组在毗邻乌克兰的罗斯托夫地区活动。该武器是在一场据称涉及俄罗斯第51防空师某部单位的演习中展示的。相关画面随后被X账号TheDeadDistrict重点转发。
man-portable air defense system (MANPADS) appeared in Russian television footage showing a mobile air defense group operating in the Rostov region, which borders Ukraine. The weapon was shown during an exercise said to have involved one of the elements of Russia’s 51st Air Defense Division. The footage was subsequently highlighted by the X account TheDeadDistrict.
俄罗斯人研发了一种新型“Iva”便携式防空系统。在画面中,它正服役于罗斯托夫州第51防空师的一支机动火力小组。
ruSSian's have developed a new “Iva” MANPADS. In the footage, it is in service with one of the mobile fire groups of the 51st Air Defense Division in Rostov Oblast.
不过,不——它很可能是伊朗的Misagh-2便携式防空系统。
Although, no—it is most likely the Iranian Misagh-2 MANPADS.
想想看,他们甚至连足够的产量都没有——𝔗𝔥𝔢 𝕯𝔢𝔞𝔡 𝕯𝔦𝔰𝔱𝔯𝔦𝔠𝔱 2026年9月28日 该系统与俄罗斯武装力量 otherwise 使用的任何俄制便携式防空系统系列都不太相似。画面中与这种武器一同出现的俄方人员据称将其称为“Iva”,但仅凭这一名称并不能确定该武器的来源或型号。Iva在俄语中意为柳树(一种树木),其中一个特定树种名为Verba——这也是俄制9K333便携式防空系统的名称。这种武器与所示样品看起来非常不同,但这种联系不太可能是巧合。
Imagine, they don't even have enough production…— 𝔗𝔥𝔢 𝕯𝔢𝔞𝔡 𝕯𝔦𝔰𝔱𝔯𝔦𝔠𝔱 September 28, 2026 The system does not closely resemble any of the Russian-made MANPADS families otherwise used by the country’s armed forces. Russian personnel seen with the weapon reportedly referred to it as “Iva,” although that designation by itself does not establish the weapon’s origin or model. The word Iva is Russian for willow (a type of tree), of which one particular species is named Verba— also the name of the Russian-made 9K333 MANPADS. This weapon looks very different to the example shown, but the connection is unlikely to be a coincidence.
对新观察到的发射器进行视觉分析后,可以将其与伊朗的Misagh-3和中国的前卫系列系统进行比较,尤其是QW-18/QW-18A和QW-19。特别是,对图像的更仔细检查突出显示,发射器前部有一个额外的盒状部件。这一特征似乎更符合中国前卫系列系统的照片,而不是Misagh。
A visual analysis of the newly observed launcher reveals comparisons with both the Iranian Misagh-3 and Chinese QW-series systems, particularly the QW-18/QW-18A and QW-19. In particular, a closer examination of the imagery highlights an additional box-like component toward the front of the launcher. That feature appears more consistent with photographs of Chinese QW-series systems rather than the Misagh.
此外,由于缺乏后期伊朗型号的公开图像,无法完全排除这是伊朗系统的可能性。同时,据了解,“米萨格”系列本身源自中国设计,或至少深受中国设计影响。
There is also a scarcity of publicly available imagery of later Iranian variants to completely exclude an Iranian system. At the same time, the Misagh series itself is understood to be derived, or at least heavily influenced by Chinese designs.
配备QW-18/米萨格-2便携式防空导弹的伊朗巴西吉民兵 2026年3月26日 另一种可能是,该武器是基于中国或伊朗设计的俄罗斯生产版本或衍生型,而非进口系统。
Iranian basij with QW-18/Misagh-2 MANPADS March 26, 2026 Another possibility is that the weapon is a Russian-produced version or derivative of a Chinese or Iranian design, rather than an imported system. The possibility of foreign-made or foreign-designed equipment appearing in Russian service has to be viewed against the much broader transformation of Moscow’s military relationships since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
外国制造或外国设计装备出现在俄罗斯军队中的可能性,必须结合2022年2月全面入侵乌克兰以来莫斯科军事关系发生的更广泛转变来看待。
The possibility of foreign-made or foreign-designed equipment appearing in Russian service has to be viewed against the much broader transformation of Moscow’s military relationships since the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
入侵以来,俄罗斯与中国的关系大幅深化,北京成为机械、电子产品及其他组件的关键来源,而俄罗斯国防工业已难以像从前那样轻易从西方供应商处获得这些物资。莫斯科和北京在入侵前不久已宣布建立“无上限”伙伴关系,此后其军事关系包括演习和不断扩大的军事技术合作。美国官员指责中国向俄罗斯提供用于武器生产的组件,包括微电子元件。北京拒绝了其向俄罗斯提供致命军事援助的指控。
Russia’s relationship with China has deepened substantially since the invasion, with Beijing becoming a critical source of machinery, electronics, and other components that Russia’s defense industry can no longer obtain as readily from Western suppliers. Moscow and Beijing had already declared a “no limits” partnership shortly before the invasion, and their military relationship has subsequently included exercises and expanding military-technical cooperation. U.S. officials have accused China of supplying Russia with components used in weapons production, including microelectronics. Beijing has rejected accusations that it is providing lethal military assistance to Russia.
伊朗也已成为俄罗斯的重要军事伙伴,俄罗斯在乌克兰大量使用伊朗设计的“见证者”系列攻击无人机,并与德黑兰合作在当地生产和改进这些系统。莫斯科和德黑兰于2025年1月签署全面战略伙伴关系条约,进一步正式确立双边关系,条约包含军事技术合作和联合演习条款。
Iran has also become an important military partner Russia has used Iranian-designed Shahed-series attack drones extensively in Ukraine and has worked with Tehran on local production and adaptation of those systems. Moscow and Tehran formalized their relationship further with a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty in January 2025, which includes provisions for military-technical cooperation and joint exercises.
作为回报,俄罗斯向伊朗提供军事技术,并在敏感武器项目上与德黑兰合作。
Iran has also become an important military partner Russia has used Iranian-designed Shahed-series attack drones extensively in Ukraine and has worked with Tehran on local production and adaptation of those systems. Moscow and Tehran formalized their relationship further with a comprehensive strategic partnership treaty in January 2025, which includes provisions for military-technical cooperation and joint exercises.
考虑到中国和伊朗之间据报的一项重大采购协议,这种可能的中国关联有了更重要的意义。
In return, Russia has supplied Iran with military technology and has cooperated with Tehran on sensitive weapons programs.
7月,据报道,伊朗预计将收到一项涵盖300至400枚中国制造MANPADS(便携式防空导弹)交易的首批货物,据报价值6000万至7000万美元。消息人士确认的武器包括中国的QW-12和FN-16系统。
The possible Chinese connection takes on additional significance in light of a major reported procurement deal between China and Iran. In July, reported that Iran was expected to receive the first shipment of a deal covering 300 to 400 Chinese-made MANPADS, with a reported value of $60 million to $70 million. The weapons identified by sources included the Chinese QW-12 and FN-16 systems.
美国担忧的中国导弹……无人机和低空飞行器的“不眠之眼” 中国的QW-12和FN-16防空系统拦截低空目标——包括无人机——形成针对近程空中威胁的快速防御线。
Chinese missiles the United States fears… an unsleeping eye against drones and low‑flying aircraft China’s QW‑12 and FN‑16 air‑defense systems intercept low‑altitude targets — including drones — forming a rapid defensive line against close‑range aerial threats.
2026年8月23日 据报该合同与一家总部位于香港的公司签署,消息人士称该公司是伊朗方面与中国供应商之间的中间商。据报道,首批交付计划从中国西部的乌鲁木齐发出,武器随后经巴基斯坦中转后抵达伊朗。巴基斯坦军方公开否认参与此类转移,而中国外交部称该报道“毫无根据”。还报道称,交付时间表和数量仍可能变动。
August 23, 2026 The reported contract was signed with a Hong Kong-based company that sources described as an intermediary between the Iranian side and the Chinese supplier. said the initial deliveries were planned from Urumqi in western China, with the weapons then transiting through Pakistan before reaching Iran. Pakistan’s military publicly denied any involvement in such transfers, while China’s Foreign Ministry called the report “groundless.” also reported that delivery schedules and quantities could still change.
对于在俄罗斯的目击事件更为重要的是,一位欧洲安全消息人士告诉,当局知晓几份正在讨论的合同,涉及向伊朗潜在出售QW-12、QW-18和QW-19型MANPADS。一位中东安全消息人士则单独声称伊朗一直在寻求QW-18系统。
More significantly for the Russian sighting, a European security source told that authorities were aware of several contracts under discussion involving the potential sale of QW-12, QW-18, and QW-19 MANPADS to Iran. A Middle Eastern security source separately claimed that Iran had been seeking QW-18 systems.
该行动使用MANPADS实施,极有可能是中国的“QW-18”防空导弹或其伊朗仿制型“Misagh-3”(米萨格-3)。
The operation was carried out using a MANPADS, likely the Chinese “QW-18” anti-aircraft missile or its Iranian copy, the “Misagh-3”.
2024年10月23日 目前没有证据将俄罗斯手中发现的发射装置与伊朗从中国的采购联系起来。
October 23, 2024 There is currently no evidence tying the launcher seen in Russian hands to the Iranian procurement from China.
同时,不应排除伊朗关联的可能性,特别是因为中国设计的MANPADS有据可查的历史,曾出现在常规国家库存之外。
At the same time, the possibility of an Iranian connection should not be ruled out, especially since Chinese-designed MANPADS have a documented history of appearing outside conventional state inventories.
早前基于“小型武器调查”监测组织研究的报道,考察了中国设计的便携式防空导弹(MANPADS)的非法扩散情况,并确认了涉及多国武装团体的数十起案例。该研究涵盖了QW系列武器,并记录了调查人员将中国设计的便携式防空导弹与伊朗供应网络联系起来的案例。
Earlier reporting drawing on research by the Small Arms Survey monitoring group, examined the illicit proliferation of Chinese-designed MANPADS and identified dozens of cases involving armed groups in multiple countries. That research included QW-series weapons and documented cases in which investigators linked Chinese-designed MANPADS to Iranian supply networks.
一个特别引人注目的案例涉及“焦尼1号”货轮,该船于2013年被拦截,船上运载的武器被调查人员认定包括QW-18型便携式防空导弹。联合国调查人员、美国政府和冲突武器研究组织均评估认为伊朗是这些武器的可能来源。
One particularly notable case involved the , a vessel intercepted in 2013 carrying weapons that investigators identified as including QW-18-pattern MANPADS. UN investigators, the U.S. government, and Conflict Armament Research assessed Iran as the likely source of those weapons.
同样值得注意的是,中国便携式防空导弹已出现在俄乌战争战场上。2025年底至2026年,乌克兰部队被拍到装备中国制造的FN-6和FN-16系统,其中包括一枚据报道用于击落俄罗斯巡航导弹的FN-6。这些武器究竟如何流入乌克兰目前尚不清楚,可能的解释包括第三方转移或货物被转移等。
It is also worth noting that Chinese MANPADS have already appeared on the of the war. In late 2025 and 2026, Ukrainian units were photographed with Chinese-made FN-6 and FN-16 systems, including an FN-6 associated with an air defense team reportedly engaging a Russian cruise missile. Exactly how the weapons reached Ukraine remains unclear, with possible third-party transfers or diverted shipments among the possible explanations.
第143联合特遣队“波迪利亚”旅的MFG部队装备的一枚中国FN-6便携式防空导弹。据报道,该导弹于今日上午被用于击落一枚俄罗斯Kh-101巡航导弹。
A Chinese FN-6 MANPADS in service with the MFG of the 143rd JTC “Podillia.” It is reported that this MANPADS was used this morning to shoot down a ruSSian Kh-101 CM.
FN-6研发于2000年,曾向苏丹等国出口,据推测正是从苏丹流向乌克兰。2025年11月19日报道称,今日上午使用中国FN-6便携式防空导弹击落一枚Kh-101巡航导弹。目前没有公开信息证实该系统已被供应给乌克兰或由乌克兰使用,这使其成为一个值得注意的发展。—— NOELREPORTS此类事件表明,中国便携式防空导弹可通过间接供应网络流转,包括与德黑兰相关的网络。
The FN-6 was developed in 2000 and supplied, among others, to Sudan, from where it likely found its way to Ukraine November 19, 2025 Reported as the downing of an Kh-101 cruise missile this morning using a Chinese FN-6 MANPADS. There is no public information confirming that this system has been supplied to or used by Ukraine, making this a notable development. — NOELREPORTS Incidents like these demonstrate that Chinese MANPADS can move through indirect supply networks, including networks associated with Tehran. Regardless of how it arrived in Russia, the appearance of a foreign or foreign-derived MANPADS there is notable.
无论该武器如何流入俄罗斯,外国或外国衍生型便携式防空导弹在那里出现本身就值得关注。
Mobile fire groups have become an increasingly visible component of Russia’s layered air defense effort, particularly as the war in Ukraine has placed enormous emphasis on countering low-altitude drones and other threats, including deep inside Russia.
机动火力小组已成为俄罗斯分层防空体系中日益显眼的组成部分,尤其是随着乌克兰战争极大地强调了对抗低空无人机和其他威胁的必要性,包括俄罗斯纵深地区。
A Russian CUAS mobile fire group shown with a Courier UGV for additional counter-drone targeting.
图为配备“信使”无人地面车辆(UGV)以提供额外反无人机瞄准能力的俄罗斯反无人机系统(CUAS)机动火力小组。
September 2, 2026 MANPADS are well suited to this mission because they can be dispersed among small teams, rapidly repositioned, and deployed without the larger radar and vehicle infrastructure associated with conventional surface-to-air missile batteries. In particular, they can be deployed around military installations and other sensitive infrastructure.
2026年9月2日 便携式防空导弹(MANPADS)非常适合执行这一任务,因为它们可以分散部署在小分队中、快速换位,且无需常规地空导弹阵地所需的大型雷达和车辆基础设施。特别是,它们可以部署在军事设施和其他敏感基础设施周围。
September 2, 2026 MANPADS are well suited to this mission because they can be dispersed among small teams, rapidly repositioned, and deployed without the larger radar and vehicle infrastructure associated with conventional surface-to-air missile batteries. In particular, they can be deployed around military installations and other sensitive infrastructure. A foreign system appearing in a Russian mobile fire group might be an imported weapon, an Iranian-produced derivative, a Chinese system acquired for evaluation, a captured weapon, or even a previously unidentified Russian configuration.
出现在俄罗斯机动火力小组中的外国系统可能是进口武器、伊朗生产的衍生型号、为评估而获取的中国系统、缴获武器,甚至是此前未被识别的俄罗斯配置。
model, or even that it is a brand new Chinese-made variant (its possible that I just hadn't seen it, or seen it from these angles) but it is a notable new addition to Russia's MANPADS inventory.
型号,甚至可能是全新的中国制造变体(也可能只是我之前没见过,或没从这些角度见过),但它是俄罗斯便携式防空导弹库存中一个值得注意的新增装备。
Another possibility is that the MANPADS is North Korean in origin. Russia’s military relationship with Pyongyang has expanded significantly including the provision of increasingly advanced military equipment and technology. There is no known North Korean MANPADS matching the configuration seen here, however, and the possibility remains speculative. North Korean weapons have also frequently incorporated or closely followed Chinese designs meaning a Chinese-looking configuration would not necessarily rule out a North Korean origin.
另一种可能是该便携式防空导弹源自朝鲜。俄罗斯与平壤的军事关系已显著扩大,包括提供越来越先进的军事装备和技术。然而,目前没有已知的朝鲜便携式防空导弹与此处所见配置相符,因此这一可能性仍属推测。朝鲜武器也经常采用或紧随中国设计,因此外观像中国的配置不一定能排除朝鲜制造的可能性。
Another possibility is that the MANPADS is North Korean in origin. Russia’s military relationship with Pyongyang has expanded significantly including the provision of increasingly advanced military equipment and technology. There is no known North Korean MANPADS matching the configuration seen here, however, and the possibility remains speculative. North Korean weapons have also frequently incorporated or closely followed Chinese designs meaning a Chinese-looking configuration would not necessarily rule out a North Korean origin.
我通过地理定位得以确认,朝鲜M-1978/1989型“果山”170毫米自行火炮的照片是在俄罗斯拍摄的。
I was able to geolocate and thus confirm that the photo of North Korean M-1978/1989 Koksan 170mm SPGs was taken in Russia.
56.069386, 92.920244 克拉斯诺亚尔斯克,俄罗斯中部 自2022年以来,俄罗斯大幅扩大了国防生产,但其工业仍面临沉重的战时需求和制裁带来的限制。西方限制措施使获取先进电子产品、机床及其他组件变得复杂,而俄罗斯则日益依赖国内替代品和外国供应商。
56.069386, 92.920244 Krasnoyarsk, central Russia Russia has dramatically expanded defense production since 2022, but its industry remains under heavy wartime demand and sanctions-related constraints. Western restrictions have complicated access to advanced electronics, machine tools and other components, while Russia has increasingly relied on domestic substitutes and foreign suppliers. At the same time, Russia must replenish weapons consumed in Ukraine, meaning foreign supplies could supplement domestic production, fill specific gaps, or allow scarce industrial capacity to be directed elsewhere.
与此同时,俄罗斯必须补充在乌克兰消耗的武器,这意味着外国供应可以补充国内生产、填补特定缺口,或将稀缺的工业产能转向其他领域。
For Russia, even a limited number of additional shoulder-fired systems could therefore have practical value as Ukrainian long-range strike capabilities continue to expand.
因此,随着乌克兰远程打击能力的持续扩展,即使是少量额外的单兵便携式防空系统,对俄罗斯而言也可能具有实际价值。
For now, the exact model and provenance of the MANPADS in question remain unconfirmed, but the apparent Chinese or Iranian design characteristics are highly noteworthy. Further appearances of the system could provide the clues needed to determine what it is, where it came from, and whether this represents an isolated example or a more significant acquisition effort.
目前,相关便携式防空导弹的具体型号和来源尚未得到证实,但其明显的中国或伊朗设计特征值得高度关注。该系统的进一步出现可能提供确定其身份、来源以及这究竟是个例还是更大规模采购行动所需的关键线索。帖子标题:神秘单兵便携式防空导弹现身俄军服役
For now, the exact model and provenance of the MANPADS in question remain unconfirmed, but the apparent Chinese or Iranian design characteristics are highly noteworthy. Further appearances of the system could provide the clues needed to determine what it is, where it came from, and whether this represents an isolated example or a more significant acquisition effort. The post Mystery Shoulder-Fired Surface-To-Air Missile Appears In Russian Service