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阿根廷的米莱否认经济衰退,而摩根大通预测第三季度将出现萎缩Argentina's Milei Denies Recession as J.P. Morgan Forecasts Q3 Contraction

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阿根廷总统哈维尔·米莱驳斥了有关该国陷入衰退的说法,称经济只是“放缓”,仍在继续增长。就在他否认经济衰退之际,摩根大通预计阿根廷第三季度产出将收缩,并将该国2026年增长预期下调至1.5%。这一修订给米莱政府增加了压力,因为该国中期选举即将到来。

Argentine President Javier Milei has rejected suggestions his country is in recession, insisting the economy has merely "slowed down" while continuing to grow. The denial comes as J.P. Morgan forecast a contraction in Argentina's third-quarter output and cut its 2026 growth estimate to 1.5%. The revision adds pressure on Milei's government ahead of upcoming midterm elections. President Javier Milei pushed back on Sunday against growing concerns that Argentina has entered a recession, telling reporters the economy had "slowed down" but was still expanding overall. His comments followed weeks of weaker retail and industrial activity data that fueled speculation about a downturn. J.P. Morgan cut its outlook for Latin America's third-largest economy, forecasting an outright contraction in the third quarter and lowering its full-year 2026 growth estimate to 1.5%, down from an earlier, more optimistic projection.

周日,哈维尔·米莱总统反驳了有关阿根廷已进入衰退的日益广泛的担忧。他对记者表示,经济只是“放缓”,但总体上仍在扩张。此前数周零售和工业活动数据疲弱,引发了经济下行的猜测。

The bank cited tighter credit conditions and slowing consumer spending as key drags on output. The forecast complicates Milei's economic narrative just as his libertarian government defends its austerity program ahead of coming midterm elections. Investors have watched Argentine bonds and the peso closely for signs the slowdown could deepen, though officials maintain the economy remains on a path of disinflation and gradual recovery. Read next Debt-hungry AI data center firms face growing risk as bond yields spike The artificial intelligence infrastructure buildout shows no sign of slowing, but a surge in Treasury yields means it is about to cost far more.

摩根大通下调了对这个拉美第三大经济体的展望,预计其第三季度将出现全面收缩,并将2026年全年增长预期从此前较为乐观的预测下调至1.5%。该行称,信贷条件收紧和消费支出放缓是拖累产出的主要原因。

Companies that financed data centers with heavy debt now face a sharper repayment burden. Brazil Heads to Deadlocked Election Under Supreme Court Cloud Brazil enters its October 4 presidential election with the Supreme Federal Court mired in its worst institutional crisis since the return to democracy. Incumbent Lula and challenger Flávio Bolsonaro are tied within the margin of error in every published poll. Brazil's Nubank in talks to buy Britain's digital bank Monzo Brazilian fintech giant Nubank is in talks to acquire British digital bank Monzo at a valuation of roughly $10.6 billion to $13.2 billion, Sky News reports.

在即将到来的中期选举前,米莱的自由意志主义政府正在为紧缩计划辩护,而这项预测使其经济叙事更加复杂。投资者一直密切关注阿根廷债券和比索走势,寻找经济放缓加深的迹象,不过官员坚称,经济仍处于通胀回落和逐步复苏的轨道上。

A deal would mark Latin America's largest digital bank's biggest push yet into Europe. Argentina's dollar-crypto habit could preview a global stablecoin future Argentines' decades-long habit of juggling pesos, dollars and now cryptocurrency is drawing attention as a possible blueprint for how stablecoins could function worldwide. Analysts say the shift reflects new global factors, not just Argentina's recurring economic crises, pointing toward a future where crypto and traditional currency coexist. Argentina's country risk tops 600 points as US rates rise Argentina's country-risk index, which tracks the premium investors demand on its sovereign bonds, has climbed above 600 points as US interest rates rise and local economic data disappoint. Global market turbulence has pushed the country's borrowing costs higher again.