作者:Aashna Shah、Shruti Date Singh 和 Brian Smith随着收益率飙升至至少 2011 年以来的最高水平,越来越多的市政债券发行交易被搁置,州和地方借款方正在等待更有利的市场条件。
By Aashna Shah, Shruti Date Singh and Brian Smith More municipal bond deals are being put on ice as state and local borrowers wait for better days with yields surging to the highest since at least 2011.
据知情人士透露,洛杉矶会展中心一笔 18 亿美元的债券发行因市场状况而推迟。该交易原定于本周定价,现已转为“逐日定价”状态,意味着暂无确定的证券定价日期。
A $1.8 billion bond sale for the Los Angeles Convention Center has been delayed due to market conditions, according to people familiar with the matter. The deal was originally expected to price this week and has now been put on day-to-day status, meaning there’s no set date for pricing the securities.
洛杉矶市财政部门代表未回复置评请求,承销商摩根士丹利拒绝置评。
Representatives for the Los Angeles city finance department didn’t respond to requests for comment while the underwriter, Morgan Stanley, declined to comment.
同样,纳什维尔和戴维森县大都会政府会展中心管理局一笔约 7.77 亿美元的债券发行也被置于“逐日定价”状态,此前原定于 9 月 24 日定价。该交易的主承销商高盛集团拒绝置评。该管理局代表未立即回复置评请求。
Similarly, a roughly $777 million bond sale issued by the Convention Center Authority of the Metropolitan Government of Nashville and Davidson County has been put on day-to-day status, after it was originally supposed to price on Sept. 24. Goldman Sachs Group Inc., the senior manager for the deal, declined to comment. Representatives for the authority didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
另据知情人士透露,新泽西交通信托基金管理局一笔约 17 亿美元的债券发行也因市场状况而暂停。该交易的管理商巴克莱银行发言人拒绝置评。新泽西交通信托基金管理局代表未立即提供置评。
Another roughly $1.7 billion bond sale for the New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority was put on hold due to market conditions, according to a person familiar with the matter. A spokesperson for Barclays Plc, the manager of the deal, declined to comment. Representatives from the New Jersey Transportation Trust Fund Authority didn’t immediately provide a comment.
这些交易停滞之际,基准 30 年期市政债收益率于周一纽约时间下午 2 点升至 5.18%,为至少 2011 年 1 月以来最高,本月累计上涨约 60 个基点,据彭博编制数据显示。市政债收益率已连续第五个交易日飙升,因固定收益市场消化美联储再次加息的前景,以及动荡的油价可能进一步推高通胀。
The stalled-out deals come as the yield on benchmark 30-year municipal debt climbed to 5.18% as of 2 p.m. New York time on Monday, the highest since at least January 2011 and up roughly 60 basis points this month, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Muni yields surged for a fifth-straight session as fixed-income markets digested the prospect of another Federal Reserve interest-rate hike and choppy oil prices threatening to further stoke inflation.
收益率上升导致一些发行人——包括原本计划通过再融资旧债以节省成本的发行人——推迟入市发行。
Higher yields have led some issuers, including those who planned to refinance old debt to glean savings, to delay coming to market.
“市场环境持续变得更具挑战性,”NewSquare Capital高级固定收益投资组合经理Kim Olsan在电子邮件中表示。据Olsan估计,截至周一,约23亿美元的市政债券交易显示转为“逐日定价”状态,其中约15亿美元似乎是为偿还旧债以节省债务偿付成本而进行的再融资发行。
“Market conditions continue to become more challenging,” Kim Olsan, senior fixed-income portfolio manager for NewSquare Capital, said in an email. As of Monday, about $2.3 billion in municipal deals were showing as moving to day-to-day status, and about $1.5 billion of that appeared to be sales to refund old debt to save on debt-service costs, Olsan estimates.
约4万亿美元的州和地方债券市场,此前被视为固定收益资产类别中平稳的一隅,正逐渐习惯盘中波动。地缘政治和经济层面的意外事件要求定价和发行时机具备更大灵活性。
The roughly $4 trillion market for state and local bonds, which was previously seen as a staid corner of fixed-income asset classes, is getting more accustomed to intraday swings. Geopolitical and economic surprises are requiring more pricing and timing flexibility.
“许多发行人在如何以及何时进入市场方面变得更加审慎和深思熟虑,”Huntington Capital Markets公共财务主管Samantha Costanzo在电子邮件中表示。“如今,暂缓发行以等待更稳定的市场基调、避免混乱的交易日,不再是禁忌。”本月初,北德克萨斯收费公路管理局因近期利率波动,推迟了原定于9月7日当周发行的约7.97亿美元债券。据承销商Loop Capital Markets称,该机构将在更有利的条件下重新考虑入市。该机构未回复置评请求。
“Many issuers are being more strategic and thoughtful about how and when they access the market,” Samantha Costanzo, head of public finance at Huntington Capital Markets, said in an email. “Today, it’s no longer taboo to hit pause and wait for a more stable tone to avoid messy market days.”Earlier this month, the North Texas Tollway Authority delayed a roughly $797 million bond sale that was set to be sold during the week of Sept. 7 due to recent rate movements and volatility. The agency would reconsider reentering the market under better circumstances, according to underwriter Loop Capital Markets. The agency didn’t respond to requests for comment.
“债券市场的暴跌上周咬掉了一部分供给,交易被撤回或缩减规模,”由Peter DeGroot领导的摩根大通策略师团队在周一的报告中写道。策略师们维持其预测,但预计如果现状持续,每周发行量将在基准供给数字之上“减记”10亿至30亿美元。
“The rout in the bond markets took a bite out of supply last week, with deals pulled or downsized,” JPMorgan Chase & Co. strategists led by Peter DeGroot wrote in a report Monday. The strategists are keeping their forecast, but expect a $1 billion to $3 billion haircut on volume off of the top-line supply numbers per week, “if conditions persist.”