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由于对石油价格的担忧,债券抛售加剧Bond selloff deepens on oil fears

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周一,美国10年期国债收益率回升至2007年以来的高点,这主要是由于美伊外交关系的恶化重新引发了人们对油价长期上涨的担忧。

The US 10-year Treasury yield returned to highs not seen since 2007 on Monday as faltering US-Iran diplomacy rekindled fears of higher-for-longer oil prices.

在唐纳德·特朗普总统拒绝与德黑兰进行谈判后,布伦特原油价格一度飙升,但随着有消息称沙特阿美通过其东西向管道恢复了供应,油价又有所回落。

Brent crude spiked after US President Donald Trump dismissed negotiations with Tehran, but retreated on reports that Saudi Aramco had restored supply through its East-West pipeline. Yields are currently tethered to oil prices, which along with “sticky inflation expectations, resilient activity and heavy sovereign financing needs are combining to push global discount rates higher,” a market strategist told The Wall Street Journal, with elevated US inflation and solid labor figures expected this week.

一位市场策略师告诉《华尔街日报》,目前国债收益率与油价紧密相关,再加上'顽固的通胀预期、强劲的经济活动和大量的主权融资需求'共同推高了全球的折现率。预计本周美国通胀数据将保持高位,劳动力市场也将表现稳健。'

“Our sense is that [bond] yields could grind higher,” an S&P Global Ratings analyst said: “We see the energy price shock continuing through 2027.”

我们的看法是,债券收益率可能会继续上升,'标准普尔全球评级公司的分析师表示:'我们认为能源价格冲击将持续到2027年。'

— Brendan Ruberry