彭博社报道,中国推动银行清理巨额不良消费贷款的举措正面临阻力,有关部门正在审查作为此次清理工作关键环节的债务催收机构。
By Bloomberg News China’s push to rid banks of a huge pile of soured consumer loans is running into hurdles, as authorities scrutinize debt collectors central to the cleanup effort.
中国各家银行正以每美元仅数美分的价格,将成批的违约消费贷款出售给专门管理不良资产的公司。这些公司正与全国各地的债务催收机构合作,追踪借款人并尽可能收回欠款。由国家主导的债务清理行动始于2021年的一项试点项目,此后规模显著扩大,已有数十家金融机构参与。
The country’s banks have been offloading bundles of defaulted consumer loans at pennies on the dollar to companies that specialize in managing troubled assets. Those firms are working with debt collectors all over the country to track down borrowers and recoup whatever money they can. The state-led cleanup effort grew out of a pilot program in 2021 and has grown substantially, with dozens of financial institutions participating.
然而,问题开始显现。据知情人士介绍,由于担心债务催收公司的活动可能扰乱社会稳定,中国公安机关正加强审查这些公司,以及其为迫使债务人还款而采取的手段。
Problems, however, are starting to emerge. Chinese public security authorities are taking a closer look at debt collection companies and what they are doing to pressure people to repay their debt, due to concerns that their activities could disrupt social stability, according to people familiar with the matter.
这轮整顿导致一些债务处置公司裁员或停业,拖慢了催收进度,也降低了贷款回收率。业内人士表示,这正使投资者和资产管理人在购买不良贷款组合时更加谨慎,而这可能不利于银行从资产负债表中清除更多坏账。这再次表明,政府行为正在干预经济活动,并延长信用下行周期。
The crackdown has led some debt resolution firms to lay off workers or shut down, slowing collection efforts and hurting loan recovery rates. Industry executives say that is making investors and asset managers turn cautious about buying portfolios of non-performing loans — which could be detrimental for banks that need to purge more bad debt from their balance sheets. It shows, once again, how government actions are interfering with economic activities, prolonging the credit downturn.
负责监管银行及其他金融机构的公安部和国家金融监督管理总局均未回应置评请求。
China’s Ministry of Public Security and the National Financial Regulatory Administration, which oversees banks and other financial institutions, did not respond to requests for comment.
中国解决债务问题的紧迫性日益上升。据研究机构Gavekal Dragonomics的数据,截至2025年底,多达1亿人——约占中国成年人口的十分之一——拖欠了至少2.2万亿元(3270亿美元)未偿债务的款项。
There is a growing urgency for China to fix its debt woes. As many as 100 million people — or around a tenth of its adult population — were behind on payments on at least 2.2 trillion yuan ($327 billion) in outstanding debt as of end-2025, according to research firm Gavekal Dragonomics.
中国各大银行公布的最新上半年业绩显示,不良零售贷款规模有所增加,这表明家庭财务状况持续恶化。作为最大的国有商业银行,中国工商银行股份有限公司的信用卡透支不良贷款率从2025年底的4.61%上升至6月的5.37%。
Major Chinese banks’ latest first-half results showed increases in non-performing retail loans, indicating that household finances continue to deteriorate. Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the biggest state-owned lender, saw its NPL ratio for credit-card overdrafts climb to 5.37% in June, from 4.61% at the end of 2025.
与美国不同,中国尚未建立全国性的个人破产制度,因此财务上陷入困境的借款人通常没有法律途径来免除自己的未偿债务。此外,中国在应对普遍存在的消费者违约现象方面也缺乏经验。
Unlike the US, China doesn’t have a nationwide personal bankruptcy system, so financially insolvent borrowers generally have no legal mechanism to discharge their unpaid debt. The country also has little experience navigating a credit cycle marked by widespread consumer defaults.
几年前,中国的银行业监管机构开始允许银行通过一个中央交易平台,将大量无担保的个人不良贷款批量出售给资产管理公司。该交易平台的交易量激增,其中许多贷款已经逾期多年。
China’s banking regulator a few years ago began allowing banks to sell unsecured personal NPLs in bulk to asset-management companies via a central transaction platform. Listing volumes have surged on that marketplace, with many bundles containing loans that have been overdue for years.
这些批量出售的贷款包括信用卡借款和其他无担保债务,有助于银行维持较低的不良贷款率,并将损失分摊到更长的时间内,从而减轻对金融系统的冲击。同时,这些不良贷款的回收工作则交给了以盈利为目的的投资者来完成。
The bulk loan sales, which comprise credit-card borrowings and other unsecured debt, have helped banks keep their reported non-performing loan ratios low and spread out losses over time, cushioning the hit to the financial system. They also leave the laborious task of recovering funds to profit-seeking investors.
据彭博新闻统计,2026年前八个月共有超过一千笔不良贷款被挂牌出售,涉及未偿还金额达2750亿元人民币。并非所有挂牌的贷款都能成功售出,该交易平台也已停止公布总体交易量。
There were more than a thousand blocks of loans put up for sale in the first eight months of 2026, covering more than 275 billion yuan in unpaid balances, according to data compiled by Bloomberg News. Not every listing results in a sale, and the platform has stopped releasing aggregate transaction volumes.
这些不良贷款的买家大多是专门处理不良债务的国有资产管理公司。其中一些公司将部分贷款转售给其他公司,由后者投入资金来追讨这些债务。据市场参与者称,早期交易的不良贷款组合售价通常为贷款面值的5%至7%;有些交易的售价甚至仅为贷款本金的1%。
Most buyers of the personal NPLs are state-owned asset management companies that specialize in working out bad debt. Some of these firms have parceled out some of the loans to other firms that are pumping in money to recover the debt. Many portfolios earlier sold for around 5% to 7% of the loans’ face value, according to market participants. Some transacted for as little as 1% of their outstanding principal.
据知情人士透露,在近期放缓趋势出现之前,中国当局正考虑是否扩大批量不良贷款出售计划,将住房按揭等有担保贷款纳入其中。
Prior to the recent slowdown, Chinese authorities were considering whether to expand the bulk NPL sale program to include secured loans such as residential mortgages, according to people familiar with the matter.
赚钱可能是一项艰苦的差事;催收人员必须找到并联系债务人,往往要花上数周甚至数月与借款人谈判,力劝他们偿还贷款、清偿债务。
Getting paid can be a grueling task; debt collectors have to track down and contact individuals, and can spend weeks or even months negotiating with borrowers and trying to persuade them to repay their loans and clear their debt.
在上海,乔伊·朱经营一家债务处置公司,专门处理由中小银行、消费金融公司或网络贷款机构发放的贷款。他说,催收工作正变得越来越难——公安机关近期的整治行动促使他在过去一个月内裁员近500人,以降低成本,目前只剩约200名员工。
In Shanghai, Joy Zhu runs a debt-resolution firm that focuses on loans originated by smaller and medium-sized banks, consumer finance companies or online lenders. He said collections are becoming harder — and the recent crackdown by public security authorities prompted him to lay off close to 500 workers in the past month to cut costs, leaving only about 200 staffers.
“我听过数不清的催收电话和投诉录音,”这位32岁人士说,并补充道,债务人中相当大一部分是20岁至35岁的年轻公民。“许多人确实完全没有偿还能力,连维持基本生活都很艰难。”不过,朱补充称,他所在行业的盈利模式就是如此:每1000名借款人中只要能收回10人的欠款,就足以让公司完成每月目标。
“I have listened to countless collection calls and complaint recordings,” the 32-year-old said, adding that a large proportion of debtors are young citizens aged between 20 and 35. “Many of these people genuinely have absolutely no ability to repay and are struggling badly just to get by.”Still, the economics of his industry are such that recovering money from just 10 out of every 1,000 borrowers could be enough for his firm to meet its monthly targets, Zhu added.
“追讨个人坏账本质上是一场概率游戏,”安徽一家债务催收公司的老板洛克·唐说。他也是试图从这些贷款中获利的投资者之一。他表示,过去两年里,他投资的部分资产组合回报率超过20%,但投资结果可能相差很大。
“Recovering personal bad debt is essentially a probability game,” said Lock Tang, the owner of an Anhui-based debt collection firm who is among the investors trying to make money from the loans. He said the returns on some portfolios he has invested in over the past two years have exceeded 20%, though outcomes can vary widely.
一些投资者正尝试另一种办法。2025年晚些时候,精品投资银行华兴控股有限公司表示,其旗下一家子公司斥资3.08亿元,买下两批不良消费贷款组合,未偿本金余额合计74亿元。这相当于平均以面值的约4%买入。
Some investors are trying a different approach. In late 2025, China Renaissance Holdings Ltd., a boutique investment bank, said one of its units paid 308 million yuan for two portfolios of distressed consumer loans with a total outstanding principal balance of 7.4 billion yuan. That amounted to an average purchase price of about 4% of their face value.
其中一个贷款组合的个人消费贷款平均逾期854天,另一个则平均逾期439天。原始贷款方是一家名为奇富(Qifu)的中国金融科技公司,其母公司是在纳斯达克上市的千帆控股(Qfin Holdings Inc.)。
The personal consumption loans in one of the portfolios were on average 854 days overdue, and 439 days for the other. The original lender was a Chinese fintech company called Qifu, whose parent is Nasdaq-listed Qfin Holdings Inc.
据知情人士介绍,华兴资本并未自行建立债务催收能力,而是在其中主要发挥融资作用。收购贷款组合后,华兴资本又将债务管理服务外包给奇富。知情人士称,两家公司均拒绝置评。
Rather than building its own debt collection capabilities, China Renaissance primarily played a financing role, according to people familiar with the matter. After acquiring the loan portfolio, it outsourced servicing of the debt back to Qifu, the people said. Both firms declined to comment.
据知情人士介绍,一些大型国有企业也在为不良资产组合的买家提供融资,年利率最高可达12%。地方资产管理公司则越来越多地充当中介,帮助没有不良资产牌照的投资者购买贷款组合,并从中收取费用。
Some large state-owned enterprises are also providing financing to buyers of distressed portfolios with rates as high as 12%, according to people familiar with the matter. Local asset management companies are increasingly acting as intermediaries, helping investors without distressed-asset licenses purchase portfolios of loans and collecting fees from them.
不过,知情人士补充称,监管机构近期向资产管理公司下发通知,禁止其仅充当资金通道,同时加强了对相关业务的审查。此举是因为监管机构担心,民营企业可能因此承担过多风险。
However, regulators recently issued a notice to asset-management companies, prohibiting them from acting merely as conduit channels, while also stepping up scrutiny, the people added. That warning stems from concerns that private firms could end up taking on excessive risks.
银行能否继续处置个人不良贷款仍是一个大问题。十年前,中国银行将成批的企业和小微企业不良贷款出售给国有背景的资产管理公司,国内外投资者也曾大举收购这些贷款。他们最初获得了可观利润,但过去几年回报大幅下滑,导致部分投资者陷入亏损。
Whether banks can keep disposing of bad personal loans remains a big question. A decade ago, domestic and international investors similarly acquired bundles of non-performing corporate and small business loans that Chinese banks had sold to state-backed asset managers. They initially made sizable profits, but in the past few years returns have fallen sharply, saddling some investors with losses.
大多数企业贷款均有房地产作为抵押,包括公寓、商铺及其他商业物业。资产管理公司和不良债权投资者收购这些不良贷款时,通常每一美元债权仅支付30至50美分,因为为单笔贷款提供担保的房地产往往价值更高,而且当时中国房地产价格正处于上涨趋势。
Most corporate loans were secured by real estate such as apartments, shophouses and other commercial properties. Asset managers and distressed debt investors typically paid 30 to 50 cents on the dollar for the NPLs, because the real estate backing individual loans was often worth more — and Chinese property prices were on an upswing at the time.
投资者需要花费数月甚至数年时间,才能通过中国的司法体系行使债权人权利、对房产进行止赎并最终将其出售。这些交易曾一度利润丰厚,但随着中国房地产市场在2021年陷入历史性低迷并持续至今,情况发生了变化。
It took months to years for investors to go through China’s court systems to enforce their rights as lenders, foreclose on properties and then sell them. But those trades were lucrative — until China’s property markets entered a historic slump in 2021 that continues to this day.
据两家外资不良债务基金的高管称,曾经只需两到三年即可完成的投资周期,如今可能延长至八年甚至十年。时至今日,其中一些不良贷款(NPL)投资仍深陷漫长的重组过程中,且其抵押品价值已大幅缩水。此外,国有资产管理公司的资产负债表上仍留存着数十亿美元的房地产相关资产。
As a result, investment cycles that once took two to three years now can stretch to eight or even 10, according to two executives at foreign distressed-debt funds. Today, some of those NPL investments remain tied up in lengthy restructurings, and their collateral values have plummeted. Billions of dollars of property-related assets also remain on the balance sheets of state-owned asset managers.
特殊机会投资公司DCL Investments的投资副总裁顾苏琪(音译)表示:“在估值高点买入资产的投资者面临着巨大的资本回收压力,这迫使许多人彻底退出了市场。”
“Investors that bought assets at peak valuations have faced enormous pressure to recover capital, forcing many to exit the market altogether,” said Gu Suqi, vice president of investments at DCL Investments, a special situations investment firm.
哈罗德·王(Harold Wang)见证了这一周期的演变。他曾供职于中国四大国有资产管理公司之一,随后负责管理瑞银集团(UBS Group AG)及另一家外资基金的不良资产组合。他表示,自己曾一度管理过面值超过100亿元人民币的不良资产。
Harold Wang has watched that cycle unfold. He previously worked at one of the country’s four state-owned asset management companies before managing distressed portfolios for UBS Group AG and another foreign investment fund. At one point, he said he oversaw more than 10 billion yuan of non-performing assets by face value.
王回忆道,2016年至2018年间,投资者和资本大量涌入不良贷款市场,如果底层抵押品位于北京、上海等核心市场的房产,贷款组合的价格一度被推高至面值的70%至80%。尽管当时对房地产泡沫的担忧日益加剧,但这种乐观情绪一直持续到2020年。随着新冠疫情的爆发以及国内房地产市场下行趋势的加深,许多当初以高价买入的投资项目最终陷入了困境。
Wang recalled how investors and capital flooded the distressed loan market from 2016 to 2018, driving prices of loan portfolios to as high as 70 to 80 cents on the dollar, if their underlying collateral were properties in prime markets such as Beijing and Shanghai. The optimism persisted into 2020 despite growing concerns of a property bubble. When the coronavirus pandemic happened and the country’s housing downturn deepened, many of those aggressively priced investments became stranded.
“那些预期获得两位数回报的投资者,不得不大幅下调回收预期,甚至直接接受亏损,”王表示。房产销售日益困难,导致现金回收率急剧下降。这位54岁的投资者计划近期退休,他认为解决中国不断攀升的个人不良贷款问题将变得越来越困难。
“Investors that expected double-digit returns have had to slash recovery expectations or even accept outright losses,” Wang said. It became increasingly hard to sell properties, which sharply reduced cash recoveries. The 54-year-old is planning to retire soon, and believes that resolving China’s rising pile of bad personal loans is going to become increasingly difficult.
从长远来看,投资零售不良资产是否更具盈利性,最终可能取决于中国经济的走势。
Whether investing in retail NPLs proves more profitable in the long run could ultimately depend on the trajectory of China’s economy.
“核心逻辑实际上是对经济周期的押注,”资产评估公司深圳世联评估有限公司总经理陈迅表示。持续的经济复苏可能提高还款率,同时减少新的不良资产供应。而长期的经济放缓则会扩大市场规模,但会使资产回收工作愈发艰难。
“The core thesis is really a bet on the economic cycle,” said Chen Xun, general manager of Shenzhen WorldUnion Appraisal Co. Ltd., an assets valuation firm. A sustained recovery could lift repayment rates while reducing the supply of new distressed assets. A prolonged slowdown, meanwhile, would expand the market—but make collections increasingly difficult.
“关键问题已不再是投资者能以多低的价格收购不良资产,”不良资产专业机构浙商资产管理公司研究主管冯毅表示。“而是他们能否顺利退出。”
“The key question is no longer how cheaply investors can buy distressed assets,” said Feng Yi, head of research at bad-debt specialist Zheshang Asset Management Co. “It’s whether they can exit.”