奥巴马的前顾问们在主持“Pod Save America”播客节目时，于周五谈到了部分民主党大金主在党内于十一月中期选举前看到利好迹象之际，却仍持币观望的所谓原因。
Former Obama advisers who host the "Pod Save America" podcast spoke Friday about the purported reasons some major Democratic donors are holding back money as the party sees encouraging signs ahead in November's midterm elections.
在上周的德克萨斯论坛节上，播客主持人分享了他们对德克萨斯州因共和党在摇摆州陷入困境而可能“变蓝”的乐观态度。丹·法伊弗（Dan Pfeiffer）谈到了即便在农村地区，也有诸多因素对共和党不利，但他仍警告称，与共和党相比，民主党可支配的资金要少得多。
At the Texas Tribune Festival last week, the podcast hosts shared their optimism over Texas turning blue because of Republican struggles in purple states. Dan Pfeiffer spoke about numerous factors working against Republicans, even in rural areas, but still warned that Democrats have far less money to work with, compared to the GOP.
汤米·维托尔（Tommy Vietor）回应道：“我认为，考虑到当前的机遇，这种支出上的克制，正是为什么你开始听到一些竞选操盘手和候选人表达担忧和沮丧的原因，因为民主党的一些传统大金主并没有将此视为可能出现的代际机遇。”索罗斯政治机器正在选举日前投入数百万美元，并聚焦关键选战。“因为我今天和某人交谈时，对方说：‘让我为你描绘一幅极其乐观的图景’，那就是民主党不仅在普通选票上获胜，而且如果你看看最突出的议题，我们在这些领域也占据压倒性优势，而这在2024年并非如此，对吧？”他继续说道。
Tommy Vietor replied, "I think those spending restraints compared to the opportunity are why you're starting to hear some, you know, sort of operatives and candidates like voicing concern and frustration that some of the traditional like big, big donors of the Democratic Party, are not viewing this as the generational opportunity that it could be." THE SOROS POLITICAL MACHINE IS PUTTING MILLIONS TO WORK BEFORE ELECTION DAY — AND ZEROING IN ON KEY RACES "Because I was talking to someone today who was like, ‘Let me paint for you the like extreme optimistic picture,’ which is Democrats are not only winning on the generic ballot, but if you look at the top like most salient issues, we are crushing in those areas as well, which was not the case in 2024, right?," he continued.
维托尔提出，如果这次中期选举的结果类似于近期民主党表现优于预期的特别选举，“这简直是赢得全州范围竞选、国会竞选、以及上下各级竞选的历史性机遇。这感觉就是一个时刻，党内所有最大的捐赠者都应该毫不保留、尽可能激进地把所有筹码推上赌桌，而不是因为——我不知道什么理由——特朗普让他们烦恼就有所保留？”
Vietor proposed that if the results of this midterm election resemble recent special elections where Democrats overperformed, "it is like truly a historic opportunity to win statewide races, congressional races, down-ballot, up and down. And it just feels like a moment when all the biggest donors in the party should be pushing all their chips in the table as aggressively as possible and not holding back for — I don't know what reason — Trump bothering them?"
“是的，我认为自2024年以来，大额捐赠者群体的资助方式发生了巨大转变，”普费弗说。“部分原因是人们对那次选举的结果仍然愤怒，觉得在那次选举中烧掉了十亿美元，这在某些方面是合理的抱怨。”
"Yeah, I think there has been a huge shift in the funding approach ... in the large donor community since 2024," Pfeiffer said. "Part of it is people still angry about how that election went and feeling like they lit a billion dollars on fire in that election, which is a fair quibble in some ways."
他继续说道：“有很多人非常害怕被特朗普那样针对，担心你的生意会被盯上。突然之间，联邦调查局会上门找你。你会面临以前不会有的监管审查。因此这限制了资金流入。”
"There are a lot of people who are very afraid of being targeted by Trump like that just that your business is going to be targeted," he continued. "You're going to have all of a sudden, you're going to the FBI is going to show up at your door.
资金短缺的民主党全国委员会在负债情况下仍向维尔京群岛等无投票权领土支出超80万美元 普费弗进一步辩称，这次中期选举可能导致一种局面，“你将看到美国历史上最大的选情摇摆之一，民主党可能赢得我们从未想过可能赢得的竞选，”他说。“我们一直把2006年作为最相关的参照案例，因为那是一位不受欢迎的总统、一场不受欢迎的战争，诸如此类。但这很可能更像1994年，一切都在改变，是一场重组型选举。” 民主党顾问朱利安·爱普斯坦驳斥了这些播客主持人的言论。
You're going to have regulatory scrutiny you wouldn't have before. And so that has limited money." CASH-STRAPPED DNC SHELLED OUT MORE THAN $800K TO NON-VOTING TERRITORIES LIKE VIRGIN ISLANDS WHILE IN DEBT Pfeiffer argued further that this midterm election could possibly lead to a scenario where "you're looking at one of the largest swings in American history, something where Democrats could pick up races we've never even thought possible," he said. "We've been using 2006 as like the most relevant example of an election because it's you know, it's an unpopular president, unpopular war, all of that. But it very well could be a little more like '94, where everything changes where it's a realigning election." Democratic consultant Julian Epstein rejected the podcasters' comments.
“这些‘圈内人’总是人云亦云，即便他们的‘共识’明显是错的，这在我看来总是很滑稽。事实是，所谓的‘蓝色浪潮’很可能被夸大了。目前在40个摇摆国会选区中，误差范围更接近2%，而且近年来我们一直看到共和党的民调样本被低估了，”他在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时表示。
"It's always funny to me how these group think 'insiders' parrot one another, even when they're 'consensus' is obviously wrong. The truth is that the so-called 'blue tsunami' is very likely overstated. The margin of error and the 40 battleground congressional districts is more like 2% right now, and we've consistently seen Republicans being undersampled in recent years," he told Fox News Digital.
“捐款人持观望态度，因为民主党没有任何吸引人的积极议程，”他继续说道。“民主党的支持率甚至比总统还低。民主党过去主张建设；而今天，他们主张的是征税、支出、再分配的大政府福利。他们热衷于‘受害者奥林匹克’。”爱泼斯坦补充道：“试着走上街头，问10位选民能否说出民主党今天主张的三件事。我怀疑你找不到任何能说出来的人。”共和党顾问玛丽·马斯伦德认为，这些播客主可能抓住了重点。
"Donors are holding back because the Democrats don't have any attractive, positive agenda," he continued. "Democrats have an even lower approval rating than the president. Democrats used to be about building; today they are about tax-and-spend redistributionist big government welfare. They are about the victim Olympics." "Try going out on the street and ask 10 voters to name three things Democrats stand [for] today. I doubt you'll find any that can," Epstein added. Republican consultant Mary Marslender suggested the podcasters may have a key point.
“是的，主要的民主党捐款人正在观望，他们仍然对2024年选举周期的后果感到沮丧，并对该党的未来方向日益担忧，”马斯伦德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
"Yes, major Democratic donors are holding back, still frustrated by the fallout from the 2024 cycle and increasingly concerned about the party's direction," Marslender told Fox News Digital.
“卡玛拉·哈里斯失败的总统竞选活动在短短15周内就花费了惊人的15亿美元，却输掉了普选票、选举人团、参议院、白人女性选票，以及拉丁裔和工薪阶层选民的支持，”她继续说道。“这相当于每小时花费2.5万美元，结果却输掉了竞选团队吹嘘为优势的几乎每一个关键人口群体和基准。”她说：“在2024年捐赠了八位数金额的主要捐款人已经注意到了这种糟糕的投资回报，似乎不太愿意在本周期继续投入。”
"Kamala Harris’ failed presidential campaign spent a staggering $1.5 billion in just 15 weeks, losing the popular vote, the Electoral College, the Senate, the White female vote, and support among both Latino and working-class voters," she continued. "That’s the equivalent of spending $25,000 per hour only to lose nearly every key demographic and benchmark the campaign touted as strengths." "Major donors who contributed eight-figure sums in 2024 have noticed this poor return on investment and appear less willing to spend this cycle," she said.
此外，许多主要的民主党捐款人因为担心该党向社会主义政策靠拢，已经放缓或停止了捐款，马斯伦德补充道。“不出所料，那些摧毁国家金融机构的呼声并没有引起富有的民主党支持者的共鸣。”
"Additionally, many major Democratic donors have slowed or withheld contributions because of concerns about the Party’s shift toward socialist policies," Marslender added. "Unsurprisingly, calls to destroy the country’s financial institutions have not resonated well with wealthy Democratic supporters."