巴西总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在首轮投票意向民调中扩大了对参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗的领先优势,距离大选仅剩六天,但周一发布的两项民调显示,在可能的决选中,两位候选人依然处于统计学意义上的平局状态。
Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva widened his lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in first-round voting intention polls with just six days to go before the presidential election, but two surveys published Monday show the candidates remain in a statistical dead heat ahead of a potential runoff.
Quaest和Nexus进行的民调显示,现任总统在定于10月4日举行的首轮投票前进一步扩大优势。根据巴西选举法,若无候选人获得超过50%的有效选票,得票前两名将于10月25日进入第二轮决选。
Polls conducted by Quaest and Nexus show the incumbent gaining ground ahead of the first-round vote scheduled for Oct. 4. Under Brazilian election law, if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes, the top two contenders will face off in a second-round runoff on Oct. 25.
据Quaest民调显示,该民调由《环球报》和环球电视台委托进行,卢拉的投票意向为39%,博尔索纳罗为34%,总统的领先优势从上周的4个百分点扩大至5个百分点。
According to the Quaest poll, which was commissioned by O Globo and TV Globo, Lula holds 39% of voting intentions compared with 34% for Bolsonaro, expanding the president's advantage from a four-point margin last week.
其他民调显示竞争更为胶着。Futura/100% Cidades的民调显示卢拉为38.3%,博尔索纳罗紧随其后为37.7%,双方差距远在误差范围内。
Other surveys suggest a much tighter contest. A poll by Futura/100% Cidades places Lula at 38.3% and Bolsonaro close behind at 37.7%, well within the margin of error.
现年45岁的律师兼参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗由其父、前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗提名为保守派候选人。雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗因在2022年大选中以微弱劣势败给卢拉后策划政变,目前正在服27年刑期。
Flavio Bolsonaro, a 45-year-old lawyer and senator, was selected as the conservative candidate by his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, who is currently serving a 27-year prison sentence for plotting a coup d'état following his narrow loss to Lula in the 2022 election.
虽然弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗早早步入政坛,21岁当选里约热内卢州议员,37岁成为联邦参议员,但在获得父亲背书前,他在全国范围内的知名度相对较低。
While Flavio Bolsonaro entered politics early, becoming a Rio de Janeiro state deputy at age 21 and a federal senator at 37, he maintained a relatively low national profile until receiving his father's endorsement.
其竞选活动因曝光他因涉嫌贪腐和洗钱接受调查而受到关注,该案件与一部关于其父亲的传记电影有关,该电影部分资金来自一名因诈骗被捕的银行家。
His campaign has faced scrutiny following revelations that he is under investigation for alleged corruption and money laundering tied to a biographical film about his father, which was partially funded by a banker arrested for fraud.
弗拉维奥将自己定位为国际保守派,宣扬其与外国盟友的关系,吹嘘今年早些时候曾在白宫与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普举行私人会晤。
Positioning himself as an international conservative, Flavio has touted his ties to foreign allies, boasting of a private meeting with US President Donald Trump at the White House earlier this year.
拉美最大国家的选举具有巨大的地缘政治和经济分量。作为一个资源丰富的农业强国,巴西拥有关键的稀土储备、至关重要的淡水资源和大量的近海油田。
The election in Latin America's largest nation carries immense geopolitical and economic weight. As an agricultural powerhouse rich in natural resources, Brazil holds key reserves of rare earth elements, vital freshwater supplies, and substantial offshore oil fields.
这场竞选也凸显了整个大陆不断变化的政治版图。弗拉维奥·博索纳罗代表了该地区涌起的一股保守浪潮,在阿根廷、玻利维亚、秘鲁、智利、厄瓜多尔和哥伦比亚等国政府日益与特朗普的议程保持一致的背景下尤为显著。
The race also highlights a shifting political landscape across the continent. Flavio Bolsonaro represents a surging conservative wave in a region where governments in Argentina, Bolivia, Peru, Chile, Ecuador and Colombia have grown increasingly aligned with Trump's agenda.