外交部长S·贾伊尚卡尔警告称，由于乌克兰冲突以及伊朗-海湾地区的紧张局势，未来几个月世界可能面临“严重的粮食危机”，同时化肥供应也会出现短缺。他表示，能源、粮食、化肥和金融方面的多重压力对全球南方国家的经济造成了巨大冲击。在周一于纽约亚洲协会举办的活动中，贾伊尚卡尔指出，这两场冲突对全球南方国家的经济造成了毁灭性影响，并对石油供应、价格上涨以及由此可能引发的不稳定局势表示担忧。
External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar has warned that the world could face a "major food crisis" in the coming months, alongside existing fertiliser shortages, because of the conflicts in Ukraine and the Iran-Gulf region. He said the combined impact of energy, food, fertiliser and finance pressures was proving "very very stressful" for economies in the Global South. Speaking at a conversation hosted by Asia Society in New York on Monday, Jaishankar said the two conflicts had dealt a "devastating impact" to Global South economies. He also flagged concerns over oil supplies, rising prices and the wider instability that could follow."... this is a big concern for us, which is, if you look at these two conflicts, the Ukraine and now the Iran-Gulf conflict, they've actually had a devastating impact on Global South economies," Jaishankar said.
他说：“如果我们仔细观察乌克兰冲突和当前的伊朗-海湾冲突，就会发现它们对全球南方国家的经济造成了严重破坏。”他特别提到了能源形势的严峻性，指出“市场供应非常紧张”，并强调如果有人利用能源问题进行政治操纵，将进一步加剧市场混乱，导致价格飙升。
He said there was particular concern about the energy situation as the "market is very tight" and added that if "people play politics with it, that adds to the complications in the market," driving up prices at a time when prices should be stabilised."
在粮食问题上，贾伊尚卡尔指出：“目前一些主要的粮食出口国将无法发货，尤其是向黑海地区的国家。”他还提到，由于主要化肥生产国位于西亚和俄罗斯，这些国家的生产受到了影响。再加上极端气候现象（如超级厄尔尼诺现象），他预测“未来几个月很可能会发生严重的粮食危机”。
So part of it is actually the security of oil supplies, and part of it is the politics of oil supplies, and they are feeding into each other, and they are creating a double crisis or an aggravated crisis," he said. On the food situation, Jaishankar said, "We are today looking at a situation where some of the major grain exporters will not be able to send out their shipments, particularly out to the Black Sea." He said the world was also seeing significant fertiliser shortages because key producers are in West Asia and Russia, and their production has been affected.
“首先，能源危机本身就带来了巨大的压力；再加上食品和化肥价格的上涨，以及金融市场的动荡——每当发生冲突时，资金总是会流向安全的地方，而远离全球南方国家。这种状况的最终结果就是给这些国家带来了极大的压力。”他补充说，政策制定者不能声称这种局面是“无意的”。
Combined with climate patterns like a super El Nino, he said, "there is going to be a major food crisis probably in the coming months. So if you have energy as a big crunch, and then food and fertilisers on top of it, and finance because every time there's a conflict, money moves towards safe harbours and away from the Global South, the net result of it has been really very very stressful." He added that policymakers could not say such a situation was unintended."
“各国不应过于以自我为中心，只关注自身的利益，然后说‘我并没有故意让你们的生活变得艰难’。”贾伊尚卡尔强调，“基本的常识”应该确保不会忽视许多国家的基本需求，以免它们陷入困境。
Countries should not be so self-centred that you're in your own world and take your decision and say, 'Well, it was not my intention to make your life difficult'." Jaishankar said "sound common sense" should ensure that the basic needs of many countries were not neglected to the point that they were pushed into distress. "And that is a concern that we have," he said.
他指出，能源危机正在引发地区不稳定：“我们在乌克兰战争后就已经看到了这一现象；在我们所在的地区，政治动荡就是直接的结果。我担心，伊朗和海湾地区正在发生的事情只会使局势进一步恶化。”
He said the energy crisis was creating instability. "We have already seen it after the Ukraine war. We saw in our neighbourhood the direct result of that in political instability, and my fear is what is happening in Iran and the Gulf is going to feed, is going to aggravate," he said.
对于那些面临压力的国家，贾伊尚卡尔表示：有些国家能够保持独立和自主，但有些国家则会发现这样做变得更加困难。“我们希望看到更多国家能够保持自主地位，但这并不是非黑即白的简单情况——具体取决于问题的性质和相关利害关系。有些国家会选择做出调整，而有些国家则会选择反抗。”
On countries coming under pressure, Jaishankar said some would maintain their independence and autonomy, while others would find it harder to do so. "Some others would find it harder to do so. So those of us who are autonomous, we'd like to see more of us who are autonomous. But it's not a black and white scenario. It would depend on the issue and the stakes involved.
贾伊尚卡尔的言论提醒人们：乌克兰冲突以及伊朗-海湾地区的紧张局势正在通过能源供应问题、化肥短缺、粮食安全风险和金融压力，共同加剧对全球南方国家的压迫。（信息来源：PTI）
There'll be cases where countries would make adjustments. There'll be cases where they would fight back," he said. Jaishankar's remarks underlined his warning that the conflicts in Ukraine and the Iran-Gulf region were combining to deepen pressure on the Global South through energy supply worries, fertiliser shortages, food risks and financial strain. With PTI Inputs- Ends