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美国消费者新闻与商业频道

消费者乐观情绪急剧下滑,因对物价上涨和就业的担忧加剧Consumer optimism slides sharply as fears escalate over rising prices and jobs

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世界大型企业联合会周二报告称,由于饱受通胀困扰的公众对劳动力市场以及物价上涨对其财务状况的影响持更加悲观的态度,9月份消费者信心指数大幅下降。

Consumer sentiment fell sharply in September as an inflation-weary public took a dimmer view on the labor market and the impact higher prices would have on their finances, the Conference Board reported Tuesday.

该联合会的消费者信心指数跌至81.9,暴跌6.7点,远低于道琼斯普遍预测的89。

The board's Consumer Confidence Index tumbled to 81.9, a decline of 6.7 points and a reading well below the Dow Jones consensus forecast for 89.

受访者对通胀和就业前景表示担忧。在该调查问题四年历史上,首次出现认为自己财务状况糟糕的受访者多于认为良好的人。

Respondents cited concerns over inflation and the jobs outlook. For the first time in the four-year history of the survey question, more respondents said their personal finances bad as opposed to good.

世界大型企业联合会首席经济学家达娜·彼得森表示:“自2024年9月以来,消费者对当前商业状况的评价首次转为负面。”

"Consumer appraisals of current business conditions became negative for the first time since September 2024," said Dana Peterson, the Conference Board's chief economist.

她补充说:“9月份消费者对影响经济因素的书面回复大多持悲观态度。对价格、商品和服务高成本(尤其是石油和天然气价格)的提及创下新高,反映出9月份燃料成本的飙升。”其他指标也显示出类似的恶化:该联合会的当前状况指数下跌7.9点至109.3,而反映六个月展望窗口的预期指数下跌5.9点至63.6。

"Consumers' write-in responses regarding factors affecting the economy were mostly pessimistic in September," she added. "References to prices, the high cost of goods and services, and oil and gas prices in particular, rose to new heights, reflecting September's surge in fuel costs." Other readings showed similar deterioration: The board's Present Situation index fell 7.9 points to 109.3, while the Expectations Index, a six-month outlook window, slipped 5.9 points to 63.6.

在就业方面,认为工作“充足”与“难找”的受访者之间的差距——这是一个密切关注劳动力市场健康状况的风向标——进一步缩小,下降了2.5个百分点,仅为1.7%。

On the labor front, the differential between those saying jobs are "plentiful" against "hard to get," a closely watched barometer of labor market health, eroded further, down 2.5 percentage points to just 1.7%.

这些结果是在通胀预期不断上升的背景下出现的,受伊朗战争持续不确定性的推动,这种不确定性已在金融市场上表现为国债收益率和抵押贷款利率的飙升。

Those results came against rising inflation expectations, pushed by continued uncertainty over the Iran war, which has been reflected in financial markets by surging Treasury yields and mortgage rates.

受访者平均预计通胀率为6.1%,比8月份上升0.3个百分点。中位数预期也上升了0.3个点,达到5.1%。

Respondents on average expect an inflation rate of 6.1%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from August. The median expectation also rose 0.3 points to 5.1%.

世界大型企业联合会的这一读数与同类调查结果保持一致。密歇根大学的消费者调查显示,9月份消费者信心下降了7%,创下有记录以来的第二低水平。

The Conference Board's reading is in keeping with similar surveys. The University of Michigan's consumer survey showed sentiment fell 7% in September to its second-lowest reading on record.

劳工统计局周二公布的报告显示,在其他经济消息方面,8月份的职位空缺略有下降,至708万个,月内减少了25.6万个,其中专业和商业服务以及医疗保健相关工作岗位出现急剧下降。此前华尔街普遍预期为720万个职位空缺。

In other economic news Tuesday, job openings in August edged lower to 7.08 million, down 256,000 for the month amid sharp declines in professional and business services as well as health care-related jobs, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. The Wall Street consensus had been for 7.2 million openings. Hires edged higher for the month while quits were little changed and layoffs fell slightly.

当月的招聘人数略有上升,而离职人数几乎没有变化,裁员人数则略有下降。

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