预测市场交易员预计周五将发布另一份强劲的就业报告。继8月就业报告超预期——美国当月新增16.2万个就业岗位——之后，预测市场平台Kalshi上的交易员认为，美国9月新增就业岗位超过9万的概率为60%。
Prediction market traders are expecting another strong jobs report on Friday. Following August's bigger-than-expected employment report— where the U.S. added 162,000 jobs during the month — traders on prediction market platform Kalshi think there's a 60% chance the country added more than 90,000 jobs during September.
投机者还认为，报告再次达到六位数（即10万以上）的几率接近五五开。这高于道琼斯共识经济学家8.4万的预测中值。
Speculators also think there's almost 50-50 odds that the report is once again in six figures. That's higher than the Dow Jones consensus economist consensus forecast of 84,000.
在这些合约中，交易员被问及是否认为美国当月新增就业岗位超过某一特定数字。市场及其合约依据劳工统计局的官方数据进行结算。
On the contracts, traders are asked whether they think the U.S. added more than a certain number of jobs in the month. The market and its contracts are resolved using official data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
Polymarket上的交易员也认为，9月就业报告达到六位数的几率约为五五开。Polymarket上的合约结算方式与Kalshi相同。
Traders on Polymarket also think there's about 50-50 odds the September jobs report is in the six figure range. The contracts on Polymarket are resolved the same way as on Kalshi.
虽然夏季早期劳动力市场显露疲软迹象，但8月就业报告显示其已反弹。
While the labor market earlier in the summer showed signs of weakness August's jobs report showed it rebounding.
这也让美联储货币政策制定者有更大空间专注于其通胀目标，而通胀仍高于目标，在9月会议上加息。9月就业报告定于周五上午8:30发布。
It also gave monetary policymakers at the Federal Reserve greater cover to focus on its inflation mandate, which remains above target raise interest rates at its September meeting. The September employment report is set to be delivered on Friday at 8:30 a.m. Before that, ADP's national employment report will be released on Wednesday at 8:15 a.m.
在此之前，ADP全美就业报告将于周三上午8:15（美东时间）发布。
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