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民主党可能触及的另一个多数优势:来自政治 deskAnother majority that could be in Democrats’ reach: From the Politics Desk

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欢迎阅读《政治部简报》,这是一份每日新闻简报,为您带来美国全国广播公司新闻政治团队来自白宫、国会山和竞选活动现场的最新报道与分析。在今天的这期简报中,我们梳理全美州长选举格局的最新走向。此外,斯科特·王和莫妮卡·阿尔巴概述了唐纳德·特朗普总统与人工智能行业领袖备受期待的午餐会。——亚当·沃尔纳 民主党有望再取得一个多数 亚当·沃尔纳分析 距选举日还有五周,随着政治环境对共和党持续恶化,民主党越来越将目标锁定在不仅赢得众议院控制权、还要拿下参议院。

Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. In today’s edition, we take stock of how the gubernatorial landscape is shaping up across the country. Plus, Scott Wong and Monica Alba recap President Donald Trump’s much-anticipated lunch with AI industry leaders. — Adam Wollner Another majority that could be in Democrats’ reach Analysis by Adam Wollner Five weeks out from Election Day, Democrats increasingly have their sights set on not only winning control of the House, but the Senate, too, as the political environment continues to deteriorate for the GOP.

与此同时,这一政治环境也可能为民主党提供华盛顿以外的突破机会,帮助他们实现16年来未曾实现的目标:掌握全美过半数州长席位。目前,共和党州长有26人,民主党州长有24人。今年秋季有36个州举行州长选举,争夺的州长席位由两党平均分摊。因此,民主党必须净拿下两个州长席位,才能取得多数。但与参议院之争类似,他们必须在Assuming they hold all, or at least most, of those governorships, there is a growing number of opportunities for Democrats to pick up the two (or more) they’d need for a majority in states Trump carried.

That environment could also present Democrats with an opening outside of Washington to achieve something they haven’t done in 16 years: Hold a majority of the country’s governorships. Currently, there are 26 governors who are Republicans and 24 who are Democrats. Thirty-six states are holding gubernatorial elections this fall, with an even split of Democratic- and Republican-held seats on the ballot. So Democrats need to flip a net of two governorships for a majority. But similar to the battle for the Senate, their path involves winning in decidedly red territory.

According to new race ratings from the NBC News Decision Desk, the Iowa governor’s contest is listed as “lean Democrat.” Democratic state Auditor Rob Stand has established a moderate brand in the state as he faces businessman Zach Lahn, who has aligned himself with the “Make America Healthy Again” movement.

For starters, Democrats are defending a seat in Kansas, a state President Donald Trump won by 16 points in 2024. With Gov. Laura Kelly term-limited, Republican state Senate President Ty Masterson will face off against state Sen. Cindy Holscher, who defeated a more moderate opponent in last month’s Democratic primary.

Meanwhile, three other seats Republicans are defending — in Georgia, Nevada and Ohio — are rated as “toss-ups.” In Alaska, Democrats are feeling better about their chances after one of their candidates advanced from the all-party primary to face three Republicans on the ranked choice general election ballot.

Democrats are also defending governorships in the key swing states of Arizona, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Michigan and Wisconsin are open-seat races, while Gov. Katie Hobbs is running for a second term in Arizona after narrowly winning her first by 17,000 votes four years ago.

And in Texas, Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa is running more competitively than expected against GOP Gov. Greg Abbott. While state races are often less affected by the national political winds than those at the federal level (just look at deep-blue Vermont, where Republican Gov. Phil Scott is still considered the favorite), they can still prove difficult for any candidate of the party in power in Washington to overcome at a certain point.

For his part, Gov. Josh Shapiro has enjoyed strong approval ratings in Pennsylvania and is a heavy favorite there. Assuming they hold all, or at least most, of those governorships, there is a growing number of opportunities for Democrats to pick up the two (or more) they’d need for a majority in states Trump carried. According to new race ratings from the NBC News Decision Desk, the Iowa governor’s contest is listed as “lean Democrat.”

Securing a majority of governorships nationwide is more symbolic compared to the power that comes with House or Senate control. But it would still represent a significant moral victory for Democrats, given the recent string of Republican dominance at the state level. Aside from a brief period in which Democrats controlled a majority of governors’ seats from the 2006 to the 2010 elections, Republicans have otherwise held that distinction since the 1994 elections.

Democratic state Auditor Rob Stand has established a moderate brand in the state as he faces businessman Zach Lahn, who has aligned himself with the “Make America Healthy Again” movement. Meanwhile, three other seats Republicans are defending — in Georgia, Nevada and Ohio — are rated as “toss-ups.”In Alaska, Democrats are feeling better about their chances after one of their candidates advanced from the all-party primary to face three Republicans on the ranked choice general election ballot.

And it would help Democrats fight against their coastal image and prove they can win in places all across the country, as they figure out what course they want to chart heading into the 2028 presidential campaign.如果民主党保住全部或至少大部分州长职位,那么他们将在特朗普赢下的州中拥有越来越多机会,只需再拿下两个(或更多)州长职位,就能取得多数。

And in Texas, Democratic state Rep. Gina Hinojosa is running more competitively than expected against GOP Gov. Greg Abbott. While state races are often less affected by the national political winds than those at the federal level (just look at deep-blue Vermont, where Republican Gov. Phil Scott is still considered the favorite), they can still prove difficult for any candidate of the party in power in Washington to overcome at a certain point.

根据NBC News决策台最新发布的选情评估,爱荷华州州长竞选被列为“倾向民主党”。民主党籍州审计长罗布·斯坦德在该州树立了温和派形象,他的对手是商人扎赫·拉恩,后者已与“让美国再次健康”运动站在一起。与此同时,共和党正在捍卫的另外三个州长席位——分别位于佐治亚州、内华达州和俄亥俄州——均被评为“势均力敌”。

Securing a majority of governorships nationwide is more symbolic compared to the power that comes with House or Senate control. But it would still represent a significant moral victory for Democrats, given the recent string of Republican dominance at the state level.

在阿拉斯加州,一名民主党候选人从全党派初选中晋级,将在采用排序选择制的大选选票上与三名共和党人对决,这让民主党人对胜算更有信心。在得克萨斯州,民主党籍州众议员吉娜·伊诺霍萨对阵共和党籍州长格雷格·阿博特的选情也比预期更具竞争力。州级选举受全国政治风向的影响往往小于联邦层级选举(看看坚定支持民主党的佛蒙特州,共和党籍州长菲尔·斯科特仍被视为领跑者),但到了一定阶段,执政党在华盛顿的任何候选人要扭转局面仍可能十分困难。

Aside from a brief period in which Democrats controlled a majority of governors’ seats from the 2006 to the 2010 elections, Republicans have otherwise held that distinction since the 1994 elections. And it would help Democrats fight against their coastal image and prove they can win in places all across the country, as they figure out what course they want to chart heading into the 2028 presidential campaign.

与掌控众议院或参议院所带来的权力相比,在全国取得多数州长职位的象征意义更大。不过,鉴于共和党近期在州层面占据主导地位,这仍将是民主党的一场重大道义胜利。除了民主党在2006年至2010年选举期间短暂控制多数州长席位外,自1994年选举以来,这一优势一直属于共和党。这也将有助于民主党摆脱“只能在沿海地区获胜”的形象,证明他们能够在全国各地取胜,同时为迎接2028年总统竞选规划前进方向。

💰Related: Democrats face a staggering spending disadvantage in Georgia’s tight race for governor, by Adam Edelman After summit with tech titans, Trump calls for ‘tremendous self-regulation’ by AI companies By Scott Wong and Monica Alba After privately huddling with nearly 20 tech titans at a White House lunch today, President Donald Trump continued to push back on calls for new safety regulations for artificial intelligence, saying there was agreement in the room that there should be “tremendous self-regulation” by companies.

💰相关报道:在佐治亚州激烈的州长竞选中,民主党面临惊人的支出劣势,作者:亚当·埃德尔曼;在与科技巨头举行峰会后,特朗普呼吁人工智能公司实行“强有力的自我监管”,作者:斯科特·黄、莫妮卡·阿尔芭。今天在白宫午餐会上与近20位科技巨头闭门交流后,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普继续反对要求为人工智能安全制定新法规的呼声,称与会各方一致认为,人工智能公司应当实行“强有力的自我监管”。

“There’s a belief that there should be tremendous self-regulation, and we automatically have regulation with the Department of Justice, the FBI, all of that,” said Trump, flanked by tech and government leaders. The gathering Tuesday included a who’s who of the tech world, including Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, CEO of SpaceX and Tesla Elon Musk, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Amazon founder Jeff Bezos, Alphabet CEO Sundar Pichai, Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella, Advanced Micro Devices CEO Lisa Su and OpenAI President Greg Brockman.

特朗普在科技界和政界人士的簇拥下表示:“大家认为应该实行强有力的自我监管,而司法部、联邦调查局等方面自然会进行监管。”这次于星期二举行的聚会汇聚了科技界群英,包括Anthropic首席执行官达里奥·阿莫代、SpaceX和特斯拉首席执行官埃隆·马斯克、英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋、Meta首席执行官马克·扎克伯格、亚马逊创始人杰夫·贝索斯、Alphabet首席执行官桑达尔·皮查伊、微软首席执行官萨提亚·纳德拉、高级微电子设备公司首席执行官苏姿丰,以及OpenAI总裁格雷格·布罗克曼。

Trump hosted the lunch with Speaker Mike Johnson, R-La. Vice President JD Vance, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and White House chief of staff Susie Wiles also attended.

特朗普主持了这场午餐会,出席者还包括众议院议长迈克·约翰逊、副总统J·D·万斯、商务部长霍华德·卢特尼克、财政部长斯科特·贝森特和白宫幕僚长苏茜·威尔斯。特朗普还谈到数据中心日益增多的问题。这些数据中心不受选民欢迎,但仍在陆续建设,以为人工智能公司提供算力。支持建设数据中心的总统表示,科技行业领袖将与当地社区合作,并帮助承担能源、教育等方面的开支。

Trump also addressed the proliferation of data centers, which are unpopular among voters but are being built to power AI companies. The president, who supports data centers, said tech leaders will work with local communities and help pay for things like energy and education. “This is a group that loves local communities. They love our country, and they’re going to work with local communities for the data centers, in particular, and they’re going to work to make the community happy,” Trump told reporters.

特朗普对记者说:“这是一群热爱当地社区的人。他们热爱我们的国家,尤其会就数据中心建设与当地社区合作,并努力让社区满意。”他说:“这可能是提供石油和天然气,可能是提供教育,也可能在经济上帮助教师。……”“所以你会看到,数据中心将会非常受欢迎。”特朗普说,他计划于当天晚些时候签署一份文件,将“人工智能”更名为“超级智能”。

“That might be supplying oil and gas. It might be supplying education. It may be helping teachers along financially. ... So you’re going to see data centers are going to be very popular.”Trump said he planned to sign a document later in the day to rename artificial intelligence as “super intelligence.”

此前,特朗普发布了 America.gov 网站。该网站推出了一款人工智能驱动工具,旨在成为美国民众办理政府服务的“一站式平台”。→ 政治新闻台暂时就到这里。今天的通讯由亚当·沃尔纳和劳伦·佐拉编写。如果你有反馈——喜欢或不喜欢——请发送邮件至 politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com。如果你喜欢本通讯,请与所有人分享。他们可以在这里订阅。

Earlier, Trump unveiled America.gov, a website that features an AI-powered tool meant to serve as a “one-stop shop” for Americans navigating government services.→ That’s all From the Politics Desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Lauren Zola. If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com And if you’re a fan, please share with everyone and anyone. They can sign up here.