雷吉娜·加西亚·卡诺(Regina García Cano)、加兰斯·伯克·卡拉瓦莱达(Garance Burke Caraballeda)(委内瑞拉):专家和前官员向美联社表示,委内瑞拉拉瓜伊拉州(La Guaira)的公共住房建筑在6月发生两次强烈地震后倒塌的根源可以追溯到2010年。当时,山体滑坡和暴雨导致全国超过10万人流离失所;为缓解人道主义危机,委内瑞拉政府在该地区(北面是清澈的加勒比海,南面是郁郁葱葱的山脉)迅速建造了大量公寓楼。
REGINA GARCIA CANO, GARANCE BURKE CARABALLEDA, Venezuela — The collapse of public housing buildings in the Venezuelan state of La Guaira following two catastrophic earthquakes in June can be traced back to their beginnings in 2010, experts and former officials told The Associated Press . It was then that mudslides and heavy rain displaced more than 100,000 people across the country, and the Venezuelan government raced to ease the humanitarian crisis by constructing scores of apartments on the strip of land flanked by crystalline waters of the Caribbean Sea to the north and lush mountains to the south.
专家们在多次采访中指出:这些公寓楼是在松软的淤泥土壤上匆忙建成的,根本无法抵御6月24日那两次地震的破坏力。那次地震导致超过6500人死亡,1.7万人无家可归。以下是美联社调查得出的主要结论:
The buildings, quickly erected in silty soil, were no match for the power of the back-to-back earthquakes on June 24 , experts told the AP in dozens of interviews. The quakes killed more than 6,500 people and left over 17,000 homeless. Here are some takeaways from the AP’s investigation.
在急于建造住房的过程中,政府忽视了该地区历史上频繁发生的山体滑坡和洪水的潜在危险;这些自然灾害会进一步加剧地震带来的风险。这些公寓楼实际上建在数百年来由洪水和山体滑坡堆积形成的松散、多岩石的土壤上。此外,该地区靠近圣塞巴斯蒂安断层(San Sebastian Fault),这一断层沿着海岸延伸,正好位于拉瓜伊拉州下方,从而进一步增加了地震的风险。
— In the rush to build homes, the government disregarded dangers posed by the area’s history of mudslides and floods, which could enhance the risks posed by earthquakes. That’s because the buildings would be constructed on the loose, rocky soil that had been deposited there over centuries by floods and mudslides. The area’s proximity to the San Sebastian Fault line — running off the coast and right underneath La Guaira state — could also compound risks.
这些公寓楼属于政府推出的住房建设项目,主要建在该州的卡拉瓦莱达(Caraballeda)地区。住户们收到钥匙时欣喜若狂,但他们并不知道这些建筑的高度会使其更容易发生倒塌。专家解释说:10至20层高的建筑在地震波的作用下会与地震波同步摇晃,这种现象被称为“共振”;这种共振会导致建筑物摇晃得更剧烈、更持久,从而对建筑结构造成更大的压力,增加倒塌的风险。
— Apartment towers went up in the state’s parish of Caraballeda as part of the government’s signature housing program. People assigned those apartments were delighted when they finally received the keys, but they did not know that the height of the buildings would make them prone to collapse. That is because buildings that were between 10 and 20 floors could end up swaying at the exact same pace as the seismic waves, in a phenomenon known as resonance. The syncing results in the building swaying farther and longer, putting additional pressure on columns and increasing the likelihood of damage and collapse, experts said.
—— 这两次地震的震级分别为7.2级和7.5级,其破坏力本身就已经非常巨大。但它们还引发了工程师们最为担忧的地震现象:即所谓的“近断层脉冲”(near-fault pulse)。委内瑞拉中央大学的地质学家迈克尔·施密茨(Michael Schmitz)解释说,当断层发生移动时,地震能量会在断层前端积聚,并随着断层的向东移动而释放出来,从而对建筑物的基础造成“极其强烈的冲击”,导致建筑物失去稳定性,无法通过摇晃来释放自身的能量。
— With magnitudes of 7.2 and 7.5, the earthquakes were incredibly powerful by themselves . But they also dealt the very type of blow engineers fear most, a near-fault pulse. Central University of Venezuela geologist Michael Schmitz said that when the fault shifted, seismic energy stacked up at the front of the rupture as it moved eastward, delivering “a very strong blow” to the base of buildings, abruptly knocking their support and leaving them unable to dissipate energy by swaying.
—— 与地震的震级不同,地震的震动强度会因地区甚至街道的不同而有所差异。由于政府未能及时维护当地的地震监测设备,科学家们因此缺乏数据来评估震动的实际强度。正是在这种情况下,斯坦福大学土木与环境工程教授爱德华多·米兰达(Eduardo Miranda)和他的同事们开始分析位于拉瓜伊拉(La Guaira)受灾最严重地区卡拉巴莱达(Caraballeda)的一家保龄球馆附近安装的两台监控摄像头所拍摄的视频。视频显示,有八栋建筑物在不到一秒钟的时间内同时倒塌。
— Unlike the magnitude of an earthquake, the intensity of the shaking varies from community to community and even street to street. The government had let local seismic instruments go dark, leaving scientists without data to determine the intensity of the shaking. That’s when Eduardo Miranda, a Stanford University professor of civil and environmental engineering, and his colleagues turned to analyzing video captured by two security cameras near a bowling alley in Caraballeda, the most affected community in La Guaira. The footage shows eight buildings collapse simultaneously in less than a second.
—— 根据米兰达团队撰写并提交给美联社(AP)的论文,研究人员通过逐帧分析视频中的运动情况,重建了地震是如何导致这些建筑物倒塌的。这项分析揭示了有记录以来地球上最强烈的地面运动现象之一,并提供了关于地震发生时地面运动的唯一定量数据。米兰达指出,即便是符合日本严格建筑规范的建筑物,也很难在6月24日的这场地震中幸存下来(因为日本的建筑规范是全球最严格的之一)。
— By carefully tracking the motion frame by frame, the team reconstructed how the earthquake produced the motion seen on camera, according to a paper produced by Miranda’s team that was shared with the AP. That analysis revealed one of the largest ground motions ever documented in the world and has provided the only quantitative information on the ground-motion of the quake near the rupture. Miranda said it would have been difficult for structures meeting safety standards in Japan, which has among the strictest building codes, to have survived what happened June 24.
—— 这篇论文目前正在接受同行评审,准备发表在《地震记录》(The Seismic Record)期刊上(该期刊隶属于美国地震学会)。米兰达表示,卡拉巴莱达的建筑物在地震中长时间受到单一方向的强烈冲击,最终超过了其结构的承受极限,从而导致了倒塌。
— The paper under peer review for publication in The Seismic Record, the online journal of the Seismological Society of America, determined that buildings in Caraballeda were pushed so far in one direction for so long that they hit their breaking points, Miranda said.
目前尚不清楚这些政府承包商是否遵守了委内瑞拉的建筑规范;也不清楚相关官员在施工开始前是否进行了土壤检测,或者这些检测结果是否被忽视了。政府并未公开任何建筑图纸、土壤检测报告或检查记录。曾负责胡戈·查韦斯总统住房项目的官员弗朗西斯科·“法鲁科”·塞斯托(Francisco “Farruco” Sesto)没有回应美联社的采访请求。
— It is not known whether government contractors followed Venezuela’s building codes. It is also not known whether officials conducted soil studies before construction began, or whether those studies were ignored. The government has not made public blueprints, soil studies or inspection records . Francisco “Farruco” Sesto, who headed the office responsible for then-President Hugo Chávez’s housing program, did not respond to an interview request from AP.
现任代总统德尔西·罗德里格斯(Delcy Rodríguez)的政府尚未提供任何关于现场法医分析的信息——而这些分析对于查明事故原因及相关责任方至关重要。不过,政府的清理工作(包括拆除受损建筑)已经启动,重建工作也在继续进行中。专家们表示,他们希望政府不要重蹈15年前的覆辙,而应采取谨慎、周密的措施来进行重建。他们还指出,为建造能够抵御地震的高层建筑所需的额外设计和施工费用,可能会使政府及部分私人投资者放弃在某些地区的开发计划。
— The government of acting President Delcy Rodríguez has not provided any information regarding on-site forensic analyses that experts say are crucial to determine the causes and responsibilities, but its cleanup work, including dynamiting damaged buildings, is underway and so is a rebuilding effort. Experts said they hope the government does not simply repeat the mistakes of 15 years ago and instead takes a careful and considered approach to its rebuilding efforts. They also said the cost of additional design and construction work needed to build high-rises capable of resisting earthquakes in the region will likely dissuade the state and some private investors from developing certain areas.
本报道由伯克(Burke)在旧金山完成;美联社的迈克尔·比塞克(Michael Biesecker)在匹兹堡、瑞安·曼祖克(Ryan Manzuk)和马歇尔·里策尔(Marshall Ritzel)在纽约也为报道提供了协助。
Burke reported from San Francisco. Associated Press writers Michael Biesecker in Pittsburgh and Ryan Manzuk and Marshall Ritzel in New York contributed to this report.