金亨进 韩国首尔——韩国情报机构周三表示,乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基最近披露所谓秘密地将两名朝鲜战俘移交韩国一事,很可能是为了争取这个亚洲民主国家的公众支持,以向乌克兰提供更多援助。
HYUNG-JIN KIM SEOUL, South Korea — South Korea’s spy agency said Wednesday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy ‘s recent revelation of a supposedly secret transfer of two North Korean prisoners of war to the South was likely meant to generate public support in this Asian democracy for greater assistance to Ukraine.
泽连斯基上周在联合国演讲时披露这些被俘士兵已被移交韩国,令韩国震惊并引发强烈抗议。首尔要求基辅就违反双方所称的移交信息保密协议道歉并作出解释。乌克兰否认曾同意达成此类协议。
Zelenskyy’s disclosure during his U.N. speech last week of the transfer of the captured soldiers has stunned South Korea and drawn strong protests. Seoul called on Kyiv to apologize and explain the violation of what it said was a nondisclosure agreement about the transfer. Ukraine denied agreeing to any such deal.
这一披露引发的风波震动了基辅与首尔一贯良好的关系,但是否会导致更严重的局面尚不清楚。
The fracas surrounding the revelation has shaken the traditionally good relations between Kyiv and Seoul but it’s unclear if it would lead to something more dramatic.
这些士兵是被朝鲜派往俄罗斯的数千人之一。朝鲜派遣他们协助俄罗斯击退乌克兰对俄罗斯库尔斯克边境地区的入侵,此举也是平壤与莫斯科扩大合作的一部分。朝鲜还向俄罗斯提供了常规武器。
The soldiers were among thousands sent by North Korea to help Russia repel a Ukrainian incursion into Russia’s Kursk border region as part of expanding cooperation between Pyongyang and Moscow. North Korea has supplied conventional weapons to Russia as well.
韩国国家情报院周三就此事与韩国国会一个委员会举行了闭门会议。
South Korea’s National Intelligence Service held a closed-door meeting with a parliament committee on Wednesday about the matter.
出席会议的议员柳英夏称,委员会获知,乌克兰无论通过官方还是非官方渠道,均未道歉,也未表达遗憾。
According to lawmaker Yoo Yeong-ha who attended the meeting, the committee was told there has been no apology or expression of regret from Ukraine — either through official or unofficial channels.
柳英夏说,国家情报院评估,泽连斯基披露移交一事,可能是为了争取韩国公众支持向乌克兰提供武器和其他援助。
The intelligence service assessed that Zelenskyy likely disclosed the transfer with the intention to rally public support in South Korea in favor of supplying weapons and other assistance to Ukraine, Yoo said.
柳英夏没有进一步说明,也没有透露国家情报院是如何作出这一评估的。
Yoo did not elaborate or say how the intelligence service made its assessment.
韩国曾向乌克兰提供人道主义援助和其他支持,但按照不向积极参与冲突的国家供应武器的政策,一直没有向乌克兰提供武器。
South Korea has sent humanitarian aid and other support to Ukraine but has refrained from sending weapons, in line with its policy of not supplying arms to countries actively engaged in conflict.
据情报部门称,朝鲜战俘于9月中旬抵达韩国,且没有严重的健康问题。同样出席了会议的另一位议员尹建永(Yun Kun-young)表示,该机构称这些士兵在乌克兰期间就已表达了在韩国定居的意愿。
According to the intelligence service, the North Korean POWs arrived in South Korea in mid-September and have no major health issues, according to another lawmaker, Yun Kun-young, who was also present at the meeting. The agency said that while in Ukraine, the soldiers had expressed their desires to resettle in South Korea, according to Yun.
朝鲜尚未就此次转移公开置评,但此前曾声称其公民的大规模叛逃是韩国绑架或诱骗他们逃离的结果。
North Korea hasn’t publicly commented on the transfer but has previously claimed major defections of its citizens were the result of South Korea abducting them or luring them to flee.
韩国官员表示,他们担心这两名士兵及其在朝鲜的亲属的安全。专家们表示,人们还担心此次转移可能会引发朝鲜的抗议,并破坏平壤重启与美国对话的努力。
South Korean officials have said they were concerned about the safety of the two soldiers and their relatives back in North Korea. Experts say there were also concerns the transfer could trigger protests from the North and undermine efforts to restart Pyongyang’s talks with the United States.
尹建永还表示,情报部门估计约有9000名朝鲜士兵在库尔斯克地区参与了监视行动。
Yun also said the intelligence service estimates that about 9,000 North Korean soldiers were engaged in surveillance operations in the Kursk region.
他还补充说,议员们获悉,俄罗斯已向朝鲜提供了武器技术以支持其军事现代化计划,但对于转让与核动力潜艇和洲际弹道导弹建造相关的尖端技术仍持保留态度。
He also added that the lawmakers were told Russia has given North Korea weapons technologies to support its military modernization plans but has been reluctant to transfer cutting-edge technology related to the construction of nuclear-powered submarines and intercontinental ballistic missiles.
尹建永称,情报部门还评估认为,朝鲜领导人金正恩的十几岁女儿在参加了一系列不同的公开活动并获得更多礼遇后,已巩固了她作为父亲潜在继承人的地位。
The intelligence service has also assessed that the teenage daughter of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un has cemented her status as her father’s likely heir after attending an array of different public events and getting more ceremonial treatment, Yun said.
他援引该部门的话说,金正恩的女儿——据报道名为金主爱,年约13岁——今年迄今已与父亲共同出席了约30次公开活动,这是自她2022年底首次公开露面以来同期最高的数字。
He quoted the service as saying Kim’s daughter — reportedly named Kim Ju Ae and around 13 — made about 30 public appearances together with her father so far this year, the highest figure in the corresponding period since she first appeared in public in late 2022.
一些专家提醒不要将其视为其父亲的继任者,理由是朝鲜存在极其强烈的以男性为中心的权力等级制度。
Some experts caution against seeing her as her father’s successor, citing North Korea’s extremely strong male-centered power hierarchy.
议员柳表示,该情报机构在报告中称,金正恩的女儿通过穿着女士西装和尖头高跟鞋,试图展现更为成熟的形象。该情报机构过去曾利用人工智能技术、超分辨率视频分析及其他方法,对金正恩的健康状况进行评估。
Yoo, the lawmaker, said the service described Kim’s daughter as trying to project a more mature image by wearing women’s suits and pointed-toe heels. The intelligence agency has in the past made assessments of Kim Jong Un’s health conditions by using artificial intelligence techniques, analyses of super-resolution video and other methods.
柳还表示,在该周三的会议上,情报机构称金正恩目前仍严重肥胖,但未见其他健康问题迹象。
Also in the Wednesday meeting, the intelligence agency said Kim is still severely obese but has no signs of other health problems, Yun said.