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私营部门9月新增就业岗位9万个,超出预期,ADP报告显示Private sector jobs rose by 90,000 in September, better than expected, ADP reports

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根据 ADP 周三发布的报告,9 月份私营部门的就业创造活动有所回升(此前曾短暂放缓),这进一步表明美国的劳动力市场已经趋于稳定。

Private job creation picked up in September after a brief slowdown, providing further indication that the U.S. labor market has stabilized, according to an ADP report Wednesday.

这家负责处理就业数据的公司表示,当月私营部门的就业人数增加了 9 万个,高于 8 月份下调后的预测值(3.6 万个),也超过了道琼斯分析师的平均预期(6.8 万个)。

The payrolls processing firm said company employment rose by 90,000 for the month, higher than the downwardly revised 36,000 in August and better than the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 68,000.

报告中的数据较为均衡:服务业新增了 5.9 万个就业岗位,而制造业新增了 3.1 万个就业岗位。

There also was a fair amount of balance in the report, with service providers adding 59,000 positions while goods producers contributed 31,000.

与去年同期相比,员工的基本工资增长了 3.2%,总工资增长了 4.7%。

Base pay rose 3.2% from a year ago, while gross pay accelerated by 4.7%.

ADP 的首席经济学家内拉·理查森表示:“这份报告非常乐观。在经历了三个月的放缓后,就业创造活动重新回升,工资增长也依然强劲。”其中,教育和医疗保健行业新增就业岗位最多(5.5 万个);其他增长明显的行业还包括休闲和酒店业(2.2 万个)、制造业(1.7 万个)以及建筑业(1.5 万个)。

"It's a strong report," said ADP chief economist Nela Richardson. "After a three-month slowdown, job creation rebounded and pay growth remained solid." Education and health services contributed the most, with 55,000 new hires. Other areas of growth included leisure and hospitality (22,000), manufacturing (17,000) and construction (15,000).

不过也有部分行业出现了就业岗位减少的情况,例如金融行业(减少了 1.6 万个)、专业及商业服务行业(减少了 1.1 万个),以及自然资源和采矿行业(减少了 1 万个)。

A handful of sectors saw job losses, including financial activities (-16,000), professional and business services (-11,000) and natural resources and mining (-1,000).

大部分就业增长发生在美国东北部地区(该地区新增了 5.6 万个就业岗位)。按企业规模来看,员工人数在 50 至 499 人之间的企业新增了 5.4 万个就业岗位。

Much of the employment growth came from the Northeast, which added 56,000. By size, companies with between 50 and 499 workers saw a gain of 54,000.

总体而言,这份报告进一步证实了多位美联储官员的观点:在经历了 2025 年的经济增长放缓后,美国的劳动力市场基本处于健康状态。目前政策制定者更关注持续的通货膨胀问题——正是这一问题促使美联储在 9 月初将基准利率上调了 0.25 个百分点。

Broadly, the report helped confirm sentiment expressed by multiple Federal Reserve officials that the labor market is mostly sound following a growth scare in 2025. Policymakers see the greater policy risk now as the persistent inflation that pushed central bankers to raise benchmark borrowing rates by a quarter percentage point earlier in September.

ADP 的就业数据是劳工统计局将于周五发布的非农就业数据的前兆。华尔街分析师普遍预计,9 月份非农就业人数将增加 8.4 万个(低于 8 月份的 16.2 万个),失业率将维持在 4.1% 不变。

The ADP count serves as a precursor to the nonfarm payrolls report that the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release Friday. The Wall Street consensus is for a gain of 84,000 jobs, down from a 162,000 increase the prior month, and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 4.1%.

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