塔瓦雷斯·塞博拉和马修·希尔报道，随着通胀和经济增长风险加剧，莫桑比克央行连续第四次会议维持基准利率不变。
By Tavares Cebola and Matthew Hill Mozambique’s central bank held its benchmark interest rate for the fourth consecutive meeting as inflation and economic growth risks mount.
行长费利斯贝托·纳瓦利亚表示，该利率因其葡萄牙语缩写Mimo而被称为Mimo，目前维持在9.25%。这是他本月早些时候上任后首次宣布货币政策决定。
The rate, known by its Portuguese acronym Mimo, remains at 9.25%, Governor Felisberto Navalha said in his first monetary policy announcement since starting the job earlier this month.
他指出，在东南非国家经济缓慢复苏的背景下，中东紧张局势和气候冲击带来的风险仍在持续。
He pointed to continued risks from Middle East tensions and climate shocks in the context of a slow economic recovery in the southeast African nation.
尽管8月年度通胀率降至6.5%，纳瓦利亚的前任仍警告称，通胀近期可能升至两位数。
While annual inflation eased to 6.5% in August, Navalha’s predecessor had warned of risks it could hit double digits in the near term.
受持续中的伊朗和乌克兰战争影响，能源、化肥和粮食供应受限，这对原油和食品净进口国莫桑比克构成风险。
Energy, fertilizer and grain supply constraints due to the ongoing Iran and Ukraine wars pose risks for the net crude and food importer.
近几个月来，受战争影响，莫桑比克柴油零售价格上涨了逾40%；外汇短缺也令企业抱怨无力支付进口货款。
In recent months, Mozambique’s diesel pump prices have risen by more than 40% because of the wars, while foreign exchange shortages have prompted businesses to complain they’re unable to pay for imports.
自2024年10月有争议的选举后持续数月的抗议以来，莫桑比克经济一直承受严重压力。
Mozambique’s economy has been severely strained after months of protests following the disputed October 2024 elections.
这些压力加剧了这个天然气资源丰富国家按期偿债的困难，并使其经济去年陷入衰退。
Those pressures have amplified the gas-rich nation’s difficulties in staying current on its debt and tipped the economy into a recession last year.
财政部预计，今年经济增长将达到0.6%；到2027年，公共部门工资支出和偿债支出将占政府预计收入的96%。莫桑比克还面临允许本币贬值的风险，这可能进一步加剧通胀。
The Finance Ministry expects growth to hit 0.6% this year and the public wage bill and debt servicing to absorb 96% of government’s forecast revenues in 2027. There is also the risk that Mozambique may allow its currency to depreciate, which could fan inflation.
标普全球评级于9月25日表示，该国政府正与国际货币基金组织谈判，争取达成一项新的融资计划，而达成协议可能需要更大的货币 flexibility。标普预计，莫桑比克梅蒂卡尔到2029年将“温和贬值”。
The government is in talks with the International Monetary Fund for a new financed program, and securing a deal will probably require greater currency flexibility, S&P Global Ratings said Sept. 25. It sees a “modest depreciation of the Mozambican metical through 2029.”