作者多纳托·保罗·曼奇尼报道，乔治娅·梅洛尼的盟友相信，这位意大利总理将在下周于该国下议院获得足够支持，以最终通过其标志性的选举改革方案。
By Donato Paolo Mancini Giorgia Meloni’s allies are confident that the Italian prime minister will get sufficient backing in the country’s lower house for the final approval of her flagship electoral reform next week.
“我看不出该法案的通过会有任何问题，”执政联盟政党意大利力量党的议员黛博拉·贝尔加米尼在接受采访时说。“我没有感觉到围绕这次投票有任何紧张情绪。”“它会通过的，”梅洛尼所属政党的议员马尔科·奥斯纳托说。
“I don’t foresee any problems with the bill’s approval,” Deborah Bergamini, a lawmaker with coalition party Forza Italia, said in an interview. “I don’t sense any tension around the vote.”“It’ll pass,” said Marco Osnato, a lawmaker in Meloni’s party.
梅洛尼的执政联盟在7月受挫，当时同一议院在一次秘密投票中否决了该法案的一项关键修正案，以一票之差击败政府，并暴露出她的联盟内部日益加深的分歧。意大利下议院于周三下午恢复对该法案的辩论，最终投票目前定于10月8日举行。
Meloni’s coalition was bruised in July when the same chamber rejected a key amendment to the bill in a secret vote, defeating the government by one vote and exposing deepening divisions in her alliance. Italy’s lower house resumed the debate on the bill Wednesday afternoon, ahead of a final vote currently scheduled for Oct. 8.
据彭博新闻社9月初报道，这位总理已告知其阵营，如果政府在与该法案相关的投票中落败，她将辞职。梅洛尼此后公开表示，她将把此事变成一次信任投票，这可能为解散议会铺平道路。其他议员则警告称，最终结果仍不确定。
The premier has told her camp that if the government is defeated in the votes associated to the bill she will resign, Bloomberg News reported in early September. Meloni has since publicly said she would make it a vote of confidence, potentially paving the way for the dissolution of parliament. Other lawmakers cautioned that the final outcome remains open.
如果获得通过，这项改革将引入纯粹的比例代表制选举制度，废除单一选区制，并向任何赢得超过42%选票的联盟分配大量额外席位。
If approved, the reform would introduce a purely proportional voting system, abolish first-past-the-post constituencies and award a large seat bonus to any coalition winning more than 42% of the vote.
梅洛尼的右翼正日益受到极端民族主义者罗伯托·万纳奇的影响。这位前陆军将军领导着“国家未来党”，并威胁要从她的联盟中拉走选票。更广泛地说，这位总理自3月以来一直承受压力，当时她在一场司法改革公投中失利，而这场公投迅速演变为对其执政表现的全民表决，背景是生活水平停滞和能源价格飙升。
Meloni’s right flank is increasingly exposed to the ultra-nationalist Roberto Vannacci, the former army general who leads National Future and threatens to peel away votes from her coalition. More broadly, the premier has been under pressure since March, when she lost a referendum on judiciary overhaul that quickly transformed into a plebiscite on her tenure amid stagnating living standards and spiraling energy prices.
梅洛尼在万纳奇民调支持率上升之前就提出了这项法律。最近民调显示，万纳奇的支持率约为8%，使他成为全国第二大右翼势力。如果民调保持不变，她很可能需要万纳奇的选票才能达到获得席位奖励所需的42%得票率。
Meloni proposed the law before Vannacci’s rise in the polls, which most recently placed him at about 8% of voting intentions, making him the second-strongest right-wing party nationally. If polling remains unchanged, it is likely she would need Vannacci’s votes to achieve the 42% share of the vote needed to achieve the seat bonus.
尽管如此，本周早些时候，她的多数派仍成功保住了南部中右翼票仓的一个席位，以约52%的得票率赢得补选。万纳奇支持的候选人获得了10.9%的选票。
Still, her majority was able to hold on to a seat in center-right stronghold in the South earlier this week, winning a by-election with about 52% of the vote. Vannacci’s candidate gained 10.9%.