图片：在2026年9月24日，提格雷地区梅克勒，提格雷武装部队对联邦政府发动大规模攻势后，部队成员在街头巡逻，紧张局势加剧。
© 路透社 - Stringer 在阿拉伯半岛的冲突蔓延后，整个非洲之角地区是否应该担心多米诺效应？
Cover image: Members of the Tigrayan forces patrol along a street as tensions intensify after the forces launched a major offensive against the federal government in multiple locations, in Mekelle, Tigray Region, Ethiopia, September 24, 2026. © REUTERS - Stringer After contagion in the Arabian Peninsula, should the entire Horn of Africa fear a domino effect?
正如唐纳德·特朗普入侵伊朗的决定导致沙特重新介入也门一样：对曼德海峡的威胁是否引发了埃塞俄比亚的动荡？
Just as Donald Trump’s decision to invade Iran drew the Saudis back to Yemen: did threats over the Strait of Bab el-Mandeb light the fuse in Ethiopia, where last week, unresolved issues between the government and its Tigray region erupted?
上周，埃塞俄比亚政府与其提格雷地区之间的未解决问题突然爆发。如果埃塞俄比亚真的重返内战，是否会牵涉到地区对手？埃塞俄比亚为何会在没有红海外部压力的情况下爆发冲突？
Could a potential return to civil war draw in regional rivals? Ethiopia didn’t need pressure over the Red Sea to ignite.
2022年《比勒陀利亚协议》后对话的破裂，一直是这个非洲第二人口大国的定时炸弹。
The breakdown of dialogue after the 2022 Pretoria agreement was always going to be a ticking time bomb for Africa’s second-most populous nation.
四年间，各方的联盟关系发生了变化……邻国厄立特里亚不再支持阿比·艾哈迈德，而亚的斯亚贝巴指责埃及和苏丹支持提格雷人民解放阵线（TPLF）叛军。
And in four years, alliances have shifted… with neighboring Eritrea no longer on Abiy Ahmed’s side and Addis Ababa accusing Egypt and Sudan of supporting the TPLF rebels.
苏丹自身也深陷内战，阿比·艾哈迈德被指控与阿联酋站在一起，而阿联酋向RSF民兵提供武器的情况已有充分证据。如何阻止埃塞俄比亚再次陷入全面内战？又该由谁来阻止这场地区性战争？
Sudan with its own vicious civil war where Abiy’s accused of siding with the same UAE whose arming of RSF militias is well documented. How and who to stop a return in Ethiopia to all-out civil war? Who to prevent a regional war? Produced by François Picard, Rebecca Gnignati, Juliette Laffont, Ilayda Habip, Charles Wente.