周四公布的一项民间调查显示,印度制造业在9月份大幅扩张,结束了为期三个月的增长放缓,强劲的需求推动工厂活动创下七个月来的最快增速,并带动招聘回暖和商业信心的提升。
India's manufacturing sector expanded sharply in September, ending a three-month slowdown as robust demand drove the fastest growth in factory activity in seven months, revived hiring and lifted business confidence, a private survey showed on Thursday.
由标普全球(S&P Global)编制的汇丰印度制造业采购经理指数(PMI)从8月份创下的五年低点52.8跃升至9月份的55.1,但低于55.7的初步预估值。这一读数为2月以来的最高水平。PMI读数高于50.0即表明活动处于增长状态。
The HSBC India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), compiled by S&P Global, jumped to 55.1 in September from a five-year low of 52.8 in August but was lower than a preliminary estimate of 55.7. The reading was the highest since February. A PMI reading above 50.0 indicates growth in activity.
调查显示,在电子、食品、医药和纺织品需求走强的推动下,新订单以2月以来最快的速度增长。出口订单也呈加速态势,制造商表示来自巴西、欧洲、阿联酋和美国客户的需求有所增加。
New orders rose at the fastest pace since February, driven by stronger demand for electronic, food, pharmaceutical and textile products, the survey said. Export orders also accelerated, with manufacturers citing increased demand from clients in Brazil, Europe, the UAE and the US.
在新的商业订单和高需求的支撑下,产量大幅上升,扩张速度创下5月以来的最快纪录。
Output rose sharply, with the rate of expansion accelerating to its strongest since May, supported by new business orders and high demand.
汇丰银行印度首席经济学家普兰朱尔·班达里(Pranjul Bhandari)表示:“企业购买了更多原材料并增加了库存,以应对预期中的销售。产成品库存创下了近12年来的第二大增幅,这表明库存水平从之前的精简状态发生了明显转变。”
"Companies bought more materials and built up stocks to prepare for anticipated sales. Finished-goods inventories recorded their second-largest increase in nearly 12 years, signalling a clear shift from leaner stock levels," said Pranjul Bhandari, chief India economist at HSBC.
需求的增长也带动了招聘工作的重启。就业人数创下5月以来的最快增速,从8月份的绝对下降中恢复过来——这也是两年半以来工厂就业岗位首次出现萎缩。
Rising demand also led to a resumption in hiring. Employment expanded at its strongest rate since May, recovering from an outright decline in August - the first drop in factory jobs in two-and-a-half years.
在新的询盘和对需求持续的预期提振下,9月份商业信心升至四个月高位。
Business confidence rose to a four-month high in September with optimism buoyed by new enquiries and expectations of sustained demand.
受电子元器件、医药用品和钢材价格上涨的推动,成本压力有所上升,投入品成本的通胀率较8月份加快。不过,通胀率仍低于其长期平均水平。售价也较8月份有所上涨,但涨幅温和,同样低于趋势水平。
Cost pressures rose, with input cost inflation rising at a faster pace than in August, driven by higher prices for electronic components, pharmaceutical items and steel. However, the rate of inflation remained below its long-run average. Selling prices also increased from August, though the pace was modest and similarly below trend.
8月,印度通货膨胀率连续第三个月高于印度储备银行(RBI)4%的中期目标,主要受能源和食品成本急剧上涨的推动。为应对不断上升的通胀,预计印度储备银行今年将累计加息50个基点至5.75%。
Inflation has remained above the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) 4% medium-term target for the third consecutive month in August, driven by a sharp increase in energy and food costs. To tackle rising inflation, the RBI is expected to raise interest rates by a total of 50 basis points this year to 5.75%.