纽约/伦敦 10月1日:周四,美元兑欧元汇率升至17个月来的最高点,原因是美国和欧洲政府债券遭到抛售,在油价上涨助长通胀的背景下,国债收益率被推高至新的峰值。
NEW YORK/LONDON, Oct 1 : The dollar rose to a 17-month high against the euro on Thursday amid a selloff in government bonds across the US and Europe, which pushed Treasury yields to fresh peaks as higher oil prices fanned inflation.
欧元兑美元跌破1.123,为2025年5月以来的首次。在过去几个月中,美元一直处于上升势头,部分原因在于美债收益率创下了1994年以来最大单季涨幅。
The European currency fell below $1.123 for the first time since May 2025 against the dollar, which has been in ascendancy for the past couple of months, thanks in part to the largest quarterly rise in Treasury yields since 1994.
截至发稿,欧元下跌0.79%,至1.1238美元。9月份欧元下跌近2.5%,创下2025年7月以来的最大月度跌幅。
The euro was last down 0.79 per cent at $1.1238. It declined nearly 2.5 per cent in September, its largest monthly decline since July 2025.
NatWest Markets G10外汇策略主管布赖恩·丹格菲尔德(Brian Daingerfield)表示:“收益率上升是由多种因素共同驱动的,尤其是对财政政策的担忧,包括法国债券市场的某些疲软可能会波及全球市场,以及对能源价格和通胀上升的持续担忧。”
"Higher yields have been driven by a confluence of factors in particular concern about fiscal policy including some weakness in French bond markets, which may be spilling over into global markets, as well as continued concern around energy prices and higher inflation," said Brian Daingerfield, head of G10 FX strategy at NatWest Markets.
“市场预计各国央行将继续收紧政策,这其中也包括美联储。在过去几天里,特别是在我们昨天看到一些PCE(个人消费支出)数据后,这种预期略有回落。但我认为普遍观点是,美联储很可能会进一步收紧政策。”当日,基准美国10年期国债收益率触及2002年以来的最高水平。截至发稿,该收益率下跌2.28个基点,至5.272%。
"There's market expectations for continued tightening from central banks, which includes the Federal Reserve. We've seen a bit of pull back over the last few days specifically after some of the PCE numbers we got yesterday. But I think the broad view is that additional Fed tightening is likely coming." The yield on benchmark US 10-year notes hit its highest level since 2002 on the day. It was last down 2.28 basis points to 5.272 per cent.
与此同时,由于法国债务收益率飙升至另一个14年高点——法国脆弱的财政状况一直令该国债务备受困扰——欧元兑日元和瑞郎也出现下挫,兑英镑则勉强保持在涨势区间。基准德国国债也遭到抛售。
The euro also sank against the yen and the Swiss franc, and barely held in positive territory against the pound, as yields on French debt, which have been hounded by worries about France's shaky finances, surged to another 14-year high. Benchmark German debt also came under fire.
周三公布的数据显示,美国8月通胀率升幅低于预期,7月数据也被向下修正,这降低了市场对美联储本月加息的预期。但欧元区通胀率的飙升凸显出较高能源价格继续对全球经济构成的威胁。
Data on Wednesday showed US inflation rose less than expected in August, along with downward revisions to July's figure, which lowered expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike this month. But a surge in euro zone inflation underscored the threat that higher energy prices continue to pose to the global economy.
截至9月底,美元兑一篮子货币连续第六个季度实现升值,这是自2022年以来持续时间最长的上升趋势(当时美国利率的上升速度超过了其他国家的利率)。当天,美元指数上涨了0.57%,达到了自2025年4月以来的最高水平。
The dollar clocked its sixth straight quarter of gains against a basket of currencies by the end of September, its longest such stretch since 2022 when US rates were rising more quickly than those elsewhere. The dollar index was last up 0.57 per cent on the day, after hitting its highest level since April 2025.
由于政府财政状况恶化、债券发行量过剩以及通货膨胀加剧,全球债券市场在9月份出现了多年来最严重的月度跌幅,导致债券收益率上升。
Global bonds suffered their largest monthly decline in years in September, pushing yields higher, due to a toxic mix of deteriorating government finances, a glut of issuance and rising inflation.
英镑兑美元下跌0.54%,汇率降至1.31924美元;虽然上月英镑已经下跌了2.1%,但相对于欧元而言英镑表现较为稳定。欧元兑英镑的汇率跌至6月下旬以来的最低水平,约为85.11便士。
Sterling was down 0.54 per cent at $1.31924 after having slid 2.1 per cent last month, but was steady against the euro, which traded at its weakest point since late June against the pound, around 85.11 pence.
日元兑美元贬值0.11%,汇率降至157.6日元/美元。由于澳大利亚国内通胀率低于预期,澳元跌至两个月来的最低水平,汇率降至0.69040美元。
The Japanese yen weakened 0.11 per cent against the greenback to 157.6 per dollar. The Australian dollar fell to a two-month low of $0.69040 after domestic inflation came in below forecasts.