巴黎——联合国粮食及农业组织(粮农组织)表示,受物流中断和天气状况担忧影响,9月全球食品价格升至近四年最高水平。
PARIS – World food prices rose in September to their highest in nearly four years as logistics disruptions and weather concerns affected crop markets, the United Nations’ Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said.
人们对严重厄尔尼诺天气现象的担忧推动国际糖价升至18个月高位。与此同时,受战争影响,黑海贸易大幅萎缩,并在9月初将小麦期货价格推至三年来的峰值。
Fears about a severe El Nino weather pattern have pushed international sugar prices to an 18-month high, while a war-related collapse in Black Sea trade pushed wheat futures to a three-year peak early in September.
粮农组织食品价格指数追踪一篮子食品商品国际价格的月度变化,9月平均为136.0点,高于修正后8月的134.0点,创2022年11月以来最高值。
The FAO Food Price Index, which tracks monthly changes in international prices for a basket of food commodities, averaged 136.0 points, up from a revised 134.0 for August and the highest reading since November 2022.
9月,粮农组织的谷物、糖和植物油价格基准值均有所上涨,但肉类和乳制品报价下跌。
FAO’s benchmarks for cereal, sugar and vegetable oil prices all rose in September, though meat and dairy quotations fell.
粮农组织首席经济学家马克西莫·托雷罗表示:“我们看到全球大宗商品价格持续且呈现越来越广泛的上涨趋势,因为霍尔木兹海峡和黑海航运中断与气候冲击叠加,对能源、运输和关键食品商品造成压力。”
“We are seeing a persistent and increasingly broad-based build up in global commodity prices, as disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and the Black Sea combine with climate shocks, putting pressure on energy, transport and key food commodities,” FAO chief economist Maximo Torero said.
他在一份声明中说:“如果这些压力持续存在,很快就会传导至消费者食品价格,尤其是依赖食品和能源进口的国家。”
“If sustained, these pressures will soon pass through to consumer food prices, especially in food and energy import-dependent countries,” he said in a statement.
粮农组织在另一份报告中几乎维持了对2026年全球谷物产量的预测,仍为29.79亿公吨。这一产量比上年的峰值低2.1%,但仍是有记录以来第二高的收获量。
In a separate report, FAO kept its forecast for global cereal production in 2026 almost unchanged at 2.979 billion metric tons, 2.1 per cent below the previous year’s peak but still the second-largest harvest on record.
粮农组织将2026/27年度世界谷物贸易量预测较9月下调了0.7%,主要原因是黑海航运路线受限,导致小麦和玉米出口预期降低。
FAO cut its forecast for world cereal trade in 2026/27 by 0.7 per cent from September, citing lower wheat and maize export expectations due largely to constrained Black Sea shipping routes.