民主党梦想的选举场景有可能成为一场噩梦，因为他们在共和党倾向选区的候选人努力维护自己独立于党领导层的地位。
Democrats' dream election scenario risks becoming a nightmare as their candidates in Republican-leaning districts strain to assert their independence from party leadership.
为什么重要：把他们加入到一大批直言不讳的左翼分子中，他们承诺成为众议院民主党领导人的眼中钉，你就得到了不守规矩的多数派的所有要素。
Why it matters: Add them to the sizable cohort of outspoken leftists promising to be a thorn in the side of House Democratic leaders, and you get all the ingredients for an unruly majority.
- “当我看到我认为不正确的事情时，无论是在我自己的政党内部还是在另一个政党内部，我都会大声疾呼，”明尼苏达州民主党众议院候选人杰克·约翰逊在接受采访时告诉Axios。
• "When I see things that I don't think are right, whether they're within my own party or within another party, I'm going to call it out," Jake Johnson, a Democratic House candidate in Minnesota, told Axios in an interview.
蒙大拿州民主党人萨姆·福斯塔格（Sam Forstag）在被问及他将在国会山采取的方法时表示，表现出愿意在过道上工作和“反对自己的政党”必须成为其中的一部分。"
• Montana Democrat Sam Forstag, when asked about the approach he would take on Capitol Hill, said showing a willingness to work across the aisle and "buck your own party" have "got to be a part of it."
- “对哥伦比亚特区的政治体制有着巨大的挫折感，而且......科罗拉多州的候选人艾琳·劳巴赫说：“很多人愤世嫉俗地认为事情不会改变。”
• "There is a tremendous amount of frustration with the D.C. political establishment, and ... a lot of cynicism that things aren't going to change," said Colorado candidate Eileen Laubacher. State of play:
游戏状态：上个月，民主党众议员贾里德·戈尔德（缅因州民主党人）和玛丽·格鲁森坎普·佩雷斯（华盛顿州民主党人）早早尝到了滋味。在关键程序性投票上多次与党领导层决裂。
- 两位思想独立的前线人士的叛逃引发了众议院民主党人的新恐惧：安全席位的进步人士并不是他们明年必须担心的唯一叛逆新人。
Democrats got an early taste last month when Reps. Jared Golden (D-Maine) and Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D-Wash.) repeatedly broke with party leadership on key procedural votes. • The defections from a pair of independent-minded frontliners unlocked a new fear for House Democrats: That safe-seat progressives aren't the only rebellious freshmen they will have to worry about next year.
- 这是一个值得关注的问题，因为民主党将更多共和党倾向的席位置于他们的雷达上，以预计选举日会出现“蓝色浪潮”。
• It's a salient concern as Democrats put more Republican-leaning seats on their radar in anticipation of a "blue wave" on Election Day.
- Axios上周报道称，这些选区的民主党人否认自己政党或整个两党制度的广告大幅增加。
• There has been a huge spike in ads from Democrats in those districts repudiating their own party or the two-party system as a whole, Axios reported last week.
他们在说什么：“我将对抗共和党人，我也将对抗民主党人。我谈论了很多这个问题，”密歇根州摇摆区候选人克里斯蒂娜·海因斯说。
What they're saying: "I will stand up to Republicans, I will also stand up to Democrats. I talk a lot about this," said Michigan swing-district candidate Christina Hines.
- 约翰逊表示，“难怪人们对国会的信心处于历史新低”，因为他们“看到一群人穿上红衫和蓝衫……”但它就是不起作用。"
• Johnson said it's "no wonder people have historically low levels of confidence in Congress" because they "see a bunch of people put on red shirts and blue shirts ... and it's just not working."
- 福斯塔格指出，住房问题是他与所在州的民主党人决裂的一个问题，他告诉Axios：“在分区改革方面，你知道我看到谁是进步的最大障碍吗？通常，民主党人。" ·“你敢打赌，我会与共和党人合作，”他说。
• Forstag pointed to housing as an issue where he has broken with Democrats in his state, telling Axios: "When it comes to zoning reform, you know who I've seen be the biggest impediment to progress? Oftentimes, Democrats." • "You bet your ass I'm going to work with Republicans," he said.
字里行间：这种摇摆区独立倾向注定会与安全席位叛乱分子正在策划的叛乱发生冲突。
Between the lines: This swing-district independent streak is bound to come in conflict with the rebellions that safe-seat insurgents are planning.
- 左倾民主党议员和候选人告诉Axios，他们希望就全民医疗保险、废除ICE和切断对以色列的援助等核心政策问题进行投票。
• Left-leaning Democratic lawmakers and candidates have told Axios they want votes on core policy issues such as Medicare for All, abolishing ICE and cutting off aid to Israel.
- 那种在2024年当选为特朗普总统两位数席位的候选人不会想获得这些选票--事实上，他们可能更有可能资助ICE和以色列。
• The kind of candidate that gets elected to a seat President Trump carried by double digits in 2024 is not going to want to take those votes — in fact, they may be more likely to fund ICE and Israel.
是的，但是：其中一些红座候选人相当公开地进步和党派倾向。
Yes, but: Some of these red-seat candidates are quite openly progressive and partisan.
- 共同点：他们听到了选民对党的领导层的失望，如果当选，他们将带着改革体制和保持独立的授权来到国会山。
• The common denominator: They're hearing voters' frustration about party leadership and, if elected, they would arrive on Capitol Hill with a mandate to shake up the system and remain independent.
- 密苏里州候选人弗雷德·韦尔曼告诉Axios，他是“非常民主党人”和“相当进步的人”，他说他对众议院少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯（纽约州民主党人）感到“失望”。在8月会见了贾里德·库什纳。
• Missouri candidate Fred Wellman, who told Axios he is "very Democrat" and "fairly progressive," said he was "disappointed" that House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) met with Jared Kushner in August.
韦尔曼说，他将“在我到达那里时做出决定”，是否投票给杰弗里斯作为发言人，而不是“打算成为橡皮图章”。"
• Wellman said he will "make a decision when I get there" about whether to vote for Jeffries as speaker and doesn't "intend to be a rubber stamp."
放大：民主党工作人员告诉Axios，在某些情况下，这种领导力怀疑态度延伸到了不希望党领导人为他们竞选的候选人身上。
Zoom in: Democratic operatives told Axios that this leadership-skeptic attitude extends, in some cases, to candidates not wanting party leaders to come campaign for them.
- “民主党领导层对任何人都没有什么胃口，”他们正在合作的战场地区众议院竞选活动的一位顾问说。
• "There's very little appetite for anyone in Democratic leadership," said one consultant of the battleground-district House campaigns they are working with.
缅因州民主党人马特·邓拉普的顾问马特·赫德曼在被问及是否欢迎杰弗里斯来到他们的选区时，向Axios提供了一个简短的回应：“他们没有提出，我们也没有要求。"
• Matt Herdman, an adviser to Maine Democrat Matt Dunlap, offered Axios a curt response when asked if they would welcome Jeffries to their district: "They haven't offered and we haven't asked." The bottom line:
底线：到目前为止，这一切都没有让杰弗里斯和他的领导盟友控制的民主党国会竞选委员会感到厌烦。
None of this rebelliousness has thus far turned off the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, which Jeffries and his leadership allies control.
- 众议院民主党竞选部门一直在投入巨资支持格鲁森坎普·佩雷斯，尽管她的一些同事呼吁切断她的联系。
• The House Democratic campaign arm has been spending heavily to support Gluesenkamp Perez even after some of her colleagues called for her to be cut off.
- 格鲁森坎普·佩雷斯（Gluesenkamp Perez）在周二发布的与DCCC协调的广告中恰如其分地宣称：“我不对任何政党或任何总统负责。"
• Fittingly, Gluesenkamp Perez declared in a coordinated ad with the DCCC released Tuesday: "I don't answer to any political party or any president."