欢迎阅读《政治观察》每日通讯，本刊为您带来NBC新闻政治团队从白宫、国会山以及竞选一线发回的最新报道与分析。在本期内容中，布里奇特·鲍曼将深入探讨参议院选情中的重大变化；克里斯汀·韦尔克则会分析在唐纳德·特朗普总统开启中期选举巡回造势之际，共和党所面临的种种阻力。——亚当·沃尔纳
Welcome to From the Politics Desk, a daily newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team’s latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. In today’s edition, Bridget Bowman digs into a major development in the battle for the Senate. Plus, Kristen Welker examines the headwinds facing the GOP as President Donald Trump kicks off his midterm tour. — Adam Wollner The shifting Senate map By Bridget Bowman A big move today from a leading Republican super PAC underscores the increasingly tough Senate landscape the party is confronting as it tries to hang on to its majority.
不断变化的参议院版图作者：布里奇特·鲍曼今天，一家重要的共和党超级政治行动委员会采取了一项重大举措，这反映出该党在试图保住参议院多数席位时所面临的日益严峻的竞选环境。与共和党参议院领导层关系密切的“参议院领导基金”决定取消原本计划在关键的北卡罗来纳州参议院选举中投入的广告费用，转而开始在共和党优势明显的堪萨斯州展开新的广告攻势。
Senate Leadership Fund, which is aligned with Senate GOP leadership, canceled its future ad spending in the Senate race in battleground North Carolina and launched a new ad effort in deep-red Kansas. (Semafor was first to report the news.)
（这一消息最早由Semafor网站报道。）数周以来，共和党人一直对在北卡罗来纳州的胜算持悲观态度：近期民调显示，前民主党州长罗伊·库珀的支持率领先，且其竞选经费支出也超过了前共和党全国委员会主席迈克尔·沃特利。据广告监测机构AdImpact的数据，今年9月，“参议院领导基金”在该州的广告投入就超过了1700万美元。
Republicans have been pessimistic for weeks about their prospects in North Carolina, with former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper leading in recent polling and outspending former Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley. SLF had been heavily involved in the race: In September, it spent more than $17 million, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact.
上个月，唐纳德·特朗普总统与副总统J.D.万斯也相继前往该州为沃特利助选；特朗普本人还亲自鼓励他竞选即将退休的共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯的席位。今天，特朗普对记者说道：“我很担心他，希望他能获胜。他是个很棒的人。”
President Donald Trump and Vice President JD Vance also each traveled to the state last month to boost Whatley, whom Trump personally encouraged to run for retiring GOP Sen. Thom Tillis’ seat. “I am worried about him. I hope he wins,” Trump told reporters of Whatley today. “He’s a great man.”
与此同时，在另一关键摇摆州乔治亚州，共和党的信心也在不断下降：目前，民主党参议员乔恩·奥索夫在民调及筹款方面均明显领先于共和党众议员迈克·柯林斯。不过，一位了解“参议院领导基金”支出情况的人士指出，该组织并未暂停在乔治亚州的竞选投入。而在共和党根基稳固的堪萨斯州，现任共和党参议员与……在选举临近之际，罗杰·马歇尔与民主党人、牧师亚当·汉密尔顿之间的竞争愈发激烈。
The GOP’s confidence is also dwindling in another swing state, Georgia, where Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff has similarly established a clear polling and fundraising advantage over Republican Rep. Mike Collins. But one person familiar with SLF’s spending noted the group has not paused its spending in that race. Meanwhile, in solidly Republican Kansas, the race between GOP Sen. Roger Marshall and Democratic pastor Adam Hamilton has become more competitive in the homestretch, even though the state has not sent a Democrat to the Senate since 1932.
尽管自1932年以来该州就再未选出过民主党籍参议员，但双方的较量依然白热化。据AdImpact数据显示，截至目前，SLF已在堪萨斯州预订了超过800万美元的广告时段。将资源投向堪萨斯州这一举动表明，参议院控制权的争夺已转向共和党优势州。在10月至选举日期间，SLF投放广告的10个州中，特朗普赢得了其中8个州。
So far, SLF has reserved more than $8 million in airtime in Kansas, according to AdImpact. The diversion of resources to Kansas reflects that the battle for Senate control has shifted to red states. Trump carried eight of the 10 states where SLF is spending money on ads from October through Election Day.
万斯计划下周前往这些州中的阿拉斯加州。（关于特朗普中期选举期间行程的更多内容，请继续往下阅读。）
Vance is set to travel to one of those states, Alaska, next week. (Keep reading below for more on Trump’s midterm travel).