2015年1月23日摄于多伦多的这幅插图展示了一枚加拿大元硬币,它通常被称为“loonie”。路透社/Mark Blinch 购买许可 多伦多,10月9日——周五,加拿大元兑美元汇率跌至18个月低点,因为国内数据显示就业人数意外下降,降低了市场对加拿大央行本月加息的预期。
A Canadian dollar coin, commonly known as the "Loonie", is pictured in this illustration picture taken in Toronto January 23, 2015. REUTERS/Mark Blinch Purchase Licensing TORONTO, Oct 9 - The Canadian dollar weakened to an 18-month low against its US counterpart on Friday as domestic data showed a surprise drop in employment, reducing expectations for a Bank of Canada interest rate hike this month.
在触及2025年4月以来的日内最低水平1.4298后,“loonie”兑美元汇率下跌0.4%,报1.4275,即70.05美分。本周该货币累计下跌0.2%,正朝着连续第五周下跌的方向发展。
The loonie was trading 0.4% lower at 1.4275 per US dollar, or 70.05 US cents, after touching its weakest intraday level since April 2025 at 1.4298. For the week, the currency was down 0.2%, putting it on track for its fifth straight weekly decline.
加拿大经济在9月份减少了68,300个就业岗位,失业率从8月份的6.4%微升至6.5%。经济学家此前预测就业人数将增加9,200人。
Canada's economy shed 68,300 jobs in September, while the unemployment rate edged up to 6.5% from 6.4% in August. Economists had forecast an increase of 9,200 jobs.
BMO资本市场首席经济学家Douglas Porter在一份报告中表示:“连续第二个月出现大规模失业,抹去了加拿大劳动力市场在初夏时表现出的意外强劲,使得当前就业水平仅比一年前微升0.5%。”
"A second consecutive month of sizable job losses washes away the surprising strength reported in Canada's job market through the early summer, and leaves employment up a so-so 0.5% from a year ago," Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets, said in a note.
Porter说:“我们仍然认为,加拿大央行应采取观望态度,尤其是在就业数据突然出现不确定性的情况下。”
"We continue to believe that the appropriate stance by the Bank of Canada is watchful waiting, particularly so with employment suddenly clouding over," Porter said.
加拿大央行曾表示,如果通胀持续过高,它准备多次提高借贷成本,但同时也担忧美国的新关税增加了加拿大经济复苏可持续性的不确定性。
has said it is prepared to raise borrowing costs multiple times if inflation remained too high but it has also worried that new US tariffs had increased uncertainty around the sustainability of Canada's economic rebound.
投资者认为,加拿大央行在10月28日加息基准利率的可能性为25%,低于就业报告发布前的40%。随着油价从盘中低点回升,美元兑一篮子主要货币上涨。美国原油期货下跌0.3%,报每桶91.19美元。
Investors see a 25% chance the central bank raises its benchmark interest rate on October 28, down from 40% before the employment report. US dollar rose against a basket of major currencies as oil prices recovered from session lows. US crude oil futures were trading 0.3% lower at $91.19 a barrel.
加拿大政府债券收益率曲线全线走低,由于周一即将迎来感恩节假期,市场将提前收盘。
Canadian government bond yields moved lower across the curve, with the market set to close early ahead of the Thanksgiving Day holiday on Monday.
2年期收益率下跌6.8个基点至3.183%,较美国同类利率进一步下降10.9个基点,利差扩大至约161个基点,为2025年2月以来的最大水平。
The 2-year was down 6.8 basis points at 3.183%, falling 10.9 basis points further below the equivalent US rate to a gap of about 161 basis points, its widest since February 2025.