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利雅得机场遇袭,令本已紧张的冲突再添危险时刻Riyadh airport attack another dangerous moment in already tense conflict

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周五,也门萨那,胡塞武装士兵在抗议沙特阿拉伯的活动中站岗。Houthi soldiers stand guard during a protest against Saudi Arabia, in Sana'a, Yemen, on Friday

EPA/Shutterstock 胡塞武装士兵在也门首都萨那的抗议沙特阿拉伯的示威活动中站岗,时间为周五。弗兰克·加德纳 BBC 安全记者 乔恩·多尼森 耶路撒冷 44分钟前 星期六对利雅得哈立德国王机场的袭击是该地区又一次危险时刻,而该地区本已充满紧张与冲突。沙特阿拉伯对此毫无准备。

EPA/Shutterstock Houthi soldiers stand guard during a protest against Saudi Arabia, in Sana'a, Yemen, on Friday Frank Gardner BBC security correspondent Jon Donnison Jerusalem 44 minutes ago Saturday's attack on King Khalid Airport in Riyadh is another dangerous moment in a region that is already fraught with tension and conflict. Saudi Arabia wasn't ready for this.

最近几周,胡塞武装加大了对沙特阿拉伯领土的攻击力度,但他们过去几天的袭击已击中该国关键基础设施,即首都的主要机场,看来他们轻易突破了沙特的防空体系。

In recent weeks the Houthis have stepped up their attacks on Saudi Arabian soil, but their attacks over the past few days have hit the country's critical infrastructure in the form of the capital's main airport apparently penetrating Saudi air defences with ease.

虽然物理损坏可以很快修复,但沙特作为稳定安全港的声誉正受到严重冲击。

The physical damage can be quickly repaired, but the country's reputation as a safe haven of stability is taking a battering.

除了所有机场袭击外,胡塞武装还试图夺取红海沿岸以及巴布·曼德布海峡周边具有战略意义的据点。这进一步增加了这条重要海上通道安全航行的风险——尽管也门政府称其已“确保”海峡安全。

As well as all the airport attacks, the Houthis have sought to take control of strategically significant positions along the Red Sea coast and around the Bab al-Mandeb Strait. This further increases the risk to safe navigation along the vital maritime corridor - although the Yemeni government says it has "secured" the strait The civil war in Yemen between the country's government - which is internationally recognised and supported by Saudi Arabia - and the Houthis, who are backed by Iran, has been going on for more than a decade.

也门政府(国际上被承认并得到沙特支持)与得到伊朗支持的胡塞武装之间的内战已持续超过十年。这场战争导致数千人死亡,并使也门陷入世界上最严重的人道主义危机之一。

It has left many thousands of people dead and plunged Yemen into one of the world's worst humanitarian crises.

这是一场复杂且常常令人困惑的地缘政治冲突,而此次最新升级必须放在伊朗、美国和以色列之间紧张关系的更广泛背景下来看待。

It is a complex and often confusing geopolitical conflict, and this latest escalation needs to be seen in the broader context of the tension between Iran, the United States and Israel.

自2000年代中期的“基地”武装 insurgency 以来,沙特王国从未面临如此严峻的威胁。

Not since the al-Qaeda insurgency of the mid-2000s has the Kingdom faced such a serious threat.

沙特政府曾通过有效的“赢得人心”运动克服了该挑战。随后,它又度过了该地区的阿拉伯之春起义,那些起义推翻了突尼斯、利比亚、埃及和也门的领导人。

The Saudi government overcame that challenge through an effective hearts and minds campaign. Then it weathered the Arab Spring uprisings around the region which saw off leaders in Tunisia, Libya, Egypt and Yemen.

它甚至不屑一顾(带着一些恼火)——伊朗在三月对利雅得发射的弹道导弹袭击。

It even shrugged off – with some annoyance –an Iranian ballistic missile attack on Riyadh in March.

但这一次情况不同。沙特阿拉伯可能拥有中东地区最强大的空军之一,并且一直在对胡塞武装阵地进行毁灭性的空袭。尽管如此,对立武装仍设法夺取了这个战乱国家的大片领土,尤其是北部和西部地区。但胡塞武装清楚地知道该如何反击:直击沙特经济的软肋。

But this is different. Saudi Arabia may have one of the most powerful air forces in the Middle East, and it has been carrying out devastating air strikes on Houthi positions. Despite this, the opposing forces have managed to seize large portions of the war-torn country, particularly in the north and west. But the Houthis know exactly where to hit back: at the soft underbelly of the Saudi economy.

作为“抵抗轴心”的一部分,胡塞武装是伊朗的重要战略伙伴。从红海港口吉赞到胡里斯石油化工综合体,胡塞武装正以致命的精准度投送爆炸性无人机和导弹。

As part of the " axis of resistance ", the Houthis are a vital strategic partner for Iran. From Jizan on the Red Sea to the petrochemical complex at Khurais, the Houthis are delivering explosive drones and missiles with deadly accuracy.

红海航运航线日益重要,因为位于海湾另一侧的霍尔木兹海峡,自美伊未能达成协议以结束战争以来,仍未完全重新开放。在红海袭击船只,是胡塞武装施加杠杆的另一种方式——这些袭击造成全球经济损害,这成为德黑兰的重要谈判筹码。

The Red Sea shipping route has become increasingly important, because the Strait of Hormuz, on the other side of the Gulf, has still not fully reopened since the US and Iran have failed to reach a deal to end their war Targeting ships in the Red Sea is another way that the Houthis are trying to exert leverage - the attacks cause global economic damage, which is a key bargaining chip for Tehran.

今年九月初,白宫表示不会直接干预也门冲突,但可能向沙特提供情报支持。随后确认其正在提供情报,并已向沙特派遣军事专家。

In early September, the White House stated it would not directly intervene in the Yemen conflict, but could provide intelligence support to the Saudis. It later confirmed that it was supplying intelligence and had deployed military experts to Saudi Arabia.

然而,情况可能因最近一次对利雅得的袭击而出现新转折——该袭击导致一名美国公民死亡。

However the situation may have taken a new turn following the latest attack on Riyadh, which killed a US citizen.

面对记者,美国总统唐纳德·特朗普称周六的袭击“可怕”,并暗示他可能会与沙特一起进行军事干预。

Speaking to reporters, US President Donald Trump called Saturday's attack "terrible" and indicated he may intervene militarily with the Saudis.

“我们刚刚得知这次最近的袭击,所以我们将作出决定。我们行动非常迅速,”特朗普说。

"We just found out about the recent attack, so we'll make a decision. We move very quickly," Trump said.

但如今看来,这似乎不太可能——至少在下个月关键的美国中期选举之前。

But that now seems unlikely, at least before crucial US midterm elections next month.

2024年他连任时,特朗普承诺要结束美国在全球范围内的战争角色。尽管如此,美国目前仍卷入中东的三场未解决冲突——分别在加沙、黎巴嫩和伊朗。如果特朗普这次卷入也门的另一场冲突,选民很可能不会接受。

When he was re-elected in 2024, Trump promised to end America's role in wars around the world. Despite this, the US is currently involved in three unresolved conflicts in the Middle East - in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran. Should Trump get embroiled in another one, this time in Yemen, it is unlikely to go down well with voters.

这场战争现在看来将在结束前升级,最终以另一次脆弱的停火告终——无论美国是否参与其中。来自阿卜杜勒巴西尔·哈桑的额外分析,BBC阿拉伯语。

This war now looks like it will intensify before it ends in another shaky truce - with or without US involvement. Additional analysis from Abdelbassir Hassan, BBC Arabic