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普京发动影子战争之际,欧洲寻求反击之道As Putin wages shadow war, Europe looks for a way to hit back

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BERLIN - 俄罗斯正在升级其在北约成员国的破坏行动,试图瓦解欧洲对乌克兰的支持 — — 而欧洲正努力作出回应。

BERLIN - Russia is escalating its campaign of sabotage in NATO countries, trying to break European support for Ukraine — and Europe is struggling to respond.

欧洲官员表示,他们不认为俄罗斯会对北约成员国发动大规模入侵;从这个意义上说,传统威慑已经发挥作用。但各国正努力寻找应对这种俄罗斯攻击模式升级的最佳方式。官员们表示,他们最担心的是,无论是意外还是故意,这些攻击中的任何一次都可能导致重大生命损失。

European officials say they do not expect a major Russian invasion of a NATO country; in that sense, traditional deterrence has worked. But countries are grappling with how best to counter this heightened pattern of Russian attacks. What officials say they fear most is that, by accident or by intention, one of those attacks will cause a significant loss of life.

莫斯科“试图瓦解支持乌克兰的意志,并在更广泛的意义上试图改变欧洲的安全架构,”大卫·卡特勒说,他曾是北约情报官员,如今在华盛顿智库欧洲政策分析中心工作。从操作层面看,他说,俄罗斯人正在使用“难以归因的工具,他们认为这些工具足够重要,却又不足以引发更大规模战争”的手段。

Moscow is “trying to break the will to support Ukraine and trying in a broader sense to change the security architecture of Europe,” said David Cattler, a former NATO intelligence official now at the Center for European Policy Analysis, a Washington think tank. Operationally, he said, the Russians are using tools “that are hard to attribute, that they believe are big enough to matter and yet small enough not to trigger” a larger war.