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特朗普当选后抛售股票是“愚蠢”之举,纽约大学Dumping stocks after Trump’s 2016 win was ‘stupid,’ NYU professor admits

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纽约大学教授斯科特·加洛韦周一在播客《The Prof G Pod》中表示,由于对唐纳德·特朗普在2016年大选中的胜利感到情绪化,他卖掉了自己所有的股票,因此蒙受了巨额税收损失;几个月后,当他重新买入股票时,市场价格已经大幅上涨,这一决策让他损失了大约40%的流动资产净值。

NYU professor Scott Galloway said Monday on "The Prof G Pod" that he sold all of his stocks in an emotional reaction to President Donald Trump’s 2016 election victory, taking a major tax hit before buying back into a more expensive market months later, a decision he estimated cost him 40% of his liquid net worth in stocks.

作为纽约大学斯特恩商学院的营销学教授,加洛韦将这一行为称为自己“有史以来最大的投资错误”,并警告听众不要让情绪左右投资决策。

Galloway, a professor of marketing at NYU Stern, called the move his "biggest investment mistake" during the "Office Hours" edition of the podcast as he warned listeners about allowing emotions to drive investment decisions. "So when he was elected in 2016, I sold all my stocks," he said.

“特朗普当选后,我立刻卖掉了所有股票,”他说,“那真是愚蠢的决定。接下来的这一年里,股市暴跌不已——人们对特朗普能否真正执政充满了不确定性,这种恐惧情绪已经反映在了股价中。”加洛韦指出,富人有一种大多数美国人都会忽视的财务习惯;此外,他在纽约居住期间,这次抛售股票还让他缴纳了高额的资本利得税。大约六个月后,当股价回升了10%到20%时,他重新回到了股市,但这次投资带来的损失进一步加剧了最初的损失。

"That was stupid. The market ripped for the next year. There was so much insecurity about him actually winning that the fear had been priced in. Stocks ripped up." THE RICH HAVE ONE FINANCIAL HABIT MOST AMERICANS IGNORE AT THEIR PERIL Galloway said the selloff also triggered taxes on significant capital gains while he was living in New York. He said he returned to the market about six months later after stocks had risen between 10% and 20%, compounding what he described as the cost of the decision.

“从理论上讲,这个决定确实让我损失了大约40%的流动资产净值,”加洛韦说道。

"So you could argue, at least notionally, that decision cost me 40% of my liquid net worth in stocks," Galloway said.

白宫发言人戴维斯·英格尔周二对福克斯新闻表示,加洛韦对特朗普的持续批评反映了他对特朗普的过度关注(他称这种行为为“对特朗普的病态迷恋”)。

White House spokesman Davis Ingle told Fox News Digital Tuesday that Galloway’s continued criticism of Trump reflected what he characterized as an obsession with the president.

“斯科特·加洛韦应该立即寻求心理治疗,以治疗他严重的‘特朗普妄想症’——这种病态心理已经彻底毁掉了他的判断力。”英格尔说道。

"Scott Galloway should immediately seek psychiatric help to treat his severe case of Trump Derangement Syndrome that has completely rotted his peanut-sized brain," Ingle said.

“政府完全可以在未经你同意的情况下没收你的股票,这种事屡见不鲜。”加洛韦批评特朗普的政策,认为特朗普的经济和外交政策最终可能会损害美国的经济。

GOVERNMENTS CAN TAKE YOUR STOCKS WITHOUT YOUR PERMISSION. IT HAPPENS ALL THE TIME Galloway criticized Trump, saying he believed the president's economic and foreign policies could ultimately damage the U.S. economy.

“我认为这位总统简直是个白痴,他是美国历史的污点;他那些愚蠢的经济和外交政策最终会毁掉美国经济,或者造成长期性的结构性损害,这种损害可能需要几十年甚至几代人的时间才能修复。”加洛韦说道。

"I think the president is a f---ing idiot and a stain on the American experience and that the grand sum of all of these head up your a-- economic and foreign policy decisions will eventually crash this economy or result in long-term structural damage that will take decades if not generations to repair," Galloway said.

在特朗普2016年当选总统后,股市大幅上涨。根据联邦政府发布的2017年经济报告,标准普尔500指数在2016年11月上涨了3.4%,并在当月创下了历史新高;2018年的报告显示,该指数在2017年全年继续上涨了19.4%,全年12个月中有11个月都实现了增长。

The stock market rose substantially following Trump's 2016 presidential victory. According to the federal government's 2017 Economic Report of the President, the S&P 500 climbed 3.4% in November 2016 and reached a then-record high later that month. The 2018 report said the index went on to gain 19.4% in 2017, posting increases in 11 of the year's 12 months.

大卫·马库斯指出:“特朗普所表现出的‘混乱综合征’并非精神疾病,而是一种群体性恐慌。”加洛韦表示,他的经历进一步坚定了他的观点:投资者应该继续留在股市中,而不是试图预测政治或经济的转折点。在谈到当前股市的高估值现象时,他建议投资者进行资产多元化投资,而不是试图精确预测股市何时会下跌。

DAVID MARCUS: TRUMP DERANGEMENT SYNDROME ISN'T MENTAL ILLNESS, IT'S MASS HYSTERIA Galloway said his experience reinforced his view that investors should remain in the market rather than attempt to anticipate political or economic turning points. While discussing current elevated valuations, he recommended diversification instead of trying to predict exactly when stocks will decline.

“试图猜测股市的高点何时会出现是非常危险的,”加洛韦说,“我最大的投资失误可能就是对2016年唐纳德·特朗普当选总统这件事产生的情绪化反应。”他还补充道:“虽然政府的政策确实很重要,但经济的运行基本上是独立于那些政客的言行而继续进行的。”

"Trying to guess when the top happens is dangerous," Galloway said. "Probably my biggest investment mistake was the emotional reaction I had to the 2016 election of Donald Trump." "And what the government does matter, but the majority of the economy just grinds on regardless of who is tweeting what or not tweeting what," he continued.

加洛韦预测,特朗普最终会放弃2024年的总统竞选,作为达成某种认罪协议的条件(以便避免入狱);然而特朗普最终还是继续参选,并在2024年总统选举中获胜后重返白宫。福克斯新闻数字频道曾联系加洛韦寻求评论,但尚未收到回复。

Galloway predicted Trump would ultimately abandon his 2024 presidential campaign as part of a plea agreement that would keep him out of jail. Trump remained in the race and returned to the White House after winning the 2024 presidential election. Fox News Digital reached out to Galloway for comment, but did not immediately receive a response.