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摩洛哥亲巴勒斯坦抗议活动对拉巴特与以色列加深关系构成挑战Morocco’s pro-Palestine protests challenge Rabat’s deepening Israel ties

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支持巴勒斯坦的抗议活动已蔓延至摩洛哥多个城市,示威者要求终止与以色列的外交关系正常化,因为拉巴特正在深化与特拉维夫的关系。

Pro-Palestine protests have spread across several Moroccan cities, with demonstrators demanding an end to diplomatic normalisation with Israel as Rabat deepens ties with Tel Aviv.

最新的动员发生在9月27日,这是摩洛哥支持巴勒斯坦反正常化阵线发起的为期三天行动的最后一天。

The latest mobilisation took place on September 27, at the end of three days of action called by the Moroccan Front for Supporting Palestine and Against Normalisation.

此前,9月16日宣布摩洛哥和以色列将把外交使团升级为正式大使馆,并任命大使。

They followed a September 16 announcement that Morocco and Israel would elevate their diplomatic missions to full embassies and appoint ambassadors.

9月25日,摩洛哥支持国家事业委员会表示,已在45个城市组织了76场活动,口号为“为阿克萨清真寺而战的周五,反对正常化”。

On September 25, the Moroccan Committee for Supporting the Nation’s Causes said it had organised 76 events in 45 cities under the slogan “Friday for Al-Aqsa and against normalisation”.

摩洛哥媒体报道了包括拉巴特、卡萨布兰卡、马拉喀什、丹吉尔、非斯、阿加迪尔、乌季达、得土安、肯尼特拉和萨累在内的多个城市举行集会。这76场活动的数字来自该委员会自身的统计,并无独立的全国性参与人数统计。

Moroccan media reported gatherings in cities including Rabat, Casablanca, Marrakesh, Tangier, Fez, Agadir, Oujda, Tetouan, Kenitra and Sale. The 76-event figure was the committee’s own count, with no independent national tally of participants.

据Lakome报道,在拉巴特,抗议者聚集在议会大楼外;而在马拉喀什,示威活动演变成了一场穿越多条主要街道的游行。摩洛哥媒体还报道称,部分城市实施了限制并进行了逮捕。限制与逮捕 部分城市的动员遭遇了限制。

In Rabat, protesters gathered outside Parliament, while a demonstration in Marrakesh developed into a march through several main streets, according to Lakome. Moroccan media also reported restrictions and arrests in some cities. Restrictions and arrests The mobilisation faced restrictions in some cities.

在丹吉尔,当地当局发布决定,禁止9月27日计划举行的示威。Achkayen随后援引其消息来源报道称,安全部队驱散了数百名参与者,并拘留了12人以上。

In Tangier, local authorities issued a decision banning a planned demonstration on September 27. Achkayen later reported that security forces dispersed hundreds of participants and that more than 12 people were detained, citing its own sources.

Lakome报道称,当局还阻止了得土安的示威活动,而安全部队包围了阿加迪尔的一个集会,以防止其演变成游行。

Lakome reported that authorities also prevented demonstrations in M’diq, while security forces surrounded a gathering in Agadir to prevent it from becoming a march.

支持巴勒斯坦的抗议者参加示威,反对摩洛哥与以色列的外交关系 [Abdel Majid Bziouat/AFP] 摩洛哥支持国家事业委员会随后谴责了其所谓的禁令、限制和逮捕。

Pro-Palestine protesters take part in a demonstration against Morocco’s diplomatic ties with Israel [Abdel Majid Bziouat/AFP] The Moroccan Committee for Supporting the Nation’s Causes subsequently condemned what it described as bans, restrictions and arrests.

这一回应凸显了争端的另一个维度:尽管政府持续发展官方关系,但反对与以色列建交的声音在街头依然清晰可见。

The response underscored another dimension of the dispute: Opposition to the relationship with Israel has remained visible on the streets, even as the government has continued to develop official ties.

舆论压力下的关系 2020年12月,在美国斡旋的《亚伯拉罕协议》框架下,摩洛哥与以色列恢复外交关系,作为交换,华盛顿承认摩洛哥对西撒哈拉拥有主权。

A relationship under public pressure Morocco restored diplomatic relations with Israel in December 2020 as part of the US-brokered Abraham Accords framework, alongside Washington’s recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara.

9月16日,摩洛哥外交纳赛尔·布里塔与以色列外长吉德翁·萨尔在美国驻联合国大使迈克·沃尔茨主持的三方峰会上在纽约会晤。

On September 16, Moroccan Foreign Minister Nasser Bourita and Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar met in New York at a trilateral summit hosted by US Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz.

三国确认计划将摩洛哥和以色列的外交使团升级为正式大使馆,并互派大使。

The three countries confirmed plans to elevate the Moroccan and Israeli diplomatic missions to full embassies and exchange ambassadors.

摩洛哥和以色列还同意签署投资保护协定和避免双重征税协定,增加直航航班,并安排高层互访。

Morocco and Israel also agreed to conclude agreements on investment protection and avoiding double taxation, expand direct flights and organise high-level reciprocal visits.

因此,这一举措超越了维持2020年建立的外交关系范畴,它勾勒出两国在体制、经济和交通领域更广泛的联合计划。

The move therefore goes beyond maintaining diplomatic relations established in 2020.

对于反对建交者而言,大使馆协议代表着自2020年以来他们所抵制政策的又一进展。

It sets out a broader programme of institutional, economic and transport links between the two countries.

舆论与国家政策摩洛哥在与以色列保持外交关系的同时,继续公开支持巴勒斯坦事业和建立巴勒斯坦国。

For opponents of the relationship, the embassy agreement represents another step in a policy they have rejected since 2020.

然而,对于反对正常化的人士来说,这两个立场互不相容,尤其是在以色列对加沙发动种族灭绝战争的背景下。

Public opinion and state policy Morocco has maintained diplomatic relations with Israel while continuing to publicly support the Palestinian cause and the establishment of a Palestinian state.

阿拉伯研究中心高级项目经理凯西娅·贝拉达告诉半岛电视台:“变化的是政治背景:正常化进程正在巩固,而加沙战争引发了前所未有的公众愤怒,并呈现出巴勒斯坦人遭受苦难的强烈画面。”

For opponents of normalisation, however, the two positions are incompatible, particularly amid Israel’s genocidal war on Gaza.

“我们在摩洛哥看到的是官方外交与民间情绪之间日益加剧的脱节,”摩洛哥活动家穆娜·拉希亚尼表示,她引用了最新的《阿拉伯舆论指数》,该指数显示,接受调查的摩洛哥人中有89%反对本国承认以色列,而仅有6%表示支持。

“What has changed is the political context: Normalisation is being consolidated at a time when the war in Gaza has generated unprecedented public anger and intense images of Palestinian suffering,” Kathya K Berrada, senior programmes manager at the Arab Center for Research, told Al Jazeera.

“当国家正朝着与以色列建立更深层、更正式的关系迈进时,摩洛哥民众依然走上街头,高呼巴勒斯坦问题不能被视为与我们的政治和道德责任分离,”她说道。

“What we are seeing in Morocco is a growing disconnect between official diplomacy and public sentiment,” Moroccan activist Mouna Rahiani said, citing the latest Arab Opinion Index, which found that 89 percent of Moroccans surveyed opposed their country recognising Israel, while six percent supported it.

9月的协议让一种现存的张力变得更加清晰:公众反对常态化的动员持续进行,而国家却在追求与以色列建立更紧密的体制性关系。

“While the state is moving towards deeper and more formal relations with Israel, Moroccans are still taking to the streets to say that Palestine cannot be treated as separate from our political and moral responsibilities,” she said.

贝拉达表示,官方政策与民间舆论之间存在重要区别,并辩称目前没有足够可靠的公开数据来确定有多少摩洛哥人支持或反对常态化。

The September agreement has brought an existing tension into sharper focus: public mobilisation against normalisation continues while the state pursues closer institutional ties with Israel.

西撒哈拉增添另一层因素 时机对于摩洛哥的西撒哈拉政策也至关重要。联合国安预计将于10月审议联合国西撒哈拉全民投票特派团(MINURSO)的任务授权。其当前授权有效期至2026年10月31日。

Berrada said there was an important distinction between official policy and popular opinion, arguing that there is not enough reliable public data to establish how many Moroccans support or oppose normalisation. Western Sahara adds another layer The timing also matters for Morocco’s Western Sahara policy. The United Nations Security Council is due to consider the mandate of the UN Mission for the Referendum in Western Sahara (MINURSO) in October.

9月16日的三方声明发布之际,正值美国承认摩洛哥对西撒哈拉拥有主权,以及以色列支持摩洛哥在该领土问题上的立场。

Its current mandate runs until October 31, 2026.

对拉巴特而言,与以色列的关系处于一个更广泛的外交政策框架内,在此框架下,与华盛顿的关系以及国际社会对其西撒哈拉立场的支持依然至关重要。

The September 16 trilateral statement came against the backdrop of US recognition of Moroccan sovereignty over Western Sahara and Israel’s support for Morocco’s position on the territory.

然而,对于反对常态化的人士而言,这种战略考量无法消除他们对与以色列建立更紧密关系的反对,尤其是在巴勒斯坦问题依然高度敏感的当下。

For Rabat, the relationship with Israel sits within a wider foreign-policy framework in which ties with Washington and international support for its position on Western Sahara remain important.

阿赫迈德是一位摩洛哥社会学家,要求仅用一个名字标识。他表示,9月16日的举措是“2020年12月10日三方协议的延续”,但摩洛哥应使这种关系“全面化,而非选择性或部分性”。

For opponents of normalisation, however, that strategic calculation does not resolve their objection to closer ties with Israel, particularly while the Palestinian issue remains highly salient. Ahmed, a Moroccan sociologist who asked to be identified by one name, said the September 16 move was “a continuation of the trilateral agreement of December 10, 2020”, but that Morocco should make the relationship “comprehensive, not selective or partial”.

选举改变政治背景 抗议活动发生在摩洛哥于9月23日举行议会选举后几天。

The election changes the political backdrop The protests came days after Morocco held parliamentary elections on September 23.

最终结果显示,真实与现代党获得395个席位中的97个,紧随其后的是全国独立人士联盟的66个、独立党的65个以及正义与发展党的54个。

The final results gave the Authenticity and Modernity Party 97 of the 395 seats, followed by the National Rally of Independents with 66, the Istiqlal Party with 65 and the Party of Justice and Development (PJD) with 54.

根据摩洛哥内政部数据,正义与发展党在2021年赢得了13个席位。投票率为38.08%,而2021年为50.86%,2016年为42.27%。

The PJD had won 13 seats in 2021. Turnout was 38.08 percent, compared with 50.86 percent in 2021 and 42.27 percent in 2016, according to Morocco’s Ministry of Interior.

2020年摩洛哥恢复同以色列关系时,正是正义与发展党执政时期。时任首相萨阿德丁·埃尔-奥特马尼于当年12月签署了摩洛哥-美国-以色列联合宣言。

It was the PJD in power when Morocco restored relations with Israel in 2020. Then-Prime Minister Saadeddine el-Othmani signed the Morocco-US-Israel joint declaration that December.

正义与发展党坚持认为,反对正常化是该党长期以来的立场。该党随后重申拒绝正常化及同以色列的关系,而埃尔-奥特马尼则为2020年的决定辩护,称其为国家层面的决策。

The PJD has maintained that opposition to normalisation was a longstanding party position. The party subsequently reaffirmed its rejection of normalisation and relations with Israel, while el-Othmani defended the 2020 decision as a state-level decision.

9月17日,在宣布计划升级外交关系后,正义与发展党总书记处重申反对正常化,反对同以色列的关系与协议。

On September 17, following the announcement of the planned diplomatic upgrade, the PJD’s general secretariat reiterated its opposition to normalisation and to relations and agreements with Israel.

选举后,正义与发展党全国委员会一致决定继续留在议会反对派,不参加下届政府。

After the election, the PJD’s national council unanimously decided to remain in parliamentary opposition and not participate in the next government.

支持巴勒斯坦的抗议者示威反对与以色列正常化,摩洛哥正致力于深化同特拉维夫的外交关系 [Mosa’ab Elshamy/AP] 正义与发展党的立场凸显了用党派政治衡量反正常化效果的局限性。该党在执政期间反对该政策,但其首相却签署了2020年宣言。

Pro-Palestine protesters demonstrate against normalisation with Israel, as Morocco moves to deepen diplomatic ties with Tel Aviv [Mosa’ab Elshamy/AP] The PJD’s position has illustrated the limits of using party politics to measure the effect of opposition to normalisation. The party opposed the policy while in government, yet its prime minister signed the 2020 declaration.

2026年更大的议会席位为该议题提供了更强有力的政治平台,但这本身并不会改变摩洛哥的外交政策。

Its larger parliamentary presence in 2026 gives the issue a stronger political platform, but does not by itself alter Morocco’s foreign policy.

目前尚未确立巴勒斯坦问题或反对正常化关系是投票中的决定性因素,正义与发展党(PJD)的席位增加也并未表明其对以色列的立场直接推动了其代表席位的上升。从街头到政治?

It has not been established that the Palestine issue or opposition to normalisation was a decisive factor in voting, and neither do the PJD’s gains demonstrate that its position on Israel directly drove its increased representation. From the streets to politics?

九月的示威活动表明,反对正常化关系的组织仍保持着在广泛地理区域内动员的能力。但它们对政府政策的影响则不那么明朗。

The September demonstrations show that organisations opposed to normalisation retain the ability to mobilise across a wide geographic area. But their effect on government policy is less clear.

贝拉达表示:“国家政策与民间舆论之间存在重要区别。正常化关系是官方国家决策,但缺乏可靠的公开数据来衡量民众对其支持的程度。”

“There is an important distinction between state policy and popular opinion. Normalisation is an official state decision, but there is limited reliable public data allowing us to measure the level of popular support for it,” Berrada said.

摩洛哥抗议者在反对与以色列建立外交关系的动员中举起支持巴勒斯坦人的标语牌 [Abdel Majid Bziout/AFP]“因此,很难断言大多数或少数摩洛哥人赞成这一政策。”在评估抗议活动的意义时,这一区别至关重要。示威可以显示有组织反对派的力量和持久性,但它们本身无法确立更广泛民众的观点,也无法表明政府政策将会改变。

Moroccan protesters display signs supporting Palestinians during a mobilisation against diplomatic ties with Israel [Abdel Majid Bziout/AFP]“It would therefore be difficult to claim that either a majority or a minority of Moroccans endorse the policy.”That distinction is important when assessing the significance of the protests. Demonstrations can show the strength and persistence of organised opposition, but they do not by themselves establish the views of the wider population or show that government policy will change.

正义与发展党现在的议会席位比2021年大选后有所增加,但它仍处于在野地位。它将能在议会中表达对正常化关系的反对,但不会进入政府。

The PJD now has a larger parliamentary presence than it did after the 2021 election, but it remains in opposition. It will be able to voice its opposition to normalisation in Parliament, but will not have a place in government.

与此同时,9月16日的协议仍是涉及美国、以色列和西撒哈拉的更广泛摩洛哥外交政策框架的一部分。安理会10月对西撒哈拉全民投票特派团(MINURSO)的审议将提供另一个外交场合,届时摩洛哥在该领土问题上的立场将接受讨论。

At the same time, the September 16 agreement remains part of a broader Moroccan foreign-policy framework involving the United States, Israel and Western Sahara. The Security Council’s consideration of MINURSO in October will provide another diplomatic setting in which Morocco’s position on the territory is under discussion.

目前,抗议活动表明,反对正常化的力量仍具备持续动员的能力,而政府仍在不断深化双边关系。不过,这种公众反对能否转化为持续的政治压力,目前尚不清楚。

For now, the protests demonstrate that opposition to normalisation remains capable of sustained mobilisation, while the government continues to deepen the relationship. Whether that public opposition translates into sustained political pressure remains less clear.