在短短五年多的时间里，曼尼托巴省进步保守党（Progressive Conservatives）第三次开始寻找新领袖。
For the third time in just over five years, Manitoba's Progressive Conservatives are looking for a new leader.
奥比·汗（Obby Khan）在周末旋风般地结束了对曼尼托巴省进步保守党的领导，使该党陷入了一个它再熟悉不过的境地：寻找一个能够重振其在选民心中地位的人，前提是选民们还愿意考虑他们，或者说还信任他们。
The whirlwind, weekend dissolution of Obby Khan's dominion over the Manitoba PCs has left the party in a place it knows all too well: Searching for someone who can revive its standing in the eyes of voters who don't trust it, if they even think about it at all.
十年前，进步保守党曾极受欢迎。在布莱恩·帕利斯特（Brian Pallister）的领导下，保守党达到了前所未有的高度，在2016年大选中赢得了57个席位中的40个。
Ten years ago, the PCs were immensely popular. Under Brian Pallister, the Tories soared to unprecedented heights, winning 40 out of 57 seats in the 2016 general election.
五年后，这位身高六英尺八英寸的前保险代理人跌落神坛，成为了大流行时期公众不信任感以及他本人关于殖民主义的不当言论的牺牲品。帕利斯特在担任省长仅五年后，于2021年9月辞去了曼尼托巴省省长和进步保守党领袖的职务。他的继任者仅坚持了两年。
Five years later, the six-foot-eight former insurance agent fell down to earth as the victim of both pandemic-era public mistrust and his own ill-considered comments about colonization Pallister resigned as Manitoba's premier and PC leader in September 2021 after only five years as premier. His full-time successor only lasted two.
希瑟·斯蒂芬森（Heather Stefanson）于2021年在争议声中被选为进步保守党领袖和省长。她未能与选民建立联系，随后又因在2023年大选中推行一项令人毛骨悚然的竞选承诺——拒绝搜寻被谋杀原住民女性的遗骸——而令本党士气低落。
Heather Stefanson was selected PC leader and premier in 2021 under a cloud of controversy failed to connect with voters and then demoralized her own party by going along with a ghoulish 2023 election campaign pledge to refuse to search for the remains of murdered Indigenous women.
随着曼尼托巴省选举日的临近，进步保守党将反对搜寻垃圾填埋场作为竞选的核心议题。新民主党（NDP）对斯蒂芬森领导的进步保守党的决定性胜利，为汗在2025年赢得了一场险胜的党魁竞选后接管该党铺平了道路。回想起来，汗从一开始就注定失败。
PCs make opposition to landfill search a central facet of campaign as Manitoba election day nears The NDP's decisive defeat of Stefanson's PCs paved the way for Khan to assume the reins of the party in 2025 after winning his own squeaker of a leadership race In retrospect, Khan was doomed from the start.
奥比·汗辞去曼尼托巴省进步保守党领袖职务。这位前橄榄球运动员和果汁供应商在三年前才刚刚当选公职。
Obby Khan stepping down as Manitoba PC leader The former football player and fruit-juice purveyor had only been elected to public office three years earlier.
虽然经验并不能保证成功——斯蒂芬森尽管在曼尼托巴省议会工作了数十年，但作为领袖却惨遭失败——但对于这位身材魁梧的进攻锋线球员来说，从零开始重建一个政党的任务实在太过艰巨。从一开始，汗就没有努力与斯蒂芬森拉开距离。
While experience is no guarantee of success — Stefanson crashed and burned as leader despite spending decades at the Manitoba Legislature — the task of rebuilding a party from the ground up was too tall even for a mountain of an offensive lineman. From the start, Khan made no effort to distance himself from Stefanson.
2025年保守党领袖竞选期间，他拒绝将斯特凡森政府拒绝搜寻普雷里格林垃圾填埋场以寻找谋杀受害者遗骸的行为称为错误。
During the 2025 PC leadership campaign, he refused to describe the Stefanson government's refusal to search the Prairie Green landfill for the remains of murder victims as a mistake.
他在竞选期间还表示，不知道“父母权利”这一术语——这也是2023年竞选的一个纲领，且他曾在广告牌上担任代言人——可能被视为针对跨性别者的“暗号”。
He also said during the race he was unaware the term "parental rights" — another 2023 campaign plank and one he fronted on billboards— could be seen as a transphobic dog whistle.
自认为是财政保守派而非社会保守派的中间派选民，可能嗅到了一丝不宽容的气息，尽管汗作为穆斯林有色人种，在以基督教白人为主的社会中拥有不可否认的亲身经历。
Centrist voters who consider themselves fiscal but not social conservatives may have sniffed out a whiff of intolerance, despite Khan's undeniable lived experience as a Muslim person of colour in a predominantly Christian, white society.
然而，缺乏经验、过度忠诚和教条主义，无法解释为何在执政的新民主党迄今未能兑现其2023年竞选时最核心的承诺——“修复医疗体系”——的情况下，汗仍无法让曼尼托巴保守党更具吸引力。在与瓦布·基内的正面交锋中，这位既是社交媒体名人又是省长的对手面前，汗在TikTok上的表现正如他在政策辩论中一样，完全缺乏竞争力。
Inexperience, excessive loyalty and dogmatism, however, do not explain Khan's inability to make Manitoba's Tories more appealing at a time when the governing New Democrats have thus far failed to do the one thing they campaigned on the most in 2023, which is "fixing health care." Head to head against Wab Kinew, a social media personality as well as a premier, Khan was just as uncompetitive on TikTok as he was talking policy.
汗之于基内，正如贾斯汀·特鲁多之于皮埃尔·波利耶夫：只要他留在原位，就是源源不断的“礼物”。
Khan was to Kinew what Justin Trudeau was to Pierre Poilievre: The gift that kept on giving, as long as he remained in his position.
波利耶夫以惨痛教训领悟到，过度彻底地击败对手会带来什么后果。虽然曼尼托巴保守党身边没有马克·卡尼这样的人物待命，也没有唐纳德·特朗普规模的外部威胁相助，但保守党确实有机会开始扭转颓势。
Poilievre learned the hard way what can happen when you vanquish your enemy far too thoroughly. While there is no Mark Carney waiting in the wings of the Manitoba PCs, aided on by an external threat on the scale of a Donald Trump, the Tories do have a chance to begin to turn their fortunes around.
曼尼托巴保守党“未分裂”，新任临时领袖康拉德·纳思在奥比·汗辞职后表示 须明确的是，保守党恐难在2027年大选前恢复元气。基内依然过于受欢迎。在下一次竞选后的大选中夺回政权，是更合理的目标。
Manitoba PCs 'not fractured,' new interim leader Konrad Narth says after Obby Khan’s resignation To be clear, the Tories likely can not recover in time for the 2027 election. Kinew remains too popular. Winning power back in the next election after the coming race is a more reasonable goal.
尽管如此，如果保守党选择一位女性作为下一任领袖，基内将无法像对待汗那样好斗。
Still, if the PCs select a woman as their next leader, Kinew will not be able to be as pugilistic as he was with Khan.
这并非性别歧视言论。在2025年5月的一次委员会会议上，当基纽（Kinew）恳求汗（Khan）“叫我爸爸”时，曼尼托巴省几乎没有任何反应。如果一位受欢迎的省长对凯瑟琳·库克（Kathleen Cook）或劳伦·斯通（Lauren Stone）说出类似带有家长式作风的话，那将成为全国性新闻。
This is not a sexist statement. There was almost no reaction in Manitoba when Kinew implored Khan to "call me dad" at a May 2025 committee meeting. It would be national news if a popular premier said something similarly paternalistic to a Kathleen Cook or a Lauren Stone.
反方观点认为，基纽此前已经与斯特凡森（Stefanson）正面交锋并击败了她。然而，考虑到这位前省长在竞选前无法阐明其执政意图，随后又因一场极其负面的竞选活动断送了所在政党的胜算，基纽当时几乎没费吹灰之力。进步保守党（PCs）面临的挑战依然严峻。对许多曼尼托巴人来说，该党的品牌形象就像德州吐司上的美国奶酪一样令人难以接受。
The counter-argument is Kinew already went head to head against Stefanson and defeated her. Kinew barely had to bend an elbow to do that, however, given the former premier's inability to communicate what she wanted to do as premier before she tanked her party's chances with a noxiously negative election campaign The challenges facing the PCs remain considerable. To many Manitobans, the party brand is as unpalatable as American cheese on Texas toast.
他们的明星效应微乎其微，而随着凯尔文·戈岑（Kelvin Goertzen）和罗恩·舒勒（Ron Schuler）等资深议员的退休，这种影响力只会进一步减弱。
They have less star power than a tea light and will only get less luminous when longtime MLAs like Kelvin Goertzen and Ron Schuler retire.
他们在筹款方面也远远落后，如果不是前党魁候选人沃利·道德里奇（Wally Daudrich）的慷慨解囊，他们本可能面临财务崩溃。道德里奇在彻底退出该党之前，买下了位于肯尼迪街的旧进步保守党总部。
They're also way behind in fundraising and could have have faced financial ruin if it wasn't for the generosity of Wally Daudrich, the former leadership candidate who purchased the old PC headquarters on Kennedy Street before he quit the party altogether.
换句话说，新民主党（NDP）或许还能指望未来数月甚至数年的成功。但奥比·汗（Obby Khan）退出进步保守党，意味着瓦布·基纽（Wab Kinew）失去了一项最大的资产。
In other words, the NDP may count on many more months and even years of success. But Obby Khan's exit from the PCs constitutes the loss of Wab Kinew's greatest asset.
这就是为什么本周你没有听到纪律严明的新民主党发表任何胜利者的狂言。
This is why you have heard no triumphalist rhetoric from a highly disciplined NDP this week.
一代人之前，曼尼托巴省进步保守党需要斯图·默里（Stu Murray）和休·麦克法登（Hugh McFadyen）两位领导人的失败，帕利斯特（Pallister）才得以在17年后让该党重掌政权。
A generation ago, the Manitoba PCs needed leaders Stu Murray and Hugh McFadyen to fail before Pallister brought the party back to power after 17 years.
联邦自由党则需要斯蒂芬·迪翁（Stephane Dion）和迈克尔·伊格纳蒂夫（Michael Ignatieff）的失利，特鲁多（Trudeau）才在9年后完成了同样的壮举。
The federal Liberals needed Stephane Dion and Michael Ignatieff to trip up before Trudeau pulled off the same trick after nine years.
对于当前的曼尼托巴省进步保守党而言，问题在于他们还要在荒野中徘徊多久，以及需要更换多少位领导人才能越过尼波山（Mount Nebo），进入那片应许之地。
The question for the current Manitoba PCs is how long they will wander in the wilderness — and how many leaders it will take to get them past Mount Nebo and into the promised land.