唐纳德·特朗普从未动用过《叛乱法》（Insurrection Act）；尽管他在整个政治生涯中多次提及该法律。今年1月，他在接受福克斯新闻（Fox News）采访时曾直言：“别忘了，我有权使用《叛乱法》……而且这项权力是无可争议的。”今年早些时候，他又表示：“《叛乱法》确实能让事情变得简单得多——因为无需通过法院系统来处理相关问题。”
Donald Trump has never taken advantage of the Insurrection Act, although the president has talked about quite a bit throughout his political career. A year ago this month, during a Fox News interview, the Republican went so far as to say“Don’t forget I can use the Insurrection Act. … and that’s unquestioned power.”Earlier this year, he also said of the Insurrection Act, “It does make life a lot easier. You don’t through the court system.”
在《时代》（Time）杂志最近发表的这次长篇采访中，记者提出了一个令人担忧的问题：“在中期选举前夕，除非街头出现大规模暴力事件，否则您会排除宣布紧急状态的可能性吗？”
So when Time magazine spoke with the president for a lengthy, newly published interview it included a question about that unsettling possibility: “Would you rule out declaring a state of emergency in the lead up to the midterms unless there’s widespread violence in the streets?”
特朗普回答道：“我不会排除任何可能性。你是说《叛乱法》吗？”
“I don’t rule anything out or in,” Trump replied. “We’ll see. You mean the Insurrection Act?”
当《时代》杂志明确指出问题确实与《叛乱法》有关时，特朗普补充说：“不，我从未使用过这项法律。不过我有权使用它。很多人认为我应该偶尔使用它。”随后，特朗普转移了话题，开始谈论犯罪率，并谎称在乔·拜登执政期间有多少非法移民进入了美国。
When Time clarified that it was, in fact, referring to the Insurrection Act, the president added, “No, I’ve never used it. I could use it. A lot of people think I should use it sometimes.”At that point, Trump changed the subject, talked about crime rates, and lied about how many undocumented immigrants entered the United States during Joe Biden’s presidency.
这次对话发生在特朗普与一位极右翼阴谋论者交谈大约一个月后。那位阴谋论者向特朗普提出了一个建议：即使没有真正的国家安全危机，他也可以单方面宣布国家进入紧急状态，从而在未经国会批准的情况下对美国公民实施各种不必要的投票限制。“我只想说，比这更奇怪的事情也发生过，好吗？”特朗普当时针对这一建议回应道，“我就说到这里。”
The exchange came roughly a month after Trump spoke to a far-right conspiracy theorist, who pitched the president on the idea of unilaterally declaring a national security emergency for the midterm elections — even in the absence of an actual national security emergency — at which point Trump could theoretically impose wildly unnecessary voting restrictions on Americans by fiat and without congressional approval. “Let me just say, stranger things have happened, OK?”Trump said in response to the suggestion at the time. “I’ll leave it at that.”
可以肯定的是，特朗普并没有明确表示他会动用《叛乱法》——这是一项赋予总统紧急权力，可在美国本土部署听从其指挥的军队的联邦法律——但当被问及他是否会排除在期中选举前夕宣布进入紧急状态的可能性时，正确的回答应该是：“我当然会排除这种可能性。”
To be sure, Trump didn’t explicitly say he invoke the Insurrection Act — a federal law that grants the president emergency powers to deploy military troops on U.S. soil, who would act at his command — but when asked whether he’d rule out declaring a state of emergency in the run-up to the midterms, the correct answer should have been, “Of course I’d rule that out.”
我能理解为什么这些担忧可能看起来有些牵强，但其中存在一个值得考虑的规律。今年早些时候，这位总统曾公开琢磨取消期中选举的可能性。几个月前，在与乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基（该国在俄罗斯的致命战争期间无法举行选举）会晤时，特朗普说：“比方说，从现在算起三年半后，你的意思是，如果我们碰巧与某人发生战争，就不会再有选举了。”
I can appreciate why these concerns might seem far-fetched, but there’s a pattern to consider. Earlier this year, the president mused publicly about canceling the midterm elections. A few months earlier, during a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy — whose country cannot hold elections during Russia’s deadly war —Trump said“Say, three and a half years from now, so you mean, if we happen to be in a war with somebody, no more elections.”
还有一个无法回避的事实，即在六年前竞选连任失败后，特朗普发起了一场激进且最终演变为暴力的行动，企图推翻他所不满的选举结果，以此违背美国选民的意愿继续留任。
There’s also the unavoidable fact that, after he lost his re-election bid six years ago, Trump launched a radical and ultimately violent effort to overturn the results he didn’t like as part of a bid to remain in office despite the will of American voters.
因此，当特朗普在被问及是否可能在2026年期中选举前夕宣布进入紧急状态时采取含糊其辞的态度，我很难一笑置之，将其视为无意义的废话。
So when Trump hedges after being asked about possibly declaring a state of emergency in the lead up to the 2026 midterms, I find it difficult to shrug and laugh it off as meaningless nonsense.
这篇文章原载于MS NOW，原题为“特朗普被问及是否会在期中选举前动用《叛乱法》时态度暧昧”
The post Trump hedges when asked about using the Insurrection Act ahead of midterms MS NOW