朝鲜于10月3日发射了一枚其称为“中程战略导弹”的武器，一位专家警告称，此类导弹可将关岛和阿拉斯加部分地区纳入射程，这在特朗普总统寻求重启与金正恩外交之际，提高了美国及其盟友的风险筹码。
North Korea fired what it described as an intermediate-range strategic missile Oct. 3, and an expert warned that such a missile could put Guam and parts of Alaska within range, raising the stakes for the U.S. and its allies as President Donald Trump seeks to revive diplomacy with Kim Jong Un.
朝鲜官方媒体称，金正恩亲自指导了此次演习，而前驻韩美军分析悉尼·西勒对福克斯新闻数字版表示，该导弹的射程意味着此次试射的影响远远超出朝鲜半岛。
Kim personally oversaw the drill, North Korean state media claimed, while former U.S. Forces Korea analyst Sydney Seiler told Fox News Digital that its range means the latest test has implications extending far beyond the Korean Peninsula.
据路透社援引朝鲜官方朝中社报道，该导弹被描述为“高超音速战略武器系统”的一部分，飞行约1000公里（621英里），落入朝鲜东海水域。
According to Reuters, citing North Korea's state-run Korean Central News Agency, the missile was described as part of a "hypersonic strategic weapon system" and traveled about 1,000 kilometers, or 621 miles, away in waters off the country's east coast.
关岛作为美国在西太平洋的领土，具有重要战略军事意义，驻有安德森空军基地和关岛海军基地等主要军事设施。
Guam holds strategic military importance as a U.S. territory in the western Pacific and hosts major military installations, including Andersen Air Force Base and Naval Base Guam.
朝鲜专家警告：在伊朗战争期间进行导弹试射后，美国“永远不能对金正恩掉以轻心” “中程弹道导弹（IRBM）发射的有趣之处在于——这种飞行约3000至5000公里的导弹——它将关岛、阿拉斯加部分地区和日本纳入了朝鲜的射程，”曾任国家情报委员会朝鲜问题专职官员的西勒表示，同时他警告不要完全将此次发射视为对特朗普的直接回应。
NORTH KOREA EXPERT WARNS US CAN 'NEVER TAKE THEIR EYE OFF' KIM JONG UN FOLLOWING MISSILE TEST DURING IRAN WAR "What is interesting about an IRBM launch — an intermediate-range ballistic missile that flies around 3,000 to 5,000 kilometers — is that it brings Guam, parts of Alaska, and Japan into range of North Korea," Seiler, a former National Intelligence Council officer focused on North Korea, said while cautioning against fully viewing the launch as a direct response to Trump.
“但考虑到中程弹道导弹系统所需的准备工作，这不太可能主要是对总统过去几天言论或行动的回应，”西勒说。
"But when you consider the preparation required for an intermediate-range ballistic missile system, it is unlikely this was primarily a response to the president's comments or actions over the past few days," Seiler said.
10月3日导弹发射几小时后，特朗普在俄亥俄州万达利亚的集会上吹嘘他与金正恩的关系。
Hours after the Oct. 3 missile launch, Trump had touted his relationship with Kim during a rally in Vandalia, Ohio.
“我和金正恩相处得很好。和拥有庞大核武库的国家领导人相处融洽，这不是很好吗？”特朗普说。
"I get along great with Kim Jong Un. Isn't it nice to get along with the leaders of massive nuclear nations?" Trump said.
他还补充道：“当某人拥有112枚核导弹时，最好与他们搞好关系，”并指出朝鲜的核能力是保持外交沟通渠道畅通的原因。
He also added: "When someone has 112 nuclear missiles, it is better to get along with them," pointing to North Korea's nuclear capabilities as a reason for maintaining open diplomatic communication.
塞勒谈及最近的导弹试射和特朗普的最新言论时表示：“朝鲜目前根本不想对话，因此他们没有不发射导弹的动力。”
"North Korea simply isn't interested in talking right now, so they have no incentive not to launch," Seiler said of the recent missile test and Trump's latest remarks.
“朝鲜在特朗普总统试图重新接触朝鲜的外交努力期间进行这些导弹发射，你只能认为这在某种程度上是相关的。” 俄罗斯部署朝鲜导弹部队至乌克兰；莫斯科-平壤轴心深化：报告 据报道，此次试射之前，朝鲜于9月20日从元山地区发射了两枚短程弹道导弹。
"The fact that they're doing these missile launches amid a diplomatic effort by President Trump to try to re-engage the North, you have to see them only as somewhat related." RUSSIA DEPLOYS NORTH KOREAN MISSILE UNIT TO UKRAINE; MOSCOW-PYONGYANG AXIS DEEPENS: REPORT The test also followed North Korea's launch of two short-range ballistic missiles from the Wonsan area on Sept. 20, according to reports.
美国、韩国和日本官员于10月3日表示，朝鲜的弹道导弹试验违反了联合国安理会决议，威胁地区和国际安全。
Officials from the U.S., South Korea and Japan said Oct. 3 that North Korea's ballistic missile tests violate U.N. Security Council resolutions and threaten regional and international security.
现任战略与国际研究中心韩国石席非常驻高级顾问的塞勒表示，平壤的姿态超出了其与特朗普政府的关系。
Seiler, now a nonresident senior adviser with the Korea Chair at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said Pyongyang's posture extends beyond its relationship with the Trump administration.
塞勒说，最近的发射“发生在朝鲜目前全面停止与韩国对话、并多次拒绝美国对话提议的更大背景下”。
The latest launch comes "within the larger context of a current absolute stand down on dialogue with South Korea and repeated rejections of overtures from the United States for dialogue," Seiler said.
“但在总统任期内，朝鲜避免采取一些更具侵略性的行动；我们将近两年没有看到洲际弹道导弹发射。” 特朗普下令大幅削减美韩军演，朝鲜加大导弹试射力度 塞勒警告说，然而，这种克制不应被误认为是朝鲜愿意放弃其核导计划。
"But North Korea has refrained from some more aggressive actions during the president’s term of office; we haven't seen an ICBM launch for almost two years now." TRUMP ORDERS MAJOR CUT TO US-SOUTH KOREA DRILLS AS NORTH KOREA RAMPS UP MISSILE TESTS Seiler warned that restraint should not, however, be mistaken for a willingness to abandon Pyongyang's nuclear and missile programs.
塞勒表示：“对朝鲜而言，其总体外交策略是让世界习惯接受它们的本来面目：一个不去核化、发射导弹、偶尔挑衅、并以言辞施压的国家。”
"For North Korea, their overall diplomatic strategy is to condition the world to accept them for who they are: a non-denuclearizing, missile-launching, occasionally provoking, and rhetorically coercive state," Seiler said.
随着时间的推移，他们的目标是让我们放弃任何实现无核化或结构性变革的希望，这与他们确立基线的做法一致：无论外交进程是否展开，他们都将继续开发和展示导弹技术。与此同时，特朗普继续强调他与金正恩的关系，同时释放出希望重振其首任期内那种个人外交的信号。
"As time goes on, their goal is for us to give up any hope of denuclearization or structural change, which is consistent with them establishing a baseline: whether diplomacy unfolds or not, they will continue to develop and demonstrate missile technology." Meanwhile, Trump has continued to emphasize his relationship with Kim while signaling a wish to revive the personal diplomacy of his first term.
特朗普与金正恩分别于2018年在新加坡、2019年在河内举行峰会，同年晚些时候又在朝韩非军事区的板门店会面，当时特朗普跨界步入朝鲜境内。
Trump and Kim held summits in Singapore in 2018 and Hanoi in 2019 before meeting at Panmunjom in the Korean Demilitarized Zone later that year, when Trump crossed into North Korea.
推动特朗普韩国同盟关系从“历史新纪元”走向军事撤回的张力内幕 “总统表现出了通过对话与朝鲜接触的持久承诺——最近更表明他愿意进行通话，”赛勒说。
INSIDE THE TENSION THAT DROVE TRUMP’S SOUTH KOREA ALLIANCE FROM ‘HISTORIC NEW ERA’ TO MILITARY PULLBACK "The president has shown persistent commitment to engaging North Korea in dialogue — most recently suggesting he is open to a phone call," Seiler said.
“虽然通话可能不会在无核化问题上带来即时进展，但有助于降低紧张局势，并建立未来在半岛危机管理所必需的直接关系。”这位专家表示，金正恩与俄罗斯总统普京的结盟使华盛顿的战略更加复杂。
"While a call might not yield immediate progress on denuclearization, it contributes to tension reduction and helps establish a direct relationship necessary for future crisis management on the peninsula." Complicating Washington's strategy, the expert said, is Kim's alignment with Russian President Vladimir Putin.
据赛勒称，朝鲜提供军队和军事装备支持俄罗斯在乌克兰的战争，降低了金正恩与美国接触的意愿。
North Korea has provided troops and military equipment to support Russia's war in Ukraine, reducing Kim's incentive to engage with the U.S., according to Seiler.
“目前，金正恩考虑到他与普京新兴的关系以及目前从与俄罗斯的关系中获得的一切，根本不需要与美国对话，”赛勒说。
"Right now, Kim Jong Un, particularly given his emerging relationship with Vladimir Putin and everything he's getting out of the relationship with Russia right now, simply doesn't need to talk to the United States," Seiler said.
前NBA球星丹尼斯·罗德曼与金正恩的非同寻常关系，或许也为特朗普提供了另一条通往朝鲜领导人的潜在渠道。罗德曼也曾多次访朝并与金正恩亲自会面。
Former NBA star Dennis Rodman's unusual relationship with Kim also perhaps offers Trump another potential connection to the North Korean leader. Rodman has also made multiple trips to North Korea and met personally with Kim.
10月1日，罗德曼在德克萨斯州登顿市的彼得比尔特工厂与特朗普会合，随后随总统前往俄克拉荷马州杜兰特参加集会。朝鲜修宪规定若金正恩遇刺将自动核打击：报道在德克萨斯州被问及是否利用曾亲自会见过金正恩的罗德曼帮助与平壤斡旋和平时，特朗普强调了他自己与朝鲜领导人的关系。
Rodman joined Trump at a Peterbilt plant in Denton, Texas, on Oct. 1 before traveling with the president toward a rally in Durant, Oklahoma.
“只要我在这里，你们就不会有任何问题。别人上台，你们就会有大麻烦，”特朗普说。
NORTH KOREA UPDATES CONSTITUTION TO REQUIRE AUTOMATIC NUCLEAR STRIKE IF KIM JONG UN IS ASSASSINATED: REPORT Asked in Texas whether he was using Rodman, who has personally met Kim, to help broker peace with Pyongyang, Trump emphasized his own relationship with the North Korean leader.
特朗普还强调了罗德曼与金正恩的私人交情，称：“当我想了解金正恩、我们之间出现问题时——金正恩和我相处得很好——但最了解他的人是丹尼斯·罗德曼。”
"As long as I'm here, you're not gonna have any problems. Somebody else comes, you're gonna have some big problems," Trump said.
“丹尼斯·罗德曼拥有非常独特的视角，因为他通过多次访问能够与金正恩互动并私下了解他，建立了一些融洽关系，且没有任何外交包袱，”塞勒说。
Trump also highlighted Rodman's personal connection to Kim, saying: "When I wanted to get to know Kim Jong Un when we were having a problem—Kim Jong Un and I get along—but the one who knew him best was Dennis Rodman." "Dennis Rodman has a very interesting perspective in that he was able to interact with Kim Jong Un over a number of visits and get to know him personally, to develop some rapport without any diplomatic baggage," Seiler said.
“他可能正在向特朗普总统提供关于金正恩性格、价值观和潜在做法的见解，但你知道，正如我认为丹尼斯·罗德曼的代表所说，他距离拿到机票还有很长的路要走。”
"He may be offering President Trump insights into Kim Jong Un's personality, values, and potential approaches, but, you know, as I think Dennis Rodman's representatives have said, he is still a long way off from getting airplane tickets."